AUDCAD Buy signal at the bottom of the Channel Up.The AUDCAD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the September 27 2023 Low and at the moment it is in the process of forming a new Higher Low. All previous Higher Lows were formed one the 1D RSI almost touched the 30.00 oversold barrier. Right now it is a little more than 5.0 points away from it, so buying starts getting highly favorable on the current levels.
In any case, a break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) would confirm the start of the new Bullish Leg and if it follows the previous sequence, it should peak above the -0.5 Fibonacci extension. As a result, our 0.95000 Target is more than valid for the medium-term.
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Audcadsignals
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AUDCAD Excellent buy signal on the 1D MA200The AUDCAD pair gave us an excellent sell signal last time (July 08 2024, see chart below) and easily hit the 0.9000 Target:
This time, we have an established Channel Up with two Higher Highs and three Higher Lows priced in already. We are currently on the new Bullish Leg following the rebound on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
As long as this holds, we will treat every touch on the 0.786 as a buy opportunity, similar to the Triple Bottom of March - April. That Bullish Leg marginally surpassed the -0.5 Fibonacci extension to print its Higher High, so our Target will be just below it at 0.94000.
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AUDCAD Sell signal emerging on a 3.5-year Resistance!The AUDCAD pair just hit on the week's opening the Lower Highs trend-line that was first initiated on February 22 2021. As the 1W RSI is just below its own 3.5-year Resistance Zone, the first strong long-term sell opportunity flashes.
Check below how the last AUDCAD analysis (May 29, see chart below) provided an excellent buy opportunity:
The more short-term pattern though since the September 25 2023 Double Bottom is a Channel Up and it is close to pricing its new Higher High. This is just above the 3.5 year Lower Highs trend-line, so we give the sell signal this much tolerance level for some deviation.
Our Target on the medium-term is 0.9000 (Support Zone 1, similar symmetry to the previous Higher Low on Support Zone 2).
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Unleashing Trade Opportunities in Ranging Markets! AUDCAD📊 In this analysis, we dissect the AUDCAD currency pair, meticulously exploring its behavior on the 1D, 4H and 30m time frames. Brace yourself for insights into range-bound dynamics! 🎯
🔍 Key Takeaways:
💹 1: Learn how to spot breakouts when the market defies its established structure.
💹 2: Discover actionable strategies for capitalising on range-bound conditions.
Remember, this content is for educational purposes only—always make independent trading decisions based on your risk management strategy.
AUDCAD About to test the 1W MA200 after more than 1 year.The AUDCAD pair has been on a structured rise since the September 25 2023 Bottom, which technical is a Double Bottom formation for the long-term. The price is about to test the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since the week of March 20 2023 as well as the Lower Highs trend-line that started on the February 22 2021 High.
Every time the pair approached the 1W MA200 to this distance, it broke above it, even just for the medium-term. We expect a similar development, which would be conveniently a Lower Highs test. Our Target is 0.92250.
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AUDCADBased on the bullish flag pattern and Elliott Wave analysis on the AUD/CAD pair's 4-hour timeframe, there seems to be a potential opportunity for a buying position. The bullish flag suggests a continuation of the previous uptrend, while the Elliott Wave count indicates the formation of the 12345 impulse wave sequence. This convergence of patterns could signal a strong upward movement in price, presenting a favorable entry point for buyers. However, it's crucial to implement proper risk management strategies and confirm signals with additional indicators before entering the trade.
AUDCAD Sell opportunity with Death Cross emergingThe AUDCAD pair is on a Lower Highs rejected and ahead of a Death Cross formation on the 1D time-frame. Since 2022, we have seen two Falling Wedge patterns, which accelerated selling after the completion of a 1D Death Cross. The first target on both occasions was the 1.236 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we are bearish on this pair, targeting 0.86500 (Fib 1.236 ext).
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AUDCAD Buy signal on 1D Golden Cross.The AUDCAD pair is trading within a Channel Up pattern that has currently been rejected twice on Resistance 1 (0.905500). With the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) crossing today (or tomorrow the latest) above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) to complete a 1D Golden Cross, and the 1D MACD forming now a Bullish Cross, we have a strong case for a break-out above Resistance 1 this time.
Once this takes place, we will buy and target 0.9200 as the new Higher High of the Channel Up. It will be a +3.76% rise from the recent Higher Low, which is roughly the % rise of the previous 2 bullish legs.
Bonus material (past AUDCAD trade):
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AUDCAD Rejection on the 1D MA200. Sell.Our last signal on the AUDCAD pair (see chart below) was a dip buy within the width of the multi-month Channel Down:
The Channel Up is adjusted as on Tuesday, the pair got rejected on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) forming the new Lower High. As the same time, the 1D RSI got rejected on its 5-month Resistance Zone and today the sell signal is confirmed by the formation of the 1D MACD Bearish Cross. Sell and aim for a -4.14% (previous Lower High rejection decline) drop at 0.854500.
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AUDCAD One Low to go inside the Channel Down.The AUDCAD pair has been trading within a Channel Down since the February 09 High, having failed to achieve any 1D candle closing above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since July 26. The current price action resembles the start of the Channel Down. Based on symmetry, we have one last Lower Low to achieve and then we should be expecting a rebound to test the 1D MA50. We will buy just below Support 2 (0.85915) and target 0.8700.
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AUDCAD Lower High rebound expected within the Channel UpThe AUDCAD pair followed our prediction on the last analysis we made a month ago (see chart below) and hit two targets on the way to the bottom of the long-term Channel Down:
The price is now on the 2nd straight green 1D candle after a flat Friday, which was most likely the bottom reversal of the Channel Down. As the 1D RSI hit the bottom of its Rectangle pattern as well, we treat this as a strong buy opportunity on the medium-term, targeting not just the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but also the Internal Lower Highs trend-line. Our target is 0.89000, but will book the profit earlier if the 1D RSI approaches the top of its Rectangle before that price target.
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AUDCAD is starting a long-term corrective legIt's been 2.5 months since we last traded AUDCAD, when it gave us a sell signal (see chart below) right at the top of its Channel Down for maximum gain:
Right now, the pattern is getting wider and its new bearish leg to a new Lower Low may be starting as last Friday's inability to close above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) may result in a Lower High rejection at the top of the Channel Down.
The 1D RSI is trading within a Rectangle pattern, which just hit its top and that matches with the tops of the Channel Down. We are opening two sell positions now, one targeting Support 1 at 0.88350 and the other Support 2 at 0.877450. If broken and the short-term rebound gets rejected on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we will open a new sell to target the bottom of the Channel Down and Support 3 at 0.8600.
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AUDCAD Buy TF H4 TP = 0.8947On the 4-hour chart the trend started on June 30 (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit. A possible take profit level is 0.8947
But do not forget about SL = 0.8740
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelieveInTrading
AUDCAD Testing the top of the Channel Down. Sell.The AUDCAD pair hit today the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than two months (since February 22). By doing so, it has approached both the Channel's top (Lower Highs trend-line) and Resistance 1 (0.912750) of the April 03 High.
With the 1W RSI still far from its Support/ Buy Zone, we treat today's rise as a sell opportunity and short towards the Channel's bottom (Lower Lows trend-line), targeting 0.8870 (November 21 2022 Low).
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AUDCAD on a Head & Shoulders pattern. Trade the break-outs.The AUDCAD pair is about to complete a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern, trading within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The 1W RSI is far from its Buy or Sell Zone (long-term) so on the more medium-term the best approach is to trade the break-outs.
The neckline of the H&S is at 0.933250 so a candle close above it invalidates the bearish bias of the pattern (H&S is a bearish reversal formation). In that case, we will target 0.95500 (Resistance 1) and a new closing above it will target 0.97500 (April 20 2021 High).
Until the pattern is invalidated, look for a confirmed bearish break-out below 0.90450 (Support 1) and more importantly the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). In that case the target will be 0.88700 (Previous Low).
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AUDCAD BUYAlright so basically AUDCAD is going for a buy for about 200 pips plus before we can except a meltdown of a sell, a pullback needs to occur in price based on pure price action we would be expecting a buy, if you focus on this analysis you would notice before price broke the Trend line price first then created a W pattern which signifies that a possible reversal has occurred on the support level so we patiently wait for price to retest or retrace back before we can take our buys. Drop a Comment please on what you think on this Analysis or think about AUDCAD.
Thanks
AUDCAD Next Possible MovePair : AUDCAD ( Australian Dollar / Canadian Dollar )
Description :
Bearish Channel in Long Time Frame as an Corrective Pattern
Divergence
Break of Structure , Break the S / R Level and Completed the Retracement
Bullish Channel in Short Time Frame and Rejection from the Upper Trend Line
Fibonacci Level - 61.80%