BTC Daily TA Cautiously BullishBTCUSD daily guidance is cautiously bullish. Recommended ratio: 65% BTC, 35% Cash.
*Risk-On markets responded positively to the FOMC Minutes today in which most FOMC participants and staff agreed that a 50bps rate hike in December is appropriate and that the odds of a recession in 2023 are quite low at the moment. New Residential Homes sales for November came in at 632k, up 7.5% from October ; this metric is rather interesting considering that 30-year mortgage rates are currently at ~7%. November's S&P US Manufacturing PMI is 47.2, down from 50.7 in October ; this is a 30-month low and signals weakening demand (which is good in the eyes of the Federal Reserve). The UofM Consumer Sentiment Index for November came in at 56.8, down from 59.9 in October . Meanwhile, Russia continues to bombard Ukraine's power grid with missile attacks in efforts to weaken Ukrainians' resolve throughout the winter ; Moldova's power grid is connected to Ukraine's and they are now suffering too as a result.
Cryptos, Equities, Equity Futures, Metals, HSI, NI225, N100, CNYUSD, GBPUSD, JPYUSD and EURUSD are up. DXY, US Treasuries, VIX, Energy and Agriculture are down.
Key Upcoming Dates: 2nd BEA Estimate of US Q3 GDP at 830am (EST) 11/30; October PCE Index at 830am EST 12/01; Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14. *
Price is currently trending up at $16600 after bouncing off of the uptrend line from March 2017 at ~$15600. Volume finished High (moderate) in yesterday's session and is on track to favor buyers for a third consecutive session if it can close today's session in the green. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $18523, this margin is mildly bullish at the moment. RSI is currently trending up slightly at 41 and is beginning to form a soft peak as it approaches 42.41 resistance. Stochastic remains bullish and is currently trending up at 97 as it approaches max top. MACD has just crossed over bullish in today's session at -868 minor support. ADX is currently trending down slightly at 44 as Price is beginning to trend up, this is neutral at the moment.
If Price is able to continue up then it will likely test the 50MA at ~$18800 as resistance . However, if Price breaks down here, it will have the uptrend line from March 2017 at ~$15800 as support before potentially breaking down and retesting $13477 minor support for the first time since November 2020. Mental Stop Loss: (one close below) $15500.
Bitcoinforecast
Bitcoin Will Hit 25000?Bitcoin MARKET UPDATE
1: Bitcoin support levels - $16,300 and $160,00 strong Support (buyers available).
2: Bitcoin resistance - $16,800 and $17,000 strong resistance (selling area).
Crypto market depends upon Bitcoin movement so we updated you about Bitcoin now trade with risk management.
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Analysis -
BTC Support is at $16,300 and $16,000. Resistance is at $16,800 and $17,000. Trade carefully and manage your risk according to mentioned support and resistance levels. BTC closed its daily candle green at $16,600.
Looking at 1 hour timeframe, BTC is just above 200 EMA resistance and is trying to break $16,600 resistance. Further confirmation is required if 200 EMA is to become support. RSI is at 60 and Stoch RSI suggests an upward move therefore there are higher possibilities of testing $16,800 resistance.
#BTC/USDT Trade Setup 1:5, Target $18,400 !! Welcome to this quick trade setup.
BTC has been under accumulation for the last few weeks.
Every drop has been bought.
A lot of FUD and uncertainty make me more bullish in the short term.
This drop below $16k could end up being a trap.
I opened a long on BTC around $16160 and will add more till $15850 with SL below $15400.
Most of the bad news has been sold.
I could be wrong only if we break the recent low.
Am not saying we can't see more drop in the next few weeks/ months but it's riskier to be out of BTC when it's down 73%.
This trade is based not just on charts but logic and reasoning.
This is not financial advice.
DYOR, My stop loss is for leverage long only.
I have been accumulating BTC since it broke $18k and I am more than happy to buy more.
Currently, I am 75% in BTC and a few alts & 25% FIAT and Stable Coins.
I will be posting more trade setups shortly.
Follow me if you don't yet.
Please hit the like button if you like it and share your views in the comment section.
Thank you
#PEACE
This might changed everything for Bitcoin!I know it's a messy chart but lucky we have to focus on just a few things!
As we just got the message that most FED officials backed slowing the pace of rate hikes we did see a small pump for BTC and a dump for the DXY. For the DXY I would like us to stay under $110 ish.
For Bitcoin we have a few levels to watch closely.
First the key levels to watch if we want to see upwards momentum:
•16.8k
•17.5k
•18.6k
And some key levels for the downside:
•15.8k
•15.5k
•14.8k
The explanation was to hit approximately 14.8k after we did broke the triangle but after the news we have gotten today we can hopefully throw this out of the window.
Trade safe!
BTC/USDT - Bull Trap Or Breakout? 📈📉Looking at the BTC/USDT 1H chart, we've mapped out some key price action.🔥
We can see a clear Bull Trap at the start of November following the FTX induced crypto crash. People thought Bitcoin was on the bounce back...📈
Until it wasn't. We saw a grind down in the days following the 1st relief rally. Which brings us to Bull Trap 2.
This relief move up played out over a bit longer period of time, but Bitcoin failed to breakthrough $17K again. Slowly grinding down the $15-16K.
We're just witnessing what smells & looks like yet another Bull Trap, number 3 in this case.
Is Bitcoin poised to breakout and reclaim $17K and above? Or is this yet another preview of a leg down?🥶
Is this the last relief rally until the serious macro issues or black swan in equities send us straight to goblintown?
We shall see...👀
-TucciNomics
Chief Overlord, AlgoBuddy
Bitcoin 25k ?Bitcoin MARKET UPDATE
1: Bitcoin support levels - $16,300 and $16,000 strong Support (buyers available ).
2: Bitcoin resistance - $16,600 and $17,000 strong resistance (sellers available).
Market depends upon Bitcoin movement so we updated you. Trade with risk management.
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Analysis -
BTC Support is at $16,300 and $16,000. Resistance is at $16,600 and $17,000. Trade carefully and manage your risk between mentioned support and resistance levels. BTC closed its daily candle green at $16,226.
Looking at the 1-hour timeframe, BTC was able to regain $16,300 support with high volume. BTC got resistance from $16,600 which was also 200 EMA resistance. BTC needs a high volume to break this resistance to head towards $17,000.
Total Crypto market cap is at $820 billion, up by 4.6%. BTC dominance is at 38.6%.
3 TradingView indicators for trading EthereumTrading Ethereum can be a completely different experience to trading Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. While most cryptocurrency will typically move in unison, each Cryptocurrency does still have its own fundamental factors unique to its particular ecosystem, which means that they can move at different intensities and sometimes these unique aspects means they won't move in unison at all.
This can be very much true for Ethereum and it can frequently diverge from general market sentiment and forge its own price action path. As such, Ethereum traders might like to pay attention to indicators that were designed to fit this asset class. In this article we explore three such indicators and their use with to trading Ethereum.
Performante's Average Ethereum Volume Indicator
The Performante's Average Ethereum Volume Indicator uses volume flow from the biggest cryptocurrency exchanges, to determine the average trading volume of the asset. The benefit of this indicator is that you now can see a more accurate and all-encompassing idea of the volume of the asset being traded, rather than a volume flowing through one exchange/ broker.
Ethereum Long-Short Ratio
This indicator is important for understanding market sentiment as derived from the number of long traders vs the number of short traders.
Effectively, the higher the ratio (the higher the orange bars) means that long traders out number short traders, the we might have more confidence in the bullish prospect of Ethereum. Conversely, a lower the ratio, or the lowering of the ratio, might indicate the declining bullish prospect of Ethereum.
Correlation Coefficient
After you select this indicator, you will be presented with a popup box for you to choose an asset that you can compare with Ethereum. Your selection here could be banking stocks, tech stocks, Bitcoin, another cryptocurrency, or any other asset that aligns with a theory you have about Ethereum moving in relation to the movement in another asset.
The Correlation Coefficient Indicator is range bound between 1 and –1. If the indicator is switching between the bounds of this range or hugging close to 0, it typically means that the relationship between the assets is not very strong or predictable (as 0 indicates no correlation). What you want to watch out for are assets where the indicator remains close to 1 (as this indicates a high positive correlation) or -1 (as this indicates a high inverse correlation). Either way, a positive or inverse relationship can be used to help determine the movement of Ethereum via this other asset.
Time to Long BTC?CPI results was very positive and bullish to the market!
Still the FTX FUD is on the play, can hit the market yet again strongly, I would not recommend trading in Futures!
Can start to build Long on BTC from here!
Entry : 17173
Stop : 15450
Targets 1 & 2 : 18468 & 19177
Bonus target : 20120
Total no. of Analysis : 19
Successful trades : 12
NPNL : 3
Stop Hit : 3
Lost : 0
In Progress : 1
Safe Trading!! Cheers!!
Bitcoin 1W chartAs other traders have mentioned and given the fact that fundamental news is not doing too well,
Bitcoin might visit hell (12-13k estimation) first before moving up again. Save some funds to buy the dip. (You can DCA your positions)
This is also in line with bitcoin halving too. TA can only say so much at this time.
Remember - do not put your eggs in one basket.
Thanks for stopping by - trade at your own risk.
Additional Info - Inspired by:
twitter.com
Bitcoin Analysis (BTC) - Support levels on the downsideLooks like BTC is on its way down to the key support levels.
Please refer to the chart for the support levels that BTC price might descend to. The key areas are:
1. 14095
2. 12288
3. 10180 (I'm expecting a bounce from this level.)
4. 6825
Another thing to note is that the weekly RSI is already pretty low (30.61) so might see a bounce at around the current price level (15000's) up to the 18000 mark (might be a good level to go short) and then have another wave down in the current channel. If we break the channel (below 15400) we will see the retest of the other support levels pretty quickly.
Trade carefully and research on your own before making any trades. I'm not a financial advisor.
Cheers!
Bitcoin Trading Plan Bitcoin MARKET UPDATE BY
1: Bitcoin support levels - $15600 and $14800 strong Support (buyers position to buy Bitcoin ).
2: Bitcoin resistance - $16,000 and $16,600 strong resistance (sellers available to sell Bitcoin ).
BTC has faced the brunt of many industry leaders or significant platforms going bust this year. From Terra’s implosion to FTX’s bankruptcy, the industry seems shaken from a psychological perspective. As investors, an unbiased look reveals that the macro bottom is just one 20% crash away. This forecast takes a fresh look at significant levels and anticipates other scenarios that may evolve for Bitcoin price.
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Analysis -
BTC Support is at $15,600 and resistance is at $16,000. $15,600 has acted as strong support level once again. Trade carefully and manage your risk according to mentioned support and resistance levels.
BTC closed its daily candle red at $15,781.
Looking at 1 hour timeframe, BTC is getting resistance from 20 EMA as it has been rejected three times as observed from price action since $16,600. High volume is required to break this resistance and regain $16,000 support level again.
$BTCUSDT entry PT 5,099-11,254What is Bitcoin?
Bitcoin is a cryptocurrency. It is a decentralized digital currency that is based on cryptography. As such, it can operate without the need of a central authority like a central bank or a company. It is unlike government-issued or fiat currencies such as US Dollars or Euro in which they are controlled by the country’s central bank. The decentralized nature allows it to operate on a peer-to-peer network whereby users are able to send funds to each other without going through intermediaries.
Bitcoin Crashed Bitcoin MARKET UPDATE
1: Bitcoin support levels - $15500 and $14800 strong Support (buyers position ).
2: Bitcoin resistance - $17200 and $16150 strong resistance (sellers position ).
Crypto trading depends upon Bitcoin movement so trade with risk management.
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Analysis -
As we can see on chart BTC touched 15493.68 and now trades at 15645. Currently BTC dominance is 38.5 and RSI at 25 and the total market cap is 783.90B. And 3.78% Decrease over the last day. So manage your trades according to Market update.
Bitcoin is HOT as the HELL!Hello, everyone!
Last time I told you that the “triangle” which a lot of traders mentioned it their analytics is just the wave 4 which is represented as the ABCDE correction. The end point of the wave E I marked on the chart. The following dump was just the question of the time.
Current dump is the wave 5 and I suppose that the sub wave 3 of this wave have just been finished. I considered this because the price have reached the maximum target for the wave 3 if we take into account waves 1 and 2 structure. 2.61 Fibonacci extension is the maximum target zone.
Now I expect the corrective wave 4 to the $16200. This is the target zone also because of Fibonacci 0.5 level and the wave 4 top of the lower order. I closed my short at $15750 and will re-enter it at $16200. After reaching this target we can expect the wave 5 to $15k and there we can buy Bitcoin on spot for the potential bounce. I will tell you about the targets for this bounce in my next analysis when Bitcoin come to this point.
Best regards, Ivan
GBTC Grayscale Bitcoin Downward SupportI am providing four support areas for Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) in the event that BTC starts to drop significantly.
S4 meets the long term bottom trendline, which has the strongest support. I added in VPVR to show volume clusters.
What are your opinions on this? Comment below, hit the like and follow me. Thank you!
Check out more below for recent Altcoin, Bitcoin and Stock Ideas.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk #bitcoin #altcoins
BTC to $12,000 in January?Hi
I would like to throw this idea out there. I don't doubt that Bitcoin price will go ballistic in the future. But in the foreseeable future this is what I expect to go down.
Price will bounce back up to around 19.5K and then go all the way down to 12K. I had this thought right at the beginning of the bear market but I felt like it is too
far fetched. Now I am more and more convinced it will happen. At least it will be a good buying opportunity.
What do you guys think?
Thank you!
Upwards For Bitcoin. Wow Bitcoin is still within a 6 month long mega pattern.
A new move has been made as expected. Yes I was in a little long but that didn't last long. I was in a perfect position to get in the short at the top with my signals.
I'm keeping a close eye out for the continuation or reversal.
Good luck 👍
BTC/USDT - Are We Actually Headed Lower? 🔮Looking at the Bitcoin Weekly chart, we point out a few key ranges. 📊
The first being the astronomical money-printing fueled pump back in 2021.
This range is the backbone of why most, us included, are so bearish on Bitcoin and crypto in general. At least in the short term (we're bullish on crypto very long term).
Thanks to the FTX circus, we've just recently broken down the May-Nov range that we were crabbing along in. 🦀
We've mapped out where we think we can fall into - $11-15K. Essentially just above the pre-pump resistance level of 2021.
As we type this out though Bitcoin is trying to hold $16K, however the fallout of FTX is likely and already has taken down other huge players in the space. 🥶
Combine that with the current macro situation, and it remains difficult to be bullish over the next 1-3 months.🐻
Ultimately, the fate of Bitcoin dumping to $10K, or ranging where we pointed out around $11-15K is up to the SP500. If equities nuke down, then we're likely headed to goblintown in crypto for quite some time...👺
Let us know your thoughts! Think we're crazy?
-TucciNomics
Chief Overlord, AlgoBuddy
BTC 4H perspectiveHello everyone.
today im going to show you an ending correction pattern i seen in BTC chart.
as you can see in my chart , an excellent Elliot triangle shaping.
with ABC branches and longer C wave.
according to triangle rules maybe this pattern ends with a little triangle too
as i iilustrate in my chart with White color.
after that its important where the price go.
i mean it will breakdown the triangle but the path i show on chart is my guess.
tomorrow we have some important economic indexes in canada and australia that may lead the market
or crash it down in short term
indexes like Australian Balance of Trade
and Canada Retail sales.
forecasts are hopeless but if they come out better its good news.
in addition you see RSI indicator below my chart and it bounce back to its 200MA and become stronger.
and like any time , dont forget to set a good SL to manage your risk.
trdaes without SL are already failed
hope you like this post
please share me your opinion.
please notify me about my mistakes and grow my experience.
thank you all for reading my idea