$BBLUSDT - seems we are almost on the bottomMy observation is that the pair BYBIT:BBLUSDT dropping becomes more and more horizontal. This can be a signal for the turn nearing.
If it shows a real jump out of descending channel, I waiting forward to the growing phase of this instrument during the next 2 quarters.
Does not constitute a recommendation.
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Analysis
BABA shows a signal for the turn aroundYou can notice, that current ascending trend shows a steeper inclination angle for NYSE:BABA , than the previous one. This can indicate, that a growing line will present more intensive and powerful leaps in the nearest future.
I expect, that we will observe a rapid jumps direct to the level of 139 very soon.
More strategic goals for the future are located near the levels of 220 and 470 (this can become a final point of the current long moving up).
Not a recommendation.
$AFKS - time to breathe out and relaxPropose cooling of MOEX:AFKS temperature till 19-20 degrees during the next 4-5 months.
Does not constitute a recommendation.
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$OZON will cost much much moreMOEX:OZON has shown a very good results during a year. But definetely it will show much more in 4 months. Where to buy - 3350. Where to sell - 4950. Profit - 48%.
Does not constitute a recommendation.
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$SPCE - up or down?In my view NYSE:SPCE stopped a current phase of falling down and forming the plato, which will be a fundament for the next steps. We will be observing a huge profitable company for patient investors during the next years. In my point of view, as well, that it can bring till the x100 in the ending of the growth phase.
Goal for the end of 2024 is 4-4.5.
Does not constitute a recommendation.
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QQQ Trade AnalysisThis chart represents the daily timeframe for QQQ, showcasing a mix of technical indicators like pivot points (S1, S2, R1, etc.), exponential moving averages (EMAs), trendlines, dark pool levels, and volume. The chart indicates a recent pullback in a long-term uptrend, with price sitting near a key support zone.
Key Observations:
1. Trend Analysis:
Long-Term Trend:
The green ascending trendline suggests a consistent long-term bullish trend.
The price is still well above this trendline, indicating the broader trend remains intact.
Recent Pullback:
Price recently tested the R2 pivot (534.52), indicating an overbought condition, and has since pulled back.
It is now consolidating near the S1 pivot (490.80) and the 21 EMA, which are critical short-term support levels.
2. Support and Resistance:
Resistance Levels:
R1 (522.13) and R2 (534.52) are the immediate resistance zones. Price rejection at these levels confirms sellers’ presence.
R3 (553.45) is the long-term target if the bullish trend resumes.
Support Levels:
S1 (490.80): Current support level and pivot zone.
S2 (471.87): A deeper support zone near the green trendline, likely to act as a strong barrier.
Dark Pool Levels:
508.70 (recent activity) may serve as minor resistance.
496.39 and 480.70 indicate institutional interest zones that could provide support.
3. Volume Analysis:
Recent volume spike on the pullback indicates increased participation, potentially signaling a shift in momentum.
Red candles with high volume often signal distribution, but if price stabilizes near support, this could indicate accumulation by institutions.
4. Moving Averages:
Price has fallen below the 8 EMA, signaling short-term bearish momentum.
However, the 21 EMA near 490.80 acts as a critical level. A rebound from this area could indicate a resumption of the uptrend.
Trade Setup:
Scenario 1: Bullish Reversal from S1 (490.80)
Trigger: A bounce off the S1 pivot and reclaim of the 8 EMA (~508.70) would signal a bullish continuation.
Profit Targets:
508.70: Dark pool resistance and 8 EMA level.
522.13 (R1): Swing high and key resistance zone.
534.52 (R2): Longer-term resistance.
Stop-Loss: Below 486, as a break below this level would invalidate the bullish thesis.
Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown Below S1 (490.80)
Trigger: A strong close below the S1 pivot with increasing volume would confirm bearish momentum.
Profit Targets:
480.70: Dark pool support.
471.87 (S2): Pivot support and intersection with the green trendline.
459.48 (S3): Deeper downside target.
Stop-Loss: Above 500, as this would indicate a reversal back above key support.
Scenario 3: Long-Term Reversal Near Trendline Support
If price continues lower, the green trendline near 471.87 offers a high-probability buying opportunity, especially if accompanied by lower volume on the decline.
Final Thoughts:
Short-Term Outlook: Consolidation near S1 (490.80) requires confirmation of direction. A breakout above the 8 EMA would favor bulls, while a breakdown below S1 opens the door for further downside.
Long-Term Outlook: The green trendline and dark pool levels suggest strong institutional support on deeper pullbacks, keeping the broader bullish trend intact.
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 20, 2024 GBPUSDThe Bank of England kept its key rate at 4.75%, which was in line with market expectations. However, three members voted for a rate cut, which came as a surprise and emphasized the regulator's softer stance. This reinforced expectations of significant monetary policy easing in 2025 - the BoE is projected to cut the rate up to four times at 0.25%. In comparison, the Fed is planning less aggressive cuts another 1-2 times, which strengthens the US Dollar's position and puts pressure on the Pound.
The economic situation in the UK remains unstable. The Bank of England lowered its GDP growth forecasts for 2024, pointing to weak economic dynamics. Despite the high growth of wages (5.2%), inflation remains above the target level, which requires the preservation of tight monetary policy. At the same time, the regulator noted that its easing will begin only after a steady decline in inflation to 2%.
The fundamental background for the British currency remains negative. Investors will follow further statements of the Bank of England and economic data, but in the near future the pound is likely to continue a gradual decline.
Trading recommendation: Trading mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Tesla (TSLA): Profits Taken, Pullback AnticipatedWhat a rise by NASDAQ:TSLA !
The stock has now reached the targeted wave 3 zone, and we might see some asset rotation out of Tesla into underperforming stocks that could attract renewed attention and capital inflows. Many traders have booked significant profits on NASDAQ:TSLA , and larger players are likely to do the same in the coming sessions.
As usual, our focus remains on building a new position during a pullback. We are targeting the 38.2%–50% Fibonacci retracement levels, which should provide sufficient support for another push higher, potentially toward $585 or more. A key level to watch is the old all-time high. Should bulls defend it effectively, waiting for an entry at $371.35 might leave us sidelined.
However, we see no reason to force or rush an entry into NASDAQ:TSLA at the moment. Patience remains critical as we wait for the market to come to us.
GBPAUD to the moon?Taking a long position on GBPAUD, main reasons being:
- BoE holding interest rates for now and less rate cuts are expected next year, could drive more institutions to hold GBP and increase it's value
- AUD are trade partners with China who are experiencing significant economic instability
- COT traders are 57% long on GBP (+2.14% compared to last week)
- COT traders are 52% long on AUD, but are adding more short positions (-4.53% change in net long positions compared to last week)
- Retail traders are 93% short on GBPAUD (I find that retail is usually wrong, so this is a positive signal for GBPAUD longs in my book)
This trade is more based on Australia's weakness rather than Britain's strength. I was also thinking of shorting AUDJPY (see previous trade idea) or AUDUSD.
I couldn't get in a position that I liked on AUDJPY (yet) and I'm already in a short position on EURUSD, so I want to diversify a bit away from the US Dollar.
The reason I'm entering here is because it is filling an imbalance candle, and it's also at the 0.682 mark on the Fibonacci retracement tool.
If I get taken out I don't mind, there may be better entries on GBPAUD available if that happens, or there may be an opportunity to short AUDJPY instead, which I prefer the fundamentals of.
Don't take this as investment advice, I'm just sharing what I'm doing. Please don't follow me blindly, create your own strategy and ideas.
POLYMATH has some very interesting long-term upsideThere's potential here for a long term break-out. It's looking like there's a huge upside potential if we can break free of this channel. Perhaps, we've on wave 2 of the highest degree of trend with wave 3 ready to burst through the upper trend line. The sooner it does, the more violent we will go to the upsde. Let's keep a close eye on it as the longer the projection, the more there is likely to change. In any case, huge potential upside here. Follow for more.
XRP, much more to goLooking back at the fractal I created a few months ago, it's playing out really well. Looking at the 5 waves that were put in within the first fractal, there could be an opportunity for the same 5 waves to play out within the second fractal. So, hold firm and keep XRP close and look forward to the eye watering upswide that we'll see within the next 6-7 months. Follow for more.
NVDA AI Revolution: Which Stocks Will Lead the Charge in 2025?AI Revolution: Which Stocks Will Lead the Charge in 2025?
"AI isn’t the future; it’s the now, and it's flipping the investment world on its head like a rogue AI flipping through data."
Introduction
Artificial Intelligence is not just transforming industries; it's becoming the heartbeat of innovation. In 2024, Nvidia and Microsoft stand out, but diving into AI stocks requires a keen eye for both opportunity and jeopardy. Let's dissect their dominion, strategies, and financial health to guide your investment journey.
Nvidia: The Engine of AI
Nvidia’s GPUs are more than just hardware; they're the fuel driving the AI engine across sectors.
Market Dominance: With an expected 64% of the AI server market, Nvidia's GPUs, particularly the H100, are the industry's gold standard for AI training.
Financial Highlights:
P/E Ratio: At 30.09, Nvidia's stock might be running on hype or genuine growth.
Free Cash Flow: A staggering $33.73 billion, giving Nvidia the muscle to innovate relentlessly.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 17.22, reflecting aggressive growth funding through debt.
Future Outlook: The upcoming H200 chip could further cement Nvidia's lead, but at what cost to valuation?
💡 “Nvidia isn't just selling hardware; they're selling the future of AI computation.”
Microsoft: AI's Silent Integrator
Microsoft isn't just playing the AI game; they're changing the rules, embedding AI where you least expect it.
AI Integration: Through Azure and tools like Copilot, Microsoft is making AI as ubiquitous as electricity.
Financial Insights:
ROIC: An astonishing 130%, showcasing unparalleled capital efficiency.
Net Income Margin: 56% - Microsoft turns more than half its revenue into profit, a testament to its operational prowess.
Cash Position: With $39 billion in cash, Microsoft is ready for any strategic move or shareholder reward.
Strategic Alliances: Leveraging partnerships like OpenAI, Microsoft is pushing AI's boundaries.
💡 “Microsoft isn’t just adopting AI; it's making AI adopt us.”
The Broader AI Ecosystem
Google ( NASDAQ:GOOG ): Using AI to enhance search and cloud, potentially rivaling Microsoft's Azure.
Meta ( NASDAQ:META ): Innovating with generative AI in social platforms and VR.
IonQ ( NYSE:IONQ ): Bridging AI with quantum computing for groundbreaking computational power.
💡 “In the AI race, today's leaders could be tomorrow's followers.”
Risks in the AI Investment Arena
Overvaluation: Nvidia's high P/E might signal a bubble waiting to burst.
Regulatory Challenges: As AI grows, so does the regulatory scrutiny, potentially slowing down innovation.
Market Saturation: With AI becoming mainstream, distinguishing between real innovators and opportunists becomes crucial.
💡 “Investing in AI is like betting on tech; some will soar, others might crash and burn.”
Conclusion
Nvidia and Microsoft are pivotal in the AI landscape, but the field is broader and riskier than it seems. Understanding these nuances will be key to navigating 2025’s investment landscape.
Buy GBP/CHF Bullish PennatThe GBP/CHF pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent breakout from a well-defined Bullish Pennant pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.1427
2nd Support – 1.1475
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
XAU/USD - Gold Long trades"After yesterday's sharp decline in XAUUSD, the market is showing signs of stabilization, creating potential opportunities for long trades. Key support levels have held firm, suggesting bullish momentum could resume as buyers step in. We must closely monitor price action for confirmation, targeting a potential recovery towards key resistance zones. As always, proper risk management is essential. Let's see how this plays out!"
The bullish side breakout of 200 EMA in the 15-minute and 5-minute charts can be a good sign of a market uptrend.
Entry 1st zone - 2630-2640
Entry 2nd zone - 2673-2683
Entry 3rd zone - 2726-2736
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 19, 2024 EURUSDThe Pound-Dollar pair is strengthening after dropping more than 1% following the hawkish decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed) on Wednesday and is trading near 1.25900 in Asian hours on Thursday. The Pound Sterling (GBP) is receiving upward support as the Bank of England (BoE) is expected to leave interest rates unchanged later in the day, while maintaining focus on addressing elevated domestic inflation.
On Wednesday, data emerged that the U.K. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.6% year-over-year in November after rising 2.3% in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy, rose 3.5% year-on-year in November, up from a previous increase of 3.3%. Meanwhile, annualized services inflation remained at 5%, below the forecast of 5.1% but above the Bank of England's estimate of 4.9%.
GBP/USD declined on the back of a stronger US Dollar as the Federal Reserve (Fed) decided to cut rates by 25 basis points (bps) at its December meeting on Wednesday, bringing the benchmark lending rate to a range of 4.25%-4.50%, a two-year low. On Thursday, traders will be watching for weekly data on initial jobless claims, existing home sales and the final annualized third quarter (Q3) gross domestic product.
Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.26000, if the level is fixed above consider Buy positions, if the level rebounds consider Sell positions.
HolderStat | BTC is on the cusp of volatility👉 Amid slowing inflows into spot BTC ETFs and weak bearish pressure, BTC price remains above key support. Institutionalists are hoarding the coin, and Bitfinex says: the target is $200K by mid-2025, so it's likely that corrections will be moderate due to strong demand.
The Bitcoin Policy Institute has proposed Trump's strategic plan for BTC reserves. If the idea becomes a reality, it could trigger a new round of global growth 📈
🧐 Remember: smart money prepares the ground for the rise!
_____________________
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Always DYOR! 🔬
Buy EUR/NZD Bullish ChannelThe EUR/NZD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bullish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.8324
2nd Support – 1.8384
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
HelenP. I After reaching new ATH, Bitcoin can make correctionHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price declined to the trend line and then rebounded and started to grow. Later, BTC reached a support level, which coincided with the support zone, and then some time traded in this area. Then the price broke the 90400 level, made a retest, and continued to grow, but when it reached 99300 points, after which made a correction. But soon, the price turned around and continued to grow to support 1, which coincided with the resistance zone. When BTC reached this level, it turned around and in a short time declined to the trend line. After this movement, BTC rebounded and made impulse up to support 1, thereby soon breaking it. Currently, the price trades inside the resistance zone, so, I expect BTCUSDT will rise a little higher this area. Then, the price can turn around and start to decline to the trend line. For this case, I set my goal at 100700 points, which coincided with this line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
HelenP. I Gold can rebound from trend line and start to declineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Some days ago price dropped from the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone to the trend line. Then it turned around and started to grow inside a triangle pattern, where Gold soon reached the 2615 support level. Next, the price broke this level, made a retest, and continued to move up to the resistance zone, which coincided with the resistance level. When XAU reached this zone, it later turned around and made a strong impulse down, breaking the resistance level and declining to the support level. After this movement, the price some time traded near this level and started to grow, but later it declined to the support level, which coincided with the trend line again. Later price turned around and made a strong impulse up to the resistance zone one more time, after which turned around and dropped to the trend line, which is the support line of the triangle as well. Recently price exited from this pattern and now trades below the trend line. In my opinion, XAUUSD will rebound from this line and start to decline. For this reason, I set my goal at the 2615 support level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Gold can rebound from support line of wedge to seller zoneHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. By observing the chart, we can see that the price rebounded from resistance level and started to decline to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Then the price broke the 2625 level and dropped to 2536 points, and then started to grow inside the wedge. In a wedge, the price soon reached the 2625 support level and broke it again. Then the price made a retest and continued to grow to the resistance line of the wedge, and then turned around and dropped to the support level, breaking the 2690 resistance level. After this, Gold started to trades inside the range, where it some time traded near the support level and later made a strong impulse up to the resistance line of the wedge, exiting from the range and breaking the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone. But a not long time ago, the price turned around and dropped to the support line of the wedge, breaking the resistance level one more time. In my mind, Gold can fall to the support line of the wedge and then rebound up to the seller zone. For this case, I set my TP at 2700 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Celer Network (CELR)CELR Analysis
🔹 Overview:
CELR is a Layer 2 solution designed to enhance blockchain transaction speed and reduce fees. The token has been trading in a long-term range between 0.009 and 0.033. After reaching the top of this range, the price has started a corrective move to the downside.
🔹 Key Levels:
1️⃣ Support Levels:
🔸 Fibonacci 0.382: 0.020 - 0.019
🔸 Fibonacci 0.5: 0.018 - 0.017
🔸 Fibonacci 0.618: 0.016 - 0.015
🔸 Range Bottom: 0.0105 - 0.009
2️⃣ Resistance Levels:
🔸 Range Top and Weekly Resistance: 0.03038 - 0.03590
🔸 Target 1: 0.068 - 0.081 (Fibonacci 1.618 level)
🔸 Target 2: 0.14 - 0.19 (Fibonacci 2.618 level)
🔹 Volume and Entry Signals:
🔸 Volume Trend: Increased volume at the weekly resistance level is a strong indicator for a breakout move toward higher targets.
🔸 RSI (Relative Strength Index):
A breakout above the RSI overbought zone could confirm a strong upward trend.
Holding key RSI support levels can act as an early signal for price recovery.
🔹 Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks above the red resistance zone at 0.033 - 0.035 and holds with strong volume, it is likely to move toward Fibonacci targets at 0.068 - 0.081 and 0.14 - 0.19.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails to hold Fibonacci support levels, we may see further downward movement toward the range bottom at 0.0105 - 0.009. A breakdown below this level could trigger deeper price declines.
🔹 Conclusion:
📊 Entry Zones:
Gradual Entries: At support levels 0.020, 0.018, 0.015
Safe Entry: Upon a confirmed breakout above the red resistance with high volume.
📉 Stop-Loss: A break below the 0.015 - 0.013 range signals a potential invalidation of bullish setups.
🔑 Recommendation:
Given CELR’s low market cap, this project carries a high investment risk. Proper risk management and position sizing are crucial.
🔍 Confirmation Signals:
✅ Volume increase during breakout above resistance
✅ Positive reaction to Fibonacci support levels
✅ RSI holding support or breaking into overbought zones
Final Note: Always manage risk and approach trades with a clear plan. The crypto market’s volatility can be both an opportunity and a challenge. Stay disciplined and aim for consistent, reasonable gains. 🚀