ETHEREUM road to new ATH!Here we have an analysis for Ethereum in 1H time frame. we can consider two scenarios.
Bullish Scenario:
If ETH breaks above the immediate resistance (PA) around $3,700, it could rally towards higher resistance levels at $3,900, $4,000, and potentially up to $4,400.
This is depicted by the black projected path, suggesting a continued uptrend.
Bearish Scenario:
If ETH fails to break the $3,700 resistance and moves below the immediate support of $3,520, it could see further declines.
The orange projected path indicates a potential drop towards $3,360, $3,280, and a significant support level around $3,125.
This scenario suggests a possible deeper correction before any potential recovery.
Analysischart
NAS100 FORECAST
Overview:
- Current Price: 19019, slightly down by 0.11% (-20.2 points).
- Price Action: The index has been in an uptrend since early May, with a recent consolidation phase.
Key Observations:
1. Trend:
- The overall trend is bullish, with higher highs and higher lows forming since early May.
- There was a significant upward movement around mid-May, followed by a correction and another upward push in early June.
2. Recent Price Movement:
- After reaching a high around 19050, the price has pulled back slightly and is currently consolidating just below this level.
- The consolidation near the highs indicates a potential continuation pattern, suggesting that the market might be gathering strength for another move higher.
3. Bearish and Bullish Levels:
- Resistance: The recent high around 19050 is acting as a resistance level. A breakout above this level could signal further bullish momentum.
- Support: The previous swing low around 18600 can be considered a key support level. If the price breaks below this level, it could indicate a potential trend reversal or a deeper correction.
4. Volume and Volatility:
- The chart does not show volume, but the recent price action suggests that volatility has been relatively low in the consolidation phase. Traders will likely watch for an increase in volume accompanying a breakout or breakdown to confirm the move.
Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Scenario:
- If the price breaks above the resistance at 19050 with strong momentum and volume, it could continue the uptrend, targeting new highs.
- In this case, the next psychological levels to watch would be around 19100 and 19200.
2. Bearish Scenario:
- If the price fails to break the resistance and falls below the recent consolidation low around 18900, it could signal the start of a correction.
- In this scenario, the next support levels to watch would be around 18700 and 18600.
3. Sideways Movement:
- The price could continue to consolidate between 18900 and 19050, indicating indecision in the market.
- Traders might wait for a decisive breakout or breakdown from this range to determine the next significant move.
Conclusion:
The US NASDAQ 100 index is currently in a bullish trend with a consolidation phase near recent highs. A breakout above 19050 could continue the uptrend, while a breakdown below 18900 might lead to a correction. Traders should watch for volume and momentum to confirm any potential moves.
||BTCUSD|| SET TO REACH 80K IN THE NEXT MOVE!We are currently sitting in an interesting situation regarding market structure. Two bullish formations have been printed after the price broke out of the current flag formation, only to create one of the shoulders for the H&S formation as depicted in yellow.
Two formations intertwined so perfectly is normally a great sign for the direction the formations dictate, as you are strengthening retail confidence, and bringing 2 groups of strategies together with a bullish sentiment.
in order to be confident prices are to reach our targets, price must break the 71.6K mark and at least test it once. price does of course have to exceed all time highs of 73.9K which will be the last level of resistance before we move back into price discovery mode. I do not think the ATH will post much resistance based on the strength of current market structure.
The MACD is also priming itself for a convergence run once averages break apart as they have been in consolidation for a couple days.
Although my targets are set for both 81K and 87K I do expect price to get stuck once it reaches 80K as it does pose a strong psychological level of resistance.
Thank you for your read, hope you found some new insights and perceptions on the BTC market structure.
$PFENot financial advice.
Per the STRAT system
NYSE:PFE
Scenario #1 in the monthly candle already went bullish reversal. If we break yellow line will go on a PMG (pivot machine gun) target on small yellow lines.
Scenario #2
we reverse and break white line will go to the bottom of the channel.
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GBPJPY SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisGBPJPY is moving in an ascending channel. The price has an opportunity to test the resistance zones. If the price cannot break through the resistance level, it is expected that there is a chance that the price will fall..
We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GBPJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
-------------------
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NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/8/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024
- PR High: 18204.25
- PR Low: 18180.75
- NZ Spread: 52.5
Key economic calendar events
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction
Prev session closed virtually flat
- Holding inside prev session range
- Near Monday's high
- Potential daily pivot off 18300 zone
- Another low vol session open
Evening Stats (As of 12:25 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 285.39
- Volume: 15K
- Open Int: 232K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -2.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18675
- Mid: 18106
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
GBPCAD → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GBPCAD
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GBP/USD Extends Recovery Amid Dollar WeaknessThe GBP/USD is extending its recovery rally towards the 1.2500 level in Thursday morning's European session. This currency pair continues to be supported by the prolonged weakness of the US Dollar along with low-interest rates of US treasury bonds.
On the 4-hour chart, we observe that the GBP/USD has crossed above the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), signaling positive signs of price recovery. If prices continue to rise and surpass both the SMA 50 and SMA 100, we can expect a stronger upward movement.
NZDCAD → Trade Analysis | BUY SetupHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Watch strong action at the current levels for BUY . GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity NZDCAD
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Technical Analysis: Signs of Price Adjustment in EUR/USDIn Thursday's trading session, the EUR/USD pair lost momentum, dropping to around 1.0745 due to the CPI inflation data boosting the value of the US Dollar (USD) and exerting pressure on the EUR/USD pair. The decision on interest rates by the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to maintain stability at record high levels.
From a technical standpoint, on the 4-hour chart, the EUR/USD continues to show downward prospects as it remains below the Simple Moving Averages (SMA), a clear sign of the strength of the downward trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has also decreased to near oversold levels around 32, indicating the potential for a price correction to the upside.
AUDUSD BUY | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
The completed correction, recovery and formation of a pre-breakout set-up hint at the continuation of growth. GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity AUDUSD
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GBP/USD's Strong Uptrend in the Upcoming PeriodGBP/USD is trading back and forth around the 1.2660 level and remains within the trading range of Monday. After breaking through this range, the price continues to rise strongly with no signs of a decline in the .
Looking at the chart, we can see that both technical indicators, SMA and RSI, are supporting the upward trend for this currency pair. Especially the SMA 20, it is gradually trending upwards and is far away from other SMAs such as SMA 50 and SMA 100. This indicates that the price is in a prolonged uptrend.
On the other hand, looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator, we notice that it is in the overbought zone. This predicts that there may be a price correction, causing the price to retreat in the short term. However, this does not guarantee the end of the upward trend, but rather a minor adjustment before the price continues to rise strongly.
Analyzing Gold's Trend In the Upcoming PeriodGold prices are showing signs of reversal after hitting an all-time high above the $2,350 barrier during European trading on Monday. The decrease in bets on a Fed interest rate cut in June and reduced geopolitical tensions have limited gold's upward momentum, despite increased central bank gold purchases.
Looking at the H4 chart,, if gold undergoes a correction back to around $2,331 before continuing its upward trend, it could indicate that the strong uptrend will continue.
If gold buyers successfully challenge the correction pressure, there's a possibility of a new recovery towards the psychological level of $2,370, if accepted above the $2,350.
GBPUSD (4h) analysis (read caption)GBPUSD pair within a parallel channel. With GBPUSD currently at 1.2722, anticipate a pullback to either 1.27380 or 1.27440, which are resistance zones. If the market fails to break through these zones, expect a downturn towards the demand zone at 1.26560. I suggest setting a stop loss at 1.27700 to manage risk. Remember to monitor the market closely for any changes in price action.
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Eurusd 4h analysis (read caption)- EUR/USD is currently at a resistance zone.
- i anticipate a market downturn towards my demand zone.
-
- Resistance levels are at 1.08939 and 1.09082.
-
- my demand zone level from 1.08628 to 1.08503.
- i've set a stop loss at 1.09238.
My strategy seems to involve selling or shorting EUR/USD as it approaches the resistance zone, with the expectation of a downward movement towards the demand zone. Remember to monitor the market closely and adjust your positions accordingly based on new developments.
Gold (xauusd) analysis 1. Price Levels:
- Current Gold Price: 2040
- Expected New Higher High: 2180-2193
- Resistance Levels: 2124-2115
- Stop Loss (SL): 2011
2. Bullish Sentiment:
- Gold is described as "very strong bullish," indicating a positive outlook on its price movement.
3. Technical Analysis:
- Demand Zone: 2180-2193 is identified as a demand zone, suggesting potential buying interest in that price range.
- Resistance Levels: 2124-2115 are noted as resistance levels, indicating areas where selling pressure may increase.
- Stop Loss (SL): 2111 is suggested as a stop-loss level, indicating a point at which traders may consider exiting their positions to limit potential losses.
4. Market Outlook:
- The overall analysis suggests a bullish stance on gold, with expectations of continued upward movement towards new higher highs.
5. Risk Management:
- The inclusion of a stop-loss level (2111) emphasizes the importance of risk management in trading, ensuring that potential losses are limited in case the market moves against the expected direction.
Usdjpy analysis (read caption)"USD/JPY is currently trading at 149.300. A potential scenario could involve a retracement from current levels towards resistance, followed by a bearish movement. In such a case, one could consider selling if the price breaks below key support levels at 147.600 or 146.700."
USDJPY BUY | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
The completed correction, recovery and formation ascending triangle, set-up hint at the continuation of growth. GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity USDJPY
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XAUUSD 100% CONFIRM ANALYSISDiscover an enticing Selling opportunity in GOLD as it undergoes a critical retest of a key resistance area. With market analysis, technical indicators, and price action as your allies, evaluate the potential downside move. Stay vigilant and informed to capitalize on this precious metal's market dynamics.
The Cores of Price Analysis: Trend Following vs. Mean ReversionIn the world of financial markets, predicting future price movements is akin to unlocking a treasure chest. Two of the most prominent methodologies used by traders and analysts to decipher market movements are Trend Following and Mean Reversion. Each approach offers a unique perspective on how markets behave and provides strategies for capitalizing on this behavior. In this article, we'll dive into the core concepts of these methodologies, explore how they can be implemented, and touch on basic processing techniques like smoothing and normalization, which enhance their effectiveness.
Trend Following: Surfing the Market Waves
Trend Following is based on the premise that markets move in trends over time, and these trends can be identified and followed to generate profits. The essence of trend following is to "buy high and sell higher" in a bull market, and "sell low and buy back lower" in a bear market. This method relies on the assumption that prices that have been moving in a particular direction will continue to move in that direction until the trend reverses.
How to Implement Trend Following
1. Identifying the Trend: The first step is to identify the market trend. This can be done using technical indicators such as moving averages, MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), or ADX (Average Directional Index). For example, a simple strategy might involve buying when the price is above its 200-day moving average and selling when it's below.
2. Entry and Exit Points: Once a trend is identified, the next step is to determine entry and exit points. This could involve using breakout strategies, where trades are entered when the price breaks out of a consolidation pattern, or using momentum indicators to confirm trend strength before entry.
3. Risk Management: Implementing stop-loss orders and adjusting position sizes based on the volatility of the asset are crucial to managing risk in trend-following strategies.
Basic Processing Techniques
- Smoothing: To reduce market noise and make the trend more discernible, smoothing techniques such as moving averages or exponential smoothing can be applied to price data.
- Normalization: This involves scaling price data to a specific range, often to compare the relative performance of different assets or to make the data more compatible with certain technical indicators.
Mean Reversion: Betting on the Elastic Band
Contrary to trend following, Mean Reversion is based on the idea that prices tend to revert to their mean (average) over time. This methodology operates on the principle that extreme movements in price – either up or down – are likely to revert to the mean, offering profit opportunities.
How to Implement Mean Reversion
1. Identifying the Mean: The first step is to determine the mean to which the price is expected to revert. This could be a historical average price, a moving average, or another indicator that serves as a central tendency measure.
2. Identifying Extremes: The next step is to identify when prices have moved significantly away from the mean. This can be done using indicators like Bollinger Bands, RSI (Relative Strength Index), or standard deviation measures.
3. Entry and Exit Points: Trades are typically entered when prices are considered to be at an extreme deviation from the mean, betting on the reversal towards the mean. Exit points are set when prices revert to or near the mean.
Basic Processing Techniques
- Smoothing: Similar to trend following, smoothing techniques help in clarifying the mean price level by reducing the impact of short-term fluctuations.
- Normalization: Especially useful in mean reversion to standardize the deviation of price from the mean, making it easier to identify extremes across different assets or time frames.
Conclusion
Trend Following and Mean Reversion are two fundamental methodologies in financial market analysis, each with its unique perspective on market movements. By employing these strategies thoughtfully, along with processing techniques like smoothing and normalization, traders and analysts can enhance their understanding of market dynamics and improve their decision-making process. As with any investment strategy, the key to success lies in disciplined implementation, thorough backtesting, and effective risk management.