Apple Inc. (AAPL) short term outlookNASDAQ:AAPL is approaching a breakout point, as seen with the recent upward movement toward the $230 resistance level. The stock has been trading within a symmetrical triangle and has now broken above the key trendline after bouncing off support near $215. The price is climbing within the Bollinger Bands, and a further move above $230 could confirm a continuation towards the $240 area. Volume is also rising, indicating growing interest and momentum. ( NASDAQ:QQQ SP:SPX )
AAPL
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Title: Exiting AAPL: Liquidating My Entire Position After DoubleComment: After identifying a clear double, and potentially triple, top pattern on AAPL, I made the decision to liquidate my entire position. Having bought in at $166-169 before the breakout, the subsequent +28% move was a great run, but the technical resistance at these levels signaled it was time to lock in profits and shift focus elsewhere.
Better to exit strong than risk a reversal!
Apple's iPhone 16 Pre-Order Struggles: A Buying Opportunity?Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AAPL ) has always been a tech behemoth, but its latest iPhone 16 launch appears to be facing some turbulence. Analysts are reporting weaker-than-expected pre-orders, with the first weekend sales estimated at around 37 million units, a 12.7% dip compared to last year. But could this moment of weakness actually present an opportunity for investors? Let's dive into the technical and fundamental aspects of Apple's current standing.
Weak iPhone 16 Pre-Orders and AI Lag
The most significant concern surrounding Apple’s recent performance stems from the iPhone 16’s pre-orders. Analysts, including Ming-Chi Kuo from TF International Securities, project a 12.7% decline in pre-orders compared to last year, underscoring a drop in demand for Apple’s latest flagship device. This decline in demand is primarily attributed to Apple’s sluggish pace in the artificial intelligence (AI) race.
While AI innovation has taken center stage in tech, Apple has yet to make significant strides in this area. The lack of AI features in the iPhone 16 has left many potential buyers underwhelmed, especially in China, where local competitors like Huawei are ahead in integrating cutting-edge AI into their devices. In fact, Apple has been knocked out of the top five smartphone sellers in China for the first time—a sobering signal of the challenges ahead.
The AI sector is rapidly expanding, and Apple’s reliance on OpenAI’s technology for AI features in its iPhones is becoming a liability, especially given the Chinese government’s stringent policies against foreign AI technologies. If Apple does not address this gap soon, its position in the global smartphone market could face more significant challenges.
Despite these obstacles, Apple is not out of the race. The company has a history of overcoming setbacks and bouncing back stronger. Apple's short-term hurdles might be part of a larger, strategic approach. Many analysts speculate that Apple could be holding back major feature releases for the holiday season, a time when consumer spending surges. If enhanced AI capabilities are introduced in the coming months, especially in tandem with the shopping season, Apple could see a significant boost in sales.
Moreover, Apple’s foray into health tech with the new FDA-approved sleep apnea detection feature for the Apple Watch Series 10 shows that the company is still innovating in other areas. This feature could be a game-changer for millions of people with undiagnosed sleep disorders, opening up a new market segment for Apple’s wearables.
Technical Analysis: AAPL’s 3% Decline and Key Support Zones
Now, turning to the technical aspect, NASDAQ:AAPL stock is down 3% during Monday’s trading session, marking a pullback from its recent highs. While this decline has raised eyebrows, it’s important to note that Apple’s stock has been in a continuous uptrend since June 2019, showing incredible resilience over the years.
The stock's recent decline is partly due to lower-than-expected iPhone 16 pre-orders and broader concerns over its lag in AI innovation. However, NASDAQ:AAPL stock has formed a major support zone at the $125 pivot level. This zone correlates with the consolidation area observed on November 30, 2023, marking a potential bounce point for the stock.
The stock’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around the mid-50s, suggesting that while the stock isn’t oversold, it’s approaching levels that could attract buyers. Additionally, NASDAQ:AAPL is still trading above several key moving averages, offering further support for a potential reversal. Investors looking for a technical entry point might find this level particularly attractive, especially if the stock can hold the $125 support level and begin to rally.
Why Apple Stock May Still Be a Buy
Despite weaker pre-orders and concerns about AI innovation, there are several reasons why NASDAQ:AAPL remains a compelling buy at this stage:
1. Strategic Timing: Apple often introduces new features and technologies closer to the holiday season. It’s plausible that the company is withholding some of its most compelling AI advancements for the peak shopping months in November and December.
2. AI Potential: While Apple may currently lag in AI, its history of integrating groundbreaking features into its ecosystem should not be overlooked. If Apple rolls out significant AI updates within the next 12-18 months, it could trigger a renewed interest in its product line and drive stock price appreciation.
3. Long-Term Growth: Apple’s stock has demonstrated long-term growth and resilience, bouncing back from setbacks in the past. Its ability to navigate challenges in China, coupled with a potential holiday-season boost, positions NASDAQ:AAPL for a recovery in 2024.
4. Health Tech Advancements: The FDA’s recent approval of Apple’s sleep apnea detection feature for the Apple Watch further strengthens its position in the health tech market, which could open up a lucrative revenue stream. With 30 million Americans affected by sleep apnea, this feature could see widespread adoption, boosting sales of the Apple Watch Series 10 and Ultra 2 models.
Final Thoughts
Apple's current dip, driven by weaker iPhone 16 pre-orders and a lack of AI innovation, may present a buying opportunity for long-term investors. While the stock is facing short-term headwinds, its strong fundamentals, history of innovation, and potential AI advancements in the coming months could set the stage for a strong rebound.
Investors should closely monitor Apple’s performance in the upcoming holiday season, as this could be a critical period for the company to regain momentum. For now, the $125 support level may provide an ideal entry point for those looking to capitalize on any future upside. As always, it's important to stay informed on new developments and keep an eye on Apple’s evolving strategies, particularly in AI and health tech.
AAPL, short, Entry: 219.90, Stop: 221.16, Timeframe: 1h**Trade Type:** short
**Ticker:** AAPL
**Entry Price:** 219.90
**Stop Loss:** 221.16
**Take Profit 1:** 218.05
**Take Profit 2:** 216.88
**Risk/Reward Ratio:** 2.48
**Timeframe:** 1h
**Trading idea only, not financial advice. Any use of this information is solely at the user's own risk.**
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Apple Loses €13 Billion Tax Battle with the EUApple Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) has suffered a significant legal setback as the European Court of Justice (ECJ) ruled against the company in a high-profile tax case, requiring it to pay €13 billion ($14.4 billion) in back taxes to Ireland. This decision comes after years of litigation and represents a major victory for the European Commission’s ongoing efforts to crack down on so-called “sweetheart” tax deals that give multinationals an unfair advantage.
The ECJ’s ruling overturns a previous 2020 decision by a lower court that had favored Apple, signaling a renewed focus on holding large corporations accountable for exploiting loopholes in European tax laws. The ruling not only has financial implications for Apple but also sets a precedent for how the EU will handle similar cases in the future.
Key Details of the Ruling
In 2016, Margrethe Vestager, the EU’s competition chief, accused Ireland of granting Apple illegal tax benefits that unfairly favored the tech giant and distorted competition. The case focused on tax rulings granted by Ireland that allowed Apple to channel billions in profits through the country at a tax rate as low as 0.005%, far below the standard corporate tax rates.
Apple and Ireland both challenged the ruling in the EU’s General Court, which initially sided with the tech company in 2020, arguing that the European Commission had not sufficiently proven that Apple received a selective economic advantage. However, the ECJ has now reversed this decision, reaffirming the Commission’s stance that the tax arrangements constituted illegal state aid.
Impact on Apple’s Finances and Market Position
While the €13 billion tax bill is substantial, it represents a fraction of Apple’s vast cash reserves. However, the ruling could influence the company’s financial strategies and complicate its tax planning across Europe. Apple has been vocal in its defense, insisting that it has always paid taxes in accordance with the law and that the case is more about jurisdiction than tax evasion.
“This case has never been about how much tax we pay but which government we are required to pay it to,” Apple stated after the ruling. The company argued that its income was already subject to taxation in the U.S. and that the EU was attempting to change the rules retroactively.
The “Double Irish” Tax Scheme: A Closer Look
Central to Apple’s tax practices was the now-defunct “Double Irish” tax strategy, which allowed multinational companies to route profits through Ireland to minimize their tax liabilities. This involved transferring profits to an Irish subsidiary, which then paid the money to another entity registered in Ireland but taxed elsewhere, often in a tax haven like Bermuda.
Although Ireland shut down this tax loophole in 2014 under pressure from the EU and the U.S., the ECJ ruling underscores the long-term implications of such arrangements. The decision may also encourage the European Commission to scrutinize other tax agreements, signaling a broader crackdown on similar schemes used by other tech giants.
### Technical Analysis: AAPL Stock in Focus
Apple’s stock ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) has experienced turbulence following the ECJ’s ruling, dipping by 1% in Monday’s extended trading session. The decline was not solely due to the court’s decision; it also reflects investor concerns about the broader market environment and the recent iPhone 16 launch, which did not provide the immediate boost some had hoped for.
However, from a technical perspective, Apple’s stock remains in a promising position. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 60, indicating that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, which is a healthy sign for potential upward momentum. Moreover, NASDAQ:AAPL is trading above its key moving averages, including the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day MAs, suggesting that the overall trend remains positive despite recent setbacks.
The Path Ahead: Risks and Opportunities
The ECJ ruling may create short-term headwinds for Apple, both financially and reputationally. However, the company’s strong market position, diversified revenue streams, and continued innovation in technology could help it weather this storm. Apple’s commitment to paying all taxes owed, regardless of jurisdiction, is likely to resonate with investors who value corporate responsibility.
For the EU, this case represents a significant milestone in its quest to create a level playing field for all businesses operating within its borders. The ruling sends a clear message that the bloc will not tolerate tax avoidance strategies that undermine fair competition, and it may embolden further actions against other tech giants.
Conclusion
Apple’s €13 billion tax setback in the EU is a critical moment in the ongoing battle between multinational corporations and global tax authorities. While the financial impact on Apple may be manageable, the ruling has broader implications for corporate governance and regulatory compliance across the tech industry.
For investors, the current dip in Apple’s stock presents a moment to reassess the company’s long-term potential amid evolving legal and economic landscapes. With strong technical indicators and a robust business model, NASDAQ:AAPL remains a key player, but vigilance is necessary as the company navigates its complex legal challenges.
APPLE: Buy lower if this level breaks. Next target = 260.Apple is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.352, MACD = -0.130, ADX = 33.865) as it is consolidating around the 1D MA50. The trend is a bearish one, correcting under LH and until they break, it will remain bearish. Much like the Channel Down corrections of 2023 and 2024, failure to cross above the top of the bearish pattern, should extend the selling to the 1D MA100 again, even the 1D MA200 if it fails.
The 1D RSI of the prior tw fractals indicates that two main LH should be formed before the price recovers. This shows that we should take our time with AAPL and if the 1.5 Fib level breaks, buy on the 1D MA100 and the 1D MA200 for the long term. TP = 260.00 (the 2.5 Fibonacci level).
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Apple Inc & the iPhone 16 Launch: What Lies Ahead for the Giant?Apple Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is set to host its highly anticipated iPhone 16 launch event on Monday, September 9, 2024. This event, widely considered Apple’s most important of the year, comes at a pivotal time for the tech giant, as it struggles to convince investors and consumers alike that its flagship product still has room for innovation and growth.
iPhone 16 Launch: What’s New?
The iPhone 16 lineup, including the iPhone 16, 16 Plus, 16 Pro, and 16 Pro Max, will be the focal point of the event. However, industry analysts, including Bloomberg, have indicated that the new iPhones will not feature significant design changes compared to their predecessors, the iPhone 15 series. The base models will see minor upgrades like faster processors, increased storage capacity, and the inclusion of the action button previously exclusive to the Pro models.
The Pro versions will boast slightly larger screens, slimmer bezels, improved processors, more advanced AI features, and enhanced camera capabilities. However, these iterative updates might struggle to capture the excitement that previous models once did, reflecting Apple’s current challenge in the fiercely competitive smartphone market.
Declining iPhone Sales and Revenue Concerns
Apple’s iPhone remains its most important revenue driver, yet the segment has shown signs of slowing growth. In the most recent quarter, iPhone sales revenue fell to $32.29 billion from $39.66 billion a year earlier, reflecting broader challenges in the consumer electronics market. Over the first half of 2024, iPhone sales dipped from $156 billion to $154 billion year-over-year, highlighting the difficulties Apple faces in reigniting demand.
The broader issue for Apple lies in its perceived stagnation; incremental upgrades in the iPhone 16 may not be enough to drive substantial sales growth. This problem is compounded by changing consumer habits, as people now tend to hold onto their iPhones for 3 to 4 years before upgrading, compared to shorter upgrade cycles in the past.
Apple’s other hardware segments, such as the iPad, face similar challenges. While iPad sales rose to $7.1 billion in the last quarter, the line’s growth prospects remain questionable due to the lack of distinguishing features that set it apart from larger iPhones or other tablets.
Expanding Services: Apple’s Growing Revenue Driver
While iPhone and hardware sales may be slowing, Apple’s services segment continues to show resilience, growing from $81.7 billion in Q2 2023 to over $85.7 billion in the latest quarter. This high-margin segment, encompassing Apple Pay, Arcade, Music, News, and the App Store, has become a critical revenue driver as the company navigates challenging hardware markets.
However, even with robust growth in services, the company’s overall valuation remains under scrutiny. Apple’s $3.4 trillion market cap, with a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 33.63 and a forward EV-to-sales ratio of 8.47, has drawn skepticism from prominent investors, including Warren Buffett, who has recently trimmed his stake in the company. As Apple’s core revenue sources face headwinds, the question of whether its valuation can be justified looms large.
Technical Analysis: Potential Downside Ahead?
From a technical perspective, Apple’s stock chart is flashing warning signs. Recently, the stock has formed a double-top pattern, a classic bearish signal, with a neckline around $195.80. Should this level break, it could trigger a deeper correction, aligning with broader concerns over Apple’s growth trajectory.
Key support levels to monitor include $218, where a trendline support intersects with significant historical price action, followed by $207, which aligns with previous breakout levels. A failure to hold these zones could see the stock retest the critical $196 support, near its 200-day moving average. Conversely, resistance looms near $233, a level that coincides with recent 1 Month High and where investors may look to lock in gains amid a potentially volatile period.
Competitive Pressures: Huawei’s Tri-Fold Phone Steals the Spotlight
Adding to Apple’s challenges, Huawei has captured attention with its new tri-fold smartphone, the Mate XT, which has already amassed 2.7 million pre-orders. This launch underscores the growing competition Apple faces, particularly in China, where it recently fell out of the top five smartphone vendors. As Huawei and other Chinese manufacturers push the envelope with innovative designs and features, Apple’s lack of a folding phone remains a glaring omission in its product lineup.
Conclusion: A Critical Moment for Apple
As Apple gears up for its iPhone 16 launch, the stakes couldn’t be higher. The company’s ability to excite consumers and investors with its new lineup will be closely scrutinized, especially given the stock’s recent technical weakness and ongoing fundamental challenges. While Apple’s robust services segment provides a buffer, the question of whether this alone can sustain its lofty valuation remains unanswered. For now, Apple’s near-term fortunes may hinge on how well the market receives the iPhone 16 and whether it can navigate an increasingly complex competitive landscape.
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AAPL: All Signs Point to Sell The AAPL chart is flashing sell signals, with price hovering near key red lines resistance. Sellers seem to be in control, and the setup suggests further downside potential. Will we see a break lower, or is a surprise bounce lurking?
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*Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always trade responsibly!*
APPLE Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the APPLE next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 228.86
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 219.98
My Stop Loss - 233.40
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Apple - Still Outperforming Everything!Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is stronger than 99% of stocks:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Despite the recent stock market weakness, Apple is trading at new all time highs. This clearly indicates that buyers don't let this stock down but are rather buying every dip. Even though Apple is retesting a channel resistance, a breakout followed by a rally is definitely possible.
Levels to watch: $230, $280
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
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Apple (AAPL): Swing Entry on the HorizonLast time, we narrowly missed the entry on Apple by just a few dollars, and after that miss, the stock no longer presented a compelling opportunity, so we decided to wait. However, after observing from the sidelines for a few months, it seems that another chance to secure a profitable swing entry might be approaching.
To increase our confidence in this potential opportunity and secure a better entry point, we need to closely monitor further movements from this tech giant. The current price action strongly suggests that a flat pattern might be forming following the recent drop. If this flat pattern does materialize, it could manifest as either a regular flat or an expanded flat, and this will be crucial in determining our entry target zone. At this stage, the area between $200 and $180 seems the most probable and attractive for a potential entry.
Given the broader market trends and Apple’s recent performance, this zone could offer a favorable risk-reward ratio. We’ll be watching for any developments that confirm this pattern and provide a clearer signal for entry. Stay tuned for further updates as we refine our strategy and prepare for a possible move on Apple.
Apple: Near the summitApple should be on the last meters of the turquoise wave B. As soon as the high is established, we expect a final sell-off. For the end of the corrective movement, we have added a magenta-colored Target Zone (between $192.02 and $172.34) to the chart. Investors could establish long positions there, with stops placed around 1% below the lower edge. With the low in place, we expect a rise above the resistance at $254.30. Should this level be broken earlier, our alternative scenario (34%) will come into play. This wave count sees the last local low as the low of the magenta wave alt.(2).
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APPLE The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
APPLE looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 226.81 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 232.38
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 217.95
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
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