Solana SOL: Drop to $215 Before Rally to 245?Solana is moving in the descending channel since end of November. It is currently is trading in the intraday range zone where we continue to see slow and choppy price action. A breakout from this range zone will result in a decisive move in the coming week.
A minor pullback toward $215.21, followed by a robust recovery, would indicate that buyers are regaining control, potentially paving the way for a rally toward the resistance levels of $227.83 and $245.58 (Dashed Green Projection).
If bullish momentum strengthens, this could extend gains to the next key level at $262.11, offering ample opportunities for upside continuation (Solid Green Projections).
Conversely, failure to defend the $215.21 support level could expose Solana to increased bearish pressure. A decisive break below this threshold may trigger a decline toward the critical support at $197.45 (Red Projection).
As Solana navigates this crucial juncture, traders should closely monitor price movements and volume dynamics to identify early signals of a breakout or reversal. Staying vigilant will be essential to capturing the next substantial market shift.
Beyond Technical Analysis
CBA extreme downside risk2024 dividend per share annual, $4.65. Current share price $159.03 If you are an investor you are paying 34.2 times the div return with substanstial risk. Should you choose to put the $159.03 into a 5% term deposit with zero risk your return will be $7.95 being nearly double the return with zero risk. Just saying...Speculation is not investing be careful. Stay safe and Happy trading
Bitcoin Eyes $107K: Key Levels to WatchBitcoin is showing bullish momentum, breaking through the key intraday resistance around $102,000. However, given the weekend, I am keeping my expectations realistic.
1. Ideally, I’d like to see either (A) a quick dip below $101,662 followed by a prompt recovery, or (B) sustained price action above $101,662. Both scenarios would significantly increase the likelihood of a bullish move toward the critical resistance at $107,000 in the coming days (as per the green projections).
2. Conversely, a drop below $98,984 could lead to choppy price action, a considerable slowdown in momentum, and a high probability of retesting the $94,650 level.
S&P 500 Rally: Why a 5k Target Might Be More Likely Than 7kSince November of last year, the SP:SPX has surged by 50%, and if we look at the gains from this year alone, we're seeing around a 30% increase. Additionally, the rise from August is 20% which is significant in just five months.
Considering the rapid pace of these increases, especially for such a major index, it gives me the impression that the S&P 500 may be overstretched.
Statistically, such strong rallies either follow a deep bear market or precede a significant pullback.
Since we haven't experienced a strong bear market recently, I believe a correction could be on the horizon.
Technically, the market remains in an uptrend, but the price action from August has been in steps. This type of movement often signals distribution and a potential reversal.
In conclusion, while a new all-time high by the end of the year is almost certain, I'm not overly optimistic about the long-term outlook.
A pullback to around 5,000 seems more likely to me than a rally to 7,000.
Potential fast profit opportunity $GFIUSDLadies and gentlemen, I am suggesting a potential buy of the goldfinch protocol at about $1.395. This is one of my personal alerts, something I would absolutely buy into if I were more liquid, but I think I will be unable to unless the position I am currently in reaches my target before this one drops any farther, which is an entirely possible event, but I thought I would bring this to your attention regardless. Take a look, I would absolutely do this personally, and absolutely will if it's feasible. I'm currently waiting for my target in COINBASE:MOVEUSD
Trade at your own risk, just sharing out of the goodness of my heart. This is not investment advice, but maybe we can be friends🤷🏼♂️
Also, I would suggest a potential selling point of $1.98, but maybe much higher depending on what you're working with and what your own analysis would suggest… I however am a day trader, I like these small little moves - in and out, onto the next thing. That's not to say I don't invest sometimes, but this is all the time I have for this one.
CRYPTO:GFIUSD
GOLD: What's possible on the opening day OANDA:XAUUSD market is opening tonight. It closed around 2648. Gold is on the bearish run but is it really in the trend reversal or just technical correction? For asset like gold, a Trend reversal needs to be supported by fundamentals. And at the moment there isn't any sign that supports it. So as of now we can say that gold is in technical correction.
WHAT TO EXPECT ON MONDAY?
If at opening, market moves downward and below 2645 then we can expect for sell opportunity around around that area. only valid if it goes bearish with decent volume.
But if market at the opening goes bullish we can look for sell opportunity around
2657 & 2665. both these levels are pretty solid. 2665 is very solid selling point as 200SMA & fib 0.236 are acting as good resistance level.
Buy levels are 2629/2624 & 2605/2610. 2605 is very big level and I don't see it breaking until market decides it's next move.
This is my analysis for opening day. And until fundamentals don't come we can't say that it's trend reversal. As of now market is waiting for FOMC. Fed will decide on interest rate and that will further help us to understand the direction of the market.
NOTE: Don't trade without any confirmation!
If my analysis helped you in any possible way, than don't forget to like & share the idea.
SPY Analysis: Daily & 1-Hour Chart With GEX Analysis for Dec. 17Current Sentiment:
* SPY appears range-bound but leaning bearish near resistance on the Daily chart.
* The 1-Hour chart shows SPY retracing from its recent high around 609, struggling to hold above key support levels.
Key Technical Levels
Daily Chart:
* Resistance: 609.97 (recent high).
* Support: 602.81, 598.40.
* Trend: Uptrend intact, but momentum is stalling. Watch for a potential break below 602.
1-Hour Chart:
* Resistance: 607, 608.41 (GEX Call Wall and prior highs).
* Support: 605, 604 (key demand area), and 602.13 (next major support).
* SPY is showing lower highs on the hourly chart, indicating a short-term bearish bias.
Options Gamma Exposure (GEX)
* Call Wall: 608 (2nd Wall) and 611 (upper wall).
* Put Wall: 604 (3rd PUT Wall).
* HVL (High Volatility Level): 603, suggesting potential support if tested.
* GEX Overview:
* Puts dominate with 40.2%, showing hedging pressures.
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 10.8, IVx avg 12.9% – lower volatility indicates slower moves.
Scalp and Swing Trade Suggestions
For Scalp Trade:
* Short Bias: If SPY fails to reclaim 607, consider a PUT scalp targeting 605.
* Entry: Below 607 with confirmation.
* Target: 605, 604.
* Stop-Loss: Above 608.50.
For Swing/Day Trade:
* Put Option:
* Strike: 605 PUT (Weekly Expiry).
* Entry: On rejection at 607-608 levels.
* Target: 602-604 zone.
* Stop-Loss: Above 609.
* Call Option:
* Strike: 608 CALL if SPY breaks and holds above 608.
* Target: 611-612 zone.
* Stop-Loss: Below 606.
Conclusion:
SPY is showing signs of weakness near resistance, with a short-term bearish setup. A rejection at 607-608 could trigger PUT opportunities toward 602-604. Keep an eye on the 603 HVL for potential support and monitor price action carefully.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and manage your risk before trading.
QQQ Near Key Resistance! Will Bulls Hold the Momentum? 1. Daily Chart Analysis (1D):
* Trend: QQQ is continuing its strong bullish trend and trading within an ascending channel.
* Support and Resistance Levels:
* Support: 533.21 (key level to hold the uptrend).
* Resistance: 539.15 (recent high and channel top).
* Momentum Indicators:
* MACD is bullish and expanding, suggesting upward momentum.
* Volume has been rising with the upward move, signaling strength in buying.
Outlook:
Bulls remain in control, but QQQ is testing the top of the channel. Watch for consolidation or rejection near 539.15.
2. 1-Hour Chart Analysis (1H):
* Trend: Strong intraday uptrend but showing initial signs of slowing.
* Support and Resistance Levels:
* Support: 533.21 (near-term intraday support).
* Resistance: 540 (psychological level and Gamma Wall).
* Momentum Indicators:
* MACD shows divergence; histogram is weakening, suggesting a potential pause or pullback.
* Volume is tapering slightly as price tests resistance.
Outlook:
A break above 540 could trigger another leg up. Failure to hold 533.21 may lead to a pullback toward 531.
3. GEX Analysis (Options Levels):
* Key Observations:
* Call Walls: 540 (2nd Call Wall) and 539 (highest positive Gamma/Call Resistance).
* Put Support: 531 (Gamma Put Wall).
* Options Oscillator: IVR at 12.9%, and Puts are only at 12.2% compared to heavy Calls at resistance.
Outlook:
With Gamma Resistance at 539 and 540, QQQ needs strong buying pressure to break higher. Weakness may lead to a test of 533–531.
4. Suggested Trade Setups:
Scalping Trade:
* Bullish Setup: Buy 540 Call for short scalps if QQQ breaks above 540 with strong volume.
* Bearish Setup: Buy 533 Put for a quick trade if price rejects 539 and fails below 533.21.
Swing/Day Trade:
* Bullish Setup: If QQQ closes above 540, consider a swing trade with 545 Calls expiring this week.
* Bearish Setup: If QQQ fails 533 and closes below, target the downside with 530 Puts for a day trade.
5. Key Notes:
* Bias: Bullish but cautious near resistance at 540.
* Levels to Watch:
* Breakout Level: 540.
* Pullback Support: 533–531.
* Trade Ideas: Follow volume and price action confirmation at these levels.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
IWM: Key Levels and Trade Setups for Dec. 17IWM Technical Analysis and GEX Overview
1D (Daily) Chart:
* Trend: IWM is showing signs of a bearish move as it continues to pull back from recent highs near 244.98. The price has fallen below the 9 EMA and is testing a support zone.
* Key Levels:
* Support: 231.88
* Resistance: 240.00 and 243.69
* MACD: Showing downward momentum with a bearish crossover; selling pressure persists.
* Volume: Volume has slightly increased, suggesting active participation as sellers dominate the trend.
1H (Hourly) Chart:
* Trend: The price is attempting to stabilize after a significant decline. It bounced off the 231.88 support and is testing the short-term resistance at 234.50.
* Key Levels:
* Immediate Support: 233.00
* Resistance: 235.00 and 237.00
* MACD: Mixed signals, showing potential for a bullish crossover if momentum increases.
* Possible Scenarios:
* A reclaim above 234.50 can target 235–237 in the near term.
* A failure to hold 233 could trigger a retest of 231.88 support.
GEX Analysis:
* Key Gamma Levels:
* 2nd PUT Wall: 237 (-1.45%)
* 3rd PUT Wall: 236 (-2.65%)
* 2nd CALL Wall: 235 (+72.27%)
* Highest Positive Gamma: 234 – This suggests resistance near 234 could create a ceiling unless bulls push through with strength.
* Support Gamma: Gamma exposure at 231–233 offers strong PUT support, likely preventing sharp declines.
* IVR: 25.4
* IVx Average: 23.5
* Call/Put Skew: CALLS 18.26% dominance, indicating bullish sentiment but cautious buyers.
Trade Suggestions:
Scalp Trades (Intraday):
* Bullish:
* Buy CALL: If price reclaims 234.50 – Target: 235.50
* Stop-Loss: 233.50
* Bearish:
* Buy PUT: If price rejects 234 – Target: 232.00
* Stop-Loss: 234.75
Swing/Day Trades:
* Bullish Setup:
* Buy CALL: Above 235 for a move towards 237–240.
* Expiration: 1–2 weeks
* Stop-Loss: 232.50
* Bearish Setup:
* Buy PUT: If price closes below 233 for a retest of 231.88–231.
* Expiration: 1–2 weeks
* Stop-Loss: 235.00
Outlook:
IWM remains under pressure, but the bounce from key support at 231.88 suggests a potential short-term reversal if resistance at 234.50 breaks. Traders should watch the gamma walls near 234–235 for confirmation of direction. The short-term bias remains neutral to bearish unless buyers reclaim resistance zones.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and manage risk accordingly.
TSLA Surges Higher! Key Levels and GEX Insights for TomorrowTechnical Analysis (TA)
1. Daily Chart (1D):
* TSLA remains in a parabolic uptrend, holding well above the 9 EMA and 21 EMA.
* Elevated volume supports the bullish trend, but price nearing key psychological resistance around $480–$500 suggests caution.
* A healthy retracement could bring the stock back to test strong support near $450 or $440.
2. 1-Hour Chart (1H):
* TSLA is trading within a well-defined rising channel.
* Channel resistance aligns near $480, while MACD divergence indicates slowing momentum – signaling a potential short-term pullback.
* Support levels to watch for a bounce: $450 and $440–$430.
GEX (Gamma Exposure) Analysis
* Key Gamma Levels:
* Call Walls (Resistance):
* $490 – Moderate gamma resistance.
* $500 – Major resistance where options sellers may defend this strike aggressively.
* Put Walls (Support):
* $440 – Highest positive NETGEX, providing strong support.
* $417.5 – 3rd PUT Wall level, additional downside defense.
* Options Oscillator:
* Implied Volatility Rank (IVR): 9.1 (low), indicating options premiums are relatively cheap.
* Call dominance: 124%, suggesting strong upward positioning in the options market.
Trade Suggestions:
Bullish Setup (If price holds support):
* Call Options:
* Strike: $480 or $500 (expiring 1–2 weeks out).
* Look for entry near pullback support zones $450–$440.
* Strategy: Buy calls or debit spreads targeting $490–$500.
Bearish Setup (Short-term pullback):
* Put Options:
* Strike: $450 (short-term pullback).
* Entry: If TSLA fails to hold $470–$460 with momentum confirming a breakdown.
* Strategy: Buy puts or put debit spreads targeting $440 support.
Key Levels to Watch:
* Resistance: $480, $490, $500
* Support: $450, $440, $417.5
Outlook:
* TSLA remains bullish, but the risk of a pullback increases as price nears major resistance.
* Traders should consider buying Calls on pullbacks or hedging with Puts near resistance if momentum weakens.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
BUY NZDJPY - How to spot high probability set upsTrader Tom, a technical analyst with over 15 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
We are proud to be an OFFICIAL Trading View partner so please support the channel by using the link below and unleash the power of trading view today!
www.tradingview.com
NQ Nasdaq 100 Trade IdeaNQ is currently hovering in midstream and waiting it for it to show what it wants to do next i.e. whether it takes out the buyside or sellside liquidity, and I will be looking for an opportunity to trade in the opposing direction after the liquidity grab.
Generally, prefer for price to take out the Equal Lows below moving into a discount and then buy the price up take out the Previous Day High liquidity.
Daily Watchlist (12/17/24) + Market NotesSPY - Failing attempts all over to reclaim highs and lows, so we are making new intraday Broadening Formations. The current one as seen in the chart, is looking to potentially head back through previous range if unable to continue to the upside pivots around 608.40 and 609. Given we have FOMC news Wednesday, I am not expecting too much to happen tomorrow as we are stuck in previous range and keep seeing failed attempts to reclaim pivots. Of course anything can happen, but I will strictly be watching individual names only for trades.
QQQ - New ATH again today. Nothing special to note besides the fact that tech is obviously leading things this week
DIA - Polar opposite of QQQ. Industrials getting slammed again this week as DIA puts in its 8th consecutive Daily lower low
IWM - Green today but similar to DIA
Overall market notes: Its clear that the market continues to see cyclical names move higher while more defensive and noncyclical names continue lower. In light of FOMC this week, it doesn't seem like any sectors are making too big of shifts besides financials finally seeing some buying again. Mainly just concerned with what SPY does this Wednesday as it seems like usual we are waiting for the news before making the next significant move.
WATCHLIST:
Bullish :
NASDAQ:PLTR - Potential 3-2U daily with a potential 3-1-2U 4HR to trigger the day. FTFC green, but week is inside with lots of room to go for either side to go 2
Bearish :
NYSE:UBER - Potential 2-1-2D Daily. Shooter inside day to put week 2D and confirm Q attempting to go 3 after hitting hammer revstrat upside magnitude earlier this Q
NYSE:PFE - Potential 3-2D daily to put week 3-2D. Weekly reversal occurred at Q exhaustion, but failed 2 upside attempts now. "Fail one side, target the other"
NYSE:PINS - Potential 3-2D Daily to confirm Weekly 3-2-2D in force with magnitude left
Notable winners from weekly watchlist (posted Sunday 12/15):
ETSY, RBLX, RKLB, OXY, WMT
Daily Watchlist (12/17/24) + Market NotesSPY - Failing attempts all over to reclaim highs and lows, so we are making new intraday Broadening Formations. The current one as seen in the chart, is looking to potentially head back through previous range if unable to continue to the upside pivots around 608.40 and 609. Given we have FOMC news Wednesday, I am not expecting too much to happen tomorrow as we are stuck in previous range and keep seeing failed attempts to reclaim pivots. Of course anything can happen, but I will strictly be watching individual names only for trades.
QQQ - New ATH again today. Nothing special to note besides the fact that tech is obviously leading things this week
DIA - Polar opposite of QQQ. Industrials getting slammed again this week as DIA puts in its 8th consecutive Daily lower low
IWM - Green today but similar to DIA
Overall market notes: Its clear that the market continues to see cyclical names move higher while more defensive and noncyclical names continue lower. In light of FOMC this week, it doesn't seem like any sectors are making too big of shifts besides financials finally seeing some buying again. Mainly just concerned with what SPY does this Wednesday as it seems like usual we are waiting for the news before making the next significant move.
WATCHLIST:
Bullish :
NASDAQ:PLTR - Potential 3-2U daily with a potential 3-1-2U 4HR to trigger the day. FTFC green, but week is inside with lots of room to go for either side to go 2
Bearish :
NYSE:UBER - Potential 2-1-2D Daily. Shooter inside day to put week 2D and confirm Q attempting to go 3 after hitting hammer revstrat upside magnitude earlier this Q
NYSE:PFE - Potential 3-2D daily to put week 3-2D. Weekly reversal occurred at Q exhaustion, but failed 2 upside attempts now. "Fail one side, target the other"
NYSE:PINS - Potential 3-2D Daily to confirm Weekly 3-2-2D in force with magnitude left
Notable winners from weekly watchlist (posted Sunday 12/15):
ETSY, RBLX, RKLB, OXY, WMT
DAILY ANALYSIS - XAUUSD (TUES, 17th DECEMBER 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News:
-Core Retail Sales m/m
Analysis:
-Weak bullish closure on previous daily
-Looking for liquidity sweep on structure low
-Looking for BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 2630
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy
DXY: Bullish reaching 110 levels- Expecting Dollar index to be bullish to the end of the year ,
- On a short-term basis you can see price retested to the demand zone last week and swept the liquidity from the last minor low at 105.600 and closed above with a strong bullish daily candle.
- Next minor high at 106.700 could be a great confirmation for the move so consider closing above that price your final signal.