Is It the Right Time to Buy Apple StockAs an avid follower of the tech industry and an investor myself, I've been keeping a close eye on Apple Inc. This technology giant, known for its innovative products and services, has consistently piqued the interest of investors. As of April 2023, many people are wondering if now is the right time to buy Apple stock. In this article, I'll dive into Apple's historical performance, recent financial ratios, market outlook, risks, and challenges to provide some insight into whether it's the right time to invest in Apple shares.
1. Historical Performance of Apple Stock
a. Long-term growth
I've observed that since the early 2000s, Apple's stock has experienced exponential growth, primarily driven by the company's success in launching groundbreaking products like the iPhone, iPad, and Apple Watch. Apple's stock reached a record value of over 500 USD in 2020, showcasing the company's ability to maintain its dominant market position.
b. Performance between 2021 and April 2023
In the period between 2021 and April 2023, Apple's stock continued its upward trajectory, albeit with occasional dips due to market fluctuations and global events. Despite these temporary setbacks, the overall trend remained positive, highlighting the company's resilience and adaptability.
2. Key Financial Ratios (as of April 2023)
a. Price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio
As of April 2023, Apple's P/E ratio stood at around 35. A high P/E ratio is indicative of investor confidence in the company's ability to generate earnings in the future. I've seen the P/E ratio fluctuate in the past, but the current figure suggests that investors remain optimistic about Apple's prospects.
b. Debt-to-EBITDA ratio
Apple's debt-to-EBITDA ratio has been maintained below 1, a sign of prudent debt management. This indicates that Apple has ample earnings to cover its debt obligations, which is a positive signal for investors like myself.
c. Price-to-sales (P/S) ratio
At around 9, Apple's P/S ratio implies that investors are willing to pay a premium for the company's sales. A high P/S ratio is often associated with high-growth companies, suggesting that investors anticipate continued growth in Apple's sales.
d. Price-to-book (P/B) ratio
Apple's P/B ratio, at approximately 32, is higher than the industry average. This ratio reflects the value investors place on the company's assets, indicating that the market perceives Apple's assets to be of high quality.
e. Price-to-free-cash-flow (P/FCF) ratio
With a consistent P/FCF ratio of around 33, investors are paying a premium for Apple's ability to generate free cash flow. This is an important metric for investors like me, as it indicates the company's financial flexibility and capacity to fund future growth initiatives.
3. Recent Developments and Market Outlook
a. Apple's financial performance in 2022 and early 2023
Apple has exhibited solid revenue and earnings growth in 2022 and early 2023, driven by the success of new product launches and innovations. This strong performance demonstrates the company's ability to maintain its competitive edge in the ever-evolving tech industry.
b. Projected growth in the tech industry for 2023 and beyond
The tech industry is expected to continue its rapid growth, spurred by advancements in 5G technology, artificial intelligence, and machine learning. Apple's product pipeline aligns with these industry trends, placing the company in a favorable position to capitalize on emerging opportunities.
c. Apple's innovation and product pipeline for 2023 and beyond
Rumors of Apple's augmented reality (AR) products and the potential expansion of its ecosystem through new services suggest that the company has a robust innovation strategy for 2023 and beyond. As a result, Apple is well-positioned to maintain its status as an industry leader and continue to grow its market share.
d. Comparison with other tech giants
When comparing Apple's market performance and valuation with other tech giants, it becomes evident that the company remains a strong contender in the technology sector. Apple's competitive landscape and market share continue to be favorable, further solidifying its status as a dominant player in the industry.
4. Risks and Challenges
a. Regulatory and geopolitical concerns
Apple faces ongoing regulatory challenges, such as antitrust investigations, which could impact its business operations. Additionally, trade disputes and potential supply chain disruptions may pose risks to the company's growth prospects.
b. Market volatility and economic factors in 2023
Interest rate changes and global economic conditions could create market volatility that affects Apple's stock performance in 2023. As an investor, I consider these factors when assessing the potential risks and rewards of investing in Apple shares.
c. Competition and market saturation
The tech industry is known for its fierce competition and rapidly changing landscape. Apple must continue to innovate and adapt to maintain its market share and stay ahead of emerging competitors. Market saturation in certain product categories may also pose challenges to the company's growth potential.
Conclusion
Taking into account the financial ratios, recent developments, and market outlook, Apple appears to be a strong investment option as of April 2023. However, investors should weigh the pros and cons based on the most recent data and consider their personal investment goals and risk tolerance before making a decision. As for me, I remain optimistic about Apple's future, but I also recognize the importance of staying informed and making well-informed decisions.
Apple
(D) $AAPL APPROACHING CRITICAL JUNCTURE🍎 NASDAQ:AAPL approaching a critical juncture, tagging the resistance trendline established from ATH on the Daily. If we take the structure from ATH to now as a 3 wave correction, we could be finished and exiting the structure for upside now. However, we could get a bounce to the downside off the resistance, which would form a 5 wave corrective structure instead and provide confluence for my AMEX:SPY downside expectation's.
Big 6 Megacaps gaining all the money flow....Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Nvidia, Meta. these are the 6 stocks in the SPX that have been seeing all the moneyflow.
A concentration of capital in a few names does not make for a healthy stock market.
It leaves the markets vulnerable to a bigger decline if money is so concentrated in a few names.
the S&P500 is on the verge of a breakout but these massive names are at major resistance.
Without these names continuing their ascent, the SPX will likely not breakout.
APPL Price Target for Bulls
The price has taken out the prior high at $157.5.
→ The recent downtrend has officially ended.
Now we look for the uptrend rhyme.
→ Since there is a higher low formed and a clear resistance-turned-support at level B, we can project a 100% symmetry of the prior swing from A to B and project it from C.
→ The level of C happens to be the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from A to B.
→ The level of D can be seen as the short-term goal, and it also happens to be the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from A to B.
What’s more? The level of D is also the level of the prior high on the weekly chart.
On the weekly chart, you may notice there’s a big downtrend channel. And the current price is just right under the downtrend pressure. However, the price didn’t fulfill the lower boundary of the downtrend channel this time and has challenged the pressure for the fourth time. Considering all the Fibonacci level coincidences mentioned above, it’s anticipated that the breakout of this downtrend channel will unfold.
What if the price goes below the level of B?
→ Since the level of B has already been retested and held as a support level, it shouldn’t be broken. Otherwise, the bullish rhyme will also be gone. We should wait for another clear signal to enter/re-enter a trade.
**Not Financial Advice**
The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
Apple to find support at previous resistance?Apple - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 156.61 (stop at 151.11)
This is curremtly an actively traded stock.
Our bespoke resistance of 157.50 has been clearly broken.
Previous resistance at 156.00 now becomes support.
The primary trend remains bullish.
We look to buy dips.
Our profit targets will be 170.66 and 172.66
Resistance: 162.50 / 165.00 / 166.84
Support: 159.78 / 156.00 / 154.00
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Apple by EOYApple based on current 119D movement. I still believe Apple is heading below $100 this year. It took a tad longer to see a drop because of corporate buybacks but that wont change the overall outlook for Apple.
Apple's price move from 2018 downward coincides with the Feds tapering. The August 2019 rally also coincides directly with the Fed increasing QE in August 2019. You can see somewhat normal movement until the price breaks out of the channel, although QE was introduced in 2008.
No QE = no more rallying. More QE = hyperinflation. Simple as that. I think the Fed will let equities take a bath to save the dollar... but than again, who knows?
Data Points:
MACD Crossed
RSI has room to come down
Q1 Guidance was grim
Apple MovesA new update for Apple. We hit all of our targets with "Bitten Apple" chart. We saw this bounce coming. The market sold off too steep too fast, and we can always expect a pull back on these steep sell offs. This bear market rally may continue for a few more days before another wave of selling resumes.
The data supports a bear market and recession. The data release of autos, housing, jobs, retail, consumer sentiment, inflation, wholesale inflation, personal debt, and revolving debt shows that the economy is quite sick, even sicker than we are told.
With this in mind, we can paint a picture of continued slowing retail and as some analysts predicted, we will start seeing earnings taking hits more and more.
Apple is below its MA, which is expected. It seems that there is resistance at $141 area, although if we do break the Bollinger price basis like it did in late May and early June, we should see $3-4 move above it, so $145-$146 before another sell off. MACD for the 1M is still bearish. We are no where near a bottom. Quantitative tightening will continue and balance sheet reduction is just begun this month.
Apple H&S PossibilityLatest update for Apple. We may see some sort of recovery in July, which may see markets across the board move up. If we break the selling trend, it will have created a head and shoulders when selling continues downward. Again, this is a possibility, as selling might intensify.
Atlanta Fed has revised their Q2 GDP down to -1.0%, putting the US in recession. This is in addition to a worse than expected Retail, Consumer Sentiment, Consumer Confidence, ect. We'll see.. for now, we're neutral on this. MACD is VERY bearish for the 1M.
Apple Is this market ready to break? This was a significant rebound, almost unimaginably unrealistic... 5-weeks of straight rallying through the tidal waves of bad economic news, rate hikes, QT, geopolitical tensions, ect...
Let's see what holds for August and September, which are two months that aren't great for stocks. If you do short, go to at least the end of September.
RSI and MACD are supporting a sell off. MA puts Apple at $160, and the Lower price of BB is $151. Was this a giant head and shoulder?
First shoulder December 2021, head at March 2022, and now the right shoulder at August 2022? Hmmm
Tipple Top or Dead Cat BounceWe're taking a look at Apple here. This ticker has been known as a quality stock that investors flock when other tech stocks take a hit.
MACD is playing right there in the middle and this could go either way. Money Flow Index is showing that there could be more up to go.
Markets have been rocked by the recent banking crisis that is still not over. We're now learning of First Republic continually collapsing, even with backstops and liquidity pledges from big banks. Perhaps this crisis isn't over yet, and with bets of a 25 basis point hike Wednesday, this could snowball into a bigger crisis, but it's one to watch. Central banks are doing all they can to keep this bubble alive, but with declining economies, it's now a matter of time.
Manufacturing, retail, housing, autos, are all down, and continuing downward. Joblessness claims continue upward. Layoffs are increasing. You know how it goes... thoughts?
AAPL: No longer the apple of the eyes of the investors EPS: $1.88 vs. $1.94 estimated, down 10.9% year over year
Revenue: $117.15 billion vs. $121.10 billion estimated, down 5.49% year over year
iPhone revenue: $65.78 billion vs. $68.29 billion estimated, down 8.17% year over year
Mac revenue: $7.74 billion vs. $9.63 billion estimated, down 28.66% year over year
iPad revenue: $9.4 billion vs. $7.76 billion estimated, up 29.66% year over year
Other Products revenue: $13.48 billion vs. $15.23 billion estimated, down 8.3% year over year
Services revenue: $20.77 billion vs. $20.67 billion estimated, up 6.4% year over year
Gross margin: 42.96% vs. 42.95% estimated
APPLE Falling Resistance Reached! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
APPLE was trading in an
Uptrend but then the stock
Hit the falling resistance line
And we are seeing a bearish
Pullback already so a move down
Is to be expected
Sell!
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Apple -> Short Term ReversalHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe you can see that Apple stock is currently retesting a quite obvious previous weekly downtrend resistance line exactly at the $165 area.
Also just recently Apple stock created a weekly inverted head and shoulders so I definitely do expect the market to reject this downtrendline to retest the neckline of the inverted head and shoulders at the $155 area and then from there create more continuation towards the upside.
On the daily timeframe you can see that market structure is still massively bullish so I am now just waiting for Apple to show me some more bearish rejection at the current levels and then there is a high chance that we will see a short term rejection away from the downtrend resistance trendline.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
APPLE I Trading strategy I Key Area 🎯Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** Apple Analysis - Listen to video!
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How to work out additional levels when breaking to new highsThis is a bit trickier and there are certain techniques that you can use. I personally use Fibonacci extensions, point and figure and any potential patterns to offer potential upside targets. I realise I have been a bit cavalier with my point and figure upside target, as you can work this out exactly, but wanted to show the techniques I use rather than concentrate on the actual count itself.
I took a look at the Apple price to give potential upside targets. The potential new targets are contingent on the old high around 183 breaking.
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AAPL bullish play ideaAAPL is onto big things 2023-2024!
Apple is a technology company that designs, manufactures, and sells consumer electronics, computer software, and online services. The company is well-known for its innovative products such as the iPhone, iPad, and Mac computers. Apple is also one of the largest companies in the world by market capitalization, with a strong balance sheet and a history of generating significant profits.
Over the past decade, Apple's stock has performed very well, with the share price increasing more than fivefold from around $50 per share in 2010 to over $250 per share in 2020. Apple has consistently delivered strong financial results, with revenues and earnings growing steadily year over year.
There are several factors that have contributed to Apple's success and strong stock performance. One key factor is the company's focus on product innovation, with a track record of releasing popular and high-quality products that have captured a loyal customer base. Apple's brand strength and customer loyalty have helped to maintain strong demand for its products, which has translated into strong financial results and stock performance.
Another key factor is Apple's financial strength and stability. The company has a large cash balance and generates significant free cash flow, which it has used to invest in research and development, acquisitions, and share buybacks. This has helped to support Apple's growth and profitability over the long term, which in turn has translated into strong stock performance.
AAPL stocks are always bullish.
Apple -> The Bulls Are StrongHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe you can see that Apple stock just recently perfectly broke above a key previous weekly resistance area exactly at $155 and now after this break all of this previous resistance is turned support.
You can also see that we have a long term downtrendline coming in exactly at $165 which is turned very strong resistance again, so I am now just waiting for a retest of the $155 support area and then I do expect a move to retest the $165 resistance line.
On the daily timeframe you can see that my last analysis on Apple (linked below) already played out nicely, I am now just waiting for a minor break and retest of the current resistance area before I then do expect more continuation towards the upside.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
APPLE Long After Retest! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
APPLE broke the key level
And went further up just
As I predicted and is now
Making a pullback and a
Bearish correction but
The stock is in the uptrend
So we are bullish biased
Therefore, after the retest
Of the level around 154.5$
We are likely to see a move
Up towards the target level
At around 161.2$
Buy!
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