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Argentina

G20 Argentina Prospective Regulation DiscussionSteve Mnuchin has stated an intent to bring up crypto regulation at the G20 Argentina financial meetings taking place March 17-20. Mnuchin does not believe that crypto markets represent a threat to financial market stability, but believes some form of regulation is imminently required and wishes to more closely monitor potentials for illegal activity. While the news from this event could go either way, I am hopeful for a positive outcome. French finance minister Bruno Le Maire is not quite as optimistic and intends similarly to discuss this at the summit, citing risky market speculation as a primary concern. I expect that on those dates we are likely to be at the top or bottom of the logarithmic pennant — bottom line established in March and June of last year, and the top being the downtrend from the ATH in December. Which, top or bottom, is likely to be decided by whether BTC price holds the 200-day EMA. I'm bullish on this prospect, and the 4hr indicators are oversold, but either can happen — the sell-off this week has had some extreme spikes in volume. Whichever side of the pennant, the outcome of this summit could be dramatic enough to force a breakout or it could be so banal as to have no effect. Just looking out for it!
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by malamoot
Merval for foreign investors: Interesting risk/rewardI would like to point out the positive risk/reward the Argentinian stock market presents currently. I will keep adding to my savings in the local market when viable. I would say it looks quite good, even for foreign investors. I had been expecting the government to make progress with their infrastructure plan, and it seems like we will being seeing some movement in that regard, which should give immediate upside to banks and a few other stocks. I would reccomend getting involved with the likes of BCBA:$BMA, BCBA:$FRAN, BCBA:$GGAL, BCBA:$CRES, BCBA:$IRSA, among other names like BCBA:$AUSO, BCBA:$CTIO, to name a few. Best of luck, Ivan Labrie.
INDEX:IARLong
by IvanLabrie
ARGT: Great long entryI'm long $ARGT indirectly, recently added to all my shares in the local market (yesterday on close to be precise). I anticipate a massive rally from here onwards. People have been pannicking lately, this increased to monstrous levels with the upcoming parliamentary elections, and now the talk of thermonuclear war. Recently I read an anecdote from Mike Epstein, at Tom McClellan's twitter feed. The key point, was that, the market will probably bounce if nuclear war doesn't start...and if it does, who cares if we lose on this trade, right? :/ Here's a link to the tweet, I suck at narrating stuff: twitter.com Anyway, Argentina is in a very strong uptrend, and the recent pullback is a terrific uptrend for the very significant growth potential it has, discounting political risk and currency risk, if the government eventually delivers. I'm betting they won't disappoint investors. Best of luck to all of us... Ivan Labrie.
AMEX:ARGTLong
by IvanLabrie
16
SHORT IDEA: Indice Merval - Argentina $MERVAL #MERVALMaybe we are having a double top in front of us. The principal argentinian index has lost his previus bullish trend and now is showing a little weakness. This index is not the most diversified one right now, having an important concentration of companies related to generation/distrubution of energy which are starting to go down. There is a chance to take advantage of this situation, going into a short position of this index at @22050 points looking for covering it at @20500. (a -7,5% sinking)
BCBA:IMVShort
by alepensel
1
Dolar en Argentina en corto y mediano plazo USD/ARSLuego de testear dos veces consecutivas su resistencia psicológica ubicada en torno a los 16 pesos, baja al piso de su tendencia alcista de largo plazo. En los últimos días se aprecia una fuerte tendencia al alza, con aumento de la volatilidad. Testeando nuevamente su resistencia histórica, confirmada previamente con un DT. Consideramos q la tendencia continúa al alza, y es por ello que ubicamos un fuerte soporte en torno a los 15 pesos. Comparando el comportamiento con el par EUR/USD y los acontecimientos políticos reciente en Latinoamérica, concluimos que si bien la tendencia continúa siendo alcista, vamos a apreciar una pequeña corrección en el corto plazo. Debemos recordar que la argentina realizará elecciones de mediano plazo en octubre, lo que mantendrá expectativas muy altas y un mayor control del BCRA. Una vez pasada las elecciones, consideramos que el par buscará posicionarse en valores superiores a los 17 pesos.
Long
by MaxuuSalvadores
BMA: Holding longsThe trend is very strong in the monthly timeframe. Every single signal has worked, telling us before hand what the market would do, with actionable setups and extremely perfect accuracy. BMA is a good performer, with still a modest valuation, and expected to deliver in the coming months, specially if the government's infrastructure plans pan out favorably, since they are going to benefit from it, being the largest bank outside of Buenos Aires. You can read more about it here: xbma.org The daily chart offers a good low risk entry here, in case you missed it at lower levels. I'll add the ADR chart in the comments. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
BCBA:BMALong
by IvanLabrie
ARSUSD: Hold pesos, term deposits yield 17% per yearI'd hold pesos now, personally. As part of my currency holdings. I wouldn't be in USD if possible, and would prefer other assets, like foreign currencies, EEM shares vs SPY shorts, TLT longs, gold/silver/bitcoin/ethereum, undervalued selected stocks, TSLA shares, VLKAY shares, perhaps the new COIN etf shares once they are released, Argentinian stocks on corrections or dips, names like BMA, CRES, IRSA are my favorites. I'm out of them, but looking to rebuy on dips. People are terrified, they fear a crisis, they fear the local currency and stocks, they fear Trump...Many are closing businesses they recently opened, out of fear of the government's actions but I think it's a sentiment extreme and should be faded. I remain optimistic. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
1
Que complicado te veo $METR$METR Despues de tocar el maximo historico hace unos dias, le toco la hora de descomprimir tal vez para dentro de poco volver hacia arriba. Esta en un canal descendiente, esto no es nada bueno, pero tampoco es muy preocupante. Seguramente vaya hacia los 19.80 donde se ubica el 0.618 de Fibonacci, tal vez ahi tengamos la recuperacion y las ganas para ir hacia los maximos. Si no llega a suceder esto vamos a buscar los $17.71. Asi que, hay que seguirla de cerca, para ver como reacciona en estos dias. CAUTELA, por ahora!
BCBA:METRShort
by martindvorkin
1