theta long midterm"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Analisis
Bittensor (TAO)📊 General Overview of the Analysis
TAO coin, after being listed, initially moved downward within a descending channel. Upon breaking out above the channel, the price experienced an upward rally to its previous peak but then entered another descending channel.
🕰 Daily Timeframe Analysis
🔸 Current Status: After the upward movement, the price has entered a consolidation range (yellow zone).
🔸 Fake Move: The drop below this range suggests seller weakness.
🔸 Forecast: Breaking above the yellow zone could propel TAO to higher levels.
⏰ 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis
🔹 After rebounding from the top of the descending channel, the price responded positively to the midline and rose again.
🔹 Expected Movement: There’s potential for breaking out of the descending channel from the top.
🔹 Suggested Entry Point:
A confirmed price stabilization above the red zone can signal a secure entry.
🎯 Price Targets (Fibonacci Levels)
🔹 1.618
🔹 2.618
📈 RSI Indicator Analysis
🔸 On the daily timeframe, RSI is positioned in an ascending channel.
🔸 Forecast: A breakout above the midline of this ascending RSI channel could offer an early entry signal for TAO.
📝 Conclusion and Final Note
Technical analysis indicates that TAO has significant potential for further upward movement. Stabilization above the red zone and movement toward Fibonacci targets highlight the coin's appeal for long-term trades.
💡 Advice: Always employ risk management and incorporate your personal analysis into decision-making.
💡 Reminder: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice.
ADA USDT thesis with RAG AI by Titan_KarmaIntraday Scalping Strategy Analysis for Cardano (ADA): Evaluating Long Positions Amid Current Market Conditions
Abstract:
This thesis examines the viability of initiating a long position in Cardano (ADA) based on current market conditions, using an intraday scalping strategy. The analysis leverages a combination of technical indicators, real-time data, and sentiment analysis to identify optimal entry points and manage risk effectively. The findings are grounded in a comprehensive evaluation of the market's bullish momentum, positive sentiment, and recent trading patterns, with an 85% confidence level supporting the trade recommendation to initiate a LONG position.
1. Introduction
This thesis aims to explore the application of intraday scalping strategies to ADA, specifically under current bullish market conditions. With Cardano's price reaching $0.4406 and a significant surge in trading volume (266.96 million), there are indications of continued upward momentum. However, caution is warranted due to overbought technical indicators. This study identifies strategic entry and exit points to optimize returns while minimizing risk.
2. Background on Cardano (ADA) and Scalping Strategy
Cardano Overview: A brief overview of Cardano, its role in the blockchain ecosystem, and the factors driving its adoption.
Intraday Scalping Strategy: Definition and explanation of scalping, a high-frequency trading strategy that involves capitalizing on small price movements throughout the day. This strategy is particularly effective in moderately volatile markets like ADA.
3. Data Sources and Market Analysis
Coinglass Data: Open interest remains healthy, with a favorable funding rate indicating market participants are predominantly taking long positions. The absence of significant liquidations suggests a stable trading environment.
Binance Order Book Analysis: The presence of substantial buy walls at $0.4350 suggests strong support, which could act as a buffer if a retracement occurs. The moderate volatility index indicates a conducive environment for scalping.
CoinMarketCap Metrics: A robust liquidity score and stable market cap reflect sustained investor interest, with candlestick patterns pointing toward a bullish continuation.
Sentiment Analysis (Augmento and CryptoCompare): Predominantly positive sentiment among traders, driven by recent whale activity and institutional interest, reinforces confidence in ADA's short-term bullish outlook.
4. Technical Analysis of Current Market Conditions
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is above 70, indicating overbought conditions. Historically, this level suggests a potential for short-term pullbacks.
Stochastic Oscillator: High Stochastic readings align with overbought conditions, advising caution for new entries until a retracement is observed.
Bollinger Bands and Moving Averages: The price is near the upper Bollinger Band, suggesting potential resistance, while the price remains above the 50-period moving average, indicating bullish momentum.
MACD: A recent bullish crossover on the MACD supports the continuation of an upward trend, aligning with the current market sentiment.
5. Trade Recommendation and Strategy
Position: Open a LONG position if the price retraces to the support level of $0.4350.
Entry Criteria:
Timeframe: 15-minute intervals to capitalize on intraday movements.
Indicators: RSI above 50, MACD bullish crossover, price near the middle Bollinger Band, and moderate volatility.
Stochastic Oscillator: Monitoring overbought conditions to identify optimal entry points after a pullback.
Exit Strategy:
Take Profit: Target set at $0.4500 to align with the next resistance level.
Stop-Loss: Set at $0.4300 to mitigate downside risk.
Exit Point: Recommended exit around $0.4450 to secure gains while avoiding potential pullbacks.
Confidence Level: 85%
6. Risk Management and Market Dynamics
Support and Resistance Levels: The $0.4350 level serves as a key support zone. A break below this level could signal a shift in sentiment and invalidate the long trade setup.
Volatility and Market Sentiment: Given moderate volatility and high bullish sentiment, traders should remain agile, adapting quickly to changing conditions. Overbought indicators suggest monitoring for potential pullbacks before entering new positions.
Correlation with Broader Market Trends: ADA’s price movement remains correlated with Bitcoin (BTC), which also shows bullish signals. Any significant shifts in BTC’s performance could impact ADA’s trajectory.
7. Conclusion
The current technical and sentiment indicators provide a favorable setup for initiating a long position in Cardano (ADA). However, the overbought conditions identified by RSI and Stochastic indicators warrant caution. The recommendation is to wait for a retracement to the support level of $0.4350 before entering a long position. The exit strategy, stop-loss settings, and profit targets are designed to optimize returns while managing risk effectively.
8. Future Research
Further research could explore the impact of macroeconomic factors on ADA’s price, the influence of whale activity on market sentiment, and a comparative analysis of ADA’s performance relative to other Layer-1 blockchain projects. Additionally, studying the correlation between ADA’s market movements and those of Bitcoin could yield insights for improved predictive models.
This thesis provides a comprehensive analysis tailored for traders leveraging intraday scalping strategies, focusing on optimizing entry and exit points in a moderately bullish market environment.
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 06, 2024 EURUSDAn event to look out for today:
15:30 GMT+3. USD - Unemployment Rate
EURUSD:
EUR/USD posted a second consecutive day of gains on Thursday, breaking above 1.1100 as markets actively sold off the US Dollar ahead of Friday's highly anticipated US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Markets are looking for further signs that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is ready for an initial rate cut and the start of a rate-cutting cycle in September, but US data must continue to soften to keep hopes of a rate cut high.
European economic data did not provide additional support for the Euro after July's EU retail sales data fell short of expectations. Annualised retail sales came in worse than expected at -0.1% for the year ended July, falling short of the expected 0.1% uptick compared to a revised previous decline of -0.4%.
According to ADP, the US added 99k new jobs in August, down from July's revised 111k and well below the 145k expected. The August ADP figure was the lowest since early 2021, triggering a new round of risk aversion and reigniting investor fears that the US may be heading into recession.
The ADP employment report serves as an indicator of what markets can expect from Friday's upcoming US NFP report, although it has a shaky reputation for accuracy. The August NFP report is the last significant employment update before the upcoming Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting on 18 September, when Fed policymakers are expected to begin the rate-cutting cycle. NFP is expected to come in at 160k on Friday, up from 114k the previous month.
According to CME data, the betting markets are currently betting on a 40% chance that the Fed will open the door by cutting rates by 50 bps later this month. The remaining 60% are betting on a more modest 25bp rate cut. Investors expect the NFP data released this Friday to gauge the depth of the Fed's first rate cut since its 100bp cut in March 2020.
Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Buy orders from the current price level
Bitcoin and altcoin analytics(April 17-18)Yesterday, we bounced off the buyer's zone in bitcoin , but the movement is very weak.
Now a re-spill and test of the lower extremes $60,700 and $59,000 is very likely.
Open long positions are better to be transferred to break-even.
The bull market will only be broken with a true breakout of these marks, until that moment longs are a priority.
Sale zones: $69,400-$71,000 (market seller aggression and absorption of purchases), $71,800-$72,500 (volume zone).
Buyer zones: $57,200-$56,200 (small volume anomaly zone), $53,600-$53,000 (pushing volume zone)
Interesting altcoins
Recommendations are the same as yesterday, we are waiting for the development of movement on bitcoin to understand the future direction of the market.
With a bitcoin spill, you can consider BNXUSDT at the level of $0.66. Below is a decent volume zone $0.65-$0.62, from which we can get another round of growth.
BTC UPDATE April - last train tickets at a good price ! :) Historically, after exceeding its ATH, BTC made a small and healthy correction for market in which short-term investors sold out - this correction always fluctuated around 17%-18%. BTC has made such a correction and, according to analysis of previous movements, it is currently ready for a quick and impulsive increase of up to approximately 58%, which can bring it to a value of approximately $108,000 - $116,000 . After achieving this result, which may occur within next month and will coincide with Halving Day, I expect a larger correction. (SELL THE NEWS). We will reach psychological $100,000 on BTC, street investors will enter the market on FOMO, thus doubling the price in the area I mentioned above and there will be a larger price correction of about 30-40%.
Good Luck my friend's & Let's change world for better :)
BTC - nest target 82,000$ (fib 1,6)BTC Update:
BTC is currently at culmination of game and a certain channel. In my personal opinion, probability of an upside is very high and I have two reasons for this: we are on lower line of channel, which should act as support - next thing we do is retest the downtrend breakout lines. Additionally, greed is high and everyone is waiting for a big correction to buy as cheaply as possible - and this may not happen at all.
Pure mathematics:
On average, four times more BTC is purchased by ETFs every day than is mined daily by miners. There are about 30 days left until Halving - after time when purchasing average is maintained, and it should be, because at moment only 10% of all financial funds currently provide ETF services and many are already applying for new ones, there will be 8 times more BTC purchased than on a daily basis mined by miners.
Historically:
Each time after crossing last peak, BTC made a small correction of around 20%, followed by a very quick rebound upwards of around 90%-100%.
General narrative:
Greed at a very high level - which works both ways, everyone wants to sell as expensive as possible but also buy as cheap as possible. I believe that it will still be too expensive for most investors and they will only join market when BTC cent reaches new historical highs around $100,000. Then funds will start selling first larger batches of BTC to naive street and dress them up with expensive BTC. Greed will destroy them because it was still too expensive for them and with each adjustment they thought it would be even cheaper. Instead of accumulating in batches and averaging the purchase.
Good Luck :)
Alikze → #CHZ | Ready for a new rallyIn the daily time and 4H, it has moved a full upward cycle, which now seems to be preparing for the start of an attractive rally after the 3-fold correction. Therefore, a new floor should not be built.
⚠️Note: If the sub-zone of 97 cents stabilizes, the transaction will be reversed and an alternative scenario must be defined for it, and this scenario will be invalid.
🟩Sup: 0.97
⛳️Tp 1:0.11290 ~ 0.11590
⛳️ Tp2 : 0.12800 ~ 0.13420
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Alikze → #EURUSD | X-wave correction for the downtrendThe Euro-Dollar currency pair is moving in a descending channel, which is currently moving according to the corrective structure of a three-wave. Two current paths to continue its reform path can be imagined. An upward movement in the form of an X wave will continue its correction along the way to the previous floor.
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Fantom replicates the macro formMethod : Fractal Geometry Research
White Line : Fantom
Purple Line : Geometry fractal predictions
Observing historical data from the smallest particle frame to larger time frames using fractal and Fibonacci, methods are very suitable for investors, spot traders, long-term or swing trades.
!However, it's not suitable for scalping, short-term, or future traders!
" Previous history has been a repeated failure; the more I delve into this method, the closer I get to patterns that resemble the actual future. The more it fails, the more patterns/options I find that approach success in analysis. Because this method is an ancient one, rarely utilized, and challenging to comprehend, references are scarce."
Note: that personal observation does not constitute financial advice. It's important to seek advice from a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
#ENSIt is moving in a descending channel at time H1. The roof of the channel is being modified for a short time by forming a double roof. Therefore, it can face further correction up to the midline of the 12.5 dollar channel. If the stabilization candle closes above $12.5, the trend can be reversed.
MATIC Fractal Geomerty ResearchMethod : Fractal Geomerty Research
White Line : Matic Chart
Purple Line : Geometry fractal predictions
" Previous history has been a repeated failure; the more I delve into this method, the closer I get to patterns that resemble the actual future. The more it fails, the more patterns/options I find that approach success in analysis. Because this method is an ancient one, rarely utilized, and challenging to comprehend, references are scarce."
Observing historical data from the smallest particle frame to larger time frames using fractal and Fibonacci, methods are very suitable for investors, spot traders, long-term or swing trades.
!However, it's not suitable for scalping, short-term, or future traders!
Note: that personal observation does not constitute financial advice. It's important to seek advice from a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
#matic #polygon
btcusdt long
$BTC this has become so ridiculous. up and down same amounts daily. Lenders should be broke by now, but they are not and why, because you guys need to understand, you're lending off people that know your positions, its so easy to liquidate you as there is absolutely no regulations, no insight on who is dumping or pumping.
Clearly manipulated, so obvious the market making, the liquidations, same game daily, they dump you all sell and give them a cheaper entry, they'll keep repeating as long as the can buy back their BTC for less and you keep raising till they dump again. This is like farming people. If you people would constanly raise its value they cant buy cheaper, they wont dump easy because they cant retrive what they've sold. To hard to understand? Keep feeding them.
Dont know what you all see in charts when everything is control of a few people.
I'm here to invest long-term and not play daily games, but daily people, exchanges/lenders running it down makes it unatractive
NAS100 Short~Looking for a drop after a retest of the previous support lvl that was broken. noting looking back u can see it being a resistance lvl that was turned into a support lvl Im only looking to short till the nearest support area which would be on the 11,900 mark but this is a practice test of my own strategy or trade style I'm trying to build. so (DEMO Trade)
XRP: slowly but surely!Good afternoon fellow traders!
A small review on the XRP coin!
Since the last review, the price has not changed much, but the idea remains the same.
I will consider short positions in the area of interest 0.41$-0.42$.
Reasons for this: test FVG W1 and FVG D1 + FVG 4H + FF M1 (many reasons for local growth in this area).
Now I don’t see a good point for local growth!
Not a recommendation, my personal opinion!
Have a nice day and profit!