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Anchoredvwap

SRZN great trend up this year then pullback can be bought LONGSRZN ona 30 minute chart is on a consistent trend up for three weeks with some minor normal corrections while underway. Now is one of those pullbacks waiting for an entry. Price is getting support from the first upper VWAP bandline confluent with the lower ascending support line of the megaphone pattern. A megaphone pattern documents increasing volatility in the price action. Volatility is profitable in trading the swings as a swing trade or even intraday. I will take a long trade here targeting the top of the pattern or about going from 12 to 15 being 25% upside.
NASDAQ:SRZNLong
by AwesomeAvani
BTTR, a penny stock selling pet food LONGBTTR is up almost 30% since acquiring a Canadian company on Feb 9th. The news catalyst illustrates a momentum in growth. On the chart, since an excellent report in November, price ascended into a double top in late November and mid December then fell until the news catalyst on Friday the 9th. Another report is soon coming. I see BTTR as a volatile penny stock is now set up for a long trade. I have marked in horizontal black some targets from looking to the left. Equally weighing all three targets, the profit potential is 25% in the near term while the last target is about 35%. BTTR is poised below the mean VWAP line and appears ready to continue its VWAP breakout from 2/9 moving upward while crossing the first lower anchored VWAP line. I expect the price to ultimately aim for the second upper VWAP line and hit my last target just below that line representing the base of the double top last winter. my last target
AMEX:BTTRLong
by AwesomeAvani
GRPN on a one month breakout LONGThis is to follow up my previous idea on Groupon. On the 2H chart, price is in a one month sustained breakout from the volume profile and into the upper VWAP band lines both anchored for end of 2023. The faster green RSI line crossed the 50 about the same time and basically has not looked down. The slower RSI line has slowly risen from 55 to 65. This is in the consumer discretionary sector and hot necessarily hinged to technology stocks. I see this as rock-solid as it gets. I will load more shares now and also load more ona dip There was a big earnings miss in November and then Goldman Sachs raised its target from 5 to 7.5 which seems like a big adjustment after an earnings miss. I suppose GS knows their stuff.
NASDAQ:GRPNLong
by AwesomeAvani
SPY falls into mean VWAP support for LONGSPY on the 1H chart was riding the cynamic resistance of the second upper VWAP line in mid July but then pivoted down out of a head and shoulders at the bottom of the month and is now bounding up and down retesting the support of the mean VWAP line. The ADX indicator shows the flat line directional index. The ZL MACD is upgoing after a cross of the lines at the lows. Price is impending another VWAP crossover on the retest. I see this as an excellent base from which to take call options long targeting $453 for both 8/18 and 9/1. Please leave a comment, will SPY turn it around here or seek the downside?
AMEX:SPYLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
SOUN might be overbought and overvalued for a reversalSOUNDHound AI on the 15 minute on Wednesday 60 hours ago, broke out after a trend down to begin the year. The tailwinds of the technology stock earnings and their tailwinds pushed hard. SOUN broke out through the entire high volume area and then rose above it. Pretty much the same from the lower aVWAP bands into the uppers after crossing over the mean line. On the three indicators, RSI , MACD and the Chop index bearish diveragence is seen. This may be an early reversal in progress but then again it might just be prudent traders liquidating to take full or partial profits to close out the week. I am running full on this, I will watch the price action early next week to determine a continuation vs a reversal. Relative volume and relative volatility may show long traders closing with targets reached and shorts taking their positions causing a pivot high of even a " long squeeze". Alerts and their notifications are set on a 5-minute time frame to allow for some early warning. On the other hand it SOUN can put out some higher decibels I may decide to look at the 2/16 options chain and chart for an OTM call in the $2.5 or $3 range.
NASDAQ:SOUNLong
by AwesomeAvani
4
AMZN in a triangle pattern LONGAMZN on the 15 minute time frame is in a relative symmetrical triangle pattern. A volume profile and intermediate term anchored VWAP are overlaid. They validate one another since the POC line and the mean anchored VWAP line up. Price is below both of them. My forecast is that price will rise and temporarily so sideways in the high volume and volatility zone of VWAP / POC and then ascend higher as that tug o war is finalized. My long target for now is 170.35 as the top boundary line of the high volume area of the VP. This is a good trade for shares on margin to get some juice into the trade. I will instead take call options for March 16th striking $ 172 for some leverage and beyond linear RIO. AMZN is good to go. Admittedly, this is an early bird trade. I see the risk as minimal.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by AwesomeAvani
BOIL vs KOLD Natural Gas Leveraged ETFs : LONG KOLDThe KOLD / Boil Ratio is shown here on a daily char. A rising ratio level indicates KOLD is rising and BOIL is falling making the ratio rather extreme If KOLD rises 10% in a week and so BOIL falls, in a hypothetical say they start out 140 and 20 respectively and KOLD goes to 154 while KOLD falls to 18 the ratio moves from 7 to 154/18 = 8.55 the ratio moves 22% for the week. What does this all mean ? With triple leveraging and management fees taken out long leveraged ETF shares may experience time decay on a daily basis. Share values are net after expenses. From the chart's visible the only time the ratio fell and BOIL was the long play was September 25,'23 to November 15, '23 and December 14, '23 to January 14, '24. In 2023 prior to late September KOLD was always the long play, In 2024, after January 15 and to the present KOLD is the long play and the ratio is accelerating and getting more volatile as it is potentially getting over-extended. Combined volume in the range of 20 M /day is 2X showing great interest by market participants. I conclude especially since natural gas spot prices are falling as recession fears are not yet in the past, that KOLD is the leveraged gas futures ETF to take long. This trader considers the management fees as a cost of business. The futures are stratified and leveraged obivously the cost brings value. I will take shares of KOLD and take a call or two along the way for an expiration in the fall whenever price rises about an even $5.00 amount to be assured of the lowest price. I will follow KOLD on a 60-90 minute chart looking for topping wicks or a price fall under the EMA 7 as a sign that it should be on watch for a market top. Frankly, I do not expect to see it. This is because on the 2-time frame RSI indicator ( by Chris Moody) with the 4H in green and the 1W in red, both lines are rising and in a healthy 75 +/- range. If they top out and fall, then I again think I might be seeing bullish divergence and put the trade on watch. For those who trade VWAP bands and volume profile, the ratio has been in an obvious breakout since early November with a pullback in mid-December after the ratio rose outside the third upper VWAP band. Using the VWAP bands and the volume profile will make any fades very obvious most especially on lower time frames.
AMEX:KOLDLong
by AwesomeAvani
3
LABU / LABD Ratio Anchored VWAP over /under LABU LONGOn the weekly chart a LABU / LABD ratio is plotted with anchored VWAP bands and a volume profile overlaid. I wanted to analyze this to affirm the highest of prospects for the Biotechnology sector for 2024. LABU is triple leveraged Up while LABD is the inverse Down. A good unleveraged biotech ETF is XBI. The chart shows LABU in a VWAP band and breakout through the hohg volume area and then over it beginning early November. Unusually high relative volume and volatility ramped up about the same time. I readily conclude that LABU is the buy right now with the ratio rising. It is a low beat ETF with good range due to the leveraging and high forecasts for 2024. I will make buys on LABU at regular intervals on a 60-120 minute time frame looking for the weekly lows. I will set an alert for a falling ratio on the 3H to daily chart to assess should the supertrend fade. I believe that this will be a safe low risk swing long trade.
AMEX:LABULong
by AwesomeAvani
YINN & YANG Market Cycles and Ratios YINN LONG nowThis weekly chart of the YANG /YINN ratio explains the rationale of the demonstration of the market cycle over the period of a few years as it relates to taking a swing trade in one or the other and finding the likely pivot points based on resistance and support as static levels or importance. Dynamic levels using an anchored VWAP and also a Bollinger Band are used to support analysis and finding pivot points of importance. This is meant to be a methodology of decreasing risk while optimizing reward. The same methodology could be deployed onto a shorter time frame of 120 minute time frame to zigzag more often with greater precision and potentially achieving greater profits over a given time interval. An optimal reversal on the high side is a confluence of the horizontal resistance /supply area with the upper Bollinger Band and the uppermost of the anchor VWAP bands.
AMEX:YANGLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
BOIL reverses from a quick downtrend LONGBOIL on may 9th went into hard resistance in the highest VWAP line area, the Hull moving averages did a death cross and it fell 12% into the support of the first upper standard deviation line where it double bottomed with a reversal. The ZL MACD shows lines and trends that are confirmatory. As a result, I have closed my short trade from my prior idea and revested the capital gained into a long position of stock and calls. If you are interested in knowing targets or stop losses, please leave a comment.
AMEX:BOIL
by AwesomeAvani
1
ROKU is pulled back for re-entryROKU has been downtrending in a retracement of the uptrend from late May to mid June. On the 2H chart, price has fallen from the top of the fair value zone the bottom of the fair value zone. The zone is the area between the VWAP bands of the anchored VWAP. Institutional buyers prefer to buy in either the under valued zone or the lower portions of the fair value zone and then in turn sell high in that zone or above it in the over valued zone. The RSI indicator shows RSI to have descended into the oversold zone where RSI is about 20. On the volume profile price has descended into the high volume area where increased trading volume will support price and likely push a reversal.
NASDAQ:ROKU
by AwesomeAvani
1
UBER rising after VWAP bounce LONGUBER on a 30 minute time frame chart crossed over an anchored VWAP about January 25 and topped January 30th then retested the slowly rising mean anchored VWAP in a double bottom fashion on the following day. The relative strength indicator is in the 65-75 range and the zero lag MACD cycling mostly above the horizontal zero level. I see UBER as suitably setup for a swing trade long when it is near to the bottom of the support trendline in the ascending megaphone pattern.
NYSE:UBERLong
by AwesomeAvani
PLTR Has Reached Key Upside Levels: Tighten StopsPrimary Chart : Palantir Technologies Inc. NYSE:PLTR on a daily time frame with key Fibonacci Levels drawn as well as support, resistance, the 21-day EMA, and a critical VWAP from the bear-market lows of December 2022 Palantir Technologies Inc. NYSE:PLTR , once a tech darling of the 2020-2021 bull market in equities, has achieved a substantial retracement now of its vicious 2021-2022 bear-market decline. PLTR has been a popular stock ever since going public via a direct public offering, the same type of registered share offering used by NYSE:SPOT and Slack Technologies, LLC, which is now owned by Salesforce. PLTR provides data-analysis and AI technologies to large government agencies, including defense agencies and branches of the military, as well as large corporations. Despite periods of consolidation—especially from August 1, 2023, to November 1, 2023, PLTR has been in a primary-degree uptrend since its bear market low on December 27, 2022. The uptrend has been mostly strong and supported by the volume-weighted average price anchored to the bear-market low (green), which is shown on the Primary Chart above. Price has also run into a major long-term Fibonacci level at $20.74. This level is also shown on the Primary Chart in gold. Using a logarithmic scale, this Fibonacci level at $20.74 is a 61.8% retracement of the all-time high to the December 2022 low. Above this level suggests more upside. Below this level suggests either (i) consolidation, or (ii) resumption of the downtrend (if key long-term support levels break decisively). When plotted on a linear chart, PLTR has also reached (and stalled at) a critical Fibonacci retracement of its entire bear-market decline. This .382 Fibonacci retracement at $20.85 is often where bull flags or bear flags consolidate within a given trend. Some might view this level as a decisive level for the bbear case given that 38.2% of the bear-market decline has been retraced, and therefore, rising above this level would suggest the uptrend has further to climb (e.g., $25.46 at the 50% retracement shown in green below). So this level at $20.74 / $20.85 (whether viewed as a .618 Fibonacci retracement or a .382 Fibonacci retracement) is crucial to monitor. Supplementary Chart A This post argues that the primary uptrend looks as though it has become extended. Does this mean the high has been reached for the this particular uptrend? It's not wise to call the end of a primary trend until technical confirmation has occurred. Picking a long-term high is nearly impossible. The negative divergences on weekly and daily time frames are shown in the following charts: Supplementary Chart B Supplementary Chart C Supplementary Chart D Supplementary Chart E Supplementary Chart F So momentum has definitely slowed in this AI / tech / data-analysis name, and negative (bearish) divergences have arisen. At a minimum, this could signal a period of consolidation lies ahead in the first half (1H) of 2024. The supplementary charts show the divergences one should watch carefully. This may provide a reason for bullish position traders and investors to tighten stops. And if key levels snap decisively, such as the $16.36 level or the August 2023 supports at $13.68 or the VWAP (green) from December 2022, then watch for a retest or break of lows.
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by SquishTrade
24
ASX Aims 8% HIGHERAXS is showing bullish price action. Price has moved up to the next major resistance level. Once we break this trend line, I will then switch my bias to bullish and look to enter a long. It is looking good after a sweep of the lows. Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade. Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT. Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below! This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
by Navitility
How to use Anchored VWAP There's considerable confusion about the practical use of anchored VWAPs. Personally, I leverage them as genuine resistance/support lines due to their integration of volume. Consider the 2021 LTC top around 397 USD, often perceived as the resistance line prompting many to exit. However, in my Anchored VWAP trading approach, the true resistance stands at 136 USD. A sustained break and successful retest of this updated line indicate potential for prices surpassing the 2021 highs. Likewise, the 2022 bottom at 43 USD served as support or resistance in various periods, now residing near 75 USD. From my perspective, the current LTC price seems below the prior 2022 lows, suggesting bearish control. I recommend NOT A BUY until we securely close above this price resistance. Follow for more!
BINANCE:LTCUSDEducation
by DEFI-trader
TSLA: Neutral to Slightly Bullish Next Two WeeksHappy New Year everyone! This short video explains the technical view for TSLA as we start 2024. From a technical standpoint alone, its difficult to be wildly bullish or bearish right now. There may be other fundamental or macro reasons to take a more bullish or bearish view in the intermediate to long term. In short, neutral to slightly bullish makes sense over the next couple weeks for this stock. Best of luck! ________________________________________ Author's Comment: Thank you for reviewing this post and considering its charts and analysis. The author welcomes comments, discussion and debate (respectfully presented) in the comment section. Shared charts are especially helpful to support any opposing or alternative view. This article is intended to present an unbiased, technical view of the security or tradable risk asset discussed. Please note further that this technical-analysis viewpoint is short-term in nature. This is not a trade recommendation but a technical-analysis overview and commentary with levels to watch for the near term. This technical-analysis viewpoint could change at a moment's notice should price move beyond a level of invalidation. Further, proper risk-management techniques are vital to trading success. And countertrend or mean-reversion trading, e.g., trading a rally in a bear market, is lower probability and is tricky and challenging even for the most experienced traders. DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified financial adviser or other investment / financial professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by SquishTrade
8
TQQQ - Leveraged QQQ rising after reversal LONGOn the highly reliable weekly chart, price was under the Ichimoku cloud since April 2022 putting in a couple of bear flags on the way down while first getting support two standard deviations below the mean anchored VWAP and then one standard deviation showing increasing strength finally crossing above the mean VWAP in May then with a retest and bounce in late October while forming a bull flag. The breakout in the past month suggests another leg up is underway with a potential of the same magnitude as the flagpole in the current pattern. If accurate this could lead to a price of $68 by next July or 70% higher than the present over 7 months. I will take a trade of 10 call options with a strike of $ 65.00 for a July expiration. Each time the stock price rises by $5.00 I will close one of the options yielding a tiered liquidation along the way to collect profit.
NASDAQ:TQQQLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
Despite a strong week, IWM remains in trading rangePrimary Chart: IWM / Russell 2000 Weekly Timeframe The Russell 2000 (IWM) is often a leading indicator in US markets. It led to the downside in early November 2021 after a false breakout out of its 2021 topping-pattern's resistance around $234. SPX topped nearly two months later on January 4, 2022. While small-caps are not necessarily always the first to make a move, it is something frequently cited by commentators and analysts. This is why the Russell 2000 is important for traders and investors to follow to maintain a deeper understanding of the broader US equity markets. Despite a very strong weekly close for IWM, its price remains in the lower half of its trading range. This trading range has contained price for the past 1.5 years, since the topping pattern's support (at the upper blue rectangle) broke down in January 2022. Unlike other major US indices like the Nasdaq 100, IWM has continued to struggle and remains well below its August 2022 and January / February 2023 highs. Two months ago, in a recent post titled " Something is Rotten in the State of Markets ," IWM's underperformance of SPX provided a basis for discussion as to why US equity markets may remain unhealthy despite the bullish price action YTD (see link below). A strong and long-lasting bull market should show signs of broad participation. Many breadth indicators have shown very narrow breadth. It's not a surprise, in fact, that SPX's rally and upside performance has been driven by 5 to 10 SPX names, with the other 490-495 flat, lagging, or up weakly. Supplementary Chart A This previous April 10 analysis displayed a hypothetical price path intended to reflect the possibility of more sideways and choppy price action in the intermediate term. The choppy price action has largely unfolded as expected (click the play / refresh arrow on the prior post from April 10, 2023). In fact, IWM's price at the time of the prior post was at $173.89, and a month later on May 8 it had closed almost at the same level around $172.72. Now IWM appears to be breaking above the recent trading range. Major levels of resistance appear on the Primary Chart as Fibonacci levels (the .618 retracement and the .50 retracement, which is not technically a Fibonacci proportion) as well as the anchored VWAP from the November 2021 ATH. How price responds to these levels will be important to watch in coming weeks especially after June 16, 2023 OPEX—a quad witching event. It is notable that IWM trades far below its major ATH VWAP from November 2021. Compare how IWM's price trades relative to this VWAP (labeled on the Primary Chart above) with how SPY's price trades relative to its ATH VWAP. SPY's VWAP anchored to its ATH is shown in Supplementary chart B below. Supplementary Chart B Finally, a relative chart of Russell 2000 vs. S&P 500 is helpful to examine these two major US equity indices and how IWM has performed YTD relative to the SPY / SPX. See Supplementary Chart C below. This relative chart shows IWM still in a downtrend relative to SPY. And it still shows that IWM vs. SPY remains below major resistance. Given that IWM is a leading index at times, it will be interesting to see whether what happens to the major resistance on this relative chart that was broken in early April 2023. Will it hold? Supplementary Chart C In summary, the small-cap stocks in the US equity market are lagging despite putting in a strong weekly performance this week of +3.33%. The primary trend in small caps remains sideways by any measure. Will IWM play catch up to the other main US indices like S&P 500 ( SP:SPX ) and Nasdaq 100 ( NASDAQ:NDX NASDAQ:QQQ )? No one knows for sure. But the liquidity problems plaguing the US economy tend to show up in the weakest names first, which usually are also the smallest names. Could IWM's underperformance be a sign of this liquidity stress? Or will it catch up to confirm that the current rally in NDX and SPY are perfectly healthy under the hood and headed to new all-time highs? Stay tuned. And thanks for reading this and for your encouragement and support. ________________________________________ Author's Comment: Thank you for reviewing this post and considering its charts and analysis. The author welcomes comments, discussion and debate (respectfully presented) in the comment section. Shared charts are especially helpful to support any opposing or alternative view. This article is intended to present an unbiased, technical view of the security or tradable risk asset discussed. Please note further that this technical-analysis viewpoint is short-term in nature. This is not a trade recommendation but a technical-analysis overview and commentary with levels to watch for the near term. This technical-analysis viewpoint could change at a moment's notice should price move beyond a level of invalidation. Further, proper risk-management techniques are vital to trading success. And countertrend or mean-reversion trading, e.g., trading a rally in a bear market, is lower probability and is tricky and challenging even for the most experienced traders. DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified financial adviser or other investment / financial professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
AMEX:IWM
by SquishTrade
25
SN LongBought half size this afternoon as SN cleared a recent consolidation pivot after gapping up this morning. In a better environment, I'd have bought in full size today, but I'll look to hold and buy more if / when the stock reaches its debut-day high of $52.90 and the environment improves. Reasons for entry are simple... stock gapped up on earnings, pulled in and then gapped away again on even higher volume than the earnings day. It has continued to show solid volume patterns with volume surges accompanying big up days (including today) & had a nice volume dry-up leading into today's gap and push. Stop is just below where a complete gap fill would occur. Will be looking to slide the stop up as soon as I can given the poor environment. Would like to see a big volume up day bring us back to the debut-day high to drag that anchored VWAP from the 9/11/23 gap up above my breakeven price.
NYSE:SNLong
by apaqu
WSM LongDespite the recent poor environment, WSM held onto its 13.5% earnings gain before rocketing off Monday morning on news that a private equity firm has taken a 5% stake in the company. Saw the news after the fact... what I did see was a relatively strong stock breaking out of a narrow consolidation at the top of a deep bottoming base on massive volume. It ended up trading its average weekly volume in one day & the most daily volume since August 2021 AND closed very close to its high on the day. I'd normally like to give the stock more wiggle room after a big move like this, but the poor environment dictates that I move my stop up fast. I initially placed it slightly below the low of the day and was going to manually close the trade if the strong move faded into Monday afternoon, but it didn't and now I've slid it up just below breakeven with multiple key areas to protect it ($150 round #, High-Volume Support level around $151.25, and the anchored VWAP from Monday's open).
NYSE:WSMLong
by apaqu
GNC penny stock LONGIn circumstances similar to May GDC on a1`5 minute chart pumped today for 60% and then faded to the middle basis band of the Bollinger Bands below the mean VWAP and POC line of the short term volume profile. The MACD is showing bullish divergence. THE RS lines are above the 50 level. I have GNC on watch in the after-hours and tomorrow's pre-market to resume bullish momentum and will enter if price gets over the VWAP/POC at 4.17 especially if volume returns.
NASDAQ:GDCLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
YANG China Leveraged Bearish LONGYANG benefits when the China factories slow down and the economy stagnates which is the present situation. The weekly chart shows YANG at its highest before and after covid in 2019-2020. The volume profile shows over the 3+ years most shares have traded at the present price levels. Price is rising above the POC line of the volume profile and approaching the long term mean VWAP. The RS indicator shows sideways strength movement in the mid-ranges. The MACD is curling upward over a low amplitude histogram. The Asexome Oscillator is sideways. Overall, I will place a long trade here and then supplement it with an add when the trend direction is stronger and the Average Directional Index gains amplitude.
AMEX:YANGLong
by AwesomeAvani
2