Bat
GOLD SHORT ANALYSIS
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A Great Trading OpportunityAs per my analysis, a Fib-3 Bat Pattern is about to complete at 1.8979 on the Daily Chart. To minimize the initial risk, I will wait for a buying opportunity on the H4 or H1 chart. This will significantly reduce the stop-loss to 1.8733 (-246pips) or close to -2,460usd/lot, while the first target will be at 1.9363 (+384pips) or close to 3,840usd/lot.
I believe that a good trader follows a good mentor, but a great trader plans his own trade and takes reference from others' analysis. Therefore, I suggest that we proceed with caution and carefully evaluate the market conditions before investing. With a well-planned trade, we can maximize our gains and minimize our risks.
Walmart Inc: Bearish Alt Bat and Rising Wedge w/PPO ConfirmationWalmart has formed a Rising Wedge into the PCZ of a Bearish Alternate Bat, and as it's made its way to the PCZ, the PPO has given us both a Bearish Confrimation Circle and 3 Falling Peaks. If this plays out, I think WMT could easily see $130, but there is room for it to go down to as low as $90.
Bearish Cypher and Bat Patterns in Harmonic: An Educational Post🎢**What are Harmonic Patterns?**
Harmonic patterns are a type of technical analysis that uses Fibonacci ratios to identify potential turning points in the market. They are based on the idea that the market tends to move in geometric proportions. 📐Fibonacci ratios are a set of numbers that are derived from a mathematical sequence. They are often used in financial markets to identify potential support and resistance levels.
**What is the Cypher Pattern?**
The Cypher pattern is a five-point harmonic pattern that is often used to identify potential price reversals. It is characterized by the following Fibonacci ratios:
* XA retraces 0.382 to 0.618 of the previous swing
* AB retraces 0.382 to 0.618 of the XA swing
* BC extends to a minimum of 1.272 and a maximum of 1.414 of the XA swing
* CD retraces 0.786 of the XC swing
**What is the Bat Pattern?**
The Bat pattern is another five-point harmonic pattern that is used to identify potential price reversals. It is characterized by the following Fibonacci ratios:
* XA retraces 0.382 to 0.5 of the previous swing
* AB retraces 0.382 to 0.886 of the XA swing
* BC extends to 1.618 to 2.618 of the AB swing
* D retraces 0.886 of the XA swing
**How to Trade Cypher and Bat Patterns**
Cypher and Bat patterns can be traded in both bullish and bearish markets. However, they are more likely to succeed if they are traded in the direction of the overall trend.
**Tips for Trading Cypher and Bat Patterns**
* Look for patterns that have clear and well-defined Fibonacci ratios.
* Trade in the direction of the overall trend.
* Use risk management techniques.
**Interesting Example:**
A similar pattern was observed in Tata Motors from year 2009 to 2021. The stock had a rollercoaster ride, but it eventually reached new highs in 2023. 🎢📈
**Potential Outcome:**
If a Bat & Cypher pattern is in the making in S&P 500, we could see the index reach 2800 levels by August 2024. 📈🚀
**Conclusion**
Cypher and Bat patterns are two popular harmonic patterns that can be used to identify potential price reversals. They can be traded in both bullish and bearish markets, but they are more likely to succeed if they are traded in the direction of the overall trend.
**Please note:** Harmonic patterns are not a perfect trading system. There is no guarantee that the market will reverse after a Cypher or Bat pattern is completed. However, these patterns can be useful tools for identifying potential trading opportunities. 🔍
However, I am not a financial advisor and cannot provide financial advice. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions. 💰
NAS100NAS100 is at very critical level. After the recent massive sell off the buyers are being reluctant to buy.
But the price is also reached at inclining trendline, which is also the BC length of harmonics.
It seems like harmonic may attempt to complete its final length CD.
If CD length completes the realistic target for bulls could be 15600.
What you guys think of this idea ?
Ethereum Classic (ETC) forming bullish BAT for the next pumpHi dear friends , hope you are well and welcome to the new update on Ethereum Classic (ETC) with US Dollar pair.
Previously we caught a nice trade of ETC as below:
Now on a 4-hr time frame, ETC is about to complete the final leg of a bullish BAT move.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade.
Potential Gold (XAU/USD) Bat; Is gold going down?Soooooo, you know when there's one person in the room that says something crazy.....well I'm possibly about to become that person.
My previous post about the long short on the USD/JPY still shows that there is still a little bit of way for the USD to climb before the drop. So, this took me to the gold chart, and here's where we are at present. I have had this bat drawn for around 10 days, and really didn't believe that it would play out, but so far it is.
This is IMPORTANT bit....this bat could easily break if closes above point C, it could also really break if it doesn't drop down to point D. To get down to point D we need the DXY to rise....and to get to that point we will need the FED to announce a rate rise. Now I'm fully aware that Wall Street is 60/40 that there will be a halt in rate rises, sending the dollar down, but, and it is a but, this chart is a possibility. If there is a rate hike then the chances are that we are heading to point D at 1866, then put your fib on the CD point and 50% is the TP1, point C is TP2.
I'm not saying that any of this will definitely happen, and don't shoot the loony in the room, but it's a possibility that is on the table. Don't forget, the FED won't be worried about throwing the little guy in the street under a bus. Their job is to look after the economy.
Opportunities Abound!The Dollar Canada pair offers a chance to capitalize on a bit of consolidation after an uptrend movement. Upon examining the daily chart, there appears to be a retest of the previous resistance, indicating a favorable buying opportunity for counter-trend traders.
The 4-hour chart shows a retest of the support area, which could potentially lead to a harmonic pattern on the intraday time frame, such as the 15-minute or 1-hour chart.
On the weekly chart, the Dollar Canada has a fib-3 bat pattern completing at 1.2579, hitting its resistance level. For support-resistance traders, there is a candlestick confirmation over here, which could indicate an aggressive selling opportunity. However, due to the lack of other trading ideas support, this may not be an attractive option.
The daily chart shows a bearish shark pattern that has already been validated and engaged in movement, hitting the support level. Structure based traders may want to look for a buying opportunity around this zone at 1.3508. The 4-hour chart has a retest of support at 1.3495, which is a zoomed-in version compared to the daily chart. On the 1-hour chart, support-resistance traders can look for a shorting opportunity on the mini buy zone over here at 1.3529 the immediate level.
The 15-minute chart provides multiple trading opportunities, including a bullish bat pattern completing at 1.3506, a bearish deep gartley pattern completing at 1.3547, and a bullish butterfly pattern at 1.3478. These opportunities can be identified by those who know how to spot them.
As a suggestion, a Bullish Bat Pattern completing at 1.3506 has an initial stop-loss at 1.3492 (-14pips) and a first target at 1.3516, yielding approximately +100usd/lot for +10pips. Should the market extend upwards, a Bearish Deep Gartley Pattern is looking to complete at 1.3547, with an initial stop-loss at 1.3559 (-12pips) and a first target at 1.3530, yielding approximately +170usd/lot for +17pips.
Please note that this is not a trading advice, and it is recommended that you do your own analysis before making any investment decisions.
AMZN: Bearish Bat with Confirmation Could Take It Down to $42.99We have officially gotten PPO Confirmation at the Bearish Bat PCZ, as a result, I am now convicted to this trade and am even willing to lower my target back down to $42.99. We have broken trend on the PPO and Confirmed an Arrow at the PCZ; a move down to $42.99 would be the completion of a Perfect AB=CD BAMM and the Bearish Bat here just may act as our Early C entry to catch the more macro CD wave to $42.99.
Bat and Crab on CIBearish Bat on CI
You can ride the journey on CD as the final leg of the bearish bat pattern completes.
TP1: 88.6 % of XA when the bearish bat pattern is complete.
If trend turns bearish at that point, CI can be shorted all the way down to 38.2% of AD and then to 61.8% of AD.
If the uptrend continues ie. beyond TP1, the pattern will then be a crab pattern. You can then ride the extended CD journey upwards. In this case TP2 = 161% of XA.
LTCUSD: Ascending Broadening Wedge with a Confirmed Partial RiseWe have confirmed the partial rise of the Ascending Broadening Wedge and have failed to break above the major support/resistance level. I now expect the price of LTC to go even lower than 40 and perhaps to around $25-$19 as that would be the HOP level of the Bullish Bat it is currently BAMMing from, but it is possible we get a reaction at around $35 as that would be the 88.6% Retrace, but the most confluence is at the $25-$19 area.
Bullish Outlook, Counter-Trend Opp.The overall outlook for USDJPY leans towards a bullish trajectory. However, this week's strategies are tailored for counter-trend traders.
For position traders, keep an eye out for a potential Bearish Bat Pattern forming at 149.28. Exercise patience and await confirmation before making a move.
Zooming into the 4-hour chart, an ABCD Pattern coupled with an RSI Divergence at 147.77 provides an intriguing setup. If the market doesn't exhibit a significant gap upon opening, this could shape up to be a promising strategy.
🤔 What's your play in this scenario? Share your trade plan in the comments! 🗨️💡
Bearish Bat on SPYSPY Hourly Chart:
I see a bearish bat pattern on SPY.
SPY started an uptrend in the latter part of 6 September after a downtrend which started a week ago. This uptrend is likely to continue with a few minor downswings till third week of September when point D of the pattern is reached. SPY would then be in the range of 455-456.
Thereafter, the scenario doesn't look good. SPY may then retrace to 443, a major support level, which SPY tested yesterday (6 September).