XAUUSD sell-to-buy setup updateOn our previous analysis on Gold, we were ready to take a sell-to-buy trade meaning we would be selling into an area where we would later want to buy at. Price did push till our area of interest however it did not push enough to trigger our sell positions. However, we are happy to see that price is going into the anticipated direction.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Trading While Tired: How Lack of Sleep Messed Me UpThere was a time in my trading journey when I thought staying up late would make me a better trader. I’d sit at my desk until the early hours, staring at charts and telling myself, “The more I watch, the more I’ll win.” At first, it seemed like it was working. I caught a few decent trades late at night and felt like I was ahead of the game.
But then, it all started to go wrong.
The Day It Hit Me
One morning, after getting just four hours of sleep, I sat down to trade like I always did. But something felt off. I couldn’t focus on the charts—I kept missing obvious patterns. On one trade, I completely forgot to set a stop-loss, and it ended up costing me more than it should have.
By the end of the day, I had made so many mistakes that I didn’t even recognize myself as a trader. I was losing money, and I felt like a mess.
What Lack of Sleep Does
Looking back, I can see how skipping sleep was hurting me. Here’s what I went through:
- I Couldn’t Think Clearly: I felt foggy and couldn’t concentrate on my trading plan.
- I Made Bad Choices: I rushed into trades without thinking them through.
- I Was Moody: Losing trades hit me harder than they should have, and little things made me angry.
- I Drank Too Much Coffee: I thought caffeine would fix my tiredness, but it just made me jittery.
- I Broke My Rules: I was too tired to follow my trading strategy.
How I Fixed It
One day, after another sleepless night and a morning full of mistakes, I decided enough was enough. I told myself I needed to change.
The first step? Making sleep a priority. At first, it was hard to turn off the charts and go to bed. I thought I’d miss out on opportunities, but the truth was the opposite. With proper rest, I became sharper, calmer, and more confident in my trades.
What I Learned
-Sleep is as important as trading skills—you can’t think clearly without it.
-Watching the charts all night doesn’t help if you’re too tired to make good decisions.
-A good night’s sleep leads to smarter, more focused trading.
Are You Trading Tired?
If you’re staying up late and feeling exhausted while trading, it’s time to change that. Trust me, your trades will get better when your brain has the energy to work properly.
If you’re stuck or want to chat about how to balance trading with a healthy lifestyle, send me a DM. I’ve been there, and I’m here to help!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Overtrading: The Fast Track to BurnoutThere was a day in my trading journey that I’ll never forget—and not for a good reason. It started like any normal day. I had my plan, and the first few trades went well. But then, I saw what I thought was another good opportunity. Without thinking it through, I jumped in.
The trade didn’t work out, and I got frustrated. Instead of stepping back, I started trading like crazy, trying to get my money back. One bad trade led to another, and before I knew it, I had made over 30 trades in a single day. Each one was worse than the last. By the end, I had lost thousands of dollars.
Even worse than the money, I felt drained, frustrated, and embarrassed. That’s when I realized: I was overtrading, and it was destroying both my account and my mindset.
What Is Overtrading?
Overtrading is when you make too many trades, often because you’re emotional. Maybe you’re trying to chase every small market move, recover a loss, or just avoid feeling bored. Whatever the reason, you’re not sticking to your plan—you’re just clicking buttons and hoping for the best.
How to Spot Overtrading
Here’s how you can tell if you’re overtrading:
- Too Many Trades: You’re constantly jumping in and out of the market without thinking it through.
- Ignoring Your Rules: You forget your plan and take trades that don’t fit your strategy.
- Trading on Emotions: You’re trading out of frustration, boredom, or desperation.
- Feeling Exhausted: By the end of your session, you’re completely wiped out.
- Losing More Money: Your account keeps shrinking because your trades are rushed and sloppy.
What Overtrading Does to You
Overtrading isn’t just bad for your account—it’s bad for you, too:
- You Lose Money: Bad trades add up fast, and your account takes a hit.
- You Burn Out: Staring at screens all day and trading on emotions will leave you mentally drained.
- You Lose Confidence: Watching your mistakes pile up makes you doubt yourself.
- You Break Discipline: Once you’re out of control, it’s hard to stick to your strategy.
- You Feel Tired and Unhealthy: Long hours and no breaks make your body and mind feel worse.
How I Fixed It
After that awful day, I knew I had to change. I took a break for a few days to clear my head. When I came back, I made some rules for myself:
-Only trade setups that match my plan.
-Set a limit on how many trades I can take in a day.
-Take regular breaks so I don’t burn out.
-Journal every trade so I can spot my mistakes and improve.
It took time, but these small changes helped me stop overtrading and focus on making smarter decisions.
Are You Overtrading?
If this sounds familiar, you’re not alone. Overtrading happens to a lot of traders, but you can fix it with the right approach.
If you’re feeling stuck, frustrated, or burned out, send me a DM. I’m here to help you figure out what’s going wrong and how to turn things around. You don’t have to do it alone!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
EURCAD sell setup updateOn our last analysis on EURCAD we are Bearish for the long haul, we were waiting for price to push up till our area of interest to look for selling opportunities to the downside. Price eventulally reached our area of interest after a long wait and we were able to place sell positions and as we can see price is rallying down with us.
theta usdt Update"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Bitcoin (BTC): Is $83K Just the Start of a Bigger Drop?Bitcoin is showing signs of heading lower, and the next few levels could be make-or-break. Let’s break it down simply so you know what to watch.
What’s Happening Right Now?
The market’s pointing downward, and we’re eyeing FWB:83K –$85K as the first target. If BTC doesn’t hold there, things could get rough.
Where BTC Could Go Next
- FWB:83K –$85K: This is the next stop. If Bitcoin can’t bounce here, the selling could pick up.
-$70K: A deeper drop, and a key support level where buyers might step in.
-$55K: The worst-case scenario for now, but also a spot where we could see some recovery.
The Big Picture
We’re also seeing a head and shoulders pattern, which is a strong clue that prices might keep dropping. Let’s wait and see how the market reacts as we approach FWB:83K –$85K.
What’s the Plan?
-Watch FWB:83K –$85K carefully—it’s the first key level.
-If BTC doesn’t hold, prepare for $70K or even $55K.
-Be patient and trade what you see, not what you hope.
If you liked this breakdown, hit like or follow. Got questions about Bitcoin or another chart? DM me—I’d love to help.
Feeling stressed about trading or struggling with burnout? Let’s chat. I’m here to help you stay focused and balanced so you can trade with confidence. Let’s tackle this together!
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
HOW-TO use the Rainbow Indicator? (full guide)Below is a complete instruction on how to use the Rainbow Indicator along with examples. This indicator is an important facet of my decision-making system because it allows me to answer two important questions:
- At what price should I make a trade with the selected shares?
- In what volume?
Part 1: Darts Set
My concept of investing in stocks is buying great companies during a sell-off . Of course, this idea is not unique. One way or another, this was said by the luminaries of value investing – Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett. However, the implementation of this concept may vary depending on the preferences of each investor.To find great companies, I use the Fundamental strength indicator , and to plan opening and closing positions I use the Rainbow indicator.
To begin your acquaintance with the Rainbow Indicator, I would like to invite you to take part in a mental experiment. Imagine two small rooms for a game of darts. Each room has a different target hanging in it. It can be anywhere: center, left, right, bottom, or top.
Target #1 from the first room looks like a small red circle.
Target #2 from the second room looks like a larger red circle.
You get a reward for hitting the target, calculated according to the following principle: the smaller the target in relation to the wall surface, the greater the reward you get.
You have 100 darts in your hand, that is 100 attempts to hit the target. For each attempt, you pay $10. So to play this unusual game of darts, you take with you $1,000. Now, the most important condition is that you play in absolute darkness . So you don't know exactly what part of the wall the target is hanging in, so all your years of darts practice don't matter here.
The question is: Which room will you choose?
This is where you begin to think. Since your skills and experience are almost completely untapped in this game, all of your attempts to hit a target will be random. This is a useful observation because it allows you to apply the theory of probability. The password is Jacob Bernoulli. This is the mathematician who derived the formula by which you can calculate the probability of a successful outcome for a limited number of attempts.
In our case, a successful outcome is a dart hitting the target as many times as necessary in order to, at least, not lose anything. In the case of Target #1, it is one hit or more. In the case of Target 2, it is 10 hits or more.
The probability of hitting Target #1 is 1/100 or 1% (since the target area occupies 1% of the wall area).
The probability of hitting Target #2 is 10/100 or 10% (since the target area occupies 10% of the wall area).
The number of attempts is equal to the number of darts - 100.
Now we have all the data to calculate.
So, Bernoulli's formula :
According to this formula:
- The probability of one or more hits on Target #1 is 63% (out of 100%).
- The probability of ten or more hits on Target #2 is 55% (out of 100%).
You may say, "I think we should go to the first room". However, take your time with this conclusion because it is interesting to calculate the probability of not hitting the target even once, i.e., losing $1,000.
We calculate using the same formula:
- The probability of not hitting Target #1 is 37% (out of 100%).
- The probability of not hitting Target #2 is 0.0027% (out of 100%).
If we calculate the ratio of the probability of a successful outcome to the probability of losing the whole amount, we get:
- For the first room = 1.7
- For the second room = 20370
You know, I like the second room better.
This mental experiment reflects my approach to investing in stocks. The first room is an example of a strategy where you try to find the perfect entry point - to buy at a price below which the stock will not fall. The second room reflects an approach where you're not chasing a specific price level, but thinking in price ranges. In both cases, you'll have plenty of attempts, but in the first room, the risk of losing everything is much greater than in the second room.
Now let me show you my target, which is a visual interpretation of the Rainbow Indicator.
It also hangs on the wall, in absolute darkness, and only becomes visible after I have used all the darts. Before the game starts, I announce the color where I want to go. The probability of hitting decreases from blue to green, and then to orange and red. That is, the smaller the color area, the less likely it is to successfully hit the selected color. However, the size of the reward also increases according to the same principle - the smaller the area of color, the greater the reward.
Throwing a dart is an attempt to close a position with a profit.
Hitting the selected color is a position closed with a profit.
Missing the selected color means the position is closed at a loss.
Now imagine that in the absolutely dark room where I am, I have a flashlight. Thanks to it, I have the opportunity to see in which part of the wall the target is located. This gives me a significant advantage because now I throw darts not blindly, but with a precise understanding of where I am aiming. Light shining on the wall increases the probability of a successful outcome, which can also be estimated using the Bernoulli formula.
Let's say I have 100 darts in my hands, that is, one hundred attempts to hit the chosen target. The probability of a dart hitting a red target (without the help of a flashlight) is 10%, and with the help of a flashlight, for example, 15%. That is, my ability to throw darts improves the probability of hitting the target by 5%. For hitting the red target, I get $100, and for each throw I pay $10. In this case, the probability of hitting the red target ten or more times is 94.49% (out of 100%) versus 55% (out of 100%) without a flashlight. In other words, under these game conditions and the assumptions made, if I try all 100 darts, the probability of recouping all my expenses will be 94.49% if I aim only at the red target.
In my decision-making system, such a "flashlight" is the Fundamental strength indicator, dynamics of cash flows, the P/E ratio and the absence of critical news. And the darts set (target and darts) is a metaphor for the Rainbow Indicator. However, please note that all probabilities of positive outcomes are assumptions and are provided only for the purpose of example and understanding of the approach I have chosen. Stocks of public companies are not a guaranteed income instrument, nor are any indicators associated with them.
Part 2: Margin of safety
The idea to create the Rainbow Indicator came to me thanks to the concept of "margin of safety" coined by the father of value investing, Benjamin Graham. According to his idea, it is reasonable to buy shares of a company only when the price offered by the market is lower than the "intrinsic value" calculated based on financial statements. The value of this difference is the "margin of safety". At the same time, the indicator does not copy Graham's idea but develops it relying on my own methodology.
So, according to Graham, the "margin of safety" is a good discount to the intrinsic value of the company. That is, if a company's stock is trading at prices that are well below the company's intrinsic value (on a per-share basis), it's a good opportunity to consider buying it. In this case, you will have a certain margin of safety in case the company is in financial distress and its stock price goes down. Accordingly, the greater the discount, the better.
When it comes to the intrinsic value of a company, there are many approaches to determining it - from calculating the Price-to-book value financial ratio to the discounted cash flow method. As for my approach, I don’t try to find the coveted intrinsic value/cost, but I try to understand how fundamentally strong the company in front of me is, and how many years it will take to pay off my investment in it.
To decide to buy shares, I use the following sequence of actions:
- Determining fundamental strength of a company and analysis of cash flows using the Fundamental Strength Indicator.
- Analysis of the recoupment period of investments using P/E ratio .
- Analysis of critical news .
- Analysis of the current price using Rainbow Indicator.
To decide to sell shares, I use:
- Analysis of the current price using Rainbow Indicator.
- Or The Rule of Replacement of Stocks in a Portfolio .
- Or Force majeure Position Closing Rule .
Thus, the Rainbow indicator is always used in tandem with other indicators and analysis methods when buying stocks. However, in the case of selling previously purchased shares, I can only use the Rainbow indicator or one of the rules that I will discuss below. Next, we will consider the methodology for calculating the Rainbow Indicator.
Indicator calculation methodology
The Rainbow indicator starts with a simple moving average of one year (this is the thick red line in the center). Hereinafter, a year will mean the last 252 trading days.
Applying a moving average of this length - is a good way to smooth out sharp price fluctuations which can happen during a year as much as possible, keeping the trend direction as much as possible. Thus, the moving average becomes for me the center of fluctuations of the imaginary pendulum of the market price.
Then the deviations are calculated from the center of fluctuations. To achieve this, a certain number of earnings per share is subtracted from and added to the moving average. This is the diluted EPS of the last year.
Deviations with a "-" sign from the Lower Rainbow of four colors:
- The Blue Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow begins with a deflection of -4 EPS and ends with a deflection of -8 EPS.
- The Green Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow begins with a deflection of -8 EPS and ends with a deflection of -16 EPS.
- The Orange Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow begins with a deflection of -16 EPS and ends with a deflection of -32 EPS.
- The Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow begins with a deflection of -32 EPS and goes to infinity.
The Lower Rainbow is used to determine the price ranges that can be considered for buying stocks. It is in the spectra of the Lower Rainbow that the very "margin of safety" according to my methodology is located. The Lower Rainbow has the boundaries between the spectra as a solid line . And only the Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow has only one boundary.
Deviations with a "+" sign from the Upper Rainbow of four similar colors:
- The Red Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow begins with a deflection of 0 EPS and ends with a deflection of +4 EPS.
- The Orange Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow begins with a deflection of +4 EPS and ends with a deflection of +8 EPS.
- The Green Spectrum top rainbow begins with a deflection of +8 EPS and ends with a deflection of +16 EPS.
- The Blue Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow begins with a deflection of +16 EPS and goes to infinity.
The Upper Rainbow is used to determine the price ranges that can be considered for selling stocks already purchased. The top rainbow has boundaries between the spectra in the form of crosses . And only the Blue Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow has only one boundary.
The presence of the Empty Area (the size of 4 EPS) above the Lower Rainbow creates some asymmetry between the two rainbows - the Lower Rainbow looks wider than the Upper Rainbow. This asymmetry is deliberate because the market tends to fall much faster and deeper than it grows . Therefore, a wider Lower Rainbow is conducive to buying stocks at a good discount during a period of massive "sell-offs".
The situation when the Lower Rainbow is below the center of fluctuations (the thick red line) and the Upper Rainbow is above the center of fluctuations is called an Obverse . It is only possible to buy a stock in an Obverse situation.
The situation when the Lower Rainbow is above the center of fluctuations and the Upper Rainbow is below the center of fluctuations is called Reverse . In this situation, the stock cannot be considered for purchase , according to my approach.
Selling a previously purchased stock is possible in both situations: Reverse and Obverse. After loading the indicator, you can see a hint next to the closing price - Reverse or Obverse now.
Because the size of the deviation from the center of fluctuation depends on the size of the diluted EPS, several important conclusions can be made:
- The increase in the width of both rainbows in the Obverse situation tells me about the growth of profits in the companies.
- The decrease in the width of both rainbows in the Obverse situation tells me about a decrease in profits in the companies.
- The increase in the width of both rainbows in the Reverse situation tells me about the growth of losses in the companies.
- The decrease in the width of both rainbows in the Reverse situation tells me about the decrease in losses in the companies.
- The higher the company's level of profit, the larger my "margin of safety" should be. This will provide the necessary margin of safety in the event of a transition to a cycle of declining financial results. The corresponding width of the Lower Rainbow will just create this "reserve".
- The growth in profit in the company (after buying its shares) will allow me to stay in the position longer due to the expansion of the Upper Rainbow.
- A decrease in profit in the company (after buying its shares) will allow me to close the position faster due to the narrowing of the Upper Rainbow.
So the Rainbow indicator shows me a price range that can be considered for purchase if all the necessary conditions are met. By being in this price range, my investment will have a certain margin of safety or "margin of safety." It will also tell me when to exit a stock position based on the company's earnings analysis.
Part 3: Crazy Mr. Market
The Fundamental strength of a company influences the long-term price performance of its shares. This is a thesis that I believe in and use in my work. A company that does not live in debt and quickly converts its goods or services into money will be appreciated by the market. This all sounds good, you say, but what should an investor do who needs to decide here and now? Moreover, one has to act in conditions of constant changes in market sentiment. Current talk about the company's excellent prospects can be replaced by a pessimistic view of it literally the next day. Therefore, the stock price chart of any companies, regardless of its fundamental strength, can resemble the chaotic drawings of preschool children.
Working with such uncertainty required me to develop my own attitude towards it. Benjamin Graham's idea of market madness was of invaluable help to me in this. Imagine that the market is your business partner, "Mr. Market". Every day, he comes to your office to check in and offer you a deal with shares of your mutual companies. Sometimes he wants to buy your share, sometimes he intends to sell his. And each time he offers a price at random, relying only on his intuition. When he is in a panic and afraid of everything, he wants to get rid of his shares. When he feels euphoria and blind faith in the future, he wants to buy your share. This is how crazy your partner is.
Why is he acting like this? According to Graham, this is how all investors behave who do not understand the real value/cost of what they own. They jump from side to side and do it with the regularity of a "maniac" every day. The smart investor's job is to understand the fundamental value of your business and just wait for the next visit from crazy Mr. Market. If he panics and offers to buy his stocks at a surprisingly low price, take them and wish him luck. If he begs you to sell him stocks and quotes an unusually high price, sell them and wish him luck. The Rainbow indicator is used to evaluate these two poles.
Now let's look at the conditions of opening and closing a position according to the indicator.
So, the Lower Rainbow has four differently colored spectra: blue, green, orange, and red. Each one highlights the desired range of prices acceptable for buying in an Obverse situation. The Blue Spectrum is upper regarding the Green Spectrum, and the Green Spectrum is lower regarding the Blue Spectrum, etc.
- If the current price is in the Blue Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow, that is a reason to consider that company for buying the first portion (*) of the stock.
- If the current price has fallen below (into the Green Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow), that is a reason to consider this company to buy a second portion of the stock.
- If the current price has fallen below (into the Orange Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow), it is a reason to consider this company to buy a third portion of the stock.
- If the current price has fallen below (into the Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow), that is a reason to consider that company to buy a fourth portion of the stock.
(*) The logic of the Rainbow Indicator implies that no more than 4 portions of one company's stock can be purchased. One portion refers to the number of shares you can consider buying at the current price (depending on your account size and personal diversification ratio - see information below).
The Upper Rainbow also has four differently colored spectra: blue, green, orange, and red. Each of them highlights the appropriate range of prices acceptable for closing an open position.
- If the current price is in the Red Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, I close one portion of an open position bought in the Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow.
- If the current price is in the Orange Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, I close one portion of an open position bought in the Orange Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow.
- If the current price is in the Green Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, I close one portion of an open position bought in the Green Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow.
- If the current price is in the Blue Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, I close one portion of an open position bought in the Blue Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow.
This position-closing logic applies to both the Obverse and Reverse situations. In both cases, the position is closed in portions in four steps. However, there are 3 exceptions to this rule when it is possible to close an entire position in whole rather than in parts:
1. If there is a Reverse situation and the current price is above the thick red line.
2.if I decide to invest in another company and I do not have enough free finances to purchase the required number of shares (Portfolio Replacement Rule).
3. If I learn of events that pose a real threat to the continued existence of the companies (for example, filing for bankruptcy), I can close the position earlier, without waiting for the price to fall into the corresponding Upper Rainbow spectrum (Force majeure Position Closing Rule).
So, the basic scenario of opening and closing a position assumes the gradual purchase of shares in 4 stages and their gradual sale in 4 stages. However, there is a situation where one of the stages is skipped in the case of buying shares and in the case of selling them. For example, because the Fundamental Strength Indicator and the P/E ratio became acceptable for me only at a certain stage (spectrum) or the moment was missed for a transaction due to technical reasons. In such cases, I buy or sell more than one portion of a stock in the spectrum I am in. The number of additional portions will depend on the number of missed spectra.
For example, if I have no position in the stock of the company in question, all conditions for buying the stock have been met, and the current price is in the Orange Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow, I can buy three portions of the stock at once (for the Blue, Green, and Orange Spectrum). I will sell these three portions in the corresponding Upper Rainbow spectra (orange, green, and blue). However, if, for some reason, the Orange Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow was missed, and the current price is in the Green Spectrum - I will sell two portions of the three (in the Green Spectrum). I will sell the last, third portion only when the price reaches the Blue Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow.
The table also contains additional information in the form of the current value of the company's market capitalization and P/E ratio. This allows me to use these two indicators within one indicator.
Returning to the madness of the market, I would like to mention that this is a reality that cannot be fought, but can be used to achieve results. To get a sense of this, I will give an example of one of the stereotypes of an investor who uses fundamental analysis in his work.His thinking might be: If I valued a company on its financial performance and bought it, then I should stay in the position long enough to justify my expenses of analysis. In this way, the investor deliberately deprives himself of flexibility in decision-making. He will be completely at a loss if the financial performance starts to deteriorate rapidly and the stock price starts to decline rapidly. It is surprising that the same condition will occur in the case of a rapid upward price movement. The investor will torment himself with the question "what to do?" because I just bought stocks of this company, expecting to hold them for the long term. It is at moments like these that I'm aware of the value of the Rainbow Indicator. If it is not a force majeure or a Reverse situation, I just wait until the price reaches the Upper Rainbow. Thus, I can close the position in a year, in a month or in a few weeks. I don't have a goal to hold an open position for a long time, but I do have a goal to constantly adhere to the chosen investment strategy.
Part 4: Diversification Ratio
If the price is in the Lower Rainbow range and all other criteria are met, it is a good time to ask yourself, "How many shares to buy?" To answer this question, I need to understand how many companies I plan to invest in. Here I adhere to the principle of diversification - that is, distributing investments between the shares of several companies. What is this for? To reduce the impact of any company on the portfolio as a whole. Remember the old saying: don't put all your eggs in one basket. Like baskets, stocks can fall and companies can file for bankruptcy and leave the exchange. In this regard, diversification is a way to avoid losing capital due to investing in only one company.
How do I determine the minimum number of companies for a portfolio? This amount depends on my attitude towards the capital that I will use to invest in stocks. If I accept the risk of losing 100% of my capital, then I can only invest in one company. It can be said that in this case there is no diversification. If I accept the risk of losing 50% of my capital, then I should invest in at least two companies, and so on. I just divide 100% by the percentage of capital that I can safely lose. The resulting number, rounded to the nearest whole number, is the minimum number of companies for my portfolio.
As for the maximum value, it is also easy to determine. To achieve this, you need to multiply the minimum number of companies by four (this is how many spectra the Lower or Upper Rainbow of the indicator contains). How many companies I end up with in my portfolio will depend on from this set of factors. However, this amount will always fluctuate between the minimum and maximum, calculated according to the principle described above.
I call the maximum possible number of companies in a portfolio the diversification coefficient. It is this coefficient that is involved in calculating the number of shares needed to be purchased in a particular spectrum of the Lower Rainbow. How does this work? Let's go to the indicator settings and fill in the necessary fields for the calculation.
+ Cash in - Cash out +/- Closed Profit/Loss + Dividends - Fees - Taxes
+Cash in - the number of finances deposited into my account
-Cash out - the number of finances withdrawn from my account
+/-Closed Profit/Loss - profit or loss on closed positions
+Dividends - dividends received on the account
-Fees - broker and exchange commission
-Taxes - taxes debited from the account
Diversification coefficient
The diversification coefficient determines how diversified I want my portfolio to be. For example, a diversification coefficient of 20 means that I plan to buy 20 share portions of different companies, but no more than 4 portions per company (based on the number of Lower Rainbow spectra).
The cost of purchased shares of this company (fees excluded)
Here, I specify the amount of already purchased shares of the company in question in the currency of my portfolio. For example, if at this point, I have purchased 1000 shares at $300 per share, and my portfolio is expressed in $, I enter - $300,000.
The cost of all purchased shares in the portfolio (fees excluded)
Here, I enter the amount of all purchased shares for all companies in the currency of my portfolio (without commissions spent on the purchase). This is necessary to determine the amount of available funds available to purchase shares.
After entering all the necessary data, I move on to the checkbox, by checking which I confirm that the company in question has successfully passed all preliminary stages of analysis (Fundamental strength indicator, P/E ratio, critical news). Without the check, the calculation is not performed. This is done intentionally because the use of the Rainbow Indicator for the purpose of purchasing shares is possible only after passing all the preliminary stages. Next, I click "Ok" and get the calculation in the form of a table on the left.
Market Capitalization
The value of a company's market capitalization, expressed in the currency of its stock price.
Price / EPS Diluted
Current value of the P/E ratio.
Free cash in portfolio
This is the amount of free cash available to purchase stocks. Please note that the price of the stock and the funds in your portfolio must be denominated in the same currency. On TradingView, you can choose which currency to display the stock price in.
Cash amount for one portion
The amount of cash needed to buy one portion of a stock. This depends on the diversification ratio entered. If you divide this value + Cash in - Cash out +/- Closed Profit/Loss + Dividends - Fees - Taxes by the diversification coefficient, you get Cash amount for one portion .
Potential portions amount
Number of portions, available for purchase at the current price. It can be a fractional number.
Cash amount to buy
The amount of cash needed to buy portions available for purchase at the current price.
Shares amount to buy
Number of shares in portions available for purchase at the current price.
Thus, the diversification ratio is a significant parameter of my stocks' investment strategy. It shows both the limit on the number of companies and the limit on the number of portions for the portfolio. It also participates in calculating the number of finances and shares to purchase at the current price level.
Changing the diversification coefficient is possible already during the process of investing in stocks. If my capital ( + Cash in - Cash out +/- Closed Profit/Loss + Dividends - Fees - Taxes ) has changed significantly (by more than Cash amount for one portion ), I always ask myself the same question: "What risk (as a percentage of capital) is acceptable for me now?" If the answer involves a change in the minimum number of companies in the portfolio, then the diversification ratio will also be recalculated. Therefore, the number of finances needed to purchase one portion will also change. We can say that the diversification ratio controls the distribution of finances among my investments.
Part 5: Prioritization and Exceptions to the Rainbow Indicator Rules
When analyzing a company and its stock price using the Fundamental Strength Indicator and the Rainbow Indicator, a situation may arise where all the conditions for buying are met in two or more companies. At the same time, Free cash in the portfolio does not allow me to purchase the required number of portions from different companies. In that case, I need to decide which companies I will give priority to.
To decide, I follow the following rules:
1. Priority is given to companies from the top-tier sector group (how these groups are defined is explained in this article ). That is, the first group prevails over the second, and the second over the third. These companies must also meet the purchase criteria described in Part 2.
2. If after applying the first rule, two or more companies have received priority, I look at the value of the Fundamental Strength Indicator. Priority is given to companies that have a fundamental strength of 8 points or higher. They must also be within two points of the leader in terms of fundamental strength. For example, if a leader has a fundamental strength of 12 points, then the range under consideration will be from 12 to 10 points.
3. If, after applying the second rule, two or more companies received priority, I look at which spectrum of the Lower Rainbow the current price of these companies is in. If a company's stock price is on the lower end of the spectrum, I give it priority.
4. If, after applying the third rule, two or more companies have received priority, I look at the P/E ratio. The Company with the lower P/E ratio gets priority.
After applying these four rules, I get the company with the highest priority. This is the company that wins the fight for my investment. To figure out the next priority to buy, I repeat this process over and over again to use up all the money I have allocated for investing in stocks.
The second part of the guide mentioned two rules that I use when deciding whether to close positions:
- The Rule for replacing shares in a portfolio.
- Force majeure position closure Rule.
They take priority over the Rainbow Indicator. This means that the position may be closed even if the Rainbow indicator does not signal this. Let's consider each rule separately.
Portfolio stock replacement Rule
Since company stocks are not an asset with a guaranteed return, I can get into a situation where the position is open for a long time without an acceptable financial result. That is, the price of the company's shares is not growing, and the Rainbow indicator does not signal the need to sell shares. In this case, I can replace the problematic companies with a new one. The criteria for a problem company are:
- 3 months have passed since the position was opened.
- Fundamental strength below 5 points.
- The width of both rainbows decreased during the period of holding the position.
To identify a new company that will take the place of the problematic one, I use the prioritization principle from this section. At the same time, I always consider this possibility as an option. The thing is that frequently replacing stocks in my portfolio is not a priority for me and is seen as a negative action. A new company would have to have really outstanding parameters for me to take advantage of this option.
Force majeure position closure Rule
If my portfolio contains stocks of a company that has critical news, then I can close the position without using the Rainbow Indicator. How to determine whether this news is critical or not is described in this article .
Part 6: Examples of using the indicator
Let’s consider the situation with NVIDIA Corporation stock (ticker - NVDA).
September 02, 2022:
Fundamental Strength Indicator - 11.46 (fundamentally strong company).
P/E - 39.58 (acceptable to me).
Current price - $136.47 (is in the Orange Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow).
Situation - Obverse.
There is no critical news for the company.
The basic conditions for buying this company's stock are met. The Rainbow Indicator settings are filled out as follows:
The table to the left of the Rainbow Indicator shows how many shares are possible to buy in the Orange Spectrum of Lower Rainbow at the current price = 10 shares. This corresponds to 2.73 portions.
To give you an example, I buy 10 shares of NVDA at $136.47 per share.
October 14, 2022:
NVDA's stock price has moved into the Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow.
The Fundamental Strength Indicator is 10.81 (fundamentally strong company).
P/E is 35.80 (an acceptable level for me).
Current price - $112.27 (is in the Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow).
Situation - Obverse.
There is no critical news for the company.
The basic conditions for buying this company's stock are still met. The Rainbow Indicator settings are populated as follows:
The table to the left of the Rainbow Indicator shows how many shares are possible to buy in the Lower Rainbow Red Spectrum at the current price (5 shares). This corresponds to 1.12 portions.
To give you an example, I buy 5 shares of NVDA at $112.27 per share. A total of 3.85 portions were purchased, which is the maximum possible number of portions at the current price level. The remainder in the form of 0.15 portions can be purchased only at a price level below $75 per share.
January 23, 2023:
The price of NVDA stock passes through the Red Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow and stops in the Orange Spectrum. As an example, I sell 5 shares bought in the Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow, for example at $180 per share (+60%). And also a third of the shares bought in the Orange Spectrum, 3 shares out of 10, for example at $190 a share (+39%). That leaves me with 7 shares.
January 27, 2023:
NVDA's stock price has continued to rise and has moved into the Green Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow. This is a reason to close some of the remaining 7 shares. I divide the 7 shares by 2 and round up to a whole number - that's 4 shares. For my example, I sell 4 shares at $199 a share (+46%). Now I am left with 3 shares of stock.
February 02, 2023:
The price of NVDA stock moves into the Blue Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, and I close the remaining 3 shares, for example, at $216 per share (+58%). The entire position in NVDA stock is closed.
As you can see, the Fundamental Strength Indicator and the P/E ratio were not used in the process of closing the position. Decisions were made only based on the Rainbow Indicator.
As another example, let's look at the situation with the shares of Papa Johns International, Inc. (ticker PZZA).
November 01, 2017:
Fundamental Strength Indicator - 13.22 points (fundamentally strong company).
P/E - 21.64 (acceptable to me).
Current price - $62.26 (is in the Blue Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow).
Situation - Obverse.
There is no critical news for the company.
The basic conditions for buying shares of this company are met. The settings of the Rainbow Indicator are filled as follows:
The table to the left of the Rainbow Indicator shows how many shares are possible to buy in the Lower Rainbow Blue Spectrum at the current price - 8 shares. This corresponds to 1 portion.
To give you an example, I buy 8 shares of PZZA at a price of $62.26.
August 8, 2018:
PZZA's share price has moved into the Green Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow.
The Fundamental Strength Indicator is a 9.83 (fundamentally strong company).
P/E is 16.07 (an acceptable level for me).
Current price - $38.94 (is in the Green Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow).
Situation - Obverse.
There is no critical news for the company.
The basic conditions for buying shares of this company are still met. The Rainbow Indicator settings are populated as follows:
The table to the left of the Rainbow Indicator shows how many shares are possible to buy in the Lower Rainbow Green Spectrum at the current price - 12 shares. This corresponds to 0.93 portions.
To give you an example, I buy 12 shares of PZZA at a price of $38.94. A total of 1.93 portions were purchased.
October 31, 2018:
PZZA's stock price moves into the Upper Rainbow Red Spectrum and is $54.54 per share. Since I did not have any portions purchased in the Lower Rainbow Red Spectrum, there is no closing part of the position.
February 01, 2019:
After a significant decline, PZZA's stock price moves into the Orange Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow at $38.51 per share. However, I am not taking any action because the company's Fundamental Strength on this day is 5.02 (a fundamentally mediocre company).
March 27, 2019:
PZZA's stock price passes the green and Blue Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow. This allowed to close the previously purchased 12 shares, for example, at $50 a share (+28%) and 8 shares at $50.38 a share (-19%).
Closing the entire position at once was facilitated by a significant narrowing in both rainbows. As we now know, this indicates a decline in earnings at the company.
In conclusion of this instruction, I would like to remind you once again that any investment is associated with risk. Therefore, make sure that you understand all the nuances of the indicators before using them.
Mandatory requirements for using the indicator:
- Works only on a daily timeframe.
- The indicator is only applicable to shares of public companies.
- Quarterly income statements for the last year are required.
- An acceptable for your P/E ratio is required to consider the company's stock for purchase.
- The Rainbow Indicator only applies in tandem with the Fundamental Strength Indicator. To consider a company's stock for purchase, you need confirmation that the company is fundamentally strong.
What is the value of the Rainbow Indicator?
- Clearly demonstrates a company's profit and loss dynamics.
- Shows the price ranges that can be used to open and close a position.
- Considers the principle of gradual increase and decrease in a position.
- Allows calculating the number of shares to be purchased.
- Shows the current value of the P/E ratio.
- Shows the current capitalization of the company.
Risk disclaimer
When working with the Rainbow Indicator, keep in mind that the release of the Income statement (from which diluted EPS is derived) occurs some time after the end of the fiscal quarter. This means that the new relevant data for the calculation will only appear after the publication of the new statement. In this regard, there may be a significant change in the Rainbow Indicator after the publication of the new statement. The magnitude of this change will depend on both the content of the new statement and the number of days between the end of the financial quarter and the publication date of the statement. Before the publication date of the new statement, the latest actual data will be used for the calculations. Also, once again, please note that the Rainbow Indicator can only be used in tandem with the Fundamental Strength Indicator and the P/E ratio. Without these additional filters, the Rainbow Indicator loses its intended meaning.
The Rainbow Indicator allows you to determine the price ranges for opening and closing a position gradually, based on available data and the methodology I created. You can also use it to calculate the number of shares you can consider buying, considering the position you already have. However, this Indicator and/or its description and examples cannot be used as the sole reason for buying or selling stocks or for any other action or inaction related to stocks.
BTCUSDLooks as if Price is in the midst of a Weekly Retracement, we can see Price trade down to the 64k - 75k range before encountering a Bullish expansion/continuation. Get ready to capitalize on this Bearish Price Action.
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
#PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
DJT: Will It Break $33.85 or $38.55 First? DJT is at a tipping point, and it could go either way. Here’s what to watch so you’re ready for the next big move.
1) If DJT Drops Below $33.85
If this level breaks, things could get rough. Here’s what might happen:
-$28–$26: This is the first stop where the price might chill for a bit.
-$10: If the selling gets heavy, this is where we could end up.
2) If DJT Pops Above $38.55
If the bulls take charge, it could be time to ride the wave higher:
A break above $38.55 could spark a nice rally and push the price upward.
What’s the Plan?
-Keep an eye on $33.85 and $38.55—they’re the magic numbers.
-Be patient and wait for a clear move before jumping in.
If this makes sense, toss me a like or follow. Got questions about DJT or another stock you’re stuck on? Hit me up in the DMs—I’m here to help.
And hey, if you’re feeling burned out or stressed about trading, let’s talk. I’m all about helping you find your balance and keeping things sustainable. Chill, stay focused, and let’s catch the next wave together!
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Trade Idea 2024-12-30 and Review of 2024As the year comes to a close, we expect it to be a quiet week. If you haven’t already, now is an excellent time to set your trading goals for the coming year. Where will your focus be? Which markets will you trade actively? What is your risk management plan?
It is also a good time to complete a review for 2024 if you have not already! Keeping a trading journal is essential for tracking progress and learning from your mistakes.
Active trading, like other high-performance activities, requires resilience, focus, and a winning mindset, but even with these attributes, losses are a natural part of the process. Always trade with a clear plan, manage your risks effectively, and never trade with more capital than you can afford to lose.
As we wrap up the year, we are sharing a couple of the most popular charts we reviewed in 2024 and reflecting on the following questions we asked ourselves:
What has the market done?
What is it trying to do?
How good of a job is it doing?
What is likely to happen from here?
Volume profile provides key insights into market auction and interaction of buyers and sellers.
This is how we approach markets although there are many other ways of doing so.
Big Picture ES Futures:
Key Levels:
2024 mid point: 5574.50
2024 VPOC: 5441.75
2024 Value Area High: 5844.25
2024 High: 6184.50
Fib Extensions Target 1: 6388
Fib Extension Target 2: 6514.25
Fib Extension Target 3: 6590.75
Fib Extension Target 4: 6695.50
Big Picture BTC Futures:
Key Levels:
2024 High: 108,960
2024 Mid point: 77,865
2024 VPOC: 69,710
2024 Value Area High: 79,525
Key Support for Bulls: 78,000 - 76,000
Big Picture CL Futures:
Key Levels:
Composite Value Area High: 79.65
2024 Value Area High: 74.90
2024 Mid point: 72.14
2024 VPOC: 69.70
2024 Value Area Low: 66.70
Composite Value Area Low: 63.55
We await the start of the new year to further gauge short term price action, volume and ranges for the upcoming year! Happy trading from EdgeClear! We wish you all a great 2025!
Disclaimer: The views expressed are opinions and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Derivatives involve a substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors.
Nifty Index about to witness Quarterly Bearish Engulfing4 and a half years from April 2020, it has been a euphoric ride for India's Nifty and Sensex.
If prices remain more or less unchanged by New Year's Eve, we're about to witness a once in 5 year event on the charts. A "quarterly bearish engulfing" at all time highs. In simpler terms, quarterly prices closing below the lowest price of previous quarter.
What has happened in the past when this happened?
This happened last in 2020 (the deep red pandemic candle) - where 15 quarters or nearly 4 years of gain was wiped out in a single quarter.
Before that, it happened in 2015 - where it took 3 quarters to wipe out 4 quarters or 1 year worth of gain. (Indicating more of a systemic sell-off, than a knee-jerk news based panic. Something similar is happening now, after a long long time.)
2015, then 2020, and now 2024-25. For those who understand time cycles in nature and its inevitable influence on our nature, and thus the markets, you'd appreciate this is no co-incidence.
There is no reason to panic, as this, just like any other event, presents an opportunity to grow wealth.
Before you read further, I intend to keep this idea beginner friendly on how to potentially benefit from this opportunity. It can form a base for you to navigate your personal finance journey further. Intermediate and advanced traders/investors may benefit from my other (future) posts. Kindly note that this published note is only my opinion, solely for educational purposes, and not investment advice.
Through the remainder of this piece, I will waltz you through the most probable outcomes and the possible decisions one may take, all assuming that you're relatively new to witnessing a systematic sell-offs.
Understanding the logic of a bearish engulfing pattern:
First - What a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern on a quarterly time frame means is that
for 1 whole quarter, there was a net gain (July-Sept2024 = +7.5%) and the lowest price was 23893.7; whilst immediately for next 1 whole quarter (Oct- 30Dec2024 = -8.49%) we can see a net loss. Not only do we see a net loss, but also most importantly, we see quarter price "closing" lower than the "lowest" price of previous quarter . This is powerful information as it indicates that buyers have "failed to remain in strength" even at the lowest price of the previous quarter (Understand that the lowest price of previous quarter is where the buyers were the most powerful in that quarter, that is why it was the "lowest" price of that quarter because the price went up from there). For reference, see the feature image of this post again.
What does this mean for the next few weeks/months/quarters: (The most probably outcomes)
1) Normally, a bearish engulfing pattern at the top of the charts indicates end of an existing up-trend. When this happens in a higher time frame (weekly/monthly/quarterly), it is more reliable.
2) End of an existing up-trend indicates beginning of a new opposite trend. An opposite trend can either be sideways or downside. This depends on further reaction from market forces in the coming days. We can see that after the pandemic quarterly crash, we had no opposite trend, in fact, there was an immediate rebound. This was an exception as pandemic market crash was a 1 time panic-led sell-off rather than a systemic sell off (which is more sustainable time-wise).
3) We are highly likely in a systemic sell off now, if this quarter's low is taken out in January. This is the highest likely scenario after a 4.5 years of euphoric uptrend in the market.
How to benefit in the following weeks/months:
The simplest way with minimal to moderate time investment, is to begin SIP in fundamentally strong "value" stocks, or the index itself, or both - in a "pyramid" fashion.
Once you select the stocks, pyramiding your investment amount - that is, starting small at current levels and scaling up your investment as you get better prices when Nifty (or your cherry picked stocks) fall further.
A simple way to apply it is to buy whenever price is near the Moving Averages (MA) of 55 weeks, 89 weeks and 233 weeks - as the index continues in a down trend in the following weeks/months. You can plot these on Tradingview with ease. Remember to plot on weekly time frame. Buy lower multiples at 55 MA, higher at 89 MA and even higher at 233 MA.
This is a simple, more optimised way of buying the index fund which can help you get higher ROI as compared to someone making SIP on a fixed date every month. This is because your average buy price will be lower than someone buying the same quantity at random prices every month.
Yet another way is to learn the skill of selling index call options by hedging them. Even though this is a slightly advance way of generating extra income, it is great to learn in downtrending markets - as you will be able to generate profits from a decline in the price of index (remember it is a lot more difficult to generate profits from individual stocks and investments in a broader down-trending market). A realistic expectation for beginners can be making 1-3% a month with this technique (average annualised) - thus helping offset the loss in the existing stocks/MF portfolio.
If this sounds difficult, yet another way is assessing the hygiene of your portfolio and rejig the holdings if needed. Without proper knowledge, it is best to let a qualified financial advisor/expert review your holdings/portfolio and see if they want to re-shuffle the portfolio. This could even mean reducing exposure to equity for a period of 1 year, and increase exposure to debt funds or other fixed income avenues, or simply sitting on some % cash to buy at a later, better value. Whilst this sounds too much work, remember that a mere 4-5% extra gain for the entire year, every year, compounds to a large number over the years. So entrusting a reliable financial advisor to do this could be worth your time and resources. Now is a good time to do that.
Disclaimer:
This is my personal opinion and is only for educational purposes. Please consult your financial advisor before making any decision. Stock Market investments are subject to market risk. Past performances are no guarantee of future returns.
This content above is solely for educational purposes only and to provide information and is not intended to give any advice. Information shared is personal opinions only. Wherever any stock or mutual fund name is mentioned, this is only for educational and informational purposes. Share market and investment can be risky, please take professional advice before making any decision.
NVIDIA (NVDA): Will $142 or $133.92 Break First?Morning Trading Family
NVIDIA is sitting at a key point, and what happens next could lead to a big move. Let’s break it down in simple terms so it’s easy to follow.
If NVDA Breaks Above $142
Things could get exciting for the bulls. Here’s what to expect:
Breaking above $142 could kick off a solid bull run.
We’d likely see momentum push the price higher from there.
If NVDA Breaks Below $133.92
The bears might take over, and these levels could show up next:
$129: The first stop where some buyers might try to step in.
$114: A bigger drop, which would be an important level to watch for support.
Here’s the Plan
-Watch $142 and $133.92—these are the key levels.
-Be ready for a breakout or breakdown, but only trade when it’s confirmed.
-Always manage your risk. Use stop-losses and don’t risk more than you’re comfortable losing.
If you enjoyed this breakdown, give it a like or follow. Have questions about NVIDIA or any other chart? Send me a DM, and I’ll help you out.
Feeling stressed or burned out from trading? You’re not alone. Let’s chat about ways to build a balanced trading mindset that helps you stay in the game for the long term. You’ve got this!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Tesla’s Next Move: $425 or $420 – Which Way Will It Break?Morning Trading Tesla is gearing up for a big move, and all eyes are on $425 and $420. These levels are the key to figuring out where the stock is headed next. Let’s break it down so it’s easy to follow.
If Tesla Breaks Above $425
This is where the bulls could take control. Here’s what to watch:
$439: First stop. If we clear this, it’s a sign of strength.
Above $439: Things could really heat up. Long trades make sense here as Tesla could climb higher.
If Tesla Breaks Below $420
The bears might step in, and we’ll be looking for lower levels. Watch these zones:
$417: The first area where buyers might show up.
$402: A deeper pullback, but still within range for a bounce.
$394: A critical level—if this breaks, we could see more selling.
$374: The big one. If it gets this low, it’ll be a major area of interest.
Here’s the Game Plan
Keep it simple: Watch $425 and $420. If one of these breaks, it’ll give us a clear direction. Don’t forget to plan your trades, set stop-losses, and stick to your strategy.
If you enjoyed this breakdown, give it a follow or a like. Got questions about Tesla, other charts, or feeling stuck with trading? Send me a DM—I’d love to help!
Struggling with burnout, trading stress, or figuring out how to stay consistent as a trader? Reach out. I’m here to help you stay balanced and build a sustainable trading mindset.
Kirs/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Still looking to short EURJPYI had the same idea last week, but the bullish move continued. My trade therefore did not trigger and I abandoned the idea. Price is now being held below the 200dma. Exercising the same caution due to low liquidity holiday period, I an looking for a short on the following basis:
Risk - 50% of your normal.
Entry - below the low of Fri candle (& below the resistance at 164.50).
Stop - above the recent high.
Target - above the next support at 155.80
If the stop gets hit before I get an entry, I will cancel the order.
This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. If you decide to trade this, you should be aware that trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Please use sound money and risk management, trading without a stop or moving the stop away from price is a recipe for disaster.
If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more.
Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
EURCAD - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower.
But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and it this case we can notice sign of weakness, so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower.
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
EUR/USD - Short Trade Success: TP1 Hit with PrecisionOur short trade was successfully triggered in the resistance zone between 1.0450 and 1.0460. As anticipated, the price reacted strongly to this key level, which aligned with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and retail stop-loss clusters. TP1 was hit quickly, validating the strategy and highlighting the effectiveness of combining technical levels with sentiment analysis. The trade remains active, targeting TP2 and TP3 for further profits.
Nifty price action analysis for 31-Dec-2024 (15 min timeframe)This chart shows the important price action regions based on swing levels, volumes and price level. These price action regions have huge potential for traders activity thus it may led to the price reversal from these regions otherwise price rally towards next region after breakout.
EURUSD next target zones and why..all N.B Technical As the year ends EU proceeded to taking out year 23 buyers stop losses at 1.04431 which led way for early buyers to come in with their stop losses right under 1.03328 which is our first target zone as the market engages the early buyers.
1.02236 is Our next target zone For a Long Position as the market will engage sellers before the actual Long position..
N.B
I'll clarify the short before the actual Long we are Looking for as the market proceed in the new year..
Long positions are favored for SPY next week as bullish momentum
- Key Insights: SPY has exhibited strong bullish trends recently, supported by
positive economic indicators and robust corporate earnings reports. Market
sentiment remains optimistic, buoyed by strong consumer spending and
favorable employment data, suggesting resilience in the economy.
- Price Targets:
Next week targets:
T1 = 610.00
T2 = 620.00
Stop levels:
S1 = 588.00
S2 = 580.00
- Recent Performance: SPY has shown a notable upward trend over the past month,
rising approximately 7% amidst positive market sentiments. Volatility has
decreased, indicating a potential stabilization in price, as investors
respond favorably to earnings season and macroeconomic data.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts maintain a predominantly bullish outlook on SPY,
citing strong support levels and increasing institutional investment. Many
experts highlight that this upward trend is likely to continue as market
fundamentals remain solid, with ongoing interest in technology and
healthcare sectors.
- News Impact: Recent headlines around potentially favorable Federal Reserve
policies and infrastructure spending are contributing to positive sentiment
toward SPY. Additionally, ongoing global trade developments are closely
watched, as any favorable resolution could further bolster SPY's performance
in the coming weeks.