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Audusdshort

AUDUSD SellThe Australian dollar is slightly stronger this morning when valued against the Greenback. The Aussie dollar finished the week on a soft note closing at 0.6580 and this saw NZD/AUD back above 0.93. Last week the Australian Dollar fell as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and Federal Reserve went their separate ways on monetary policy and high beta risk assets met headwinds going into the weekend. The RBA raised interest rates for the 10th consecutive meeting, with rates now sitting 3.5 per cent above where they were when the rate rise cycle began. It’s worth noting that recently financial markets were pricing in a cash rate as high as 4.35 per cent. Ultimately, the peak level of the cash rate is a key piece of the puzzle that will decide the trajectory of everything from home prices to the broader economy. The AUD/USD pair is currently trading at 0.6590. Looking ahead this week and on Tuesday we will see the release of the Westpac Consumer Sentiment and National Australia Bank (NAB) Business Confidence. Both surveys are leading indicators of economic health. On Thursday all eyes will be on the unemployment rate decision by the Australian Bureau of Statistics. NAB is forecasting the unemployment rate to rise sharply to 4.7 per cent next year and 4.8 per cent in 2025 while Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) economist Gareth Aird’s number crunching provides a similar outlook. “We expect the unemployment rate to be 4.3 per cent compared with the RBA’s forecast of 3.8 per cent,” he said. The Australian unemployment rate is currently at 3.7 per cent. AUDUSD h1 price is moving sideways in the 0.6575-0.6640 zone. In the short term it is possible that the pair will fall to the 0.6575 support area once again. Recommended to sell to the current price 0.6640, SL: 0.6690, TP: 0.6575
Short
by VTmarkets
AUD/USD: Short at 1.0570-1.0580 Range Following the remarks of the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, the market has returned to a state of volatility after two trading days of digestion. This volatility is unlikely to be broken before the release of US non-farm payroll data in February, and the market needs such adjustments to repair the impact of the previous sharp drop. Therefore, today's market trend will be relatively simple. In the face of this volatility, the most suitable operation for AUD/USD is naturally to short on rallies. Based on the market situation, the following recommendations are given: Short at the range of 0.6630-0.6640, with targets at 0.6610, 0.6590, and 0.6570, and stop loss to be determined based on individual circumstances. FX:AUDUSD
Short
by investmentMr-X
AUD/USD - Risk as markets price in possible RBA rate hikeThe minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) showed the Board was leaning towards a rate hike of 50bps and dismissing the idea of a pause in rate hikes. Markets expect the bank to raise rates by 24bps at their next meeting and reach a terminal rate of 4.28%. The RBA's recent decision and data regarding the Wage Price Index will likely affect the Australian dollar. The 50bps rate hike anticipated by the RBA will likely put pressure on the AUD, but the actual rate increase could be lessened by weaker-than-expected data from the Wage Price Index. The higher terminal rate of 4.28% could also put further downward pressure on the AUD. Overall, the RBA's actions and the upcoming Wage Price Index data are likely to impact the direction of the AUD. (As written on 21 February 2023) I forgot to post last night
Short
by RomanoRnr
2
AUD/USD:Price May Continue to Drop More After First Take ProfitsUOB Group's Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang believe that the AUD/USD may experience further declines in the coming weeks. In the short term, they expected the AUD to weaken but were surprised when it dropped significantly lower than anticipated. They predict that the AUD may drop to 0.6550 before stabilizing, and any rebound is likely to stay below 0.6665. Looking ahead, they had previously expected the AUD to trade within a range of 0.6695 and 0.6820. However, if the AUD were to break and stay below 0.6695, it would indicate weakness in the currency. Unfortunately, the AUD has already dropped below several strong support levels and hit a low of 0.6580. Although they expect the AUD to weaken further, they believe that the decline will be slower and major support at 0.6500 may not be reached anytime soon. The downside risk remains as long as the AUD remains below the "strong resistance" level of 0.6700 over the next few days.
Short
by FOREXN1
5
AUD/USD : Simple bearish setup with good R/RHi everyone! The setup on $AUDUSD is very simple and clear and the chart speaks for itself. Technically, the pair could develop a harmonic structure with first target around 0.6670, but the most interesting thing is that this setup has a very good R/R (>1:3) Trade with care! 👍 ...and if you think that my analysis is useful, please..."Like, Share and Comment" ...thank you! 💖 Cheers! N.B.: Updates will follow below
Short
by TheAnonymousBanker
13
AUDUSD Potential 1:3 up to 1:11 RR | POSITION | LONGAs seen in the chart, it was expected that the ideal "supply" zone was swept. As a retailer, your normal reaction is to buy on that support area; however, looking at the bigger picture, due to the momentum of the bears, there was no clear indication for us to buy in that area, hence using SMC, we should be buying at our actual discount/supply zone. By buying in this area, we can potentially reach 1:11 RR with a minimum RR of 1:3, a reward I am sure that most of us would like, especially for those trading with big lots. Reminder: Do not risk more than 1-3% of your port so you can make up your losses. Disclaimer: I am not a guru or a professional trader, I am simply sharing my insight based on my understanding of the market.
Long
by TokieTV
AUD/USD: Shorting between 0.6790-0.6770 Today's release of China's impressive PMI data sparked a large inflow of funds into the yuan, causing the sudden decline of the US dollar index. This is clearly a short-term impact and will not change the overall market trend. Therefore, after this abnormal volatility is exhausted, the market will return to its original rhythm. Regarding the operation of the US dollar index, it is still judged as a short-term opportunity to buy on dips, while for AUD/USD, it is advisable to short on rallies. Based on the market, the following recommendations are given: Short between 0.6790-0.6770, with profit targets at 0.6750, 0.6730, and 0.6700. FX:AUDUSD OANDA:AUDUSD TVC:DXY FX:EURUSD
Short
by investmentMr-X
2
The logic behind the AUDUSDThe head and shoulders pattern has formed, with the US dollar maintaining its strength, indicating that bearish momentum is inevitable for the Australian dollar The January core inflation data, including CPI , PPI and retail sales, all rebounded. Combined with the wage data in the non-agricultural employment report, it shows that US inflation has rebounded in stages. Although the downward trend of inflation remains unchanged, it will stimulate Fed extends rate hikes The U.S. dollar rebounded strongly due to the rise in inflation and stimulated the central bank to raise interest rates. Worries prompted investors to cover the U.S. dollar, and the U.S. dollar regained its dominance in the short-term situation. At the same time, the strong US dollar depresses commodity prices, and the Australian dollar loses its power. Interest rate hike expectations are also extremely detrimental to the performance of U.S. stocks. After the end of the earnings season, U.S. stocks lack guidance, and rising inflation suppresses market liquidity and puts pressure on stock market sentiment. In this situation, the short position of the Australian dollar has the best time, location, and harmony. Technical head and shoulders The head and shoulders pattern is a high chance of winning in the technical trend, and it is one of the skills that must be mastered
Short
by Ice_and_Fire1
Seeking a bearish breakout on AUD/USDThe Australian economy has had a few of soft data points this week which, whilst not detrimental to the economy, will be duly noted by the RBA as they seek to cool the economy without completely breaking it (and ponder a pause in rate hikes). Yesterday we found inflation was 'only' 7.4% y/y, compared to 8.1% expected and 8.4% prior - and GDP was soft at 0.5% q/q. Well today things got a little more interesting with housing and credit data. The S&P Global Ratings Agency noted in a report that mortgage arrears were on the rise, whilst dwelling approvals nosedived nearly 30% in January alone. Cleary, RBA's aggressive hiking path is beginning to bite, and we also need to consider that there's a large lag between hikes and such data points (so expect further weakness to come). And that matters, as it could force the RBA to stop hiking sooner than they currently expect, and that is likely to weigh further on AUD/USD whilst some Fed members continue to speak of interest rates being over 5.4% and ponder between a 25 or 50bp hike in March. AUD/USD daily chart: We can see on the 4-hour chart that the AU-US 2-year yield differential is pointing sharply lower as US yields continue to outpace their Australian counterparts. Prices are consolidating within a potential bear flag or retracement channel, whilst the RSI (14) remains below 50 and shows the potential for a lower high. If prices drift higher, bears could seek bearing setups below the 0.68200 (last week's VPOC) or the daily pivot point. Otherwise, they could wait for a bearish break of the bear-flag and assumes bearish continuation towards 0.6650 and 0.6570.
Short
by CityIndex