BTCUSDT Long As stated in my previous analysis, I do anticipate that the momentum will be bullish-biased. If the momentum does not retest the support zone at $56000, then the momentum might build up to the resistance zone at $69000
Let us now look into the 1-hour time frame and see where our entry point can be.
Bitcointrading
BITCOIN ( LONG ) ( 4H )BITCOIN
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bullish pressure until trade above turning level .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of turning level around 66,400 , indicates the price trade above this level reach a resistance level , but if breaking this level reach a support level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : around 69,648 , for reach this level will be stabilizing above turning level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 71,685 , for reach this level the price will stabilizing above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : support level at 63,345 , for reach this level will be breaking and stabilizing below turning level .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 59,299, for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : the price retest before rising at 66,400 .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 69,648, 71,685 .
SUPPORT LEVEL ; 63,345 , 59,299 .
Bitcoin Daily TF Currently, Bitcoin is facing Support around my key level of $54,600, which coincides with the 0.5 Fibonacci level. Once Bitcoin closes above the 200-day moving average, it is expected to gain momentum and rise towards the top of the channel.
After breaking through the channel, Bitcoin is likely to continue climbing, then experience a pullback, before ultimately surpassing its previous all-time high and setting a new record.
Bitcoin on a weekly timeframe is bullishFrom an Elliott Wave Theory perspective, #bitcoin is currently ending a corrective wave 4.
Duration is now identical to that of prior Wave 2 so we are fine in that regard.
In terms of structure, this correction is complex, alterning with Wave 2´s standard ABC correction.
We could either be in a Flat ABC or in a WXY zig zag, this is not yet defined.
In any case it looks as if this correction is either finished or soon to be.
Momentum is still downwards and buyer have not showed up. So further downward pressure could still push the price a bit more.
Expected target for ending this Wave 4 is the purple rectangle: somewhere between $49,360 and the already reached $53,500 level.
Unless we see a flash reversal, the $50,000-51,000 level (where prior support sits) would not be surprising.
And from there... up
Enjoy the ride!
BITCOIN will find support above $57k & Rally To $90k In 2025.I thought I would look at BITCOIN as I've been doing my Plan Your Trade videos.
I don't follow BITCOIN much - but the skills I teach related to price channels, Fibonacci Price Theory, Anchor Bars, Fibonacci Retracement/Extension, and others can be easily applied to any chart.
So, I created this video to share with you how I look at opportunities and pertinent price formations.
First, I see a FLAG formation that is nearly complete.
Second, I see a 100% measured move that has prompted the stalling price action (the FLAG).
Third, I see multiple price channels leading to a robust possibility for a rally phase in BITCOIN later this year and into 2025.
Lastly, I paired my analysis of BITCOIN with my expectations for the US Indexes. Thus, if I were expecting a broad market collapse over the next 6 to 12+ months, I would bias my decision-making towards the downside as asset declines typically result in all assets moving downward for a brief period.
Watch this video and let me know what you think. I've laid out an A (bullish) vs. B (bearish) scenario for everyone and highlighted key levels of support/resistance for traders.
At this point, I believe the strongest outcome for BITCOIN is a bullish rally targeting $90k+
BITCOIN Outlook for Q3 2024Hello everyone,
Today is the beginning of the new fiscal quarter, so as usual that means Q3 outlook is here.
I already know that with this one, I will most likely not make any new friends, but things have to be said even if the majority may be against "the Idea".
So first, I would point out that my Base Case from Q2 is still relevant in my opinion : " My Base Expectation for now is that this MAY(June/Q2), MAY be the worst time to become a Buyer/Bull for a prolonged period of time as we potentially already reached our TOP. That is because, as I mentioned in Q1 outlook:
"6. - !!! New REAL Bullmarket didn't Start until Interest Rates reached their bottom rate !!!
Note, this time can be different due to inflation & elevated price levels, which cause more money in rotation, but IT SHOULD NOT change base line of reverse expectations when the correct time comes - 1.FED start cutting, 2.FED stop (is DONE) with cutting, 3.bottom Rate is found" "
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Secondly- Yes, my outlook is Based on Macroeconomy, since I am of the opinion that the Economy and decisions of Central Banks are closely correlated to the charts and prices on them.
With that said, I am going to present a few charts which may bring some clarity to what I am expecting to happen in the next 3 months and Why I am NOT over-optimistic .
Before I start posting these screens, I would like to say, that I believe we are in incredibly tough times to call shorts where price will go since we are in kind of unprecedented times - both chart-wise and macroeconomy-wise kinda too.
So Why I am still more Bearish?
These are just a few examples of Why I am still more bearish..
I am sure that I could add some more, but at this point my "reasons Why" should be clear to everyone and if not, I would suggest you read the Q1 & Q2 outlook too.
Also, I would like to mention that this week we will get a lot of economic data which may provide a clearer view of what is coming next month/quarter. Anyway, I decided to do this TODAY so I am working with what we have "RIGHT NOW". If my opinion changes in the future based on these data I will let you know.
As well, to not be viewed as "perma BEAR", I want to say, that I see possibility that BITCOIN keep going Higher in Q3 and reach new ATHs ( all economic data comes "bullish" and FED still not decided to cut rates), BUT it is not my Base Case for now.
My Base Case as I said - staying the same as was in Q2, at least for now!
Until next time good luck to everyone.
Joe
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Hopefully, some of you found this post interesting and helpful in further market navigation.
If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot to me. Thanks!
Back at the 100x longIt looks like btc is bouncing off key support at 56500-59500 usd. Key resistance is now at 72-74k. It has stayed in this trend from going in between these zones since late February (last 4 months). The RSI was also oversold at both 4H and daily. We are now looking for the MACD to flip bullish at higher timeframes 4H-1D (it is already bullish at 1H). When btc confirmed support (looking to at least get a bounce) and broke out of the downward sloping trend. I went in with a 100x long. The trade has been made risk free and I will move my stop loss into more profits (usually under the last bottom) as prices keep rising. Btc and the S&P500 index is also related and the S&P500 index is reversing and has some nasty gaps to fill. I predict that this index will get a correction of at least 7%. This is bullish for bitcoin! But let me tell more about the current trade. The worst possible scenario at the time of writing is that I get a 152% ROI and the best that can happen is that I make a 2000% ROI. This is a good position to be in if you ask me. I will make money regardless!
25/6 update to yesterday update: BTC 9:00 UTC-4 18/6/2024 Short Hello everyone,
looks like yesterday's call: "In my opinion, there is still potential to move to Lower prices, but we need to take a close look at how the price will behave around 1M ATH Close price @ 61.375$. If we are able to blast through it, my next expected target would be 58.500$."
- comes to fruition once again. Extra 5% in the bag for those who stuck with trade at least partially.
So what's Next?
As we can see, after we arrive at our target 58.500$ we got immediate bounce back to the price I told you to keep an eye on. Reason Why I already mentioned several times in my previous posts.
As for my next trade, I can still see odds in favor of continuation to Lower price targets - 58.500$ again and depending on How it will act around that price on a 1-5-15min chart determine if we can see further bleeding or we bounce and revisit Higher price.
So for now, I'm of the opinion that if we reach around 61.375$ to 61.500$ again it would be still a great Short entry area. Having in mind that I will be using STOP LOSS around 61.850$ as protection in a case I'm WRONG and we go to the "bounce target" I mentioned yesterday which is around 63.8k$-64.2k$. If that happens, that would be my New Short Entry area.
Good luck in your trading
Joe
17% Gain: BTCUSD Short Using My RSAI Blueprint StrategyIn this video, I'll be discussing a recent short position I took on BTCUSD (Bitcoin) using my reliable RSAI Blueprint strategy. This trade yielded an impressive 17% gain, demonstrating the consistent profitability of my approach.
I'll guide you through the analysis and execution of this trade, highlighting the crucial indicators and market dynamics that influenced my decision. Additionally, we'll delve into the current sentiment shift in the cryptocurrency market that I believe will continue in the coming weeks, offering further trading opportunities.
Join me as I dissect the details of this successful trade, showcasing how the RSAI Blueprint strategy can lead to consistent wins. Don't forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more trading insights and updates on effective strategies.
Bitcoin will rise as the dollar descendsBitcoin will go a little lower until next week, then start to rocket again since USDJPY will be capitulating and that will force inflation to resurface. Inflation also means excess liquidity which is what bitcoin is, and is highly correlated to the nasdaq. I give it till summer when the BOJ pulls the plug and the FED is forced to hike rates again.
This will force the dollar TVC:DXY to go 140+ and along with it a deflationary spiral that will call this the Greatest Depression. This will blow up all the other currencies leaving the dollar for last. It is then from the ashes of everything the FED and central banks will usher in negative interest rates to "rebuild society" using social credit scores like the movie Demolition Man.
If Trump gets elected and not assassinated or arrested, then he will ban the dollar CBDC and go back to a gold standard. Then you will see bitcoin launch ahead of the old dollar and hold its own with the new gold backed dollar. If Biden gets reelected CBDC's will happen here in America and bitcoin and gold will go to the moon either way.
BTC retested main suport zone hello dear trader and investor
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently at $61k
Sitting at the lower end of its range
If you haven't noticed
It has been trading within a range for a while now
This is known as consolidation.
The top of this range is FWB:73K
While the bottom is $60k
my price action on this chart say :
bitcoin retest supourt area and now ready for next move...
my prediction on this chart
90,000 $ is next station ???
stop loss need for any position
good luck mehdi
BTC is dumping Hello, dear friends! Bitcoin has started to decline in price, even though other markets are showing solid growth.
What do you think is causing this to happen?
Here are some possible reasons:
1. Macroeconomic Factors
🔴Inflation and Interest Rates: Increases in interest rates or changes in inflation expectations can reduce interest in high-risk assets like cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin.
🔴Regulatory Changes: Changes in cryptocurrency regulations in major countries can create uncertainty in the market, leading to selling.
2. Market Dynamics
🔴Post-Growth Correction: After a significant price increase, a correction often occurs as investors take profits, leading to a price decline.
🔴Sales by Large Holders: Movements by large wallets or "whales" selling their assets can put significant downward pressure on the price.
3. Technical Factors
🔴Technical Levels and Patterns:Breaking important support levels or completing technical patterns can trigger a wave of selling.
🔴Algorithmic Trading: Algorithms set to react to certain signals can initiate mass selling, amplifying the decline.
4. News Environment
🔴Negative News:Negative news about exchange security, hacks, or fraud can undermine investor confidence and cause selling.
🔴Statements by Influential Figures:Statements from major investors, regulators, or other influential figures about negative prospects for Bitcoin can affect market sentiment.
5. Investor Behavior
🔴Fear and Uncertainty:Panic among retail investors due to negative news or price declines can lead to mass selling.
🔴Profit-Taking: Investors deciding to lock in profits after a significant rise can initiate selling.
6. Cryptocurrency-Specific Factors
🔴Scalability Issues:Network issues with Bitcoin, such as high fees or slow transactions, can reduce its attractiveness.
🔴Competition:Increased interest in other cryptocurrencies (altcoins) can divert attention and funds away from Bitcoin.
Each of these reasons can contribute to the current price dynamics of Bitcoin. Sometimes, it is a combination of several factors acting simultaneously that causes the price decline.
What do You think is the main reason for the current decline? Did I forget to mention any other reasons?
Thanks for Your attention.
Sincerely Yours, Kateryna💙💛
BTC update to: BTC 9:00 UTC-4 18/6/2024 Short TradeHello everyone,
Looks like our trade was delivered even though it took longer than was expected.
So everyone who took the same trade, congrats on your profits!
Aswell, I would point out How after I called for a lower price we went lower by around 1.85%, and How after that we visited the price I expected that is possible to reach for a great Short entry around 66.478$ (not so far from 66.500$) before our move unwind.
With that said, I hope everyone who took the same trade already took some profits off to pay the trader.
Now, to the harder part. And that's How to manage correctly trade if you still left some portion of your Short entry open.
In my opinion, there is still potential to move to Lower prices, but we need to take a close look at how the price will behave around 1M ATH Close price @ 61.375$. If we are able to blast through it, my next expected target would be 58.500$.
On the other hand, if in the upcoming hours price struggles to go lower than 61.3-61.5k$, I would expect it to bounce back a few % and that would be an opportunity to Open New Short trade. -> (around 63.500$ to 64.200$)
I will update further once I get more confirmation about What is more probable to happen next.
Joe
SEC Ends Ethereum 2.0 Investigation
Bitcoin prices fell Monday as nearly $500 million in positions were liquidated: Long positions took the majority of the losses.
Deutsche Telekom, parent company of T-Mobile, to join Bitcoin mining sector: The move could enhance network security but also increase competition among miners.
Consensys says SEC has ended its Ethereum 2.0 investigation: The announcement confirmed that ETH sales are not securities transactions – marking a significant victory for the space.
The Financial Stability Board met in Toronto to discuss regulatory challenges presented by stablecoins: The collaboration with the IMF began last year, with plans to produce a policy paper on the issue.
Waka Flocka Flame's new memecoin, FLOCKA, launched on the Solana blockchain, faces criticism amid a roughly 77% price drop: The massive falloff highlighted one of the major issues with the celeb-coin trend.
🐕 Topic of the Week: Shiba Inu: The Doge-Inspired Upstart Memecoin
👉 Read more here
BTC 9:00 UTC-4 18/6/2024 Short TradeHello everyone,
this is my Close timeframe Short.
Right now we sit at 65.250$ but I expect price to go Lower. My target is around 61.5k$ for now.
If we are able to break lower "right now" I would expect to arrive at that price relatively quickly (in the next 24 to 56 hours), but I still see that there is potential to re-visit 66.500$ before this move can start. So act accordingly.
*Note that 66.500$ would be in my book great Short entry.
Good trading day to everyone
Joe
edit: the reason behind this trade is that Today's numbers for Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales came Colder than expected. It should been a sign of a slowing economy and that should have put pressure on markets in general.
Also, do not forget to use Stop Loss in case the trade does not play out as expected!
BITCOIN WILL FALLlast night the BTC broke the area of validation.Breaking such a strong trend line indicates that the marker will be fallen to a nother demand.so we will able to buy at around first demand around area 67000 then we have to see the reaction around that area .If its a corrective one we will sell again in premium, if it rejects hard, we will buy btc at cheap price.that is the BTC plan
Bitcoin BTC price move plan for incoming weeksFor the coming week, both buyers and sellers have a specific task: some have to lower the price of #BTCUSDT as low as possible to break down the structure, while others have to raise it to break up the stops of shorts positions
🔼 CRYPTOCAP:BTC buyers are currently looking stronger, and if they manage to defend $67000-67300, they may start attacking and updating #Bitcoin ATH very soon. The fuel for growth should be the stops of short positions hidden above $73K. and $74k.
🔽 Sellers now have a much more difficult task: they need to break the growth structure, and for this, they need to fix #BTCUSD price below $60-61k
The next known strong macroeconomic news is expected on June 12, when the CPI US and the Fed Funds rate will be announced.
If you're reading this idea and are interested, please leave a comment under the idea and put like. And then we'll write more thoughts on BTC.D and USDT.D and how altcoins may develop in the near future.