GOLD → Pullback from 2477. What's next? News ahead... FX:XAUUSD strengthens to an interim high and hits strong resistance at 2477.5. Gold is not ready to break the boundary yet and is forming a pullback ahead of the news - PPI to be released at 12:30 GMT.
Fundamentally, traders are still watching the situation in the Middle East as there are rumors of different nature every day. If the conflict escalates, it will only increase the interest in the metal.
Also, traders are waiting for PPI (one of the key inflation reports) as well as CPI (to be published on Wednesday) to determine if the US Federal Reserve is preparing a significant interest rate hike after the weak employment report.
Technically, 2477 and 2458 are worth watching. If price starts to return to resistance and consolidate near the level, then a breakout is worth waiting for. But a break of support at 2458 will send the price down to the zone of interest before a possible rise.
Resistance levels: 2477, 2483
Support levels: 2458, 2450, 2439
Key focus on news and market fundamentals that could set a medium-term tone for the dollar and gold. But, technically gold is strongly bullish...
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Ascending Channel
ETHEREUM → A train can become a rocket. Key zone 2700 - 2800 ↑The market is buying back BINANCE:ETHUSDT after a big fall due to fear. Bulls kept the price below 2000 and now they are trying to keep it above 2500. The overall bullish backdrop is still in place.....
A very promising technical situation is forming on W1. If the price returns to the global sideways range, we will have good prerequisites for a rise to 4000 - 4800.
Fundamentally, everything is the same, the general background is bullish. The liquidation (strong downward movement) and the subsequent active buyback indicates that the market is free of unnecessary traders and the train can now move in the right direction, it remains to get to the key station before departure.
The key stations are the 2717 - 2817 area. If the bulls can overcome this resistance and consolidate above, thus forming a strong support area and an intermediate bottom, then the market will have an important and promising liquidity target above 4000.
Support levels: 2518, 2425, 2400
Resistance levels: 2717, 2817
The whales continue to buy the asset after a strong fall, despite the fact that the chart looks bearish, there are key prerequisites indicating that the big players are still bullish. The focus is on the key resistance at 2717. After Friday's test and pullback, the price is back to the level, which increases the chances of a breakout.
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NZDCAD → Consolidation prepares the market for a trend change ↑FX:NZDCAD is breaking the current bearish trend and forming a bullish off-trend pattern. Focusing on the 0.82863 "trigger" resistance, bulls are targeting it to break this area...
Accumulation is forming in relation to the mentioned zone, if the structure will remain, and buyers will continue active attacks towards the "trigger", then in the long term we can look for an entry point for a breakdown.
The market is still restrained by MA-200 & MA-50, but the 200-day line is undergoing a third retest, which generally increases the chances of price consolidation above the key SMA. Globally we have a neutral trend, locally the market sentiment is starting to turn bullish.
The structure will be broken if the price consolidates below 0.82239.
Resistance levels: 0.82863, MA-200
Support levels: 0.82239, MA-50
Fundamentally, the situation in New Zealand is calming down and the market is starting to recover losses. Emphasis on the ascending triangle on H4, it is possible to build short-term and medium-term prospects in relation to this figure
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GOLD → The bulls kept the market from falling. Emphasis on 2431FX:XAUUSD is working out the range support and realizing the potential of the pattern "symmetrical triangle" in a bullish direction. On H1-H4 the market is in a sideways range, locally we are dealing with a bullish trend.
There is no news today. Technically, a bullish market is developing. Global trend is upward, local trend is neutral with bullish prerequisites.
The price is squeezed between the resistance at 2431, which is the key resistance. A breakdown and consolidation above this zone will open a huge potential for the market.
On H1, consolidation is forming above the support at 2418, a retest and liquidity capture is possible before further growth, as the bullish potential (locally) is not exhausted yet and the upward movement can be continued, but after a small correction. The market is perfectly working the lower boundary of the range 2369 and now considers the upper boundary 2477 as a potential....
Resistance Levels: 2431
Support levels: 2418, 2407, 2402
Emphasis on these levels. Most likely MM may test the support before the subsequent rise. But the primary retest of 2431 may give a small correction before the breakout and impulse to the mentioned targets.
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SOLANA → Correction to the liquidity zone before the rally ↑BINANCE:SOLUSDT enjoys high interest from both a fundamental and technical perspective. Bulls overcome key resistance, but the coin follows bitcoin and there are nuances....
Solana's growth is likely to continue because it is well positioned to capture the next wave of cryptocurrency adoption. Likewise, the coin is also strengthening as the third major crypto asset after Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Investors evaluate such positive factors as: high activity amid the BTC correction, more meme coins (weird, but okay), growth in overall capitalization and DEX volumes on the network, and low commissions. This whole conglomerate suggests that Solana could be the next crypto-ETF to launch.
Technically, we should pay attention to the nuance between Mt.Gox and BTC, accordingly, the market may slip to support until the situation stabilizes before further growth, which can be influenced by ETH-ETF.
Resistance levels: 162.45
Support levels: 140.0 133.8, 122.3
The market may let the correction continue due to Mt.Gox, which activated BTC transfers after a test transaction today. And since SOL actively follows BTC, the moves could be correlated. The bullish trend will continue after the situation stabilizes.
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GOLD → Consolidation above global trend supportFX:XAUUSD is trading inside the global range. The focus is on local support and resistance levels. The dollar is temporarily rising, which has an impact on gold, which is globally in a bullish trend.
The gold price remains vulnerable despite the US Federal Reserve's dovish stance. The gold price continues to lose ground for the fifth day in a row on Wednesday, approaching a one-week low on the back of a generally stronger US Dollar (USD) and rising US Treasury yields. There are not many key news today, so the general fundamental background and technical component should be evaluated as a priority.
Technically, gold is not allowed below 2369 and 2380, forming a correction and a retest of the resistance at 2397-2400. If the bulls are able to break this zone and consolidate above the level, we can get on the train to the north, but an active struggle of differently-minded traders is forming in this zone. The trading range for today is 2420 - 2370 (confirmed by the movement of August 05 - 06).
Resistance levels: 2397, 2400, 2420
Support levels: 2380, 2370
If bears hold resistance, price may test the lower boundary of the range. But, a retest and breakdown of 2420 would disrupt the market structure and character and create a fickle mood, within which the bulls may give impetus.
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GOLD → False break of range support led to a reboundFX:XAUUSD reaches the liquidity zone of 2370, forming a false breakdown, confirms the presence of a strong range boundary. The market may move into a sideways trend.
Fundamentally, the situation is still complicated.
The U.S. regulators are trying to change the market's mind on the recession issue, trying to keep the market calm. The question of aggressive actions of regulators is still open.
At the moment everyone is watching the actions in the Middle East, as the activity on the background of the war already unleashed can again affect the price of gold.
Markets continue to estimate almost 90% probability of a 50 basis points cut in US interest rates in September. Let me remind you that it is not the fact of reduction that matters, but the hints and comments of regulators.
At this time, gold is forming a global range of 2480 - 2370.
Resistance levels: 2420
Support levels: 2400
Technically, gold may go into a consolidation phase, but in the future it is worth watching the resistance at 2420. As a pre-breakout consolidation or a quick retest may lead to a breakout attempt and growth
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EURUSD → Consolidation before distribution. Target 1.100FX:EURUSD is forming a wedge, the nature of the pattern is consolidation. FOMC & FED meeting is ahead. The main issue is inflation and interest rate cuts. What should we expect?
100% probability that today the rate will remain unchanged, but Powell at the meeting may signal a Fed rate cut in the coming months amid slowing labor market growth. Eurozone consumer inflation fell from +0.2 to 0% (expected -0.3%) and core CPI rose by 0.1 to +2.9%, suggesting a generally improving environment for a stronger EUR.
Technically, the bulls are trying to hold the area of 1.08. A descending wedge is forming on the chart, another retest, if the fundamental background persists, may lead to a break of resistance. In this case, the market may move into the distribution phase, within which it is able to update the local maximum.
Resistance levels: 1.0852
Support levels: 1.08
Traders are in no hurry to act prematurely and will wait for the Fed and FOMC meeting. Technically everything is favorable to start the growth. Potential target is 1.100
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GOLD → Ahead of NFP. Shall we get to 2500?FX:XAUUSD is making new highs and approaching a strong resistance zone from which a small correction may follow before a further rise. NFP is ahead, which may set a short-term backdrop
The dollar is in a sideways range ahead of the news, which generally indicates a neutral mood among traders. Strong news can either renew the dollar's decline, which will be favorable for gold, or have the opposite reaction, so it is necessary to look at the actual data.
Technically, the gold is approaching the ATH and there is a high probability that the price will not only test the high, but also update it. In general, the fundamental and technical background is positive this week and I think that in the short and medium term we should wait for the continuation of growth.
Resistance levels: 2368, 2475, 2483
Support levels: 2451, 2440, 2430
Gold reduces volatility before the news as speculators go into wait-and-see mode. High volatility is expected, on this background the price may test the support before further growth. But if the resistance of 2483-2475 is broken at once, the price may go to 2500-2550.
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GOLD → Correction before the bullrun. Target 2500?FX:XAUUSD is strengthening and testing 2450. The price rise was influenced by Powell's comments on progressive deflation and a possible rate cut in September, as well as another conflict in the Middle East....
The Fed left the rate unchanged for the 8th time at 5.5%. The rate has remained unchanged since the summer of 2023 and is the highest in 20 years. There was considerable discussion of a rate cut at this meeting. A rate cut may be considered in September. In addition, the intensification of the conflict in the Middle East may turn into a full-fledged war, which generally increases the interest in gold.
Today is also a busy news day. Initial Jobless Claims, SP PMI, ISM are ahead. The data also plays an important role in shaping the medium-term strategy, so it is important to evaluate the actual results.
Resistance levels: 2437, 2450
Support levels: 2430, 2421
After a false breakdown of resistance, a correction is forming. Gold is bullish at the moment (trend, sentiment and interest), so the nearest strong support may become a reversal zone for further strengthening. The potential target is 2451 - 2474.
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BCH → U-Turn and a bullish mood ↑BINANCE:BCHUSDT is trading within the boundaries of the uptrend. Potential is not exhausted. The market is forming a correction to the liquidity zone before a further bullrun to ATH
Bulls are trying to hold the defense above the key support area, which divides the market into two planes. Fundamentally, the situation should be assessed relative to BTC and ETH. In general, everything is quite positive.
Technically, on D1 we should pay attention to the support at 407 - 380. If the bulls hold this area and form consolidation of the price above 407-410, this fact may determine the medium-term potential for the market. A reversal pattern is forming against the lower trend boundary, indicating a bullish market sentiment. The market potential is 460 - 530.
Resistance levels: 420, 460
Support levels: 407, 380, 351
The market is bullish and it is necessary to look for strong support zones to forge long positions. The focus is also on the resistance 460. A breakout and consolidation above this zone will be the reason for further consolidation to the upper boundary of the trend
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GOLD → Ahead is 2430 and strong news. Going up to 2500?FX:XAUUSD overcomes trend resistance, forming a bullrun to the liquidity zone amid positive rumors. The price is testing 2430. Possible correction before the news.
Today is a busy news day, high volatility is possible. Ahead of ADP Nonfarm, Chicago PMI and the most important last: Fed Interest Rate Decision and FOMC conference.
Nobody is going to cut the rate today, but Powell may give a signal about interest rate reduction in the coming months on the background of slowing labor market growth. Traders evaluated the possible potential positively enough and rushed through 2390 to 2430.
Technically, a retest of resistance is formed after quite a long time, liquidity may not let the price up the first time, respectively, a correction is possible before further growth.
Resistance levels: 2429, 2452, 2474.
Support levels: 2404, 2400
The fundamental and technical background is favorable, if something unpredictable does not happen today, gold may continue its recovery phase. But, pay attention to the news, as they will be published in a cascade and the temporary mood of the market may be volatile....
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Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY Analysis==>>Falling Wedge PatternUSDJPY is moving in an Ascending Channel and Falling Wedge Pattern .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , USDJPY seems to have succeeded in completing corrective waves in the Falling Wedge Pattern .
I expect USDJPY to rise to at least the first target after breaking the upper line of the Falling Wedge Pattern .
U.S.Dollar/Japanese Yen Analyze ( USDJPY ), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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STORJ / USDT → Wedge breakout with trend change target BINANCE:STORJUSDT shows positive dynamics to the change of trend and the beginning of bullrun. The coin is moving to the phase of implementation of a pattern that can change the direction of the market.
Bitcoin sets the general trend of the cryptvault market. The general fundamental background, which is formed around BTC and ETH sets positive prospects for other altcoins, which can still surprise us.
Technically, STORJ is coming out of consolidation and is essentially entering the distribution phase. A false break of the key resistance is formed, which can be broken after the next retest. High probability of a small correction before a subsequent attempt to break through this zone and enter a new range of 0.500 - 0.900.
Resistance levels: 0.4882, 0.6034
Support levels: 0.5 Fibo, 0.3530
The task of the bulls is to keep the defense above the key support, if it succeeds, the next target will be the breakout of resistance and bullrun.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Retest resistance before a breakout. What's next?FX:XAUUSD has been strengthening since the opening of the session and is testing the 2400 zone. The market is getting bullish again, but at the same time it is at a strong resistance. The focus is on 2393.0.
There is no news today and the overall situation is stable. Gold has no obvious reasons for a possible strong fall. Markets are waiting for the confirmation of the progression of US deflation with the subsequent hints on the soon reduction of interest rates. The fact itself is favorable for gold.
Technically, the focus is on the edge of the range 2393. Consolidation of the price above this area may well influence further growth, but it is necessary to follow the descending resistance, because it will be difficult to pass this area from the first time.
Resistance levels: 2400, 2430
Support levels: 2393, 2384, 2377
Technically and fundamentally everything is quite positive. We should expect a retest of resistance with subsequent growth, but it is not excluded that before the active recovery phase there may be a retest of support, for example: 2387, 2382 or 2377
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ETHEREUM → False breakdown of MA-200 could lead to a BULLRUN ↑ BINANCE:ETHUSD in the correction phase, testing zones of interest (0.5 fibo and MA-200), forming a false breakdown, which in general can lead to a strong upward movement supported by strong fundamentals.
Fundamentally, ETH is quite positive. ETH-ETFs were launched on July 23 and continue to gain momentum. The correction, which has been observed for the last two days is mainly due to the outflow from GrayScale (exactly the same scenario was with BTC), also a slight pressure is created by the situation with Mt.Gox, but against the background of BTC transfers to exchanges and their distribution among its debtors, bitcoin is strengthening, such behavior of the flagship indicates support for eth.
Technically, the price is forming a correction to 0.5 fibo relative to the bullish momentum as well as a retest of the Daily MA-200, forming a false breakdown with a fairly aggressive buyback, indicating the presence of a strong buyer who is not ready to go down beyond $3000.
Resistance levels: 3357, 3540
Support levels: 3200, MA-200
The main task of the bulls is to keep the defense above the zone of interest at $3200. Further it remains to wait for resistance retest with the purpose of its breakthrough and further bull run to $4000 - $4500 - $4900.
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BITCOIN → Intend to test 74K but what's next? ↑BINANCE:BTCUSD is strengthening by 25% from the intermediate bottom and after retesting the support of the classic “FLAG” pattern. The fundamental and technical background is positive enough to consider further price growth
July 9 Idea: BITCOIN → Fear in the crowd is a bullish sign ↑ Flag and SFP
Fundamental Situation: the market is waiting for the launch of ETH-ETF on July 23, which could be another positive lever for the cryptocurrency market.
Trump, who has recently become a strong supporter of cryptocurrencies, is increasing his chances of re-election. If he wins, the market will take it very positively.
Well, and other local nuances: High-ranking politicians in the U.S. are reconsidering their views on bitcoin. SEC is also smoothly changing its position towards cryptocurrencies.
Technically, a classic bullish FLAG pattern is forming on d1. The nature of the range is consolidation. At the moment there is a high probability of retest of strong resistance 71700 or ATH retest, but only after the retest of these zones it will be possible to follow the formation of prerequisites for the breakout of global resistance 73800.
Resistance levels: 67250, 71750
Support levels: 63800, 59300
Technically, the price is now in the channel 67250 - 63800. The situation is favorable for resistance breakout, which will open a new way to the nearest resistance. Now we can't say about possible ATH renewal. It is necessary to keep watching how the price will approach the key boundaries of the range.
In the mid-term I consider a breakout of 67250 with further growth to 71700-73800.
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USDJPY → Weak dollar + intervention = bearish trend ↓FX:USDJPY breaks the 157.7 zone after a small consolidation. Powell's comments about more progressive deflation favor the market, the dollar is falling on this background and the end is not seen yet...
Fundamentally, the weakening dollar and the ongoing interventions of the Central Bank of Japan have quite a strong impact on the exchange rate, but it is worth being careful. Previously, this market reaction was quickly bought out by traders who still have little faith in the continued strength of the JPY.
Technically, if the dollar continues to liquidate, such a strong fall could bring the currency pair down to global lows.
There is a strong liquidity zone ahead. Possible activation of orders in the risk zone, which may provoke a pullback before a further fall or a strong impulse, which without a pullback will knock out all market participants and the price will fly downward
Resistance levels: 157.18, 157.7
Support levels: 154.5, 151.86
At the moment everything is obvious, fundamental and technical nuances are telling about further decline. We should pay attention to the nearest zone of liquidity and price reaction.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD is Bearish for a whilehello guys.
Key Points:
- Entry Level for Selling: The suggested entry point for a short position is around $2,395, as indicated on the chart.
- Downtrend Channel: The price movement suggests a descending channel, and the recent price action supports this pattern.
- Support Level: There's a crucial support level at approximately $2,340, where the price might find some buying interest.
- Trendline: A longer-term trendline can be seen providing resistance, which the price has respected recently.
Trading Strategy:
- Short Position: Enter a short position around $2,395.
- Target: Aim for a target of around $2,340, where the next support level is situated.
- Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss slightly above the recent high, around $2,420, to manage risk effectively.
Summary:
The chart suggests a bearish trend for Gold (XAUUSD) with a potential short-selling opportunity. Traders can look to enter short positions around $2,395, targeting the support level at $2,340, while maintaining a stop-loss at $2,420 to mitigate risk.
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DOGE → The bulls are overcoming resistance. Trend change?BINANCE:DOGEUSDT is breaking trend resistance and on W1 the bulls have kept the price above the risk zone. Prospects are emerging for a possible rally....
The 0.1-0.05 area is the bottom of the market. Strong accumulation is forming in this area. The price left it back in the spring, but the recent retest showed that the bulls are not ready to let the price beyond 0.106, which generally determines the medium-term prospects.
On D1, the price is breaking the trend resistance of the Wedge pattern, forming a small rally to 0.1437. If the bulls hold their positions and defenses above 0.126 - 0.1200, the market will retain its bullish phase, thus we can soon see a breakout of the local high with a subsequent rise to ATH
Resistance levels: 0.1437, 0.1657
Support levels: 0.126, 0.12
There is no fundamental analysis, but technically there are good prospects. Various services are showing a spike in whale activity in DOGE, which could signal as increased interest. I expect a positive outcome from the bulls with a subsequent rally to the zones of interest
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MOG/USDT 50% PROFIT POTENTIAL TRADE SETUP!!Hey everyone!
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MOG/USDT looks good here. Holding the support very well and forming an ascending channel. You can long some here and add more in the dip.
Entry range:- $1.54-$1.62
Targets:- $1.86/$2.04/$2.24/$2.44
SL:- $1.46
Lev:- 5x
What are your thoughts on MOG's current price action? Do you see a bullish pattern? Share your analysis in the comments below!
GBPUSD → A favorable PCE could resume the bullish trend ↑FX:GBPUSD is forming a counter-trend correction amid the dollar recovery. Ahead of PCE, data may determine the medium-term outlook for the FOREX market
Technically, the market is increasing bets that the PCE may show hints of lower inflation, which will generally increase the chances of a September interest rate cut in the US. This could be negative for the dollar and positive for the currency pair. But no one rules out an unpredictable outcome, against which the currency pair could decline to 1.277
Technically, I would pay attention to the resistance at 1.2894. A consolidation above this zone will confirm the phase of the bull market, against which the price may rise to 1.30 - 1.31.
Resistance levels: 1.2898
Support levels: 1.2850
Fundamentally, things are not so bad. Favorable data can resume the trend after the correction phase, but it is still worth paying attention to the actual PCE figures and only then you can build a medium-term strategy
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GBPUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
S&P500 - The beginning of the bear market?SP:SPX potentially created a top and is starting to head lower for the next months.
We have patterns, cycles and market structure and if everything is lining up nicely, there is a high chance you will be right. The S&P500 is currently retesting a major multi-year resistance trendling, is starting to shift bearish on the smaller timeframes and just rallied +50% without any noticeable correction. In a couple of months, we will trade at lower levels!
Levels to watch: $5.500, $4.500
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading