AMAZON The rally isn't over yet. Still time to buy and profit.Last time we looked into Amazon (AMZN) on October 30, we called a bullish break-out signal, which in two weeks hit our $146.00 target (see chart below):
We zoom out on the 1D time-frame now in order to identify the longer term patterns involved. Based on the 1D RSI which is pricing a Support on the former Lower Highs trend-line, we can see the very same formation on January 18, above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This was also after a break-out above a Falling Wedge, a pattern which formed the market bottom of the Inflation Crisis.
The stock shortly after completed a +39.84% rise and peaked just over the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we are now targeting initially 156.50 (1.382 Fib) and early in January 165.00 (+39.84% from the bottom).
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Amazon
Amazon To Sell Hyundai Vehicles OnlineAmazon will begin selling Hyundai vehicles online in the U.S. starting next year, the two companies said on Thursday.
Customers will be able to shop for, equip and buy a car at Amazon.com and schedule delivery through a local Hyundai dealer, the companies said.
The agreement is an expansion of a deal announced two years ago to expand Hyundai's digital showroom on Amazon.com, enabling customers to configure a vehicle, calculate the price and locate a dealer to complete the sale.
Hyundai set up its first digital showroom on Amazon in 2018. The new agreement also will enable buyers of new Hyundai vehicles in 2025 to access Amazon's Alexa voice assistant from their cars.
Hyundai has selected AWS as its preferred cloud provider to accelerate its digital transformation using broad and industry-leading AWS capabilities—from compute, storage, database, and analytics to generative AI and Internet of Things (IoT). As part of a new multiyear agreement, Hyundai will become a more data-driven organization with a cloud-first technology strategy, migrating its current on-premises applications—which support everything across research, product engineering, and customer engagement—to AWS. Hyundai will prioritize business cases like manufacturing and supply chain to help optimize production and minimize costs, security and disaster recovery for resiliency, and connected vehicle development to bring new features to drivers around the globe. AWS and Hyundai have designed and implemented a Master Builder training and certification program to train Hyundai engineers in critical cloud skills.
Technical Analysis
AMZN is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
What does this mean?
Investors have been pushing the share price higher, and the stock still appears to have upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
Amazon (AMZN) forming inverse H&SNASDAQ:AMZN has formed an inverse head & shoulders pattern which has bullish implications but there is a sustainable breakout. Given the good results in past few quarters, fundamentals also support the bullish view.
Having said that, recessionary fears are here to stay though it might still be some time before something starts showing up in charts.
AVAX/US DOLLAR These are levels that I'll be keeping an eye on when dealing with BINANCE:AVAXUSD , and I'll revise as price action progresses.
I adapt to the change in money flow.
Fundamentals:
Amazon Web Services (AWS) has partnered with Ava Labs in a bid to accelerate the adoption of blockchain technology by enterprises, institutions, and governments.
The move has sent the linked Avalanche AVAXUSD token soaring higher in recent days, outperforming even Bitcoin amid a major bull run in the biggest cryptocurrency. *OLD ARTICLE*
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Monthly:
1. P.A. broke a key low
2. Demand (untouched) below broken key low
3. Key S/R being revisited for 1st time
4. Key S/R rest within untouched demand
AMZN ~ Snapshot TA (Daily / Nov 2023)NASDAQ:AMZN chart mapping/analysis.
Consolidation within ascending parallel channel (green).
Bull target(s)
Ascending trend-line resistance (white dotted)
Upper range of parallel channel (green) + 78.6% Fib confluence resistance zone
Overhead gap fill (~163.27)
Bear target(s)
61.8% Fib
Underlying gap fills (~133.57 / ~121.64)
50% Fib
lower range of ascending parallel channel (green)
38.2% Fib
Upper range of descending parallel channel (light blue)
𝗔𝗺𝗮𝘇𝗼𝗻 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲: $AMZN Weekly. Huge bull setupOver 145 and should see a nice run to 170 resistance. Large accumulation pattern (inverse H&S) with an implied target ~$200 🤯
NASDAQ:QQQ $NQ_F TVC:NDQ NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:SOX $ES_F AMEX:SPY SP:SPX TVC:DXY NASDAQ:TLT TVC:TNX CBOE:VIX #Stocks
AMAZON 1st bullish break-out made. Only the 1D MA50 left.Amazon (AMZN) made a Channel Down Lower Low on Thursday just before hitting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and following the higher than expected earnings opened Friday much higher. That price jump broke above the September 14 Lower Highs trend-line. The 2nd and final bullish break-out we expect before buying again for the long-term will be above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is where the October 12 rejection took place.
A candle closing above it, would invalidate the medium-term bearish bias and most likely restore the stock back on long-term bullish trend. The 1D RSI Double Bottom is what at the moment is shifting the sentiment a little more towards a potential bullish break-out. On the other hand, a break below the 4H MA200 will cancel it. Our target is 146.00, just under the August 16 2022 High.
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Amazon Stock Pops More Than 5%The e-commerce giant's Q4 revenue guidance also beat Wall Street's expectation.
Shares of Amazon (AMZN 7.49%) jumped 5.4% in Thursday's volatile after-hours trading session, following the e-commerce and cloud computing leader's release of its third-quarter 2023 report.
The gain is attributable to the quarter's revenue and earnings both sprinting by Wall Street's estimates, with the bottom-line beat a particularly big one. Investors were also likely pleased that revenue guidance for the fourth quarter -- the particularly important holiday quarter -- exceeded the analyst expectation.
1. Revenue grew 13%
Amazon's net quarterly sales grew 13% year over year to $143.1 billion, easily surpassing the $133.4 billion Wall Street had expected. That result also edged by the company's guidance range of $138 billion to $143 billion. Excluding the favorable effect from foreign-currency exchange, revenue increased 11% from the year-ago period.
Year-over-year revenue growth at AWS continued to slow on a sequential-quarter basis. In the prior three quarters, the cloud computing unit's year-over-year revenue grew 12% (Q2 2023), 16% (Q1 2023), and 20% (Q4 2022). This slowdown is industrywide, as many businesses are being cautious with their spending due to the uncertain macro environment. On the earnings call, management expressed optimism that the surging adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) will be a big tailwind for its AWS business.
That said, AWS's profitability increased significantly (as discussed in the next section) more than its revenue, and profitability growth, arguably, is more important than revenue growth.
Moreover, Amazon's e-commerce business's revenue growth outperformed Wall Street's expectations, which more than compensated for AWS's revenue falling just a tad short of the Street's estimate ($23.06 billion vs $23.13 billion). This dynamic underscores the benefit of diversification.
2. Operating income soared 348%
The quarter's operating income more than quadrupled from the year-ago period to $11.2 billion. This result walloped Amazon's guidance range for operating income between $5.5 billion and $8.5 billion.
AWS's operating income growth was robust on both a year-over-year and a sequential basis. As noted in the chart, it jumped 30% year over year, and it also increased 30% from the prior quarter (Q2 2023).
In the prior quarter, AWS's operating income edged down 5% year over year to $5.4 billion.
3. Earnings per share surged 236%
In Q3, net income was $9.9 billion, or $0.94 per share, up 236% year over year. This result crushed the earnings per share (EPS) of $0.28 that Wall Street had expected.
The quarter's net income includes a pre-tax valuation gain of $1.2 billion included in nonoperating expense from Amazon's common stock investment in electric vehicle maker Rivian Automotive, which went public in November 2021. The year-ago quarter's net income had included a pre-tax valuation gain of $1.1 billion from the Rivian stock.
4. Operating cash flow rose 81% for the trailing year
Operating cash flow jumped 81% to $71.7 billion for the trailing-12-month period. Free cash flow (FCF) was $21.4 billion for this period, compared with negative $19.7 billion in the year-ago period.
The company ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $50.1 billion, and long-term debt of $61.1 billion.
Investors should mainly focus on Amazon's operating cash flow, rather than its FCF. FCF can jump around a lot quarter to quarter based on how much money the company is investing in growth initiatives.
5. Revenue is expected to grow 7% to 12% in the fourth quarter
For Q4, management guided for net sales in the range of $160 billion to $167 billion, which would amount to growth of 7% to 12% year over year. This guidance includes an expected favorable impact of 40 basis points (0.4 percentage points) from foreign exchange rates.
Going into the Q3 report, Wall Street had been modeling for Q4 revenue of $157.2 billion, so Amazon's top-line guidance was higher than what analysts had been expecting.
Amazon, which doesn't provide earnings guidance, also said that it expects Q4 operating income will be between $7.0 billion and $11.0 billion, compared with $2.7 billion in the prior-year period.
A good overall quarter
Amazon turned in a strong quarter, especially considering the uncertain macro environment.
With its leading positions in two massive growth markets -- e-commerce and cloud computing -- Amazon still has a long runway for growth.
AMAZON Making a bullish break out, potentially long term.Amazon / AMZN had a huge price leap after yesterday's earnings release and already crossed over the top of the Falling Wedge pattern.
This is the main pattern despite the fact that a Channel Down potentially exists as the Wedge's Lower High was priced/ rejected on the 1day MA50.
Equally important is the fact that yesterday the price fall stopped a little over the 1day MA200, which is the first long term Support (1week MA50 being the second).
Buy for the long term and target 145.80 (Resistance B).
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AMZN AMAZON next moveAmazon.com Inc's. next large thing may be prowling in the costly production network contraption that is changed its online business into a juggernaut.
The Seattle-based organization's venture into purported operations administrations — transportation and conveyance — could ultimately be worth more than $100 billion in income, as per Truist Protections expert Youssef Squali.
Amazon (AMZN) -> Growing With E-CommerceMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Amazon.
Looking back at January of 2023 you can see that Amazon stock perfectly retested and already rejected the support trendline of the rising channel and also a previous resistance level.
With Amazon currently retesting resistance at the $141 level, I do expect a minor rejection but then I would love to see a break and retest and another push higher to retest the channel top.
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I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡