My FINAL Bitcoin chart and Idea (forever)Everyone is too busy focusing on the wrong Technicals. Fear and Greed, RSI, MACD, Stock Markets, etc. All of these are good tools but we have to remember a few things:
1. Zoom out (Bitcoin follows the same 4-year cycle every time... this time is NOT different)
2. Keep it Simple (I'm tired of messy charts, only put what you need for the current timeframe)
3. Avoid Leverage (These areas are too risky and much too volatile... liquidity is getting grabbed at almost every level) Stay safe.
I expect Bitcoin to retrace to $57k and then bounce back up... clear skies ahead if we can break out of this pattern I have drawn up. (If not we keep ranging as follows until we break significantly above the previous ATH)
Peace out! It's been fun... I may return to crypto one day (if ykyk)
Bitcoinprice
Bitcoin - It Will Reach $100.000!Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) will break out soon:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Everything, and I literally mean everything, is bullish on Bitcoin. The previous cycles, timeframes, market structure and price action are all pointing towards the continuation of the bull run which started in 2023. And a breakout above the all time high, is the next trigger.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $100.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Bitcoin ($BTC) to Dip Below $60K Amid Hotter US CPI DataBitcoin’s price could soon slip below the $60,000 mark following the latest U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which showed inflation at 2.4% for September, slightly higher than market expectations of 2.3%. The hotter-than-anticipated inflation report has sparked concerns among investors, weighing on the broader crypto market and pushing Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) into a bearish outlook. Combined with growing macroeconomic uncertainties, including Federal Reserve rate decisions and geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin could face further downside pressure.
Impact of US CPI Data
The latest inflation data revealed that the US CPI held steady at 0.2% on a monthly basis, while annual inflation cooled to 2.4%, down from the 2.5% recorded in August. Despite this cooling, the figure surpassed market expectations, triggering concern among investors who now anticipate a more hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve. With inflation running higher than anticipated, fears of tighter monetary policy have intensified, particularly as the Fed is widely expected to implement a smaller 25 basis point (bps) rate cut in November, down from an earlier prediction of 50 bps.
These developments are contributing to widespread risk aversion in the market, with investors turning cautious ahead of the Fed’s next move. A more restrictive monetary policy could reduce liquidity in the market, further pressuring risk assets like Bitcoin.
Adding to this, the release of gloomy U.S. job data and the rising US 10-year bond yield, which hit 4.073%, have intensified negative sentiment. The crypto market has not been immune, with Bitcoin down 1.3% following the CPI data release. BTC briefly crossed below the $61K mark, touching a low of $60,314, and is currently trading at $60,449 as of this writing.
Macro Factors at Play: Global Concerns Weigh on Sentiment
Bitcoin’s downward trajectory is not just a result of inflationary pressures but also a broader set of macroeconomic uncertainties that continue to weigh on sentiment. Several key factors are contributing to this cautious outlook:
1. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing tensions in the Middle East are creating volatility in global financial markets, which in turn is impacting the crypto market. Any escalation could lead to further risk aversion, potentially dragging Bitcoin lower.
2. US Presidential Election: With the upcoming 2024 presidential election in the United States between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, markets are bracing for increased political volatility. The uncertainty surrounding the election outcome could add another layer of risk for investors, keeping Bitcoin under pressure.
3. Federal Reserve’s Stance: As inflationary concerns remain, the market is now pricing in an 84% probability of a 25 bps rate cut by the Fed in November. Any hawkish surprises from the Fed could exacerbate the already fragile market sentiment, potentially leading to further selloffs in Bitcoin.
Technical Outlook
On the technical front, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is showing signs of weakness following the CPI data release. The daily chart reveals that Bitcoin is trading within a falling wedge pattern, a bearish formation that could signal further downside unless there is a breakout to the upside.
Key Technical Indicators:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently in an anomalous zone, indicating that Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) may not yet be oversold, but downward pressure is mounting. Bitcoin is trading within a falling wedge, which often indicates further downside unless there is a strong breakout. A break below $60,000 could send Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) towards the ceiling of the trendline at $50,000 which will be very bad for $BTC.
Immediate support lies at the $60,000 psychological level. If broken, the next key support level is the $50,000 mark, which coincides with the lower trendline of the falling wedge. On the upside, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) would need to clear resistance around the $61,500 mark to attempt a reversal.
If negative news continues to dominate the macro landscape, such as additional inflationary pressures, escalating geopolitical tensions, or unexpected hawkish moves from the Fed, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) could see a sharper decline, possibly dipping toward the $50,000 level.
On the flip side, favorable developments like easing inflation, de-escalation in global conflicts, or a more dovish stance from the Fed could provide Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) with the momentum needed to break out of the falling wedge and move higher. If Bitcoin manages to clear $61,500, it could attempt a surge back toward the $65,000 resistance level.
Bitcoin technical analysis + trade plan by BFTechnical Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) by Blaž Fabjan
Overview of Current Market Structure:
Descending Trading Channel: The Bitcoin price is currently trading within a descending channel, marked by parallel lines of resistance and support. The price has respected both boundaries and continues to oscillate between them.
Support: The current support level within the descending channel is approximately 60,000 USDT, as shown by the lower green line.
Resistance: The resistance level is around 61,758 USDT, as indicated by the upper green line.
Potential Breakout: A potential breakout to the upside is indicated by the analysis. If the price breaks through the resistance zone, we may see a rally towards the 64,591 USDT mark, which is a key resistance level in the broader time frame.
Indicators Analysis:
RSI (Relative Strength Index, 14 periods): The RSI is currently around 39.25, which indicates that the market is in a slightly oversold condition. This suggests a potential buying opportunity if momentum shifts to the upside.
Stochastic Oscillator (14, 3, 1): The stochastic oscillator shows a value of 27.09, signaling that the market is near the oversold region. A bullish crossover between the %K and %D lines could trigger an upward move.
VMC Cipher B Indicator (Divergences): The VMC Cipher B Divergences are currently showing bearish momentum, but the price appears to be bouncing off a significant support level. We are awaiting confirmation for a reversal.
HMA Histogram (40, 44): The HMA Histogram shows a value of 91.97 in the short term, indicating that bearish momentum is starting to slow, and a potential bullish reversal could occur soon.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Support: The key support level lies around 60,000 USDT. If the price drops below this level, further bearish movement towards 58,000 USDT could be expected.
Immediate Resistance: Resistance stands at 61,758 USDT, the upper boundary of the descending channel. A breakout above this level could trigger a bullish rally.
Key Target Level: The next major target on a breakout would be the 64,591 USDT resistance, where the price is likely to face significant selling pressure.
Trading Plan:
Bullish Scenario:
Entry Point: Look for a breakout above the 61,758 USDT resistance level. Confirm the breakout with increasing volume and price closing above the channel.
First Target: 64,591 USDT, which is a major resistance zone in the upper range.
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss slightly below the support level of 60,000 USDT to manage downside risk.
Second Target (Aggressive): If bullish momentum continues, a potential extension towards 65,500 USDT is possible, aligning with previous highs.
Bearish Scenario:
Entry Point: If the price fails to break above the 61,758 USDT resistance level and starts rejecting at this point, consider a short position with a breakdown below the 60,000 USDT support.
First Target: A drop towards 58,000 USDT could be expected if bearish momentum accelerates.
Stop Loss: Set the stop loss above 62,000 USDT, just outside the resistance of the descending channel to account for volatility.
Neutral Scenario (Sideways Trading):
If the price consolidates between 60,000 and 61,758 USDT, wait for a clearer breakout or breakdown before entering any trades. The current channel suggests potential opportunities, but patience for confirmation is key.
Risk Management:
Position Size: Use proper risk management by not risking more than 1-2% of your capital on any trade.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Maintain a favorable risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2 or higher to ensure the profitability of your trades.
Bitcoin 4h tradeLocal 4h trade for BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Possible Targets and explanation idea
➡️Waiting full fill or test 4h fvg
➡️Perfect scenario if we will see drop closer to Thursday to 59152
➡️But most likely we will hold the block around 61200
➡️4h money outflow BTC.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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Bitcoin falling to 59K??? Short-term prediction!!Hey guys!
Many interesting things happening at the market right now, and here are my thoughts about BTC.
So in quick we have a red cross on 4H, so seems like we at least can see BTC around 59K, cause also this is important Fib 0,618 level.
The volumes are still descending, plus the green line was broke, which means that we have a convergence with volume.
For me, for sure we gonna touch 59K zone and after we will see.
What's your thoughts?
Bitcoin ARE WE CORRECTING DOWN & T0 WHERE ???? Hey Traders
I take a quick dive into Bitcoin: currently it appears we are making our way down with some signals from candlesticks such as our lucky hammer which indicates bearish thinking.
Question is where do we go from here and can we punch back up or will sink further down to 50K and below ?
Must watch
Comment, like follow if you liked this video and found it useful or tell me what you think you see will happen with Bitcoin
MB Trader
Bitcoin 1W chart and you will find answer for all your questionsCRYPTOCAP:BTC 1W chart;
I said we would update the #Bitcoin chart if something important happens, but I want to show you the situation from a wider time frame.
What do you see when you look at it like this, please comment. Please write your own thoughts in the comments section, independent of mine or anyone else's.
From this level, do you think #Btc will say, 1 minute brother, I don't want to go down, this channel can't hold me and go up?
The level I indicated as OB below is also the IMB zone. 2 birds with 1 stone are waiting for retest at $46k.
That level is also the base of the channel and the support/contact level of the much older uptrend line (green).
I have been sharing what I see when I put all the puzzle pieces side by side for a long time.
I am curious about your thoughts as well.
By the way, if those who think like me can also like and share, it would be a great support and this chart will reach many more people. ✨
The #1 Reason Bitcoin Is A Good Buy Eventhough There Is FEARKnowing how to trade is a special skill
not everyone has mastered yet.
-
Yesterday i was on a phone call
with a friend of mine
and i shared my knowledge
of the trading industry
-
And how i think Bitcoin is
going to go.I could
hear the fear and doubt in his voice.
-
I dont mean to judge
because honestly
trading also scares me
but sometimes you have
to look past the fear.
-
Sentiment on this crypto CME:BTC1!
is bearish
even though i still think
its a good long-term buying
position.
-
Remember to rocket boost
this content to learn more
Disclaimer: Trading is risky, please
learn risk management
and profit-taking strategies.
BTC/USD: HBO Set to Unmask Satoshi HBO’s documentary Money Electric: The Bitcoin Mystery, airing tonight at 9:00 p.m. EST, is expected to present compelling evidence on the identity of Bitcoin's creator, Satoshi Nakamoto.
Speculation surrounds figures such as Hal Finney, Nick Szabo, Adam Back, Len Sassaman, and David Kleiman, with Sassaman emerging as the frontrunner on prediction market Polymarket.
Should Sassaman, Kleiman, or Finney be fingered, analysts say it could have a positive impact on Bitcoin’s price, as all three are deceased, reducing the likelihood of a selloff from wallets linked to Nakamoto, which hold an estimated 1.1 million BTC.
On the 4-Hour chart, Bitcoin keeps coming back to $62,500 despite recent volatility and larger price wicks.
Bitcoin's local perspective 07.10.24Now, INDEX:BTCUSD has formed an ascending pattern AMEXP (yellow)👇
that describes a correction within the previous descending pattern AMEXP (red)👇
If now the price can break through the $64,076-$64,236 zone, we may see a continuation of growth with targets at $64,738 and $64,955, followed by a correction to the range around the $62,368 level.
After that, we will have to watch the reaction to this zone and the trend line in more detail, as there is a possibility to go to $66,000, and there is a possibility to renew the swing low and say hello to $57,834 - so the area around the $62,368 level will be an important place for decision making.
BTCUSDT in 1h timeframe hello dear trader and investors .... this price action for bitcoin with usdt in 1 H timeframe .... is btc ready for next move ?
The Role of China in Bitcoin’s Future
One of the key factors driving Bitcoin’s upcoming surge, according to Tapiero, is China’s recent economic policy moves. China has been taking significant steps to stimulate its economy by injecting liquidity into the market, which Tapiero believes will act as a catalyst for Bitcoin’s rise. He argues that China’s financial actions could benefit cryptocurrency investors, creating a favorable environment for Bitcoin to thrive.
What Does This Mean for Investors?
Tapiero’s analysis presents a promising outlook for Bitcoin investors. The completion of the “cup and handle” formation could signal a new era of growth, with Bitcoin reaching unprecedented levels. Additionally, China’s liquidity injections could further fuel this bullish trend, making this an opportune time for investors to consider their strategies.
10T Holdings, which manages $1.2 billion in assets, is heavily invested in cryptocurrency and blockchain technology. Tapiero’s insights are highly regarded within the industry, and his predictions regarding Bitcoin’s future are closely watched by investors around the globe. With strong bullish signals, Bitcoin could soon embark on a new upward journey.
Bitcoin breaking 64k!!! Next 68???Hey guys!
Friday scenario didn't worked and we continue growing. Here are some thoughts about next movements.
Bullish: We're now moving in a raising channel and the MA have a bullish cross.
Bearish: The RSI is closing to the overbought point and there is the volume divergence.
Additional: We are between two important resistance and support levels.
So my thoughts here, that If buying momentum continues to fade, given the volume divergence and high RSI, a short-term pullback could occur, potentially taking Bitcoin towards the $62,000 support level. Should this support hold, it may provide a bounce opportunity for bulls to regain momentum.
On the other hand, if Bitcoin manages a successful break above the $64,000 resistance, it could pave the way for a move towards the higher resistance levels between $66,000 and $68,000, marking a continued bullish trend.
What u think?
BTC Bullish Above $65.5K, Bearish Below $60K | Weekly to 4-HourHey everyone, it’s Mindbloome Trader here! Let’s dive into Bitcoin’s charts, from the weekly to the 4-hour timeframe. If BTC breaks above $65,570, we’re in for a bullish run. But if we dip below $60K, things could turn bearish fast. Keep these levels on your radar and, as always, trade what you see. Let’s get it!
Key Levels:
Bullish above $65,570 (Target higher moves)
Bearish below $60,000 (Watch for downside pressure)
Mindbloome Trader
Trade what you see
Bitcoin BTC price sets the mood of the crypto marketThe Oc Uptober fest did not go well on the crypto market - sadness, pain, and the red color reigned supreme.
But is it really that bad, let's find out.
OKX:BTCUSDT price has dropped to $60k and the middle of the channel, where the price has been consolidating for more than 7 months. And although we have set $57k per CRYPTOCAP:BTC as a critical level for ourselves, but maybe we don't need to go there anymore ?)
It's better to use 1-2 large green daily candles up to GETTEX:64K per #Bitcoin. Unfortunately, we don't control the market)
🟢 BTC.D - 58.17%
🟢 USDT.D - 5.82%.
Both indices are slowing down their growth and trying to turn down, which may be a fresh breath of air for altcoins, but it will probably not be enough for everyone)
🔴 The Fear and Greed Index is 37 (a couple of days ago it was 61), there is already fear, but not yet critical, which is where global reversals usually come from.
🍿 We are waiting for Chinese liquidity to enter the cryptocurrency market, just a little more patience. By the way, LSE:CFX with “Chinese roots” has held up quite well in recent days,
it is worth keeping an eye on.
_____________________
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ICPUSDT - BUY OPPORTUNITY- ICP Update -
ICP is one amazing blockchain, within its ecosystem, it can handle gaming, social, web3, Ai etc
DYOR!!! There's just too much about ICP which you can read up on their webpage.
I am personally buying this coin within BUY area, Holding to target areas and potentially SWING TARGET.
My SWING TARGET for ICP for near future is +$150 - $250, this coin 100% deserves 3 digits at fair value, its one of those coins that is built to handle future web3 projects, its utility is amazing, the transaction speeds are insanely fast, if so, even faster than SOLANA. This coin holds its value and reputation in my opinion amongst SOLANA and ETHEREUM, possibly flip SOLANA in near future!!!
The blockchain is just built for the future, and with recent announcement regarding Ai model integrated within the blockchain, This by far is one solid and positive outlook for the future of this blockchain. As the future technology continues to progress and evolve around Web3 and mass adoption of crypto takes off. This coin will surely (in my opinion) be key player within the Web3 industry as well as Ai !!!
We can only look forward from here and accumulate as much as possible, todays price is a steal for this GEM!!! Todays price will be a history in the future! that is my personal view and outlook! I could be totally wrong, lets wait and see.
If this coin dips before Bitcoin halving, I will look further to add to my moon bag.
Trade Safe Habibis
** Crypto is highly volatile and risky, profits are never guaranteed, only risk what you can afford to lose **
BTCUSD Reverses from Major Resistance, Downtrend ExpectedBTCUSD has been trading in a well-established downtrend channel over the past few weeks. Recently, it hit a major resistance level and is now showing signs of a reversal to the downside.
Key Resistance Break:
The price action indicates that BTCUSD is failing to break through the resistance level, signaling a potential continuation of the downtrend in the upcoming sessions.
Potential Target:
Looking ahead to next week, we anticipate that BTCUSD may resume its downward trajectory and could potentially touch the 55,000 mark if the bearish momentum continues.
RSI Momentum Shift:
Multiple RSI lines have shifted downward, confirming the weakening momentum and supporting the likelihood of further downside movement.
Conclusion:
Traders should watch for confirmation of the downtrend as BTCUSD moves further from resistance. The technical indicators, particularly RSI, suggest that the market remains bearish in the near term.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk, and you should conduct your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
btc in reverse Head and Shouldersthe **reverse Head and Shoulders pattern** signals a possible bullish reversal, and if Bitcoin breaks the resistance with strong volume, it could lead to a significant upward move. The current pullback and neutral RSI suggest the market is in a wait-and-see mode, but the setup looks promising for a potential price increase. What do you think?
Down Down Baby - BTC Short Term RetracementI'm pretty confident that we will retrace back to mid 40's - Then go on a parabolic run.
This doesn't mean sell your position.
I would stay put and wait for the turbulence to play out. The market will always decide the price action.
***Not financial advice**