$NATH to Play with Macro Tops & Bottoms, Falling to $70 by AprilNASDAQ:NATH
Nathan's Famous has completed an Elliott Wave Motive Phase, and now enters the Corrective Phase. With the stock having no existing stiff resistance level at ~91.25, the stock is going to return to it's comfort zone in the $70's.
Bearish Pennant
GBPJPY new bearish for new week
GBPJPY strong bearish we are can see, currently for this week still having bearish expectations.
BEARISH PENNANT pattern is visible, price is make few bounces on zone 194.800, which will take for good sign, to we have good strucutre.
SUP zone: ~195.200
RES zone: 190.700, 190.000
#2 Danger BTC is falling Bearish Outlook and Macro Perspective
As in my previous remarks, I signaled an unstable #100k level, which has developed into a failure even to touch this mark. This reflects a loosening in bullish momentum, as many holders and investors are now taking profits. It's important to remember that there are also long-term holders (over 5 years) who experienced losses of up to #77% since November 2021. These holders might now be exiting their positions, adding selling pressure to the market.
Moreover, with speculation surrounding Trump's actions post-20 January next year, it’s wise to approach the market cautiously and avoid wild bets. There are still lagging opportunities in other sectors. For example, Cardano (ADA) recently posted #38% gains in two weeks, highlighting alternative investments that are catching up to the current crypto bull run.
Bitcoin Analysis: Bearish Outlook and Short-Term Targets
Position Details:
Current Sell Entry: #97k
Target: #90k
Market Structure Overview:
The price action is respecting a rising wedge pattern, which is generally a bearish continuation pattern. The breakdown seen near the current price (~#94k) aligns with your bearish outlook.
Bearish Confirmation:
RSI: The RSI has fallen below neutral (currently #34.06), signaling weakening momentum.
MACD: The MACD histogram shows growing bearish momentum (red bars) alongside a bearish crossover.
Volume Flow Index (VFI):
The VFI at #20 suggests moderate capital flow into the market, but not sufficient to sustain bullish trends.
Short-Term Target: #90k
The primary target remains #90k, supported by:
The wedge breakdown projection aligning with this level.
Historical support zones evident on the chart.
December Scenario: Potential Retest or Breakout
Heading into December, two possible scenarios are likely:
Scenario A: Retest as a Double Top
A rebound could take the price back to #97k or higher, potentially forming a double top. Rejection here would confirm continued bearish pressure.
Scenario B: Breakout to #100k-#102k
If bullish momentum unexpectedly revives, a breakout to #100k-#102k could occur. However, this would likely represent a false breakout, followed by a deeper decline.
Technical Outlook:
Key Resistance Levels:
#96k (current zone of interest).
#100k-#102k (psychological resistance and possible retest zone).
Key Support Levels:
#90k (primary target).
#85k (potential deeper breakdown area).
Conclusion:
The current analysis reinforces a bearish short-term outlook, with a sell position targeting #90k. December may bring increased volatility with a possible retest at #97k or a breakout to #100k-#102k before the downward trend resumes. This cautious approach is underscored by macro factors such as profit-taking from long-term holders and alternative opportunities, like Cardano’s recent #38% gains, still lagging the broader crypto bull run. Stay vigilant with key levels and monitor confirmation signals from RSI and MACD.
Bearish Continuation with Potential Reversal!OANDA:XAUUSD
4H Chart
Current Price: 2563.200
Descending Channel:
A bearish pattern where price moves between two downward-sloping parallel trendlines, with the upper trendline acting as resistance and the lower trendline as support. This indicates sellers are in control, pushing the price lower with each rally.
Bearish Continuation Pennant:
A chart pattern that forms after a sharp decline, followed by a small symmetrical triangle. It indicates a pause in the downtrend before the price continues lower, with sellers in control. A breakout to the downside confirms the continuation of the bearish trend.
RSI Bullish Divergence:
RSI Bullish Divergence occurs when the price forms lower lows, but the Relative Strength Index (RSI) forms higher lows. This indicates a weakening downtrend and suggests that the bearish momentum is slowing, potentially signaling a reversal to the upside.
Key Levels:
• Strong Pivot: 2578.125
• Ultimate Support: 2500.00
• Major Resistance: 2656.379
Outlook:
After analysing, we can see that the price has been rejected multiple times from Strong Pivot at 2578.125, and has formed a Bearish Continuation pattern. Since the RSI is below the 50 line, it is still considered bearish territory, so the price is most likely to drop to the Ultimate Support (psychological level). Then, we expect the RSI Bullish Divergence to show its effect and push the price back to the Strong Pivot (2578.125). After a breakout of this level, we expect the price to reach the Major Resistance at 2656.379.
Happy Trading
Bearish Pennant on EUR/GBP @ D1This chart shows a bearish pennant on the daily chart of the EUR/GBP currency pair. It can be used as a trend continuation pattern in case of the price closing below the lower border of the pennant part. The pennant and its pole are shown with the yellow lines. My potential stop-loss level is marked with the red line (0.83861), it is placed at the high of the pennant area. My potential take-profit level is marked with the green line (0.82562), it is placed at the pole's length below the SL. I will wait for the price to close significantly below the lower border of the pennant area to execute a trade here.
Bearish Pennant Pattern and Support Breakout in MDTUSDT CoinAnalysis:
Chart Pattern: MDT/USDT is showing a Bearish Pennant pattern below the support level, indicating potential for further downward movement.
Support Breakout: The coin has broken below a key support level, suggesting increased selling pressure.
Target Price: Estimate target prices based on the height of the pennant.
Cautionary Note:
Be careful, as trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risks. Ensure to assess your financial situation and investment goals before making any decisions.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss slightly above the pennant's upper boundary to manage risk.
Sell ETHUSDT Bearish PennantThe ETH/USDT (Ethereum) pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential shorting opportunity due to the presence of a bearish pennant patten.
Potential Short Trade :
Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support trendline of the pennant after confirmation. Ideally, this would be around 3020 or lower if the price continues to decline.
Target Levels:
2764: This target is achieved by measuring the height of the flagpole (initial downtrend before the pennant) and projecting it downwards from the breakout point.
2692: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on roughly twice the height of the flagpole.
Stop-Loss: Once the entry point is confirmed, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the pennant, ideally with some buffer around 3040. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
Bitcoin Bears Roar: Flagging Down to $52K? 🐻📉📉 Bitcoin Analysis: Rejection from Bear Flag Pattern on 4-Hour Chart
📊 Analysis: Bitcoin appears to be rejecting from a bear flag pattern on the 4-hour chart, indicating potential further downside.
💲 Current Price: Bitcoin is priced at $64,100, showing signs of downward pressure.
📉 Measured Move: The measured move of the bear flag pattern points to a target of $52,000, coinciding with a .382 Fibonacci retracement level.
🔍 Invalidation: Invalidation of the bearish scenario would occur if Bitcoin breaks decisively above the upper boundary of the bear flag pattern and establishes a new uptrend.
🛡️ Risk Management: Implementing risk management strategies such as stop-loss orders and position size management is crucial in volatile market conditions.
🔄 Stay Updated: Market conditions can change rapidly, so it's essential to stay updated on price movements and adjust strategies accordingly.
📉 Bitcoin's Bear Pennant Breakout: Measured Move to $59200 withAbstract:
🐻 Bitcoin is poised to break from a 4-hour bear pennant pattern, signaling a potential move to the $59200 area. 📈 This analysis explores the implications of this breakout, which aligns with the Shibunacci indicator, offering additional confirmation. 🔄
Introduction:
Bitcoin's imminent breakout from a 4-hour bear pennant suggests a shift in market dynamics. 📉 Traders are anticipating a measured move towards the $59200 region, reinforced by confluence with the Shibunacci indicator. 🔍
Bear Pennant Breakout:
The bear pennant formation on the 4-hour chart indicates a period of consolidation followed by a potential downward continuation. 📉 Bitcoin's price action within this pattern sets the stage for a decisive breakout, with implications for future price movements. 📊
Measured Move Target:
Applying the measured move technique to the bear pennant's height suggests a target around the $59200 area. 🎯 This level serves as a focal point for traders monitoring Bitcoin's price trajectory, offering potential entry and exit opportunities. 💰
Shibunacci Indicator Confluence:
The alignment of the breakout target with the Shibunacci indicator adds further conviction to the bullish thesis. 🔍 Traders utilizing this indicator may find additional confirmation of Bitcoin's upward potential, enhancing their trading decisions. 💡
Conclusion:
Bitcoin's impending breakout from the 4-hour bear pennant pattern, with a measured move target to the $59200 area, presents opportunities for traders. 🚀 The confluence with the Shibunacci indicator reinforces the bullish outlook, providing a comprehensive perspective for informed trading strategies. 📈
Ascending Triangle or Bearish Pennant for Ethereum....It appears as though Ethereum has broken the horizontal resistance of an Ascending Triangle or Bearish Pennant....
ideally we want to see the old resistance turn into new support, I do not expect that to happen.
A re-test of the upward sloping support of the pattern is like to occur.
ETH Macro AnalysisEth is currenty making Bearish pennat Pattern as you all know about me that i m still bearish on BTC on Macro level.
But I trade BTC,ETH & ALts level by level regardless of beaish senerio
as you have seen my previous ideas regarding RUNE SOL APE and many more which i tell you to buy on dip with complete analysis & I also tell you about mini bull run in march .you can visit my wall to see that.
But i know that this not a real bull run, bull run will start in the end of 2025 or 2026 even if btc go to 80k$ its just manipulating.
My targets regarding Eth wil be 400$-700$.
i will buy it from there.
If you like my idea kindly like it and follow me
Thank You
Regards Hamza Shabir
BTC UPDATE! DUMP INCOMING!!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow.
Welcome to the new BTC update. BTC is currently trading around the $30.2k level.
As you see in the chart, it is forming a bearish pennant in 1hr time frame. It already breaks down this pennant and a retest is also done. According to this pattern, we might see a big sell-off today.
If this pattern plays out accordingly, then we see a dump up to the FWB:29K level from here.
Invalidation:- If the hourly candle closes above $30.5k then this bearish pattern will be invalidated.
What do you think about this?
Do you also think that we see a dump from here or do you think that we pump from here?
Let me know in the comment section.
If you like this idea then do support it with like and follow.
Thank You!
Bitcoin price action update : Bearish pennantThis is another update about the bitcoin as the price action has been developing in another consolidation factor. During the development of the price action, we also see that the price is now forming another bearish scenario as the liquidation factor involved in this analysis.
Bitcoin - No one talks about this trendline, last wave up!
Bitcoin is appraoching an extremely strong resistance at around 30k. The chance of crash from this level is extremely high!
We can see that the uptrend from 20k to almost 30k in March is steep and without any major corrections.
From the Elliott Wave perspective I expect last fifth wave to the upside to complete an impulse wave. We can find a resistance at the major trendline that you can see on the chart, or you can call it a broadening wedge.
If you open a short position slightly below 30k, then what is the profit target? 0.618 FIB and POC of the previous structure is at 23k. If you want to take profit earlier than 0.382 FIB at around 25k is the next option because it is also a strong horizontal resistance on the weekly chart.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
If we take a look at the RSI indicator on the daily chart, we can be sure that after the final impulse wave the indicator will be oversold, so this is probably not the best time to buy/long at this point.
In my opinion, a CRASH to 15k is probable later this year, maybe in September / October, so be prepared for it because this will be the best time for an investment position with a target of around 150k!
I took a look at all major altcoins on major exchanges and I can tell you that 95% of them looks totally bearish on the highest timeframe, the bottom is definitely not in for them.
This is my game plan for Bitcoin at this moment as I said I expect one last wave to the upside before a huge crash. I am not going to long or buy Bitcoin at this point after this pump because it's of course dangerous and we have a lot of unfilled GAPs below the current price.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
BEARISH PENNANT FORMATION BTC/USD SHORTDear followers and viewers,
*We have a bearish pennate formation along with a death cross on the REX indicator. There were also no signs of bullish divergence on RSI meaning BTC should trade lower, especially if the pennate does not break currently.
*There will be a continuation of the trend, tread lightly if you are bullish better off thinking of a bearish scenario.
*My target for this short is near 20.5k
~MC
Ethereum - Final 24% drop before a new all time high!
Ethereum is now in an extremely difficult situation because the price is at the resistance of this symmetrical triangle and also inside the bearish rising wedge pattern on the daily chart! These patterns are bearish, so the probability of breaking down is higher at this point. Of course, we can breakout bullish, but do you really want to bet on it?
What's more, it looks like the first impulse Elliott wave has been completed, and we should take a look for a potential buying level on the next bull run! An ABC correction is on the way, and in this case personally, I am targeting the previous POC or the 0.618 FIB of the impulse wave, which is a 24% drop.
The very good news is that this triangle has impulse waves to the upside and corrective waves to the downside. It's a sign of trend reversal, and that's why I think this symmetrical triangle will break to the upside (later)! I think the bull market has started, but we are still stuck in this symmetrical range.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
As you can clearly see, we have an unfilled GAP, and it is very dangerous to go up without filling it. The reason is that the market will want to fill the gap later, maybe in 2024, and you probably don't want it. So let's fill it now.
If you haven't seen my previous very popular idea about "Bitcoin to 18K," "The big crash is coming!" You have to check out the related section down below, because it's absolutely mind-blowing.
Currently I am bearish on Ethereum and Bitcoin, but only temporarily until we reach my targets. It's hard to speculate on the breakout of the symmetrical triangle while the price is still inside it. So from my perspective, the probability of going down is 75%.
It was a very good rally with tons of profits, but now we need to trade the market differently. Of course, it will be more difficult for the majority of traders, but it is doable!
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Bitcoin to 18k. The big crash is coming!
It looks like Bitcoin has completed the first bullish impulse wave, which is a very positive sign for the future, but right now the correction is in progress.
As you know, from the Elliott Wave perspective, wave 2 corrections are usually deeper, especially in crypto. 0.618 FIB or even lower is a classic retracement, and because we have a huge unfilled GAP, this is going to happen!
0.618 FIB is at 18658 (LOG), and the start of the gap + POC of the previous consolidation structure is at 16830. Only these two levels are important; the others are insignificant. So you want to buy bitcoin at these points!
The market always moves in waves, no doubt about it. The waves in crypto are absolutely different from the stock market because different environments have different personalities. What works on the crypto market doesn't work on the stock market. If someone claims that his bot or trading system works on all markets, including forex, indices, crypto, commodities, and stocks, he is most likely lying to you. It is best to concentrate on a single type of market; in my case, that is crypto. I don't trade forex, stocks, or gold because the market movements are very different. It's like comparing apples to beef steak; they look different and taste different. It's better to eat the beef steak.
We can see on the chart that there is a large unfilled GAP between approx. 16830 and 20407. These gaps tend to be filled sooner or later. I think maybe it's better to fill the gap right now than next year. You probably do not want Bitcoin to go to 40k and then dump back to 16k next year; this would be as ugly as the COVID crash in 2020.
The bulls didn't react to the major supports on lower timeframes, and it's a huge sign of weakness at this moment. The structure was bullish, but currently at this point, it's extremely bearish to me.
So what is the plan now? You can trade Bitcoin on futures and trade reactions on the previous structures. For example, 21,950 is a strong level and bitcoin could bounce from it, so you can take some intraday trades with a few % of gains before it collapses down to the abyss. You can definitely short bitcoin. I will make these types of trades in the next few weeks. Once bitcoin reaches my reversal zone, I will take some brutal long trades with an extremely high RR and a target of 30k+.
March is going to be a very bearish month. And usually Bitcoin starts to pump significantly when April starts. You can do a back test. April is a very positive month.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Bitcoin - Buy here if you feel FOMO!
The new bull market on Bitcoin started with a strong impulsive structure, which is definitely a positive sign. We have an unfilled CME GAP at 20,000 - 20,450, and there is a very high chance that the market will fill the GAP; I would say 90%. We can fill this gap next week, next month, or next year, believe it or not. It happened during the COVID flash crash.
If we fill this gap, you want to buy as much bitcoin as possible for the long term investment! I expect this bull market to end in September 2025, so we have plenty of time! And what is my ultimate profit target at the end of the bull market in 2025? I showed you the previous analysis, so check it out!
This analysis is a bullish idea, where you can buy BTC if the price drops. If you feel FOMO and you need to buy cheap Bitcoin, then 20,000 USDT is a reasonable price for you. We already bought Bitcoin at 16,500 privately for the long term investment on the spot, and I do not touch these bitcoins.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
On the chart, you can see my main Elliott Wave count. There are multiple valid Elliott Wave counts, but I am not able to show you all of them on the same chart. For example, wave 5 of wave 3 could still be in progress, and we could make an ending diagonal wedge. We should not go below the previous wave 1, which is at 18,373. Otherwise, this Elliott Wave count will be invalidated.
The 0.618 LOG FIB is slightly above the wave 1, so this is like the worst-case scenario if a flash crash occurs to wipe out high leverage longs before continuing higher to 30k.
I am very bullish on Bitcoin and my strategy is to not short Bitcoin at all. It's better to trade longs only at this moment.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Solana - Exponential growth, right now!
Solana looks extremely strong at this moment, and it looks like we will have an explosive pump! But it has already begun.
From a technical perspective, we need to retest the previous blue trendline, which is at 29.8 USDT. It's also the point of control for the previous price action. This is the first profit target, and I recommend selling SOL here.
The second profit target is more advanced. There are a lot of stop losses above the wave (4), so the market might find enough strength to get there. It's at 48 USDT.
In my previous analysis on Solana, I recommended buying SOL at 8.6 USD, so check out my previous idea in the related section down below for more details.
The chart is printing a broadening falling wedge on the weekly chart, and there is definitely the possibility to touch the top of the wedge in the immediate short term!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, the major impulse wave from the previous all-time high has been completed successfully, and at this point we should look for an ABC retracement to the upside.
I see a lot of signs that Solana has temporarily bottomed out on lower timeframes. The strength is currently incredible.
Counter-trends tend to be steeper, so there is a possibility of hitting my price target at warp speed.
If you want to trade Solana intraday, it's definitely a good opportunity because the volatility on this coin should be insane. I recommend only longs.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
GOLD - This is brutal, no one expected it!
Don't be surprised if you wake up in the morning to see a massive red dildo on the gold chart breaking down the wedge. In my opinion, it's very likely.
GOLD is absolutely ready for a massive downtrend; it's going to happen very soon, so I hope you are prepared for it!
We can clearly see a rising wedge on the 4h / daily charts, which is also an ending diagonal wedge from the Elliott Wave perspective. This indicates that the bulls are losing steam.
The question now is, "How deep is the retracement going to be?" First of all, we should completely wipe out the wedge and also test the unfilled GAP, which is at the 0.618 FIB retracement. There is a parallel channel projection, so this is a good level to profit from your shorts.
I marked this whole uptrend as an impulse Elliott wave pattern, which suggests that gold can potentially go much higher later next year. This is my bullish scenario, I also have a bearish scenario, that I will post sometimes, maybe in January, so follow me and hit the like!
Maybe gold will be a good hedge against the upcoming recession. I think the bull market on the dollar is not over yet, and we are going to see new highs on the DXY index.
Thank you, and have a good one!