Bankniftyanalysis
Banknifty market crash targetHello guys Hope you all are doing good.
if you are shocked and thinking of this market crash as a surprise, then don't, because these kind of moves can be anticipated before hand.
so our next move is below 49820 level preferred 49750 or below the best one.
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[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(20/12/2024)Today will be slightly gap down opening expected in banknifty. After opening if banknifty sustain abover 51550 level then expected consolidated movements in between 51550-51950 level. Strong downside fall expected below the 51450 level. This downside rally can goes upto the 51050 level.
BANKNIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 20-Dec-2024
Intro: Review of the Previous Day’s Plan
As mentioned in Yesterday's plan BANKNIFTY has found support from level mentioned in Chart yesterday. The chart movement adhered closely to the plan, with Bank Nifty consolidating within the highlighted zones before attempting an upward breakout. The yellow trend on the chart depicted a sideways consolidation, while green and red trends outlined bullish and bearish moves respectively. Today, we prepare for potential scenarios based on expected market openings.
Plan for Different Opening Scenarios
Gap-Up Opening (200+ points above 51,902):
If Bank Nifty opens above 52,068, the index is likely entering the resistance zone highlighted in orange. Watch for rejection signals around 52,381, the last intraday resistance.
Plan of Action:
Look for bearish reversal candles or patterns near 52,381 to initiate short positions with a target of 52,068 and a stop loss above 52,450.
In case of a sustained breakout above 52,381, consider fresh longs targeting 52,600 or higher. Ensure confirmation with strong volume.
Key Tips: If trading options, focus on slightly OTM puts for shorts. For breakout trades, consider ATM or slightly OTM calls.
Flat Opening (Within 51,800-52,000 range):
A flat opening near 51,902 keeps the market in the opening resistance zone. Price action within this zone (yellow trend) will guide the next move.
Plan of Action:
Observe price behavior for 30 minutes. If the index breaks below 51,800, initiate shorts targeting 51,418 with a stop loss at 52,000.
If the index breaks above 52,068, initiate longs with targets at 52,381 and stop loss below 51,902.
Key Tips: For flat openings, straddle or strangle strategies can help capture significant moves in either direction.
Gap-Down Opening (200+ points below 51,902):
A gap-down below 51,418 enters the green support/consolidation zone. Watch for potential reversals or breakdowns near 51,092 or the Wave B lower band at 50,664.
Plan of Action:
If Bank Nifty reverses from 51,092, initiate long trades with targets at 51,418, maintaining a stop loss at 50,900.
A breakdown below 51,092 confirms bearish momentum. Short positions can target 50,664, with stop loss above 51,200.
Key Tips: For aggressive trades in this scenario, consider deep OTM puts for higher returns.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Avoid over-leveraging; allocate no more than 2-3% of capital per trade.
Use hourly candle close as confirmation for entries and exits.
Hedge positions using spreads to limit losses.
Exit trades promptly if they don’t perform as expected within the first 30 minutes.
Summary and Conclusion:
Today's trading plan focuses on key levels derived from technical analysis. The yellow trend indicates likely consolidation, the green trend suggests bullish opportunities, and the red trend signals potential bearish moves. Adherence to price action at critical levels will be crucial for maximizing profits and minimizing risks. Always ensure disciplined execution and maintain a balanced approach.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BANKNIFTY : Levels, prediction and Plan for 19-Dec-2024Intro: Previous Day's Plan vs Actual
In yesterday's trading plan, BankNifty tested the Wave C Support Zone near 51,903 - 52,068 as highlighted in yesterday's trading plan, showing indecision within the sideways range (Yellow Trend). As expected, the index respected the completion zone for Wave C and stayed above the support area for most of the session. However, no clear breakout or breakdown occurred.
Now, for 19-Dec-2024, we will plan for three potential opening scenarios: Gap Up, Flat, and Gap Down, considering a gap opening of 200+ points. The key levels and actionable strategies are explained below.
Trading Scenarios for 19-Dec-2024
Gap Up Opening (200+ points):
If Bank Nifty opens above the Resistance for Sideways Trade at 52,647, it indicates bullish sentiment.
- Monitor the first 30 minutes for a sustained breakout above this level. If the price holds above 52,647, the next target will be the Last Intraday Resistance at 53,039.
- However, failure to sustain above 52,647 may lead to a retracement back to the Opening Resistance at 52,381.
- Action Plan:
- Initiate long positions only if an hourly candle closes above **52,647**, with targets at **53,039**.
- If price fails to sustain and shows weakness, wait for retracement back to **52,381** for possible re-entry opportunities.
Flat Opening:
If Bank Nifty opens near the Opening Resistance at 52,381, it signals indecision, and price may move sideways (Yellow Trend) before providing direction.
- A breakout above 52,381 can trigger a move toward the Resistance for Sideways Trade (52,647), while a breakdown below 52,205 (previous close) could drag prices back toward the Wave C Completion Zone at 52,068 - 51,903.
- Action Plan:
- Avoid trading immediately after the open. Let price break above **52,381** for bullish trades, targeting **52,647**.
- A breakdown below **52,205** could signal short opportunities with targets at **52,068** and **51,903**.
- Manage risk by placing stops based on an hourly candle close above/below these levels.
Gap Down Opening (200+ points):
If Bank Nifty opens near or below the Wave C Completion Zone (52,068 - 51,903), it signals bearish momentum.
- Look for signs of support formation in this zone, as prices could take a reversal from here (Green Trend).
- Failure to hold 51,903 could lead to further downside towards the critical support at 51,418 (red trend).
- Action Plan:
- Look for long opportunities if Bank Nifty holds above **51,903** with confirmation (hourly close), targeting a bounce back to **52,205** and then **52,381**.
- If price decisively breaks below **51,903**, consider short trades toward **51,418**, with a strict stop loss above **52,068**.
Risk Management Tips for Options Traders :
Use spreads like Bull Call Spreads for bullish moves or Bear Put Spreads for downside moves to limit risks in volatile openings.
Avoid trading during the first 15-30 minutes if opening is erratic or near key levels like the Wave C zone. Let the price stabilize.
Always place stop losses on an hourly candle close basis for better risk management.
Avoid over-leveraging; focus on maintaining a favorable risk-reward ratio (minimum 1:2).
Summary and Conclusion:
Bank Nifty remains at a crucial juncture near the Wave C Completion Zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
Upside: 52,381, 52,647, 53,039
Downside: 52,205, 52,068, 51,903, and 51,418
Yellow Trend reflects sideways price action, Green Trend signals bullish reversals, and Red Trend highlights bearish continuation.
Focus on price action near key levels, and avoid trading in uncertain zones.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Traders should conduct their analysis or consult a financial advisor before making decisions.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 18-Dec-2024Trading Plan for Bank Nifty – 18th December 2024
The chart for 17th December 2024 outlined key levels like the **Golden Retracement Zone (₹52,581 - ₹52,998)**, deep retracement at ₹51,868-₹52,074, and potential resistance levels like ₹53,225 and ₹53,519. The plan predicted consolidation within the golden zone and a potential breakout. On 17th December, Bank Nifty respected the yellow highlighted zone (sideways trend) but showed weakness at intraday resistance. Buyers failed to take control, indicating the market might revisit lower retracement zones.
Now, let's discuss the detailed trading plan for 18th December based on potential opening scenarios.
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Trading Plan for 18th December 2024
Key Levels for the Day:
Support Zone: ₹52,581 - ₹52,789 (Golden Retracement Zone)
Resistance Levels: ₹53,225 (Intraday Resistance), ₹53,519 (Resistance for New Highs)
Deep Retracement Zone: ₹52,074 - ₹51,868 (113%-127% Fibonacci)
Yellow Trend indicates sideways consolidation, Green Trend shows bullish movements, and Red Trend highlights bearish trends.
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1. Gap-Up Opening (+200 Points or More Above ₹52,998)
- If Bank Nifty opens above ₹52,998, it enters the upper band of the **Golden Retracement Zone**.
- Immediate focus will be on **₹53,225** (Intraday Resistance).
- A bullish breakout above ₹53,225 may lead to a quick move toward **₹53,519** (Resistance for New Highs).
Plan of Action:
Look for bullish price action confirmation (green candles, strong volumes) near ₹52,998-₹53,225.
Place a buy trade above ₹53,225 for targets of ₹53,519, with a stop loss at ₹52,900.
If resistance at ₹53,225 holds and bearish candles appear, plan short trades below ₹53,000 targeting ₹52,789-₹52,581 (lower retracement zone).
Tips: Avoid chasing trades during the first 15 minutes; wait for clear price action confirmation around resistance zones.
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2. Flat Opening (Near ₹52,789 - ₹52,998)
- A flat opening within the **Golden Retracement Zone** suggests potential sideways consolidation.
- Buyers will likely attempt to defend the zone between ₹52,789-₹52,581.
Plan of Action:
Observe price behavior within the range. If support holds above ₹52,789, consider a buy trade above ₹52,998 with targets at ₹53,225 and ₹53,519.
If price breaks below ₹52,581, shift focus to the **Deep Retracement Zone (₹52,074-₹51,868)**. Plan a short trade targeting ₹52,074 with a stop loss at ₹52,800.
Tips: For options traders, use **strangle or straddle strategies** to capture sideways volatility if price stays within the golden retracement range.
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3. Gap-Down Opening (-200 Points or Below ₹52,581)
- A gap-down opening below ₹52,581 will indicate bearish pressure.
- Price is likely to test the **Deep Retracement Zone (₹52,074 - ₹51,868)**, a potential reversal area for Wave C.
Plan of Action:
Wait for price to enter the deep retracement zone. Look for bullish reversal patterns (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing) near ₹52,074-₹51,868 before initiating a buy trade targeting ₹52,581 .
If price fails to hold ₹51,868, plan short trades targeting ₹51,500 with a stop loss at ₹52,200.
For aggressive traders, sell on breakdowns below ₹52,581 for quick intraday moves toward the deep retracement zone.
Tips: In case of a gap-down, avoid panic trades. Wait for price to stabilize and confirm levels before entering positions.
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Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Avoid over-leveraging; allocate no more than 2% of capital per trade.
Use hedging strategies like bull call spreads or bear put spreads to limit risks during volatile sessions.
Always place stop-loss orders for both futures and options trades.
Avoid trading options with low liquidity to minimize slippage.
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Summary and Conclusion:
- For 18th December 2024, the **Golden Retracement Zone (₹52,789 - ₹52,998)** is the key area to watch. A breakout above ₹53,225 can trigger a bullish rally, while a breakdown below ₹52,581 may lead to further bearishness toward the deep retracement zone.
- Sideways consolidation is expected if the price remains within the golden retracement range.
- Focus on price action signals and risk management to navigate the session effectively.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The views expressed here are for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(17/12/2024)Today will be flat opening expected in banknifty. After opening if it's sustain above 53550 level then expected upside rally upto 54000 level. Downslide movement possible below 53450 level. Currently marketing trading in consolidation zone of 53000-54000 levels.
BankNifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 17.12.2024On Monday, BankNifty opened negative, made a high of 53738.90, and fell to a low of 53335 during the session. It closed almost flat at 53581.35, losing just 2 points over the previous close. Both the Weekly Trend (50 SMA) and Daily Trend (50 SMA) remain positive.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (75m): 52264.55 - 52665.15
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 51693.95 - 52197.25
Far Demand/Support Zone (125m): 51693.95 - 51906.90
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 53741.40 - 54467.35 (tested)
BANKNIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 17-Dec-2024🔹 Previous Day's Plan vs Actual (16-Dec-2024):
In yesterday's trading plan, we identified the No Trade Zone / Liquidity Zone near 53,395-53,705, expecting consolidation in this range. We also highlighted the Opening Support/Resistance Zone at 53,277-53,233 as a critical area to observe.
As seen in today's chart, Bank Nifty respected the No Trade Zone before showing rejection at higher levels. The price tested the Opening Support Zone and bounced back but failed to sustain above key resistance. This reflects sideways movement (Yellow Trend) and minor bearish pressure in the later part of the session.
Today's plan will analyze three key opening scenarios for 17-Dec-2024 and guide traders with actionable steps. We will also focus on risk management strategies for options traders.
🔹 Bank Nifty Trading Plan for 17-Dec-2024:
Scenario 1: Gap Up Opening (200+ points)
If Bank Nifty opens above the No Trade Zone (53,705) and sustains, we could see bullish momentum. The next key resistance is the Profit Booking Zone at 54,233-54,472, which coincides with a potential new high.
🔹 Plan of Action:
Observe price action for the first 15-30 minutes.
If prices sustain above 53,705 on an hourly candle close , initiate long positions with a target of 54,233 and an extended target of 54,472.
Place a stop loss below 53,705 to protect against reversal.
🔹 Bullish Confirmation:
Sustaining above 53,705.
Aggressive moves can be expected if volumes increase near this level.
🔹 Key Target Levels:
First Target: 54,233.
Extended Target: 54,472.
🔹 Risk Management Tip:
Avoid chasing a gap-up rally; wait for a pullback near support zones before entering trades. Options traders can buy slightly ITM CE to mitigate time decay.
Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 53,490)
If Bank Nifty opens flat, focus on the No Trade Zone between 53,395-53,705. This zone is likely to show sideways movement (Yellow Trend) unless a breakout or breakdown occurs.
🔹 Plan of Action:
Avoid initiating trades inside the No Trade Zone as price could face rejection.
A breakout above 53,705 will trigger bullish momentum (Green Trend).
A breakdown below 53,395 will open doors for bearish movement (Red Trend).
🔹 Trade Setups:
Long Position: Above 53,705, targeting 54,233.
Short Position: Below 53,395, targeting 53,277 and 53,002.
🔹 Risk Management Tip:
Use tight stop losses near breakout/breakdown points. For options traders, wait for hourly candle confirmations to avoid false signals.
Scenario 3: Gap Down Opening (200+ points)
If Bank Nifty opens below 53,277 (Opening Support/Resistance Zone), bearish pressure may intensify. The Last Support for Intraday at 53,002 will be the crucial level to watch. If this support fails, expect a sharp fall toward 52,577.
🔹 Plan of Action:
If prices open near 53,277, observe price behavior for the first 15-30 minutes.
If the level fails to hold, initiate short positions with a target of 53,002 and an extended target of 52,577.
If Bank Nifty shows a bounce from 53,277, look for reversal opportunities toward 53,490.
🔹 Bearish Confirmation:
Sustaining below 53,277 with strong bearish candles.
Volumes increasing near the support breakdown will signal further downside.
🔹 Key Target Levels:
First Target: 53,002.
Extended Target: 52,577.
🔹 Risk Management Tip:
For options traders, buy slightly OTM PE with defined stop loss above resistance. Avoid holding short positions overnight in case of volatility.
🔹 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders:
Avoid taking positions during the first 15 minutes to avoid false breakouts.
Use slightly ITM options to reduce time decay impact.
Focus on hourly candle closes for confirmation of breakouts or breakdowns.
Always have a stop loss in place to protect against sudden reversals.
Trade with smaller position sizes when market volatility is high.
🔹 Summary & Conclusion:
A Gap Up Opening above 53,705 can lead to bullish continuation toward 54,233-54,472.
A Flat Opening inside the No Trade Zone requires caution. Look for a breakout above 53,705 or breakdown below 53,395 for direction.
A Gap Down Opening below 53,277 can trigger bearish moves toward 53,002 and 52,577.
Yellow Trend represents sideways consolidation, Green Trend signals bullish moves, and Red Trend indicates bearish momentum.
🔹 Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their own analysis or consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
BankNifty Intraday Trade Setup | 17th DecToday, BankNifty closed with a minor gap-down and traded in a range from 53700 on upside to 53335 on downside. As per setup posted yesterday, sell trade triggered below 53480 but it missed our 1st target by 10 points. Overall it was a range bound day for BankNifty.
Tomorrow, buy BankNifty if sustains above 53700 for the targets of 53900 and above marked level. On the other side, if BankNifty sustains below 53300 on the downside, sell BankNifty for the targets of 53120 and below marked level on the chart.
Expectations: Range-bound day.
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 53700
Sell Below - 53300
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India Team
BankNifty Intraday Trade Setup | 16th DecOn Friday, BankNifty gave big moves. In morning we saw breakdown and BankNifty made a low around 52260 but we saw strong reversal from lower levels and BankNifty made a high at 53654 which is approx 1400 points rally from day low.
Tomorrow, buy BankNifty if sustains above 53700 for the targets of 53850 and above marked level. On the other side, if BankNifty sustains below 53480 on the downside, sell BankNifty for the targets of 53320 and below marked level on the chart.
Expectations: Volatile day.
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 53700
Sell Below - 53480
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India Team
The Bank Nifty Intraday trend forecast for December 17, 2024The trend looks bullish tomorrow for the Bank Nifty as well. 54590 looks like a strong resistance for the Bank Nifty spot. The levels provided in the chart may vary based on the gaps on the either side. The content is only for the educational purposes.
BankNifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 16.12.2024On Friday, BankNifty opened on a negative note, slipping to a low of 52264.55. However, it staged a robust recovery, reaching a high of 53654, and closed strong at 53583.80, gaining 367 points over the previous close. Both the Weekly Trend (50 SMA) and the Daily Trend (50 SMA) remain positive, reflecting sustained bullish momentum.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (75m): 52264.55 - 52665.15
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 51693.95 - 52197.25
Far Demand/Support Zone (125m): 51693.95 - 51906.90
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 53741.40 - 54467.35 (tested)
BANKNIFTY : Trading plan and levels for 16-Dec-2024Intro: Review of Previous Day’s Plan
Yesterday’s chart depicted key levels for supply, resistance, and demand zones. The anticipated plan highlighted a sideways consolidation around the "Last Resistance for ATM" zone, followed by a bullish breakout near 53,700. As per the actual market movement, Bank Nifty tested the resistance at 53,700 but failed to sustain momentum, leading to a pullback towards the Opening Support Zone. This reaffirms the importance of respecting identified zones and acting on confirmation signals.
Color Coding in the Chart:
Yellow: Sideways trend
Green: Bullish trend
Red: Bearish trend
Trading Plan for 16th December 2024
If Gap Up Opening (200+ points above previous close)
A gap-up scenario would place Bank Nifty near the upper resistance zone (54,092 to 54,322). In such cases:
Action Plan: Wait for the first 15-30 minutes to observe price stability. If an hourly candle closes above 54,322, initiate a long position with a target of 54,787 (supply zone).
If prices show rejection from 54,322, expect a retracement towards the Opening Support Zone (53,700 to 53,540).
Avoid chasing the gap-up blindly; confirm the breakout or reversal with volume and price action.
If Flat Opening
A flat opening would likely position Bank Nifty around the Opening Support/Resistance Zone (53,700 to 53,540).
Action Plan: Monitor price action within this zone. A strong breakout above 53,700 can lead to bullish momentum, targeting 54,092 first and then 54,322.
On the flip side, if Bank Nifty breaks below 53,540, a bearish trend may develop, pulling prices toward the Opening Support at 53,398 and potentially the Last Support for Intraday at 53,074.
Be cautious and use tight stop losses, especially if volatility is high.
If Gap Down Opening (200+ points below previous close)
A gap-down opening may test the Last Support for Intraday (53,074).
Action Plan: If Bank Nifty holds above 53,074, consider entering a long position with a target of 53,540 and 53,700. Look for bullish reversal candles at this level.
If prices break below 53,074, a bearish trend could extend toward 52,700 and further to the Mitigated Demand Zone (52,484 to 52,311). Avoid entering counter-trend trades unless clear reversal signs are observed.
Risk-averse traders should wait for price action confirmation to avoid false breakouts.
Tips for Risk Management in Options Trading:
Use defined stop losses to protect your capital, particularly on hourly candle closures beyond invalidation zones.
Avoid over-leveraging and position your trades based on your risk tolerance. As a guideline, limit exposure to 2-3% of your total capital per trade.
Focus on ATM or slightly ITM strike prices with adequate liquidity for intraday trades. Avoid OTM options during volatile conditions.
Implement a time-based exit if the trade does not hit the target within a predefined period.
Summary and Conclusion:
Bank Nifty’s price movement today will likely hinge on the interaction with key zones like 53,700 (Opening Resistance) and 53,074 (Last Intraday Support). Use the first 30 minutes post-opening to observe stability, and act based on breakouts or reversals. Follow a disciplined approach and avoid emotional trading.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The above plan is for educational purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(13/12/2024)Today will be slightly gap down opening expected in banknifty. After opening important level for banknifty is 53050 support level. Possible reversal from this level towards the 53450 and this can be extend for further 400-500+ points in case banknifty starts trading above 53550. Strong downside fall expected if banknifty not sustain above level and starts trading below 52950. This downside rally can goes upto 52550 in today's session.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 13-Dec-2024Introduction
In the previous day's plan, we analyzed the Nifty Bank Index on a 15-minute timeframe and identified key support and resistance levels. The chart highlighted a sideways trend in the yellow zone, a bullish trend in the green zone, and a bearish trend in the red zone. The actual price movement today followed the anticipated path, consolidating within the highlighted zones and providing opportunities for both long and short trades.
Trading Plan for 13-Dec-2024
Gap Up Opening (200+ points)
If the market opens with a gap up above 53,533.00, monitor for a potential retracement to the golden retracement zone (53,533.00 - 53,736.00). Look for bearish signals in this zone to initiate short positions.
If the price sustains above 53,736.00, consider it a bullish sign and look for long opportunities targeting the deep retracement zone of the last swing (53,977.00 - 54,077.00).
Place stop-loss orders below 53,533.00 to manage risk effectively.
Flat Opening
If the market opens flat around 53,224.85, observe the price action around the important support zone (53,101.00 - 52,945.00).
If the price holds above 53,101.00, look for long opportunities targeting the golden retracement zone (53,533.00 - 53,736.00).
If the price breaks below 52,945.00, consider short positions targeting the important support zone (52,643.20 - 52,530.30).
Place stop-loss orders accordingly to manage risk.
Gap Down Opening (200+ points)
If the market opens with a gap down below 52,945.00, monitor for support around the important support zone (52,643.20 - 52,530.30).
If the price holds above 52,530.30, look for long opportunities targeting the important support zone (53,101.00 - 52,945.00).
If the price breaks below 52,530.30, consider it a bearish sign and look for short opportunities targeting lower levels.
Place stop-loss orders above 52,945.00 to manage risk.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
Always use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses.
Avoid over-leveraging and maintain a balanced portfolio.
Monitor implied volatility and time decay when trading options.
Diversify your trades to spread risk across different assets.
Summary and Conclusion
The trading plan for 13-Dec-2024 involves monitoring key levels and zones for potential price movements. The plan includes strategies for gap up, flat, and gap down openings, with specific actions based on price behavior around important support and resistance levels. Effective risk management is crucial, especially when trading options, to protect against significant losses.
Disclaimer : I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This plan is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any trading decisions.
BankNifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 13.12.2024On Thursday, BankNifty opened negative, briefly climbing to a high of 53537.45 before sliding to a low of 53174.40. It closed at 53216.45, down 175 points from the previous close. Both the Weekly Trend (50 SMA) and Daily Trend (50 SMA) remain positive, indicating underlying strength.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (125m): 52563.20 - 52780.90
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 51693.95 - 52197.25
Far Demand/Support Zone (125m): 51693.95 - 51906.90
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 53741.40 - 54467.35 (Tested)
BANKNIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 12-Dec-2024Bank Nifty Trading Plan for 12-Dec-2024
Intro: Plan vs Actual for 11-Dec-2024
Yesterday, our plan identified key zones for Bank Nifty, including the "Liquidity Zone" and the "Buyer’s Entry Zone." Bank Nifty opened near the projected "Opening Support/Resistance Zone" at 53,398 and consolidated around the "Liquidity Zone" before attempting a breakout towards the resistance at 54,034. The market respected the identified levels, providing opportunities for both scalpers and swing traders. However, the upward movement lacked strong momentum beyond 54,034, leading to a sideways close near 53,392.
Trading Plan for 12-Dec-2024
Gap Up Opening (200+ Points):
If Bank Nifty opens significantly above 53,600:
- Immediate focus will be on the "Liquidity/NO Trade Zone" at 53,699. Wait for the first 15-minute candle to confirm strength.
- A sustained move above 53,699 can lead to a test of the "First Resistance Zone" at 54,034-54,479. Consider initiating long positions only after an hourly close above 54,034 with targets towards 54,479.
- If rejection occurs near 54,034, intraday shorts can be explored with targets back to 53,699, keeping stop-loss above 54,100.
- Risk Tip: Use deep out-of-the-money (OTM) options for breakout trades to reduce premium risk.
Flat Opening:
If Bank Nifty opens near 53,398:
- This level serves as "Opening Support/Resistance Zone." Expect range-bound movement initially.
- A breakout above 53,699 will signal bullish momentum, with targets of 54,034 and 54,479. Initiate long trades above 53,699, keeping a strict stop-loss below 53,398.
- A breakdown below 53,398 could lead to a test of 53,069, which is the "Buyer’s Support Zone for Consolidation." Watch for reversal patterns here to re-enter longs.
- Risk Tip: Avoid aggressive positions during sideways trends (Yellow zones).
Gap Down Opening (200+ Points):
If Bank Nifty opens below 53,200:
- Monitor the "Buyer’s Try Zone" at 52,968-53,069. This is a critical demand zone; a strong reversal here can provide long opportunities with a target back towards 53,398.
- If this zone fails to hold, expect a sharper decline towards the "Must Try Zone for Buyers" at 52,531-52,650. Wait for a bullish reversal signal before initiating trades.
- For intraday shorts, look for breakdown confirmation below 52,968 with a target towards 52,531.
- Risk Tip: Deploy hedged positions like straddles/strangles during volatile gap-down openings.
Tips for Risk Management in Options Trading:
Always trade with defined stop-loss levels. For options, set a premium stop-loss (e.g., 30-50%).
Avoid overleveraging. Position size should not exceed 2-3% of your trading capital.
Monitor IV (Implied Volatility) spikes, especially during news-heavy sessions.
Use spreads to minimize premium decay in sideways markets.
Summary and Conclusion:
- Bank Nifty is at a critical juncture with a potential for high volatility. Key levels to watch are 54,034 on the upside and 52,968 on the downside.
- Follow the plan with discipline and respect stop-loss levels.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This plan is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
BankNifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 12.12.2024On Wednesday, BankNifty opened negative and traded in a volatile range. It touched a low of 53302.15 before recovering to a high of 53648.05, ultimately closing at 53392.25, losing 185 points over the previous close. The Weekly Trend (50 SMA) and Daily Trend (50 SMA) remain positive.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (125m): 52563.20 - 52780.90
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 51693.95 - 52197.25
Far Demand/Support Zone (125m): 51693.95 - 51906.90
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 49787.10 - 50983.50
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 53741.40 - 54467.35 (Tested)
Key Insights
Resistance at 53750: BankNifty continues to face resistance near this level. A decisive breakout could pave the way toward 54400 and beyond.
Support at 52780: Watch for demand near this zone; a breach could signal further downside toward 52200.
BANKNIFTY : Trading plan and Levels for 11-Dec-2024Previous Day's Chart Pattern Analysis:
The chart for 10-Dec-2024 shows significant price movement with clear areas of interest. The market showed a liquidity sweep near the 53,069 zone , followed by consolidation. A CHoCH (Change of Character) around 53,398 indicated a shift in trend. The resistance near 54,034 remains crucial, and breaking this could lead to a bullish rally toward new highs. The yellow trend represents sideways movement, the green trend shows bullish momentum, and the red trend indicates bearish possibilities.
Trading Plan for 11-Dec-2024:
Scenario 1: Gap Up Opening (200+ points above the previous close):
If Bank Nifty opens around 53,957 or above , the first resistance zone at 54,034 becomes crucial. Wait for price action near this level.
Plan of Action:
If it breaks and sustains above 54,034 , initiate a long position with a target of 54,479 . Place a stop loss just below 53,957 .
If there’s a rejection at 54,034 , look for short opportunities targeting 53,699 (Opening Support).
Avoid aggressive entries in the first 15 minutes to allow volatility to settle.
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Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Within 50 points of the previous close):
If Bank Nifty opens near 53,604 , the Liquidity / NO Trade Zone (between 53,699 and 53,398) becomes the focus.
Plan of Action:
If the price stays within this range, avoid trades and wait for a breakout.
On a breakout above 53,699 , go long with a target of 54,034 . Keep a stop loss below 53,550 .
If it breaks below 53,398 , short the market targeting the Buyer's Support Zone near 53,069 .
Use small lot sizes to manage risk until a clear trend emerges.
Scenario 3: Gap Down Opening (200+ points below the previous close):
A gap down opening near 53,069 or lower will test the buyer’s strength.
Plan of Action:
If the price takes support near 53,069 , look for bullish reversal patterns and initiate a long position with a target of 53,398 . Keep a stop loss below 52,968 .
If it breaks below 52,968 , further downside to the Must Try Zone for Buyers at 52,650 is possible. Watch for reversals here to take long positions.
Avoid chasing the trend blindly in the first hour; let the market stabilize before entry.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Always calculate your risk before entering a trade. Limit risk to 1-2% of your total capital per trade.
For gap openings, avoid buying options immediately due to high premiums; wait for IV (implied volatility) to cool down.
Use spreads (e.g., Bull Call Spreads or Bear Put Spreads) to minimize risk.
Avoid overtrading and stick to predefined levels.
Summary and Conclusion:
For 11-Dec-2024, focus on key levels: 54,034 (Resistance), 53,699 (Support/Resistance), and 53,069 (Major Support). React based on price action and avoid impulsive decisions. The yellow zones suggest consolidation, green zones show bullish potential, and red zones indicate bearish sentiment. Maintain strict risk management and use options wisely.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The above analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.