Get started

Beyond Technical Analysis

Starbucks: A Bearish OutlookStarbucks: A Bearish Outlook Starbucks completed a five-wave pattern at 103, with the price moving down clearly. A large Rising Wedge pattern represents the fifth wave of the movement that began on May 2024 and finished at the end of November 2024 Currently, the price has broken through the support line of the pattern, indicating further decline. After any small correction, we should see SBUX moving down to 88 and 82.5. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
NASDAQ:SBUXShort
by KlejdiCuni
1
Polkadot DOT’s $8.442 Standoff: Bounce or Breakdown?DOT is hovering around a key support zone, at $8.442. 1. A quick dip and bounce back from $8.442 might hint that the bulls aren’t ready to give up just yet (Dashed Green Projection). 2. If DOT confidently pushes through $9.659, the bulls might have a party, with the next pit stop likely around $11.009. A clean move here could set the stage for some exciting action to the upside (Solid Green Projection). 3. However, if the $8.442 level crumbles, things could get dicey fast. Bears might take over, dragging the price toward $7.000, a critical support level where DOT could try to catch its breath (Red Projection). Right now, DOT is at a tipping point—will it rise to the occasion or falter? Keep your focus on $9.659 and $8.442; they’re calling the shots for what comes next.
by Trade-Lean
Long Signal for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT)📈 Long Signal for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) ✅ Suggestion: I’ve opened a buy position from the marked zone and anticipate growth for Bitcoin. 🎯 Key Insight: This is Bitcoin’s final support level, and despite the high risk, I’m willing to take the chance. 🚀 💬 To manage this signal effectively and explore more opportunities: 1️⃣ Follow my TradingView page 📊 2️⃣ Send me a private message for personalized guidance. 💎 Let’s trade strategically and aim for big profits! 💰
Long
by DAVID_SNIPERRR
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by syomking76418
The FED just changed cryptoThe #FOMC just cut interest rates by 25bps/0.25%, but something more important changed! They raised their interest rate projections for the next 3 years by 50bps/0.5%. This is not good for crypto in the short term. The #FED is suggesting fewer interest rate cuts in the short-medium term which won't be good for risk assets such as CRYPTOCAP:BTC and other #alts The market has also been diverging for the last couple of weeks so will likely fall in reaction to this. Don't worry though #ALTSEASON will eventually come and mark the end of this bull run unless Trump creates the CRYPTOCAP:BTC strategic reserve and sends crypto 100 times higher. For More -> x.com
Long
by CryptoJayTrades
TSLA Technical Analysis (TA) and GEX for Dec. 20Market Context Tesla showed weakness today, closing lower after a significant intraday decline. The price action reflects selling pressure with volume increasing during the latter part of the session, indicating bearish sentiment. 1. Key Levels * Support: * $425.00: Put Wall support and critical level for a bounce. * $420.00: Next downside target in case of further weakness. * Resistance: * $437.85: Immediate resistance, aligned with price rejection today. * $445.00: Gamma level resistance that needs volume to break. * $460.00: Significant GEX resistance above, unlikely to be tested tomorrow unless strong buying resumes. 2. Price Action Insights * Tesla has broken out of a rising trendline, forming a bearish structure on the hourly chart. * The current descending price channel indicates further downside unless $437 is reclaimed quickly. * Intraday volume spiked during the sell-off, suggesting bearish conviction. 3. Indicators Analysis * 9 EMA and 21 EMA: * Both are trending downward, reflecting short-term bearish momentum. * MACD: * Bearish crossover on the hourly and 2-minute charts confirms the downtrend. * Options Oscillator: * Call activity still dominates at 105.2% GEX, but bearish price action overshadows sentiment. 4. GEX Analysis * Gamma Levels: * $430.00: High Volatility Level (HVL); this is the pivot for tomorrow’s trading. * $445.00: Major call wall resistance. * $425.00: Key put wall support. * $420.00: Critical gamma floor; breaching this signals further bearish pressure. Trading Outlook for Tomorrow Bullish Scenario: * A recovery above $430 with volume could target $437 and possibly $445. Bearish Scenario: * Failure to hold $425 leads to $420, with further downside potential if selling accelerates. Neutral/Range-Bound Scenario: * Likely consolidation between $425 and $430, given today’s sharp decline and investor caution. Actionable Suggestions * Entry: * Bullish: Above $430 for a move toward $437 and $445. * Bearish: Below $425 for a drop toward $420. * Stop-Loss: * Long: Below $425. * Short: Above $430. * Scalping Opportunity: * Quick trades between $425–$430 with tight risk management. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform due diligence and manage risk appropriately before trading.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
Can ALGO Break Free? Bulls Eye $0.531, but First $0.453! Algorand ALGO is tiptoeing around $0.4288, the mid of the range zone with slow and choppy price action. 1 A decisive break above $0.453 could give the bulls a reason to celebrate, clearing the path for a run toward the next resistance at $0.531. If momentum builds, we could see ALGO stretching its legs and aiming even higher (Green Projections). 2. On the flip side, if $0.398 fails to act as a safety net, things could get bearish short-term. Bears might take charge, dragging the price toward the next support at $0.32. That’s where traders may want to look for potential signs of life and opportunity to DCA (Red Projection). To sum it up: $0.453 is the hurdle bulls need to clear for upside excitement, while $0.398 is the line in the sand for buyers. It’s ALGO’s time to decide—will it climb higher or hit the floor? Stay tuned!
by Trade-Lean
PLTR: Technical Analysis (TA) and GEX for December 20Market Overview for December 19, 2024 Today’s market showed consolidation across major indices, with limited directional movement and investor caution following recent Federal Reserve policy updates. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite experienced marginal declines, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average remained flat. Treasury yields exhibited mixed movements, reflecting a blend of economic resilience and sector-specific challenges. Key highlights: * Sector Movers: Darden Restaurants surged nearly 15% on strong results, while Lamb Weston and Micron Technology saw sharp declines. * Sentiment: Caution persisted due to mixed economic data and limited clarity on 2025 rate cuts. ---------------------- Technical Analysis (TA) and GEX for PLTR 1. Key Levels (Based on Charts) * Support: * $72.00 (2nd Put Wall) * $70.27 (Bearish channel support) * $68.00 (3rd Put Wall) * Resistance: * $75.50 - Immediate resistance from today’s price action. * $77.61 - Key GEX level. * $80.00 - Highest positive NET GEX. 2. Price Action Insights * PLTR’s price action suggests consolidation within a bearish descending channel on the hourly chart. * Recent rejection near $75.50 indicates sellers defending this level. * Intraday low volume suggests weaker momentum, aligning with a sideways trend. 3. Indicators Analysis * 9 EMA and 21 EMA: * Both EMAs are flattening, indicating a lack of strong momentum. * MACD: * Nearing a bearish crossover on lower timeframes, signaling potential downside pressure. * Options Oscillator: * Call activity dominates, with 83.9% calls indicating bullish sentiment, though it remains unconfirmed by price action. 4. GEX Analysis * Key Gamma Levels: * $75: 73% (2nd Call Wall) - Acts as a pivot level for tomorrow. * $77: 52.26% (3rd Call Wall) - Bullish breakout above this level signals momentum. * $72: 13.55% (-Put Wall) - First downside support. * $70: Critical put support for bearish scenarios. Trading Outlook for Tomorrow Bullish Scenario: * A break above $75.50 with strong volume can lead to $77.61 (GEX resistance) and potentially $80. Bearish Scenario: * Failure to hold $74 could result in a decline to $72 (Put Wall), with further downside to $70 in a bearish continuation. Neutral/Range-Bound Scenario: * Consolidation between $74 and $75.50, consistent with today’s activity, remains likely if volume stays muted. Actionable Suggestions * Entry: * Bullish: Above $75.50 with targets at $77 and $80. * Bearish: Below $74 with targets at $72 and $70. * Stop-Loss: * Long: Below $74. * Short: Above $75.50. * Scalping Opportunity: * Monitor breakouts from the $74–$75.50 range for quick trades. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately before trading.
NASDAQ:PLTR
by BullBearInsights
USD/CAD -Volume Spread AnalysisHere is a perfect example of Pushing Up through Supply. As shown, when up-trending markets experience the phenomenon created by Market Makers in which supply us introduced to the market. (Notice the Pivot Highs at 1.41942 and 1.41968 which are 4 pips apart) These levels of supply are known by the market makers and are used to lock in bullish traders. As the market moves against the locked in traders we notice Ultra High Volume (UHV) shows up. As we analyze the volume it suggests professional supply has entered the market and is confirmed by the following Wide Spread and Excessively UHV. This confirms the intention of the professionals to lock in bullish traders and create an over head supply zone. The following price movement has UHV as well but less than the previous bar and it also closes bullish but inside the larger UHV bar. Peculiar for a market that is doomed to fall to the abyss don't you think? Looking back to the previous 40 price bars we notice price held support above the level of the previous pivot low at 1.40926. The supply diminishes from this point as price creates a Lower High (LH) then a Higher Low (HL). We also notice the spread bodies of the bars leading to the pivot low at 1.41304 are smaller than any other downward push since the consolidation period on the 10th of December. This implies supply has diminished until we come back in contact with the supply created by the Market Makers. The UHV suggests supply is present. However, the next bar shows demand is also present and supply has suddenly diminished at the resistance as well. Prices then proceed to "Push up Through Supply" volume diminishes and prices rise through the supply which is termed and "ease of movement". This is an aggressive BUY SIGNAL which implies prices will not come back to retest the previous area of resistance turned support known as the backup to the edge of the creek. You have to be aggressive at these moments because prices will not return to the retest the structure as the handling maneuver is completed a as it leaves the re-accumulation area.
Education
by JHair20
RAILTEL: Building Strength at Demand ZoneRAILTEL (Railtel Corp of India Ltd.) Key Levels: Demand Zone: ₹348 - ₹357 First Target Zone: ₹452 Second Target Zone: ₹561 Stop Loss: Below ₹345 (demand zone failure) Structure & Trend: Stock has been in a corrective phase, respecting the demand zone multiple times. A potential double bottom structure may be forming around ₹348-₹357. Golden retracement of the last swing low offers a bounce opportunity. Trade Plan: Entry: Around ₹355 - ₹365 within the demand zone. Targets: First target: ₹452 Second target: ₹561 Stop Loss: ₹345 on a daily close basis. Note: A breakdown below ₹345 could lead to further downside; monitor price action.
NSE:RAILTELLong
by LiveTradingBox
8
GBPCHF - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels. In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower. Also price swept key weekly swing high. But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and it this case we can notice sign of weakness, so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower. Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
Short
by Maks_Klimenko
1
$TSLA The High-Stakes Bet on Future Growth "Tesla isn’t just an automaker—it’s a revolution in motion, blending cutting-edge technology with daring ambition. But is its sky-high valuation the cost of innovation or the price of perfection?" Introduction Tesla has evolved from a disruptor in electric vehicles (EVs) to a global powerhouse in energy storage, solar technology, and autonomous driving. With 2023 revenue soaring to $96.77 billion, the company is growing at a breakneck pace. Yet, with a forward P/E of 139.93, Tesla's valuation raises questions for investors: does the potential outweigh the risks? This analysis unpacks Tesla’s financials, market position, growth opportunities, and the challenges it faces as an industry leader. Financial Analysis 1. Revenue Growth Tesla's $96.77 billion in revenue for 2023 reflects an impressive 18.8% YoY growth, driven by: EV Sales: Bolstered by demand for the Model Y and Model 3. Energy Storage: Expansion of Tesla’s Megapack installations for grid-scale projects. Services: Growth in software and maintenance revenues. 💡 "Tesla’s revenue streams are diversifying, but EVs remain its lifeblood." 2. Profitability Metrics Net Income: $15 billion, with margins improving despite supply chain challenges. Earnings Per Share (EPS): $3.65 TTM, highlighting strong profitability. Tesla's margin growth reflects its operational efficiency and cost control in an inflationary environment. 3. Cash Flow and Liquidity Operating Cash Flow: $14.48 billion—a clear indicator of Tesla’s ability to generate cash from core operations. Free Cash Flow: $3.61 billion after substantial capital expenditures of $10.87 billion. 💡 "Tesla’s aggressive spending on R&D and manufacturing is a double-edged sword: it fuels growth but pressures free cash flow." 4. Valuation Metrics Tesla’s valuation is a hot topic: Forward P/E: 139.93—a sign of immense market optimism but also a cautionary signal. EV/EBITDA: 104.16, reflecting high expectations for future profitability. PEG Ratio: 17.04, showing Tesla’s growth is priced at a premium. Market Position and Competitive Advantage Innovation at the Core Tesla leads in: Battery Technology: Pioneering advances in energy density and lifecycle. Autonomous Driving: A front-runner in full self-driving (FSD) software development. Infrastructure: The Supercharger network provides an unparalleled ecosystem for Tesla owners. Brand Strength Tesla has redefined itself as both a luxury and a technology brand, attracting loyal customers who value innovation and sustainability. Growth Opportunities 1. Autonomous Vehicles (AVs): Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology represents a massive untapped revenue stream. If approved and scaled, the potential for: Licensing the tech to other automakers. Launching a robotaxi network. 💡 "FSD is the golden goose, but regulatory hurdles keep it caged—for now." 2. Energy Storage and Solar: Tesla’s Megapack and Powerwall systems are gaining traction in commercial and residential markets, while its solar division capitalizes on the global push for renewable energy. 3. Global Expansion: Tesla continues to scale its manufacturing capacity with Gigafactories worldwide, including new projects in Mexico and expanded operations in China. Risks and Challenges 1. Regulatory and Legal Risks: Autonomous driving faces scrutiny due to safety concerns, while data privacy regulations could impact Tesla’s software-driven business model. 2. Intensifying Competition: The EV market is growing crowded, with legacy automakers like Ford and GM ramping up EV production alongside newcomers like Rivian and Lucid Motors. 3. Execution Risks: Elon Musk’s ambitious roadmap often hinges on breakthroughs that may not materialize on schedule, adding volatility to Tesla’s stock performance. 💡 "Innovation is Tesla’s greatest asset, but execution risks loom large when aiming for the stars." Stock Performance and Institutional Sentiment 1. Price Trends: Tesla’s stock remains volatile, reflecting high sensitivity to news, product announcements, and quarterly earnings. 2. Institutional Ownership: With hedge funds and mutual funds maintaining significant stakes, Tesla continues to attract institutional interest despite its lofty valuation. Conclusion Tesla remains a leader in innovation, with growth prospects spanning EVs, energy storage, and autonomous driving. However, its high valuation demands flawless execution and belief in its long-term vision. For investors, Tesla represents both an opportunity and a challenge—a high-risk, high-reward play that requires conviction in its disruptive potential. Recommendations: Long-Term Investors: Hold or accumulate on dips if you believe in Tesla’s future vision. Short-Term Traders: Consider rebalancing given the current valuation unless a clear catalyst for further upside emerges. 🚀 Want deeper insights into Tesla and other top stocks? Visit DCAlpha.net.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by DCAChampion
NVDA Analysis in Three Trading Strategies1. GEX Analysis for Options Trading Gamma Levels and Key Insights: * Support Levels: * $130: Major put support, showing strong downside protection. * $128: Next support level (3rd Put Wall). * Resistance Levels: * $134: HVL (High Volatility Level) and pivotal gamma level for upside moves. * $136: Highest NET GEX, indicating a strong resistance zone. * $137–$140: Major call wall resistance. * IV and Sentiment: * IVR: 38.9, suggesting moderate implied volatility. * Calls %: Moderate at 37.3%, indicating mixed sentiment. Options Strategy: * Bullish: * Buy calls above $134 with a target at $136 and $137. * Use $132 as a stop-loss. * Bearish: * Buy puts below $130 with a target of $128 and $126. * Use $132 as a stop-loss. 2. 1-Hour Chart for Swing/Day Trading Key Observations: * Trend: Downtrend with lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish sentiment. * Support and Resistance: * Support at $130, aligned with gamma levels. * Resistance at $134. * Indicators: * EMA (9/21): Bearish alignment with price below both EMAs. * MACD: Bearish crossover, confirming downside momentum. Swing/Day Trading Setup: * Bullish: * Entry: Above $134 with volume. * Target: $136 and $137. * Stop-loss: Below $133. * Bearish: * Entry: Below $130. * Target: $128 and $126. * Stop-loss: Above $132. 3. 2-Minute Chart for Scalping Key Observations: * Trend: Strong intraday selling pressure with no significant recovery. * Scalping Levels: * Resistance: $131.20. * Support: $130.00. * Volume: * Selling pressure increased during the latter half of the session. * Indicators: * EMA (9/21): Dynamic resistance, confirming bearish structure. * MACD: Bearish divergence with no signs of reversal. Scalping Strategy: * Bullish: * Entry: Break above $131.20. * Target: $132.00. * Stop-loss: Below $131.00. * Bearish: * Entry: Break below $130.00. * Target: $129.00. * Stop-loss: Above $130.20. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately before trading.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
1
Will the interest rate cut in late 2024 happen? XAU UP OR DOWN ✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 12/16 - 12/20/2024 🔥 World situation: Although gold posted some losses, it remains up nearly 1% for the week, supported by a mix of US economic data. While inflation figures were varied, the latest Initial Jobless Claims report strengthened investor confidence in a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Attention now shifts to the Fed’s December 17-18 policy meeting, with traders pricing in a 93% likelihood of a 25 basis point cut, according to CBOT data. Following the announcement, all eyes will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference for insights into the policy direction for 2025. 🔥 Identify: H4 is seeing price close to the bullish trendline - which will be validating the last rate cut of the year. There will be some upside but it will still be difficult to break above the 2723 price zone 🔥 Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $2678, $2723 Support : $2613, $2590, $2535 🔥 NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
Downward pressure on S&P 500 Index intensified past daysYesterday's sell-off damaged the S&P 500's 50-day moving average. While we initially saw a bounce back at the opening, it didn't hold. This makes the 5925 level a critical point to watch as we head toward the end of the year. For those keeping an eye on the charts, a trendline has been intact since the low in October 2023. Although it was breached during the August downturn, we managed to rally back into the bullish channel that's been forming since the fourth quarter of 2023. This channel offers support around the 5800 mark, and I anticipate this level will hold as we close out the year. Should we dip further, the following support levels to watch are 5690 and 5525. While I don't foresee us dropping to these lower levels before year-end, it's essential to acknowledge the potential downside risk. The market sentiment shifted following the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, giving sellers the upper hand for the first time since the summer.
SP:SPX
by IrinaTK