AES Corporation - Short term view with strong supportSo first of all both price and indicators are confirming the downtrend.
Today NYSE:AES opened with a gap succeeding yesterday's equilibrium in price with doji candles.
The price is still in the middle of the regression line and in the next few days the price don't seems to be close to upper 2 SD.
In the print above the yellow line shows the support at $11.43. The image's time horizon starts at the end of 2006.
Furthermore looking at short ratio available online the value is about 2,7 from mid October as well as more than 22M short interest
ADX
What Are Lagging Indicators, and How Can You Use ThemWhat Are Lagging Indicators, and How Can You Use Them in Trading?
Lagging indicators are fundamental tools in technical analysis, helping traders confirm trends and assess market momentum using historical price data. This article explores what lagging indicators are, the types available, and how traders use them in their strategies. We’ll also discuss their limitations and common mistakes traders should avoid.
What Are Lagging Indicators?
Lagging technical indicators are tools that traders use to confirm the direction of a price trend after it has already begun. There are leading and lagging technical indicators. The difference between leading and lagging indicators is that the former signal future price movements while the latter relying on past data help traders spot well-established trends.
These indicators work by smoothing out price movements over time, which helps traders analyse whether a trend is likely to continue. For example, after a market has been rising steadily, a lagging indicator may show that the trend has solidified, giving traders more confidence in their analysis. However, because they react to past movements, lagging indicators can be slow to signal when a trend is reversing, which is why they’re often used alongside other tools.
A lagging indicator is particularly useful in trending markets, where it can help confirm the strength and direction of price action. They aren’t as effective in sideways or range-bound markets because they lag behind real-time movements. Still, when used correctly, they can offer traders valuable insight into the market’s overall momentum and help filter out noise from short-term fluctuations.
Types of Lagging Indicators
Lagging indicators come in a few main types, each offering a unique way to analyse market trends.
These include trend-following indicators, such as moving averages, which smooth out price data to highlight the overall market direction. There are also volatility-based indicators, like Bollinger Bands, which assess the market’s fluctuations to identify possible turning points.
Additionally, momentum indicators, such as the MACD, track the speed of price changes to provide insight into the strength of a trend. Each class of indicator serves a specific purpose, giving traders different angles for analysing market movements based on past price data.
Note that lagging indicators in technical analysis are distinct from lagging economic indicators. The former uses historical price data to offer insights into future market movements, while the latter reflects past economic performance, providing a backwards-looking view of trends like unemployment, inflation, or GDP growth, which confirm the state of the economy only after changes have already taken place.
Below, we’ll explore four examples of key lagging indicators. To see these indicators in action, try them out on FXOpen’s free TickTrader trading platform.
Moving Averages
Moving averages are among the most widely used tools in technical analysis, helping traders smooth out price data to better identify market trends. There are many types of moving averages, but most traders use two primary types: the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA). While both calculate averages over a set period, the EMA gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to market changes compared to the SMA, which treats all price points equally.
One of the key signals moving averages produce is the crossover, also called the Golden Cross and Death Cross. A Golden Cross occurs when a shorter-term moving average, like the 50-period EMA, crosses above a longer-term moving average, such as the 200-period EMA, indicating potential upward momentum. On the other hand, a Death Cross happens when the 50-period EMA crosses below the 200-period EMA, signalling a possible bearish shift. These crossovers help traders identify potential trend reversals.
Moving averages can be utilised as dynamic support and resistance levels. In an uptrend, prices often bounce off a moving average, acting as support. In downtrends, the same moving average can act as resistance, preventing price rises.
Another signal is the angle of the moving average itself. A rising moving average suggests an uptrend and a falling one indicates a downtrend. Traders often interpret this alongside whether the price sits above or below the moving average.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are a versatile tool in technical analysis, designed to measure market volatility and potential overbought or oversold conditions. Created by John Bollinger, the indicator consists of three lines: a middle band (typically a 20-period simple moving average), and two outer bands plotted at two standard deviations above and below the middle band. These bands dynamically adjust as volatility changes, making them useful in different market environments.
According to theory, buyers dominate the market when the price rises above the middle line, while a drop below this line signals sellers gaining control. The bands can often act as a dynamic support/resistance level. However, these aren’t stand-alone buy or sell signals and should be confirmed with other indicators, like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), to avoid false alarms.
Another common signal Bollinger Bands provide is overbought and oversold conditions. When prices exceed the upper band, the market might be overbought, indicating potential exhaustion of upward momentum. Conversely, a dip below the lower band may suggest the asset is oversold, potentially signalling a bounce or reversal.
Another important signal Bollinger Bands provide is the Bollinger Band squeeze. This occurs when the bands contract tightly around the price, indicating low volatility. Traders see this as a precursor to a potential breakout, though the direction of the move is unknown until confirmed by price action. Once volatility expands, traders can look for a breakout above or below the bands to gauge direction.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a popular momentum indicator that helps traders identify changes in market trends. It includes three key components: the MACD line, the signal line, and the histogram.
The MACD line is calculated by subtracting the 26-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) from the 12-period EMA, which provides insight into the relationship between short-term and long-term price movements. The signal line is a 9-period EMA of the MACD line, and the histogram shows the difference between the MACD and the signal line.
MACD generates two key signals. First is the signal line crossover, where traders watch for the MACD line to cross above the signal line, which is often seen as a potential bullish indicator. When the MACD crosses below the signal line, it could indicate bearish momentum. The second signal is the zero-line crossover. When the MACD line crosses above the zero line, it suggests a shift toward bullish momentum, while crossing below the zero line may indicate bearish momentum.
The MACD histogram helps traders visualise the strength of momentum. Histogram bars above the zero line indicate bullish momentum, while bars below the zero line signal bearish pressure. As the bars contract, it may signal a weakening trend and a potential reversal.
Another key feature of MACD is divergence. If the price moves in one direction but the MACD moves in the opposite direction, it may signal a potential trend reversal. For instance, when the price is making higher highs but the indicator is making lower highs, it could indicate that upward momentum is weakening.
Average Directional Index (ADX)
The Average Directional Index (ADX) measures the strength of a trend, regardless of whether it's moving up or down. Created by J. Welles Wilder, it helps traders assess whether the market is trending or moving sideways. The ADX line ranges from 0 to 100, where values below 20 suggest a weak or non-existent trend and values above 25 indicate a strong trend. The higher the reading, the stronger the trend, with anything above 50 signalling very strong market momentum.
The ADX doesn’t specify whether the trend is bullish or bearish—it only gauges strength. To determine the trend's direction, traders typically combine ADX with the Directional Movement Indicators (DMI), which include the +DI and -DI lines (in the image above, ADX is represented with the pink line, while +DI is blue and -DI is orange). When the +DI is above the -DI, the trend is likely upward, and when -DI is above +DI, the trend is likely downward.
Key signals include the 25 level: a reading above this suggests that a trend is gaining strength. As ADX rises, the trend intensifies, and when it falls, the trend may be weakening, though this doesn’t necessarily imply a reversal.
ADX is particularly useful for trend-following strategies, but it’s important to combine it with other indicators for confirmation, as it doesn’t determine market direction.
How Traders Use Lagging Indicators
Traders use lagging indicators to confirm trends and evaluate the strength of market movements based on historical data. Here are several common ways traders apply these tools:
- Trend Confirmation: Lagging indicators help verify whether a price trend is well-established. For example, moving averages smooth out price data to confirm whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend. Traders use these indicators to avoid reacting to short-term volatility and focus on longer-term trends.
- Measuring Trend Strength: Indicators like the Average Directional Index (ADX) and Bollinger Bands are used to assess how strong a trend is. A rising ADX signals increasing momentum, while Bollinger Bands widening can indicate higher volatility, suggesting the trend might persist.
- Spotting Momentum Shifts: Lagging indicators such as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) or moving average crossovers can highlight shifts in momentum. For instance, when the MACD line crosses the signal line, it suggests a change in momentum, which could signal the continuation or reversal of a trend.
- Filtering Noise: Lagging indicators help traders filter out short-term market noise. By focusing on longer periods, like a 200-period moving average, traders can avoid being misled by temporary price fluctuations, ensuring they base decisions on potentially more stable trends.
Drawbacks and Common Mistakes with Lagging Indicators
While lagging indicators can be helpful, they come with limitations that traders should be aware of.
- Delayed Signals: Lagging indicators rely on historical data, which means they often confirm trends after they’ve already started. This delay can cause traders to enter or exit positions too late, missing a significant portion of the move.
- False Confidence in Trending Markets: Traders might over-rely on lagging indicators during sideways or choppy markets, leading to misleading signals. For example, the MACD might generate false crossovers, causing unnecessary trades in non-trending environments.
- Overuse Without Confirmation: A common mistake is using a single lagging indicator without additional tools for confirmation. This can result in trades based solely on outdated data, ignoring real-time market shifts. Combining lagging indicators with leading ones, like the RSI, can help avoid this trap.
The Bottom Line
Lagging indicators are valuable tools for confirming trends and helping traders make informed decisions based on historical data. While they have their limitations, such as delayed signals, they remain essential for understanding market momentum. Ready to apply these insights to more than 700 live markets? Open an FXOpen account today and start trading on four advanced trading platforms with low costs and rapid execution speeds.
FAQ
What Is a Lagging Indicator?
The lagging indicators definition refers to a tool used in technical analysis that confirms trends based on historical price data. It provides insight into the strength and direction of trends after they’ve already started, helping traders to confirm the momentum. Such indicators are moving averages and the Average Directional Index (ADX).
What Are Forward (Leading) vs Lagging Indicators?
Forward (leading) indicators attempt to determine future market movements while lagging indicators confirm past trends. Forward indicators, like the stochastic oscillator, signal potential price changes, while lagging indicators, like moving averages, confirm established trends.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
BILDCO – UAE Stock Market (ADX) Bullish Reversal in Play BILDCO – Bullish Reversal in Play 🚀
Ticker: BILDCO (ADX)
Timeframe: H1
Setup: Elliott Wave + Demand Zone Strategy
Trading Idea:
1. The corrective Elliot Wave (c) ready to wrap up as price dips into a strong Daily Demand Zone between (0.620 - 0.600), right in line with the Fibonacci extensions 1.382 (0.5810) and 1.618 (0.5429).
- If this level holds, we’re looking at the start of a fresh Wave (3) in a new impulse cycle – and Wave (3) doesn’t play small.
2. Demand Zone Confluence:
- Heavy buy-side interest here; volume profile confirms it. This zone is loaded with potential.
3. Bullish Momentum Ahead?
- Price action in this area will tell the story. Watch for confirmation with strong bullish candles (engulfing, hammer, or similar).
Game Plan
1. Entry:
- Long from 0.620 - 0.600,
2. Stop Loss:
- Below the Demand Zone at 0.5712. Keep it tight, protect your capital.
3. Take Profits:
- TP1: 0.7066 – First supply zone.
- TP2: 0.7540 – Next major resistance.
- TP3: 0.8711 – Targeting Wave (5) extension.
4. Risk-Reward:
- Insane RRR of 1:8.59! Small risk, big potential move.
Why This Setup Rocks
- Demand Zone Holds Weight: Fibonacci + price action + volume = solid entry zone.
- Wave (3) Firepower: It’s typically the biggest, most explosive wave – perfect for riding the trend.
- Volume Backing It: Buyers are already lining up, which is what we want to see at key levels.
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### Disclaimer
Not financial advice – trade at your own risk. Always use proper risk management and evaluate your own strategy before entering a position.
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### Follow for More Setups
"Missed opportunities are a trader's biggest regret. Stay sharp, stick to the plan, and make the most of every move!"
Hit Follow for more insights and ideas like this one. Let’s crush the markets together! 🚀💹
Easyjet ready to fly?Easyjet records better financial statements, looking at the report is possible to read that LSE:EZJ flew about 5% increase in seats when compared with last year.
The revenue increased by 14% this mainly because of the increase of 8% in capacity. Looking over the financial indicator it's noticeable an increase in revenue and the difference compared to 13 week moving average.
The price breakout for the second time above the top of ascending triangle following for a cross over the 200ema. The yellow resistance is the strongest one that still needs to be broken.
ADX is already above DMI- and being at 19,49 can show some strength confirming the DMI+.
EFI barely dropped below zero when the price failed to cross the EMA changing direction above zero rapidly.
Average Directional IndexADX (Average Directional Index) ADX is an excellent indicator for measuring the strength of a trend. It does not indicate the direction (up or down), but when combined with other indicators, it helps identify when a trend is strong enough to warrant a trade. It is most effective for use on time frames that depend on your trading style, such as 5- to 30-minute charts for day traders or daily charts for long-term investors.
It was created by J. Welles Wilder and is used to assess whether the market is in a strong or weak trend, helping traders avoid trading in sideways markets (without a clear trend).
ADX is derived from two other indicators: +DI (positive Directional Indicator) and -DI (negative Directional Indicator), which measure the strength of upward and downward movements, respectively. ADX, which is the average value of the two, indicates the strength of the trend.
ADX above 25: Indicates a strong trend.
ADX below 20 or 25: Indicates a weak trend or a sideways market.
Identifying Trend Strength:
A high ADX (above 25-30) indicates a strong trend. The higher the value, the stronger the trend, whether up or down.
A low ADX (below 20-25) suggests that the market is trendless (sideways), which may indicate that it is best to avoid trading in a particular direction.
Confirming Trends:
If the ADX is rising while the price is rising or falling, this confirms that the trend is strong.
If the ADX is falling, this suggests that the trend is losing strength, even if the price continues to rise or fall.
Avoiding False Signals:
When the ADX is below 25, it is more difficult to identify clear trends, and there is a greater risk of entering false breakouts.
ADX is useful for avoiding trades in markets without a clear direction, where movements can be very volatile or erratic.
ADX can be used on different time frames, but its effectiveness varies depending on the trading style. The most common time frames are:
Day Traders: Use ADX on 5, 15 or 30 minute charts, seeking to confirm the strength of intraday trends.
Swing Traders: Prefer 4-hour or daily charts to identify the strength of medium-term trends.
Position Traders: Generally use daily or weekly charts, analyzing long-term trends based on ADX.
Burjeel Abu Dhabi : Watch for a new buy entryWeekly chart, the stock ADX:BURJEEL is on a downtrend since Nov. 2023.
Yet no solid signal of a rebounce.
However, it should start as soon as the price reaches the support level of 2.11.
It can even be earlier at 2.17 as the technical indicator RSI is near "buy" zone.
A close for 2 weeks below 2.11 should be a stop loss signal.
So, the new Buy should be after a clear rebound from the support, then the targets will be 2.4, 2.6 and 2.8 extended to 3.10
Adnoc Drilling is near a tough resistance zoneWeekly chart, the stock ADX:ADNOCDRILL has been trading in a rising channel since March 2022.
The current price is near the upper channel's boundary (resistance line R).
So, either a breakout around 4.85 - 4.90, or a rebound.
Closing below 4.40 for 2 weeks, will push the price downwards.
Above the resistance line for 2 weeks, the target will be 6.05 - 6.10
Taqa ADX should rebound from this levelDaily chart, the stock ADX:TAQA is still pushing downwards but the rate has slowed down.
RSI is getting in the over-sold zone.
So, I expect the rebound will start soon - may be in 2 weeks.
Note the stop loss line. It is important to decide your own stop loss or profit protection level.
CCCS - BuyI used TradingView's stock screener to find assets with ADX (14) crossing up 15 on Weekly charts and came upon this CCCS. All of this analysis is based on a Weekly chart. First and foremost this is the first time that ADX is crossing up 15 in the chart's history. Secondly, TD Sequential is on 8/9 of a Buy signal. Third, it's at the bottom of the Bollinger Band. Fourthly, it's at Fibonacci Pivots S2. Lastly, this exact spot is a convergence of several Fibonacci support levels. This looks like the bottom of a coming up trend.
38.20% pullback into Monthly Fibonacci Pivots S2:
38.20% pullback:
127.20% extension support:
Uptrend neared 2.618% extension:
ADX crossing up 15 first time in stock's history:
Bollinger Band lower band:
An ADX Tip. :)Hello traders! I'm back from a few years away and found a little nugget on ADX in my trading notes which I wanted to share with you. As you may know I have focused the majority of my attention on candlestick analysis using Steve Nison training material. In one of his courses I have written down this quote by a significant trader he talks about sometimes,
" Some of the best buy signals are found when ADX is below 15 and begins to rise. " - Chuck Lebeau
Having seen that quote I brought up TradingView and found the most recent occurrence of that happening on the asset I was analyzing on the Weekly chart and look what I found:
Steve Nison teaches a strategy called "Trading the 9" which involves the 9, 20, & 50 period moving averages. Look, there was a Golden Cross of all of them exactly when ADX crossed above 15! Outstanding! Maybe look at adding an alert on the assets you watch for ADX crossing above 15! :)
AbuDhabi TAQA to target 4.4 after crossing resistanceDaily chart, the stock (TAQA) crossed a rising small channel (GREEN area), and is still trading inside a bigger channel, and is most likely to cross the resistance (at around 3.70)
After crossing resistance (BLUE) line, the target will be 4.40
Technical indicators RSI and MACD are positive.
Simple technicals, Northern Star Resources - NST (ASX)Northern Star Resources - NST (ASX)
In a long term bullish move, and medium term pullback with a recovery bounce off the 200-day moving average.
We are starting to see a possible convergence on the medium-term MACD, which could lead to a recovery in the medium term, if buying continues.
Full report details for members at marketmonkey.com.au
Please feel free to request more Blue Chip technicals via hello@marketmonkey.com.au
🙈
Aristocrat Leisure - is price over extended?#ASX #ALL - Aristocrat Leisure
Examining #ALL for July, the strength of buying remains moderate to strong, which is continuing to push the price higher towards the end of July.
Currently on directional indicators in the Blue Chip stock analysis report (marketmonkey.com.au), the price is over extended for a second month. This over-exuberant buying tends to decline into the third month, when prices often weaken.
No convergence as yet with the short-term moving averages, so price is likely to remain bullish in the very short term.
Please feel free to request ASX stock analysis via hello@marketmonkey.com.au
🙈
Borouge price is playing in a critical zone!Daily chart, Borogue stock is trading in a critical zone (YELLOW circle)
MACD is negative, RSI is descending, but -positively- near over-sold level.
Falling below support line (RED) will push the price towards 2.24, then 1.96
Above resistance line (BLUE) will target 2.60, 2.70, 2.84
After a 300% Run Mind has Retested and Gearing for More!First caught my attention by the scanner
🔎 *Symbol*: `MIND/USDT`
📈 *Signal*: `Long`
💲 *Current Price*: `0.005523`
🛑 *Stop-Loss*: `0.0029251700000000004`
💰 *Market Cap*: `0`
🚪 *Entry Prices*:
📥 Entry Price 1: `0.00422966`
📥 Entry Price 2: `0.00476767`
📥 Entry Price 3: `0.0052025000000000005`
📥 Entry Price 4: `0.005637329999999999`
🏁 *Exit Prices*:
📤 Exit Price 1: `0.00845267`
📤 Exit Price 2: `0.00932233`
📤 Exit Price 3: `0.01073`
📤 Exit Price 4: `0.01213767`
i realized this coin doesn't have an extensively long history, in fact it's very brief. But Recently We had a 300% Run. After that we Retested heading all the way down close to where a stop loss would be considerable at the bottom Fib Channel. On the other hand after a 300% a Correction is not only expected it's required.
Here are the the multiple reasons we'll Consider
MIND
a Continuation
We Have a Huge Breakout and the Swing Low Following Stayed above .213 Fib on Extension
Shortly After the Moving Average Providing Support Moved up through the Fib Channel it was Wicking toward during Correction
When ADX bottomed and turned around, the MACD Failed to break the signal line and signaled a buy now showing Strength
XEMPopped on my breakout finder
📈 *Symbol*: `XEM/USDT`
✅ *Qualification*: All MAs within 1% of MA7.
💰 *Market Cap*: `$314,594,092.89`
I'm noticing on the day the adx crossed below a level it never has and when it did the MACD signaled a Buy
With ADX When it's going upward that means trend following indicators work best
when its going down we use things like oscilators
MACD being an ocsilator pinged a buy and we're starting to uptrend. We also had a nice bounce of the .318 fib along with another breakout and swing low back tot the .5 fib showing a health upward trend as you see how volatility has completely dropped thats what the breakout/breakdown finder looks for tokens like that
Zee Super Low Marketcap with Loads of PotentialWe can see that it just pinged a buy on the MACD the same time it broke a Resistance Line on the ADX This is very Promising
We also had a second bounce of the .318 fib showing this is one of the final times for us to turn around an continue the uptrend from before.
Volume is starting to rise, seeing more bullish volume than bearish volume.
Keep an Eye out for this with such a high volume/marketcap level consistantly and previous all time high of almost $20 this thing could 1000x !
below is why zee came to our attention
📈 *Name*: ZeroSwap
🔖 *Symbol*: ZEE
💲 *Price*: $0.02238045564531504
📉 *24h Change*: -1.59%
📊 *7d Change*: 3.00%
💰 *Market Cap*: $1419572.20
🔄 *24h Volume*: $823542.18
🏷️ *Tags*: defi, launchpad, exnetwork-capital-portfolio, polygon-ecosystem, bnb-chain
ID ADX Breakout Before Price Breakout Channeling upThe MACD Signaled a Buy with the EMA Crossovers happening above the Signal Line.
We're Channeling on the 1.0 and 1.618 fib showing bullish Strength.
We can see before ID Broke out almost 100% the ADX Broke out a Resistance Line and is Now Channeling Upward
Below is the Call that Made ID Catch my Attention
🔎 *Symbol*: `ID/USDT`
📈 *Signal*: `Long`
💲 *Current Price*: `0.61248`
🛑 *Stop-Loss*: `0.18023112000000002`
💰 *Market Cap*: `286793089.6509273`
🚪 *Entry Prices*:
📥 Entry Price 1: `0.36552888`
📥 Entry Price 2: `0.42284556000000006`
📥 Entry Price 3: `0.46917000000000003`
📥 Entry Price 4: `0.51549444`
🏁 *Exit Prices*:
📤 Exit Price 1: `0.8154255600000001`
📤 Exit Price 2: `0.90807444`
📤 Exit Price 3: `1.05804`
📤 Exit Price 4: `1.2080055600000001
Ghitha is trading sideways, then targets 63 after crossing upDaily chart, Ghitha Holding (ADX, UAE) stock is trading between the resistance and support (almost a rectangle channel).
It is a good trading opportunity BUY at support, SELL at resistance, until crossing up the resistance (around 49.0), then the target will be 63.0 extending to 70.0
Technical indicators: MACD is positive. RSI indicates some minor correction or sideways movement.
ADNOC GAS (ADX), to target 3.82 after crossing resistanceDaily chart, the stock ADNOC GAS is trading between support and resistance lines since mid June 2023.
A Triangle chart pattern is being formed - After the price clearly crosses the resistance line (BLUE), around 3.15 - 3.16, then the target will be 3.82, passing through some resistance levels as shown on the chart.
ENTRY #1 : BUY at touching the support line (RED) around 3.02 - 3.03 and rebounding.
Stop Loss below 3.00
ENTRY #2 : BUY after clear crossing of resistance line (closing 2 days above / or one day and high volume)
Stop loss after breaking down resistance line.