Audjpyprediction
Risk could plunge in 2025 if AUD/JPY clues are correctAUD/JPY is a classic barometer of risk. So I find it quite interesting to see that price action clues on the monthly chart are not too dissimilar to what we saw ahead of the GFC high in 2007. And if AUD/JPY plunges, the chances are it means global markets will also be in turmoil.
MS.
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Incoming Fall on AUDJPY?AUD clearly wants to create a new high possibly tonight passing the previous high at 104.967. On RSI+ Bollinger Bands it's also showing me that price should be coming down on the 4 hr & Daily time frame. I'm Specifically looking for 3 confirmations: that high to be taken out on the 4 hr time frame because the is liquidity that institutions want, a second liquidity sweep on the 15 min time frame followed by good volume pushing price down with a fair value gap within 3 candles. By looking on the 4 hr time frame there are double bottoms that I would target but I would definitely secure this trade going for a 1:2 rr at the price of 104.350. This is at trade to be patient with. If this setup is not presented to me within this asian session I will not take it
Dead cat bounce on AUD/JPY?Once again we saw AUD/JPY rally above 96 before reversing lower, which is a pattern we have seen occur four times since January 2022. A shooting start reversal formed on Friday and the cross fell around -4% Tuesday’s low, breaking a bullish trendline before finding support at the 200-day EMA, February high and 96 handle.
We’ve seen two modest up days since, but now we’re looking for evidence of a swing high around 95 – as this houses the weekly S1 pivot, 50% retracement level and cycle highs.
The initial target is 94, a break of which brings 93 in focus. But if risk off returns, then a break of 93 seems plausible.
AUDJPY Short Term Sell IdeaH4 - Most recent uptrend line breakout.
Lower lows.
Expecting short term bearish moves to happen here.
H1 - Bearish trend pattern.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Until the strong resistance zone holds I expect the price to move lower further after pullbacks.
AUDJPY Short Term Buy IdeaD1 - Bullish trend pattern followed by a pullback.
Price respected a strong support zone and is currently bouncing higher.
No opposite signs.
H1 - Bullish trend pattern.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Until the two strong support zones hold my short term view remains bullish here.
AUDJPY Movement Predicting 08/04/2021As you can see there is a Bearish Divergence with MACD which is the sign of trend reversal, followed by Hidden Bearish Divergence which can be interpreted as the Bearish Trend Continuation
the price may have retracement to the Fibonacci Golden zone which is between the 50% to 61.8% and then starts its impulsive wave if these support level stands and Bunces the price to the higher levels of expansion
AUDJPY - FUNDAMENTAL + TECHNICAL BIAS#AUDJPY
These days, AUDJPY is slightly UP due to MARKET RISK ON. The reason for that was that the MARKET SENTIMENT was somewhat POSITIVE with FED UPDATES. JPY WEAK AFTER BOJ MEETING.
Because of that, XXXJPY CURRENCIES went UP very fast. It still has an effect. Anyway, they said that the BOJ MONETARY POLICY will be relaxed even more.
Therefore, after JPY becomes PRICE, XXXJPY PRICES may be UP in the future. Even now, we see that the MARKET is somewhat MARKET RISK ON. We expect AUDJPY to RETRACE to higher resistance. Anyway, if the AUDJPY goes upside down again, the VIX should go down and the JPY should go up, and STOCKS should go up. The dollar should continue to strengthen as it has in recent days.
AUDJPY can definitely SELL at 85.00 LEVEL. But somehow, after that, AUDJPY may go up to 92.90 LEVEL. Anyway, if JPY becomes WEAK, if the UP SIDE STRUCTURE is BREAK, there is a very good situation to BUY AUDJPY.
AUDJPY - FUNDAMENTAL + TECHNICAL BIAS#AUDJPY
These days, AUDJPY is slightly UP due to MARKET RISK ON. The reason for that was that the MARKET SENTIMENT was somewhat POSITIVE with FED UPDATES. JPY WEAK AFTER BOJ MEETING.
Because of that, XXXJPY CURRENCIES went UP very fast. It still has an effect. Anyway, they said that the BOJ MONETARY POLICY will be relaxed even more.
Therefore, after JPY becomes PRICE, XXXJPY PRICES may be UP in the future. Even now, we see that the MARKET is somewhat MARKET RISK ON. We expect AUDJPY to RETRACE to higher resistance. Anyway, if the AUDJPY goes upside down again, the VIX should go down and the JPY should go up, and STOCKS should go up. The dollar should continue to strengthen as it has in recent days.
AUDJPY can definitely SELL at 89.26 LEVEL. But somehow after that, AUDJPY may go UP to 95.50 LEVEL. Anyway, if JPY becomes WEAK, if the UP SIDE STRUCTURE is BREAK, there is a very good situation to BUY AUDJPY.
AUDJPY - FUNDAMENTAL + TECHNICAL BIAS#AUDJPY
These days, AUDJPY is becoming somewhat DOW due to MARKET RISK OFF. The reason for that was that the MARKET SENTIMENT was somewhat NEGATIVE with FED UPDATES. The YEILD of JPY 10Y BOND was increased at today's BOJ MEETING. Because of that, XXXJPY CURRENCIES went down very fast. It still has an effect. Anyway, they said that the BOJ MONETARY POLICY will be relaxed even more. Therefore, after JPY becomes PRICE, XXXJPY PRICES may be UP in the future. Even now, we see that the MARKET has somewhat MARKET RISK OFF. We expect AUDJPY to RETRACE to higher resistance.
Anyway, if the AUDJPY goes upside down again, the VIX should go down and the JPY should go up, and STOCKS should go up. The dollar should continue to strengthen as it has in recent days. If MARKET RISK continues to be OFF, you can definitely SELL at 89.26 LEVEL. But somehow after that, AUDJPY may go UP to 95.04 LEVEL. Anyway, if JPY becomes WEAK, if the UP SIDE STRUCTURE is BREAK, there is a very good situation to BUY AUDJPY.
To buy AUDJPY, VIX must be DOWN and SNP500 must be UP. Further, the TREND LINE should be BREAK. And COMMODITIES should definitely be UP. We are waiting for the change in the above mentioned MARKETS.
If the dollar is strengthened by the FED, MARKETS RISK should be off. Then after JPY STRONG, AUDJPY can be LONG TERM BUY.
AUDJPY - IS MARKET SENTMENT STILL SUPPORT TO THE AUDJPY ??#AUDJPY
AUDJPY is going down a bit due to MARKET RISK OFF in the previous days. But even now we see that the MARKET is somewhat MARKET RISK ON. We expect AUDJPY to RETRACE to higher resistance.
Anyway, if AUDJPY goes DOWNSIDE again, VIX should go up, JPY should go up, and STOCKS should go down. The dollar should continue to strengthen in this way. If MARKET RISK is ON, you can definitely BUY at 96.67 LEVEL. Currently, the market risk is off. But somehow it can go UP to 96.67 LEVEL before going DOWN. After that, AUDJPY may go down to 91.39 LEVEL.
To SELL AUDJPY, VIX must be UP and SNP500 must be DOWN. Further, the TREND LINE should be BREAK. And COMMODITIES should definitely be DOWN. We are waiting for the change in the above mentioned MARKETS.
If the dollar is strengthened by the FED, MARKETS RISK should be off. Then AUDJPY may become LONG TERM SELL after JPY STRONG. audjpy
AUDJPY - FUNDAMENTAL + TECHNICAL BIAS#AUDJPY
In the previous days, AUDJPY was slightly UP due to MARKET RISK ON. But even now we see that the MARKET is somewhat MARKET RISK ON. We expect the AUDJPY to bounce back to the upper resistance.
Anyway, if AUDJPY goes DOWNSIDE again, VIX should go up, JPY should go up, and STOCKS should go down. If MARKET RISK is OFF, you can definitely SELL at 91.39 LEVEL. For that, MARKET RISK should be OFF. Currently, the market risk is off. But somehow it can go up to 97.37 LEVEL before that. After that, AUDJPY may go down to 93.39 LEVEL.
To SELL AUDJPY, VIX must be UP and SNP500 must be DOWN. And COMMODITIES should definitely be DOWN. We are waiting for the change in the above mentioned MARKETS.
MARKETS may be slow today mostly due to US HOLIDAY on Monday.
AUDJPY preparing for another drop!!AUDJPY has broken the local support zone and created strong bearish price action. The daily price has created a very strong rejection from the top with a wickless candle. The 4H price has formed another strong bearish price action. There is a probability of another drop from daily 20EMA and 4H 38.1% fib level.
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AUDJPY - FUNDAMENTAL + TECHNICAL BIAS#AUDJPY
Earlier days, AUDJPY was going down a bit due to MARKET RISK OFF. But now we see that the MARKET has somewhat MARKET RISK OFF. We expect AUDJPY to turn DOWN again.
Anyway, its price is moving down in the AUDJPY DOWNSIDE CHANNEL. By BREAKING that CHANNEL, its price may go UP again. After that, if MARKET RISK continues to be OFF, you can definitely SELL at 92.71 LEVEL. For that, MARKET RISK should be OFF. After that it can go up to 96.90 LEVEL. After that, AUDJPY may go down to 89.74 LEVEL.
To SELL AUDJPY, VIX must be UP and SNP500 must be DOWN. And COMMODITIES should definitely be DOWN. We are waiting for the change in the above mentioned MARKETS.
AUDJPY - FUNDAMENTAL + TECHNICAL BIAS- AUDJPY Must understand the MARKET SENTIMENT before doing TRADE. The current SENTIMENT has a very NEGATIVE SENTIMENT. Then you have to look for an understanding of VIX INDEX and JAPANESE FEATURE CHART. Then you need to see what happens in EQUITY MARKETS. Especially the Snp500 CHART. Then you need to understand DIVERGANCE and MARKET STRUCTURES. Having an understanding of COMMODITIES is a must.
- The AUD FEATURE went down a bit last week because the markets continued to RISK OFF. The AUD FEATURE is at 0.7025 LEVEL. JXY is currently down a bit. According to the MARKET SENTIMENT and the AUD can be slightly STRONG again. AUDJPY is priced higher than DYNAMIC LEVELS.
- Currently the SENTIMENT of the OVERALL MARKET is RISK OFF. Also EQUITIES is giving a slightly DOWN SIDE Tone. VIX INDEXES UP UP. But they can be UP. Also COMMODITIES now shows a DOWN SIDE BIAS. Currently the MARKET has a RISK OFF SENTIMENT. So be on the lookout, maybe in the NEWYORK SESSION in the market, maybe RISK ON today is Monday.
- You can go back to 96.90 LEVEL before the AUDJPY PRICE is down. Then it can be sold at 89.70 LEVEL. Buying AUDJPY is a bit risky if VIX is UP. Currently VIX is DOWN. So wait until the VOLATILITY GREEN to buy the AUDJPY SELL BUY after the MORKET has a CORRECTION of around 92.365 LEVEL.
DeGRAM | AUDJPY short opportunityAUDJPY is now in a massively overbought condition.
The next resistance zone is 93.200 - 93.500.
It's a strong and confluent zone to take a short trade because the price needs some pause and retracement.
It can't move move straight up forever.
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