Bitcoinmarkets
Bitcoin Analysis Under 10 minuitesBitcoin is stuck under daily time frame range of 30k and 40 k . there is higher probability for price to manipulate either side of the consolidation range.
i expect price to revisit 31000$ again and price will return up to the range for the further consolidation
#btc #bitcoin
Daily Descending TriableShort Term Outlook: Bearish
Long Term Outlook: Bullish
Things are not looking good for Bitcoin as it continues to fail on breaking out past these resistance levels. Most notably the range from $37.5k - $40k.
Zooming out to the Weekly you can see a bear pennant starting to form up. Now, if the bulls fail to have a sustained breakout then we could expect the price to revisit $30k, with a flush to $28k (Long position liquidation).
On the Weekly timeframe, the 50 ema is currently hovering around $26k. That would be where I set up short with trailing stops.
Also, this is not financial advice.
Bitcoin is at a precarious position....UPDATE!BTCUSD is in a Symmetrical Triangle. But it looks more like a Bear Flag to me. So , price has found itself at the resistance line of the triangle, and we have to wait and see what happens next, right?
Perhaps a FAKEOUT! Maybe a BREAK OUT-BREAK BACK IN move. Followed by the bearish train downtown.
Perhaps.
Let's be patient, have a plan in place, with a backup plan!
Did you notice the Stoch's are showing the market is over extended to the upside?
Price is at a Weekly key level of S&R, as well.
Just sayin'....
Will Bitcoin keep dropping? 😬👇😯Bitcoin along with most crypto has seen the market go bearish of late.
Our script working on the day chart here triggered a sell alert back on the 20th of April.
This was way before the big slump, this alert could of helped many back into cash before the bear market took hold.
For any CFD traders of bitcoin this alert could of helped you closed any buy positions before entering the sell position.
Entry details are shown on the chart for the current sell position.
The big question is will bitcoin continue down and find that take profit target of ours?
Strategy is set here working to a 1:5 RR and risking 1% of capital per trade.
As with every idea I post trade history can be seen below this trade idea too for full transparency.
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Jumping on random trade ideas 'willy-nilly' on Trading View trying to find that one trade that you can retire from is not a sustainable way to trade. You might get lucky, but it will always end one way.
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The stats for this pair are shown below too.
Thank you.
Darren
Bitcoin Moment of Truth! BTC price action keeps melting until the 200EMA previous support & resistance line. Here's the moment where you stay objective and keep trading your plan. When price action moves below the 200EMA I start looking for bearish scenarios. As much as I love crypto and BTC, charts don't lie. On high watch for direction confirmation. Also good opportunity to see what others cryptos & tokens are pulling back but without changing their structure. Let me know if you want me to take a look over some of them, safe trading everyone!
BITCOIN STILL HAS NOT BEEN INTERESTING- BTC is still in the 30000-43000 zone.
- Specifically, BTC is moving in an Symmetrical Triangle pattern.
- That show hesitation, boredom of the market.
- The volume decrease when the triangle narrows, showing the balance between supply and demand, there is no faction leading the market and a break in both directions is possible.
- Current strategy is to wait for a strong break with high volume. To be on the safe side, wait to get out of the 30000-43000 range.
- If breakout from the lower trendline, break through 30000, then the target will be 20000.
- If it breakout from the upper trendline, the target will be 50000
Multiple Patterns On The Hourly BTC/USD chartFor the past few days, it looks like an inverted H&S pattern (highlighted in yellow) has been forming. The length from the head to the neck implies that BTC will ascend toward the mid 40s if it punches through. Zooming out a little further, a descending wedge pattern (highlighted in blue) looks visible. BTC has bounced from the upper line of this wedge five or six times, indicating some obvious resistance. The red line is the previous resistance line from the fierce downtrend last week, which may now act as a level of support, should BTC remain within the blue wedge pattern.
Wyckoff Distribution Explained (BTC Daily)Wyckoff Distribution Explained
What the crypto market just witnessed was a near texbook definition Wyckoff Distribution play. I've explained it below.
Before I begin
Elon Musk did not cause this
China FUD is not new
The fundamentals and milestones that Bitcoin has met these last few months have not changed
Disclaimer: I entered positions in both the BTC and Alt Market. However, keep in mind the Bitcoin Dominance. As it rises, we may see alts lose some satoshi value.
Phases
Phase A: This phase means that the uptrend is slowing down or stopping. As investors who accumulated earlier sell (Distribute) their positions (PSY), an increase in supply hits the retail market. Retail investors, who are late, will buy the recently sold positions (BC). Both events occurring will have the (AR) as the sell-off is bought “Buy the Dip”. Volume at this point is diminishing and we see a retest of the (BC).
Phase B: Phase B is when the market is being set up for the downtrend. Traditionally, institutions and market makers at this point begin distributing (selling) their positions over a period of time to exhaust the buyers. Additionally, they begin entering short positions.
Phase C: Here the market is led into a bull trap with resistance being broken on low volume. Here we can see common patterns such as the “Double Top, Head & Shoulders etc). This is when short positions are loaded.
Phase D: The bears gain volume with small short-lived rallys countering their price action. These are perfect opportunities to enter or add to your short position.
Phase E: This is the downtrend and as long positions are liquidated, the probability of short sellers closing increases and set trailing stops. Climactic action may happen and then we may see a signal of the reverse. Accumulation
Terms
PSY (Preliminary Supply): Market makers start to sell after an upmove
BC (Buying Climax): Retail investors flood in buying up the sold positions due to hype
AR (Automatic Reaction): Momentum has slowed and sets up the low boundary
ST (Secondary Test): Price revisits the area of the BC to test demand.
SOW (Sign of Weakness): Supply is dominant with bear volume increasing as it nears support
LPSY (Last Point of Supply): After testing support, a short rally that breaks up or down is determined by the volume. (A bear flag may appear on the chart patterns).
UTAD (Upthrust after Distribution): Tests new demand after a breakout in resistance. It’s not a required structural element.
$OMG/BTC Easter ResurrectionHigher lows. Plenty of room to go. Alt season. OMG’s turn. And it’s Easter. What more do you want?
How to Catch a Falling Bitcoin KnifeAnother Ultra Long Term chart ( I hate doing short term trades !)
Here is a VERY IMPORTANT quote from Jason Shapiro from the book “Unknown Market Wizards” by Jack Schwager:
" Everyone understands that the market is a discounting mechanism. What people don't understand is that the discounting mechanism is not the price, it is participation. Its not that the price has gone from 50 to 100 and thus the bullish fundamentals are discounted. Its about everyone is long and hence bullish fundamentals are discounted. An example: when amazon stock was about 700-800 everyone said it was ridiculous, calling it a bubble. It was clear though that most people didn't own it else they would not call it a bubble. The stock is now trading above 2300 based solely on participation."
So here is a take on participation (measured using VPVR) over two BTC bull runs (signaled in the chart with a 50-100 MA cross) :
A: Participants who think halving is bullish accumulate thinking (rightly so far) doing so will be a low risk trade.
B: Participants add on to existing positions on bullish confirmation that halving has caused a price rise, long term bears with a functioning pre-frontal cortex jump in.
C: Participants who bought the top in the previous cycle try to get rid of their trauma seeing that price is back at their buy price. Buyers buy their bags. People who are hyper intelligent rationalize that previous top should be the new resistance sell. Too smart they are. The real resistance was Price level B.
D: Participants who think they will buy BTC when it crashes below previous ATH, fomo at these levels after BTC has a near vertical rally, offering no point of entry. Some folks who sold at C buy back again, continuing to rationalize that at least they averted a “potential” bearish scenario.
E: WELCOME NOOBIES
People who do not have the stomach of bearing pain for long term gain, sell at break-even OR at a loss. So two patterns emerge:
1. BUY > price goes down (trauma) > price goes up (hope) > SELL (relief) , OR
2. BUY > price goes up (euphoria) > price goes down (shock) > SELL (relief)
Next bear market bottom: Placing some bids around D and E to catch a falling knife seems to be a good idea. Average in of course coz you never know if price will actually reach D and E. Participants change over time. And as you I show in my display picture: No Pain, No Lambo😊
$REP/BTC Moby Augur Spotted on Monthly ChartThere is now a REPV2 that trades in sync with Rep and can be exchanged for 1:1. V2 is a new version of Augur that will work with bets/forecasting by utilizing a blockchain. Interesting idea, people will always want to gamble, seems to be a decent long target for new bull alt coin cycle. Happy whale hunting.
BITCOIN TESTING THE TRENDLINE - NEXT STOP $76KBitcoin continues to follow the Fibonacci pattern and is now testing the trendline. Price has also stayed within the ascending triangle identified in my last chart analysis.
A break above the trendline clears the path towards $50400 where we may encounter a little resistance, however, a breakthrough at this level clears the way for $76k, our next Fibonacci extension of 1.618