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(BTC) October predictions - BEAR & BULLHello Tradingview community! As always: If these patterns I'm showcasing doesn't work as predicted.. then please don't come crying to me (ty) -> NFA DYOR Alright.. the chart explains itself as you can see We got 2 scenarios/targets for October: Bull targets-> 66k-70k Bear targets-> 52k-46k I do find it more likely to go up than down.. Why? Well Q4 in a bull market is usually heavy green and especially towards a presidential election Anyway, Keep in mind this is only an idea/prediction that could easily be wrong in many ways. I will update this post in the future! BOOST if you like it and follow for more NFA DYOR <<<<-----
by RandomTAdude
1
BTC & Crypto Market Forecast. 4 Yr Cycle Top and Elliot WavesIn this video, I've pulled up an old chart from 2022 I've had on my desktop (not my original chart) that shows potential Waves 3-5 for Bitcion and the 4 year cycle high time targets. In my new chart, I've re-created this showing that we're ahead of schedule from the dark study, and the 4 year past cycle time targets for reaching ATH around 539 days after the halving. But as we know, we hit ATH's this cycle already BEFORE the halving, so it's unclear how that's going to affect the next phase. It would certainly make sense, that everybody (Big money, smart money and even us dumb money retail traders) will be looking to 'go all in' early... But also to GET OUT early. Remember, it's a game of musical chairs.. and the music is speeding up. For these reasons, and other global economic and political influences... I think we could STILL see a left-translated cycle and a parabolic bull rally going into Dec of this year... Unsure if that would be THE Top, but I'd be looking for some profit taking and correction there, which most likely WILL LOOK like the top. But may not actually be. We may still see the 4 year cycle play out, and continue to push higher until October '25 as the original study suggests (539 days post-halving). On the one hand, some are suggesting a deflationary market bust in early 2025 for both the stock market and Bitcoin / crypto. We'll have to wait and see. But it does look like we're experiencing the Wave 4 pullback, and poised to beging the final Wave 5 phase of the bull-run. What do you think? Would appreciate any likes, comments, or compliments below. Cheer always welcome! To the moon 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BrettFogle
#BTC/USDT Weekend Update!#BTCUSDT: Not much is happening—just sideways price action on low volume due to the weekend. Expecting more volatility on Monday after the weekly close. For now, OB remains untested so be ready if that gets tested, possibly $63k-$64.3k. It will give us some good entries for scalp and swing in altcoins. With both the monthly and weekly closes approaching, these will be crucial. We’ll need a few confirmations for the anticipated "UPtober." I’ll be sharing more details on Monday. Alts? Alts might be choppy for now, but I expect strong rallies next month. Remember, dips are for buying! Have a great weekend folks! Do hit the like button if you like it and share your views in the comment section. Thank you #PEACE
by Cryptorphic
4
Bitcoin Sideways Action - Long scenarioBitcoin is consolidating. This means that we are preparing for something. I expect a scenario with the opportunity to enter long positions. Right now, it looks like we will not break the recent lows and continue to form small higher lows. This to me is an indication that we could see a strong move until the consolidation is complete. That could start this Thursday with jobless claims and Fed Chair Powell's speech or next week when all the data is released and the market will react to things like JOLTS Job Openings and Non-Farm Employment Change. We can also make a bearish move. I would expect a move to the FWB:65K region to take out the last high from August and then move down to reverse.
by reports20netrust
2
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 1-hour price action + trade planTechnical analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 1-hour price action with multiple indicators and a descending triangle pattern by Blaž Fabjan Chart Patterns Descending Triangle: This is a classic pattern that typically suggests consolidation, and in many cases, a breakout (especially when formed in an uptrend). The triangle seems to be nearing the apex, indicating that a breakout could happen soon. Breakout potential: Since it's forming within an overall uptrend, the triangle suggests the possibility of a continuation of the uptrend after the consolidation. Indicators VMC Cipher B: The VMC Cipher B shows wave-like movements indicating market momentum and divergences. It looks like the waves are approaching a positive curve, indicating a potential bullish movement if confirmed by momentum. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is hovering around 50.49, which shows a neutral trend at the moment. No overbought or oversold conditions are present, leaving room for upward or downward movement depending on the breakout direction. Stochastic (14, 1, 3): The stochastic shows a level of 43.32 (blue) vs 56.91 (orange), indicating a slight bearish momentum, but it could reverse if price continues consolidating and breaks upwards. HMA+ Histogram: The histogram appears to show bearish pressure with negative values such as -55.9, though it looks like it may start to shift upwards if there's enough buying momentum. Volume: The volume appears lower during consolidation, which is typical before a significant move. Watch for an increase in volume as the price approaches the end of the triangle. Support and Resistance: Support: Around 63,800 USDT (marked by the bottom of the triangle). Resistance: Immediate resistance appears at around 64,200 USDT, the upper trendline of the descending triangle. Trading Plan: Breakout Strategy: Bullish scenario: If BTC breaks the triangle to the upside, enter a long position after confirmation (e.g., after the price breaks above 64,200 USDT with volume). Place a stop-loss slightly below the triangle's bottom at around 63,500 USDT. Target price: A potential upward target could be around 67,000 USDT (previous high) based on the size of the triangle. Bearish scenario: If the price breaks below the triangle’s bottom (around 63,800 USDT) with volume, a short position can be considered. In this case, place a stop-loss just above the upper trendline of the triangle (around 64,500 USDT). Target price: A downside target would be around 62,000 USDT, depending on how strong the downward momentum is. Risk Management: Set a risk/reward ratio of at least 1:2, considering the uncertainty of the consolidation period. Adjust your position size to risk no more than 1-2% of your capital on the trade. In summary, BTC is consolidating in a descending triangle within an uptrend, and a breakout in either direction is likely. Watch for volume and confirmation before taking a position, and stick to a disciplined risk management plan.
Long
by elfabiiani
technical analysis and trading plan for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT)Technical analysis and trading plan for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) by Blaž Fabjan Bullish Pennant Formation: The chart shows a bullish pennant pattern, which typically indicates a continuation of the prior upward trend. This suggests that once the consolidation within the pennant breaks to the upside, there could be a further rally. Support and Resistance Levels: Support Level: Around $61,758.48, which is holding the price within the consolidation. Resistance Level: The next significant resistance is around $64,591.15. If the price breaks the resistance of the pennant, it could target higher levels, potentially leading toward $68,556.87 as a bullish target. Volume: There’s a moderate amount of volume, but a volume breakout would be needed to confirm the movement in either direction. Indicators: VMC Cipher B Divergences is showing some green dots indicating bullish divergence, which further supports the potential for an upward breakout. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI value is around 53.94, suggesting that the market is in a neutral zone. It's neither overbought nor oversold, giving room for movement in either direction. Stochastic Oscillator: Around 36.45, slightly on the lower end, signaling that Bitcoin might be in an oversold position on the short-term, indicating a potential upward reversal. Trendline Projection: The image also indicates an upward price projection beyond $67,000 if the pennant breaks to the upside, aligning with the bullish sentiment. Trading Plan: Buy Scenario (Bullish Breakout): Entry Point: Consider entering a long position if Bitcoin breaks above the upper trendline of the pennant and surpasses the $64,000 resistance level with strong volume confirmation. Take Profit Levels: First target: $64,591.15 (immediate resistance). Second target: $68,000. Final target: $68,556.87 (upper resistance). Stop Loss: Place a stop loss just below the $61,758.48 support level or just below the lower trendline of the pennant. Sell Scenario (Bearish Breakdown): Entry Point: If Bitcoin breaks below the lower trendline of the pennant and the $61,758.48 support level, it might indicate a bearish reversal. Consider entering a short position. Take Profit Levels: Look for a price drop toward $60,301.68 or lower. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss just above the pennant resistance level around $63,000 to limit risk. Conservative Strategy: Wait for a clear breakout from the pennant either way before entering any trade. Watch for confirmation through volume increase, as this would validate the direction of the breakout. Final Notes: The chart leans toward a bullish continuation, but confirmation from volume and a breakout from the pennant are key before making any trades. Always manage risk carefully by setting stop losses and taking partial profits along the way. I hope this information assists you in making more informed decisions during your trading activities. Enjoy! Blaž Fabjan
Long
by elfabiiani
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 20, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The current market activity exhibits a robust recovery from our Mean Support level at 57300, surpassing the Mean Resistance of 60500. It is poised to achieve our secondary rebound target: the Completed Interim Coin Rally denoted at 64500. Nonetheless, prevailing market sentiment suggests a potential retracement to the Mean Support level at 61900 before initiating the primary recovery and progressing into the subsequent phase to retest our completed Interim Coin Rally at 64900 and beyond.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
More pain before we SoarHere in this chart, I have mapped out the price points to keep an eye on. I like the 53k-55k range and believe it is extremely bullish for us to stay above it but the longer we linger here... the more likely we are to break down. Down would be to 48k support which is not as strong as some may think. I am still keeping an open mind to the possibility of an event where we don't have a normal cycle that rallies into the next year post-cycle but instead a drastic dip back down to reality at 38k - this is also a worst-case scenario and possibly the disbelief phase of the cycle. Or I can always go with my gut and say that we already had a short-lived bull market these past few years.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by RetiredNovice
Bitcoin September 17th 20241. Price Action (Candlesticks): Current Price: The price is hovering around $60,141.67, as indicated by the highlighted value. Recent Trend: The candlesticks suggest that Bitcoin has been in a sideways trend for the past few weeks. The price seems to be bouncing between support at around $52,500 and resistance at $66,000. Downward Correction: After hitting the recent high around $66,000, a correction seems to have taken place, as indicated by multiple bearish candles. However, Bitcoin hasn't broken down into lower support levels, suggesting a consolidation phase. 2. Moving Averages (MAs): White Line: The white line appears to be a long-term moving average (likely a 200-week moving average), which is far above the current price. This implies that Bitcoin's price is still significantly below its all-time highs and could indicate a potential upward target if a bullish trend resumes. Yellow Line: The yellow line could be a shorter moving average (possibly 50-week), which is closer to the current price and appears to be acting as resistance in recent weeks. Interaction with MAs: The current price is struggling to stay above the shorter MA (yellow), which suggests that Bitcoin may face more selling pressure if it fails to hold support above it. 3. Indicators: MACD/RSI at the Bottom: The red and green indicator at the bottom seems to be either an RSI (Relative Strength Index) or MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence). The red shaded area indicates a bearish trend, while the green shows a bullish trend. Since the red is dominant and the indicator is trending downward, this points to a period of bearish momentum. The RSI, if that's what the indicator represents, looks to be below the midpoint (around 50), suggesting that Bitcoin is not in overbought territory, but also not deeply oversold. It signals weak momentum in the recent period. 4. Support and Resistance: Support: There is solid support around the $52,500 level, as seen in previous price action where Bitcoin bounced several times. Resistance: The $66,000 level seems to be a significant resistance, as price has failed to close above it in recent weeks. Breakout/Breakdown Potential: If the price breaks below $52,500, we could see a deeper correction, potentially testing lower support levels (around $40,000 or even lower). Conversely, if it breaks above $66,000 with strong volume, Bitcoin could head toward $74,000 or beyond. 5. Volume: The volume data is not visible in this screenshot, but low volume during this consolidation phase would indicate indecision or a lack of strong buying interest, while increasing volume on upward moves would signal potential breakouts. 6. Longer-Term Outlook: The long-term moving average (white line) remains above the current price, indicating that Bitcoin's overall long-term trend is still upward, even though there's short- to medium-term bearish pressure. If Bitcoin can hold the $60,000 range and break the $66,000 resistance, it could retest the highs and continue its uptrend. However, failing to do so might signal a longer consolidation period or even a deeper correction. Summary: Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase after a recent correction, with key support at $52,500 and resistance at $66,000. Momentum indicators suggest the trend is currently weak and slightly bearish. A breakout above $66,000 could lead to a continuation of the uptrend, while a breakdown below $52,500 would signal further bearish action. This chart presents a critical moment for Bitcoin, where the market is waiting for a decisive move in either direction.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ILL_Midas
Bitcoin Fails to Break the 60K ThresholdThe dollar's accelerated losses due to Fed expectations had only a limited impact on Bitcoin's rise. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their highest daily inflows in nearly two months. However, as the U.S. elections approach and Kamala Harris performed better than Donald Trump in the latest TV debate, cryptocurrencies, led by Bitcoin, lost value. From a technical perspective, if Bitcoin breaks below the 57,330 level, a further decline toward the 55,800 and then 54,000 support levels could occur. On the upside, if it surpasses the 60,000 resistance level, the 63,000 and then 65,000 resistance levels could be tested.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by primequotes
BTC/USD 4H Short Trade Setup: Anticipating a Momentum ShiftThe trade seems to be based on a potential rejection or weakness in the current price action, with targets likely set to take advantage of a downward movhart setup: Analysis: 1. Entry Point: The trade might have been triggered around the current price level, where the market shows signs of stalling or reversing. 2. Stop-Loss: Placing the stop-loss above the recent highs ensures protection against a false breakout or unexpected upward movement. 3. Take-Profit: The take-profit targets could be set at key support levels or based on Fibonacci retracement levels, considering the recent price action. 4. Risk Management: As always, managing risk properly is crucial, so partial profits can be taken along the way, and stop-loss levels can be adjusted to secure gains if the price moves in your favor. 5. Market Conditions: We may stay in a range before the anticipated move happens. This is going to be a short trade, aimed at catching some momentum for the start of the week. I might close it early depending on how the momentum develops, so it’s important to stay flexible and adapt to the market conditions. This trade anticipates a possible range-bound movement before a momentum-driven shift occurs. Given the nature of the setup, it may be a brief trade aimed at capturing the initial momentum of the week. The position might be closed early, depending on how the momentum unfolds. Stay vigilant and be ready to adjust based on market conditions. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
BShort
by AR33_
1