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Beyond Technical Analysis

Start of decline: Below 3707.61 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (ETHUSDT 1W chart) As I mentioned in the BTC idea, when the StochRSI indicator is moving, the value of the StochRSI indicator fluctuates when it passes a meaningful point. Currently, the value of the StochRSI indicator seems to have fallen from the 100 point. However, if it rises above a certain point, it is possible that it will show the 100 point again. Also, you can check the exact value when a new candle occurs. - In the previous idea, I said that the time to buy is when it is below 3438.16. The reason is that if it goes up more than that, you may feel psychological anxiety due to volatility. If you bought an altcoin during this buying period, I think it is likely that it is currently at a similar price range or making a profit. Otherwise, if it is losing money, the coin (token) can be considered a subordinate coin (token). In other words, it can be seen as being neglected in the market. - (1D chart) It has fallen below the HA-High indicator (3831.12). It has also fallen below the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator. Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported near 3644.71 and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, or if possible, above 3831.12. If not, and it falls, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. Before that, 1st: 3438.16 ~ 0.618 (3548.07) 2nd: 3265.0-3321.30 You need to check if it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above. When the decline progresses, if the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is generated, it is important to check whether there is support near it. In particular, if the HA-Low indicator is generated, it will close the current wave and create a new wave. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you how to view and respond to it. Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role. The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci. Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies. 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
AUDNZD strong bullish expectations AUDNZD pair which I am watching last 5 months, other my analysis on AUDNZD are attached, plus I am attach and CADCHF analysis its interesting to look, its almost same based on SYMMETRICAL TRIANGL. AUDNZD price is make bounce on trend line, its break upper trend line-SYMMETRICAL TRIANGL, plus CHANNEL on 4h TF is visible and its also breaked. Technicalls on medium and long term are strong bullish, when take all this parameters i am here still bullish. SUP zone: 1.09200 RES zone: 1.11500, 1.12400
Long
by DepaTrading
Smart Gold Trading Strategy: Catching the Next Big Move! Hello, traders! 👋✨ Welcome to a new market analysis. Today, we’re diving into a trade on gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour chart. 🚀 This precious metal continues to provide great opportunities, and this time is no different. I’ve decided to go long at the 2670 level, and here are the details of my strategy: - Entry (Long): 2670 - Take Profit (TP): 2734 - Stop Loss (SL): 2606 This trade is supported by technical analysis. The price appears to be holding a key support level, and indicators are signaling potential for an upward move. The stop-loss is set at 2606 to protect against unexpected reversals, while the take-profit target at 2734 aligns with a strong resistance zone. The risk-to-reward ratio here looks very promising. 📈 While my target is set, I’m always ready to adjust. If I see an opportunity to take profits earlier, I won’t hesitate to act. Staying flexible is key in trading! 📊🚀 What do you think of this setup? Are you trading gold this week? Let me know in the comments, and don’t forget to like and subscribe for more trading insights! 🔥 Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and consult a professional before making investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by MetalsMine
A rising Wedge Formation In the 4H - Short for Short Period.So even though Bitcoin is in the middle of a huge upward move markets always gave us the opportunity to make money in the middle of every strong trending moves. For now we got a rising wedge formation with a heavy pull back based on the news from the FED and the zone which is acting as a magnet support level got more confluence points including the strong demand zone, the horizontal support line of the 2 formed triangles and the 1.27 extension fib level on the higher timeframe. All this points and some other additional insights are included in this short video and enjoy watching it. Please do consider to do your own research before making any type of investments in any type of markets and I urge you to notice that this is not a financial advice at all rather a personal view point. Nathnael B.
Short
by cryptotalk_et
ETH "Buy the Dip" opportunity?The pullback I outlined in my last ETH post came to fruition, however, there was a surprise retest of resistance before failing again and pulling back. Now we are at the bottom of the ascending channel but if we lose support here, it looks like we may be forming a sideways channel, in light blue lines on the chart. With support of bottom of channel and 200 EMA on the 4h candle, seems like a good chance to hold here. Lets look at the details. ------------------------------------------- # ETH/USD Analysis – 4H Chart 📊 ## Structure and Price Action: **Parallel Ascending Channel** ETH/USD is trading within a **parallel ascending channel**, with price oscillating between the upper and lower bounds (green lines). The price is currently testing the **lower trendline support** of the channel, following a recent rejection near the **$4,000–$4,050** region. **Bearish Rejection at Resistance** Sellers stepped in at the **$4,050 Bearish Order Block (OB)** (red zone), leading to a sharp reversal. This indicates heavy supply at this level, halting upward momentum. **Bullish Order Block Retest** The price is approaching multiple **Bullish Order Blocks (OB)** around **$3,500–$3,600** (green zones), a strong demand area where buyers previously defended. --- ## Support and Resistance: **Immediate Resistance** - **$3,800–$4,000**: Key resistance zone aligning with the upper channel boundary and recent bearish OB. - **$4,050**: Critical rejection level and prior swing high. **Key Support Levels** - **$3,500–$3,600**: Primary demand zone, reinforced by bullish OBs. - **$3,300**: Secondary support area in case of deeper pullback. --- ## Indicators **EMAs (20/50/100/200):** - Price has fallen **below EMA 20 ($3,880.60)** and **EMA 50 ($3,810.46)** – short-term bearish bias. - **EMA 100 ($3,613.86)**: Acting as dynamic support near the current price. - **EMA 200 ($3,380)**: Long-term support level. **Parabolic SAR** - SAR dots are **above the price**, signaling bearish momentum. Watch for a shift below the price for trend reversal. **Volume** - Volume **spiked on the recent drop**, reflecting increased selling pressure near the lower channel boundary. **Stochastic RSI** - Stochastic RSI is **oversold** (3.69/7.86), signaling potential for a short-term bounce. **Money Flow Index (MFI)** - MFI sits at **23.89** (oversold), suggesting buyers may soon step in. --- ## Pattern Analysis: **Ascending Channel Breakdown Risk** ETH/USD is at the **lower channel support ($3,600)**. A breakdown below this level could invalidate the bullish channel and trigger bearish momentum. --- ## Probabilistic Outlook **Bullish Bounce (Primary Scenario):** If buyers defend the **$3,500–$3,600** zone and volume increases: - **First Target**: $3,800–$3,850 (EMA 20 and recent resistance). - **Second Target**: $4,000–$4,050 (upper channel resistance and bearish OB). **Bearish Breakdown (Alternate Scenario):** If price closes below **$3,500**: - **First Target**: $3,300 (next significant support). - **Second Target**: $3,200–$3,000 (psychological support and structural zone). --- ## Key Signals to Watch: 1. **Lower Channel Support ($3,600):** Break below = bearish continuation. 2. **Volume on Breakdown or Bounce:** Rising volume confirms the move. 3. **EMA 100 Support ($3,613):** Holding this EMA could trigger a short-term bounce. 4. **Stochastic RSI and MFI:** Both oversold; favoring bounce unless sellers persist. --- ## Order books Took a significant hit, losing about 15% of its prior levels. The market depth ration has remained stable, inferring bullish sentiment overall but weakening books can deteriorate this, we will look for order book levels to recover past today's levels to validate reversal. ## Conclusion ETH/USD is at a **critical juncture** within the ascending channel. Buyers must defend **$3,600** to maintain the bullish structure. A successful bounce targets **$3,800–$4,000**, while a breakdown below **$3,500** could open the door for a decline toward **$3,300–$3,200**. 🔍 **Watch volume and key support levels for confirmation of the next move.** 🚨
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by EncryptShawn
ETHUSDT - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels. In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower. But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and it this case we can notice sign of weakness, so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower. Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
Short
by Maks_Klimenko
7
Week 39 - Technical Analysis USD/CHFUSD/CHF Clearly Defined Target! I see a promising opportunity in the USD/CHF currency pair and recommend a buy position (Long-Trade). Target: The price is moving towards a higher level. I have marked my target at the top of the analysis with a green line. Stop-Loss: To minimize risk, I set the Stop-Loss at 0.84000. If the market unexpectedly breaks downward, my position will automatically close to limit losses. Strategy: This is a "Buy and Hold" strategy. I expect the market to rise in the next 2-3 weeks. I will hold the position until the defined target is reached.
Long
by myforexblog
2