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GOLD → Favorable fundamental background. Will we go to 2450?FX:XAUUSD updates high to 2424 amid favorable news. Buyers are returning with the belief that the dollar will continue to fall on the back of the imminent interest rate cuts. CPI indicates significant easing of inflationary pressures in June. Annual inflation fell to 3%, the lowest rate in a year. This report provides evidence to the Fed that inflation is easing, but most likely it is not enough for them and they will need 1-2 reports confirming the fact that inflation is under control and a move into deflation is forming. Ahead of PPI and traders are focusing on this report as favorable data could reinforce fresh selling in the US Dollar. This, in turn, could trigger a rise in gold prices. But, it is worth considering the unpredictability of the news in your trading. Resistance levels: 2411, 2416, 2424 Support levels: 2396, 2392, 2385 Technically, a small correction is possible after a false breakdown of resistance, which in general may lead to testing the imbalance zone before the next growth, if the fundamental background after PPI is maintained or intensified.... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with gold ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
GOLD → 2387 is key resistance, but ahead of CPI...FX:XAUUSD continues to maintain a bullish market structure, gradually pushing up to strong resistance with a breakout target. The US dollar is declining amid dovish US Fed assumptions.... All eyes remain on the US CPI report Powell's caution on weakening labor market conditions suggested that a September rate cut is likely just around the corner, which once again brought down the US dollar along with US Treasury yields. Softer US annual CPI data or a surprise decline in monthly inflation could confirm the September Fed rate cut and increase the chances of another rate cut in December. And vice versa... Technically, buyers are pushing up to 2387. A break of resistance will open the way to 2400-2437. But, there could be a correction before that Resistance levels: 2387 Support levels: 2378, 2370 Favorable news can strengthen the movement, in which case the resistance breakout is not to be missed. But, unexpected data may shake the market, the dollar may continue its strengthening phase and in this case gold will head towards 2350. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with gold ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
29
EURUSD → The morning gap is bought out. The bulls are aggressiveFX:EURUSD opens with a gap down, but buyers are actively buying back the move. The nature of the market is bullish, but at the same time consolidation, as there is strong resistance ahead. The fundamental background is favorable, there is no news today. Last week traders took well the fact of unemployment growth, within the framework of which active buying started. Technically, on H4 a bullish distribution is forming towards 1.085, from which, after the initial testing of the liquidity area, a correction may follow. But in general, I expect the continuation of growth (rebound from 1.0816 or breakdown of 1.085). Resistance levels: 1.0852, 1.091, 1.1 Support levels: 1.0816, 1.078 The nature of the market is changing and the bulls are actively holding key areas. The market is bullish and a breakout of the nearest resistance will favor the continuation of growth. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
1
AUDUSD → Price squeezes in front of resistance. A breakout?FX:AUDUSD is forming a strong consolidation on the chart as the price is squeezing to the resistance at 0.67. On the background of weakening DXY, buyers have chances to break the area. There is news ahead and at the moment traders are preparing to break resistance. Favorable news may contribute to the breakout of the strong limit zone and the formation of a distribution towards 0.684. Technically, the chances are high (strong bullish pattern) Traders are waiting for: ADP, Initial Jobless Claims, SP PMI, ISM, FOMC. Quite a busy news day, against which high volatility is expected. After Powell's words yesterday, the situation is neutral, but the dollar is going into correction. Everyone is waiting for the data on the labor market, on which the further situation will depend. Resistance levels: 0.67 Support levels: 0.665, 0.662, 0.6586 Technically, the situation is bullish, the emphasis is towards the resistance breakout. Further everything will depend on the fundamental background. A favorable background for AUD will increase purchases, but a negative background may cause a correction. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
GOLD → An intermediate bottom of 2350 is forming. What's next?FX:XAUUSD is testing 2350, gathering liquidity below this zone. Bulls are actively holding the defense above the key area and the overall picture looks promising.... BUT! Powell's speech continues today ahead of CPI and PPI. Things are heating up, the slightest hint of an unpredictable outcome could shake the market. For now, there are some positive signs after Powell's words: - Keeping rates high for too long could jeopardize growth in the U.S. economy - A rate hike is unlikely to be the next step - The Fed has made significant progress in bringing inflation down to the 2% target, recent monthly numbers show modest further progress - Fed needs more favorable inflation data to cut rates Overall, traders are not getting enough of this, the market is in consolidation and no one is in a hurry to take premature action yet. We are waiting for today's comments of the Fed chief. Technically, gold is showing bullish dynamics after the bulls did not let the price go beyond 2350. The price is consolidating above the key level of 2365 and testing the area of interest and liquidity of 2375-2380. A breakout and consolidation of the price above this area may further strengthen the price, as the promising target, at the moment, is 2387 - 23400. Resistance levels: 2373, 2380 Support levels: 2365, 2355, 2350 A bounce to the downside before further growth is possible, but price consolidation above the key zones could form an interim bottom for the bulls. All emphasis on Powell's comments..... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with gold ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
8
BITCOIN - Price can little correct and then bounce up to $55500Hi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price entered to flat, where at once fell lower than $61500 level, but soon turned around and rose back. In a short time, BTC rose to top part of flat and then made strong downward impulse, breaking $61500 level again. Also, price exited from flat and continued to fall inside wedge, where it declined to support line of this pattern. After this movement, Bitcoin turned around and rose from support line higher than $55500 level, breaking it. But then, price corrected to this level and a not long time ago bounced up to resistance line. Now, I think price can make a small correction movement, and then bounce up to $55500 level, exiting from wedge. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
2
GOLD → The fight for 2365. Can we get to 2400? FX:XAUUSD is trading within an ascending channel, but traders are actively selling off all of Friday's growth. The key roll is played by the resistance 2365, at the moment bears are holding the market. The dollar stops falling amid expected comments from Powell, as well as CPI and PPI to be released on Thursday and Friday. The fundamental background is neutral at the moment, Against this background gold is getting under correction and testing the liquidity area of 2350. Now all the focus is on 2365, relative to which a false breakout has been formed. IF: sellers will hold 2365 and will not let the price above this level, we should expect a decline to 2350, 2341 and further it is worth watching the situation, because in this case the price can reach 2325. If the buyers continue to be active and can form a consolidation above 2365, it will open a channel, the upper boundary of which will be 2387 and we can go up to it. Resistance levels: 2365, 2387 Support levels: 2358, 2350, 2341 Two scenarios, as the situation is complicated due to the unstable fundamental background and the struggle between the participants in the key zone that divides the plane into bearish and bullish. I would prioritize a small bounce from 2365, resistance retest, breakout and bullish momentum to 2375-2385. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
21
Bitcoin - 42k soon! (Fibonacci channel, roadmap)Why am I bearish on BTC? With all the crypto regulations around the world and, recently, banning stable coins in Europe + high transaction fees - crypto is losing its popularity, and people are starting to hate crypto. Which means no one wants to use it, and where there is no use, there is no money. Maybe crypto is not as good a technology as presented by banks. Crypto has been a huge disappointment for all investors in recent years. Ask yourself a question: Are you happy with your crypto holdings or not? Wasn't it better to put your money into NVIDIA? Nvidia made 10x in only a 2-year period. And this is a big stock, not a penny stock. Bitcoin hit an all-time high in March and failed to continue the price discovery. Bitcoin was not strong enough to continue in the bull market, and instead, we saw a liquidity sweep, and it is currently experiencing a 27% crash from its peak. Bitcoin failed to sustain the black ascending channel (that you can see on the chart). What we want to see is a breakout above an ascending channel, then a retest of it, and then a continuation of the bull run. In Bitcoin's case, we did have a retest of the black channel in April, but recently the price went back to the channel, which is a strong sign of weakness. We have completed the Elliott wave impulse wave (12345). Waves 2 and 4 have both around 20% retracement. Bitcoin is definitely heading towards the 42k level. Why is this level so important? We need to take a look at the chart and draw a Fibonacci parallel channel. Always use significant points to draw it, such as the major swing high or peak of a bull market. In our case, we use the most important points: bull market peak (2021), bear market bottom (2022), and bull market peak (2024). We have a very nice-looking Fibonacci channel, and now we need to look for important levels. I always recommend using 0.618, 0.5, and 0.382. We also have 0.764 and 0.236, but these levels in general have a lower success bounce rate. 0.5 is not a Fibonacci number, but it's the middle of the ascending channel, which is logically a very strong dynamic level. The first major support is at 0.382 (around 42k) because we also have a POC (point of control) of the volume profile. Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Xanrox
118
GOLD → Pre-breakdown structure, but NFP is ahead. ↑ or ↓ ?FX:XAUUSD is updating the high within consolidation after rallying. Technically, this is a good sign, but NFP and unemployment are ahead. The news could either reinforce the move or completely derail it.... A nice bullish pattern is forming on D1 against resistance at 2365. The deceleration and consolidation in front of the level indicates bullish interest in further growth. But today it is worth paying attention to the fundamental background. From this point of view, the outlook for gold depends on the upcoming news and the reaction of the Fed. Based on previous data, traders expect Friday's employment report to show only 189K new jobs compared to 270K in the previous month, and the unemployment rate to remain unchanged. But the actual data plays a bigger role. Rising unemployment and slowing economic growth may support the gold, as the dollar may continue its localized decline on this background. But, unpredictable data can increase the volatility and affect the market structure in a very opposite way. Resistance levels: 2364. 2387 Support levels: 2355, 2350, 2341 Technically, on D1-H4 gold shows bullish prerequisites, but the economic component plays a big role, which can both support the current movement and reverse it up to liquidation and decline to 2340-2320. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
21
EURUSD → The bulls are coming back. Trend change. Target 1.1FX:EURUSD is breaking the downtrend pattern on a smooth change of fundamental background. Traders are selling off the dollar, which is favorable for the euro. A local bullish pattern is forming on D1 on the background of the global downtrend. Strong fundamental background is favorable for the strengthening of the currency pair. On H4, the price is correcting after updating the local maximum and consolidates above the level formed by the gap. Bulls are trying to keep the defense above this area. The key focus is on the breakout of the 1.0816 zone. This will open the way to the zones of interest: liquidity and imbalance. Today is a day off in the US, the fundamentals are still in place, trading may be calm. Resistance levels: 1.0816, 1.0852, 1.0916 Support levels: 1.078, 1.073 I expect the trend to continue, as traders are showing interest in the market. Local ATH may become a potential target for MM Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
NZDUSD → Traders believe in the best outcome. NFP aheadFX:NZDUSD strengthens after a false breakdown. The change of the fundamental background leads to a change in the character of the market. Traders are looking at a breakout of 0.614 and growth in the future, but ahead of NFP... On D1 the price is not going to leave the sideways range yet, as we are told by the false breakdown and return to the channel with the subsequent formation of the impulse. Technically, on H4 a pre-breakdown consolidation is forming and the price is gradually pushing up to resistance, which may lead to a breakout and further growth. Fundamentally, based on previous data, traders expect Friday's employment report to show only 189K new jobs compared to 270,000 in the previous month, and unemployment to remain flat. But it's worth paying attention to the actual data. As a mild reminder of slowing economic growth could weigh heavily on the Fed. Resistance levels: 0.614 Support levels: 0.61, 0.608 Technically traders believe in the continuation of the growth. A break of resistance may trigger a rally. But unpredictable news may change the market mood and in this case active selling may start. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
GOLD → From rally to consolidation. Rest before NFP...FX:XAUUSD strengthens on the back of Powell's comments. Light positive notes lead to DXY sell-off and a small rally of XAU to 2364. Today is a day off in the US and tomorrow is NFP..... It's a day off in the US and there is no liquidity. There may be high volatility during trading, but the movements may be weak. Locally, the price is testing resistance and liquidity area. Within a strong distribution there are not many chances to break through the mentioned area. Most likely the formation of a correction, and local bearish patterns appear on the chart, which may lead to a correction in order to gather energy before tomorrow's NFP. Resistance levels: 2364, 2375 Support levels: 2353, 2341 Technically, a false breakout after distribution is forming. There is no potential to go up now. High probability of correction or consolidation. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
5
GOLD → A change in mood amidst the comments and newsGOLD is testing the previously broken channel boundary. The market maker is driving the price into the liquidity area before the strong news. Powell corrected the direction a bit within yesterday's speech The chance of a September interest rate cut rises after Fed Chair Powell acknowledged progress on disinflation. Jeremy reverses course slightly to dovish. Markets are awaiting the release of the minutes of the latest FOMC meeting (due later today) to get more information on the Fed's next steps. The regulator needs more data before it can start cutting rates. Data from the US labor sector is also in focus: All eyes now turn to ADP's US employment change report after JOLTS showed a rise in job openings on Tuesday. The next important event for the gold price remains the minutes of the June 11-12 Federal Reserve meeting, which could shed light on the central bank's outlook on rates and inflation, having a significant impact on the value of the U.S. dollar and the gold price. Resistance levels: 2346, 2352, 2363, 2380 Support levels: 2341, 2328, 2319 Technically, we have buyers appearing on the local change of fundamental background. The bulls are winning within the consolidation. There is a possibility of strengthening, but we should pay attention to the news.... Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10
GOLD → 2319 keeps the market from falling, but for how long?FX:XAUUSD GOLD is still consolidating within the local range of 2340 - 2320, which is formed after breaking a strong trend line support. The dollar index is still heading northward Gold is still unable to break downside resistance, as well as forming price consolidation below previously broken support. The key risk zone on which the bulls put so much is 2319-2320. A breakdown and consolidation of the price below this line may trigger a rally to 2290-2275. All eyes are on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech today at 13:30 GMT The recent rise in gold prices can be attributed to lower US Treasury yields as traders resort to profit taking ahead of important US events. ISM, FOMC, NFP are ahead, but the fundamental background for gold is still weak and buyers do not believe in upward movement yet. Resistance levels: 2332, 2341 Support levels: 2319, 2306, 2297 Technically, a bearish pattern is developing on the senior timeframe, unless Powell says something unpredictable today, the general background will remain the same, which will be favorable for further price decline to these areas. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
21
EURO - Price can exit from triangle and reach resistance levelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few moments ago price declined from resistance area, after which it made upward impulse to $1.0895 points. Price broke $1.0790 level and started to trades in flat, where it some time traded until it reached top part. After this, Euro made downward impulse, thereby exiting from flat, but then price at once entered to triangle pattern. In triangle pattern, price broke $1.0790 level and fell to support level, which coincided with support area. Euro some time traded near this level and recently it reached resistance line of triangle, where continues to trades near now. In my mind, Euro can decline to support level and then bounce up to $1.0790 level, exiting from triangle. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
14
NZDUSD → Traders prepare for bearish rally to 0.60OANDA:NZDUSD is consolidating after breaking the uptrend support. There are no signs on the chart for possible growth, only if the fundamental environment does not change drastically... Technically, a bearish situation is forming on the senior timeframe within the 0.6219 - 0.6084 range. Traders do not believe that the dollar will start to fall and are forming sell-offs of the New Zealand dollar. A break of 0.6083 could lead to a strong sell-off that could spill the market to 0.60 - 0.587. But as the US GDP will be released tomorrow, the market may continue to move flat until some important measures are taken by the major traders. Resistance levels: 0.6140, 0.6215 Support levels: 0.6083, 0.600 I expect a retest of the support against which a small rebound may follow. But, if the situation both technically and fundamentally will not change in the near future, we should expect the formation of a bearish trend. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
7
GBPUSD → The rallies in GBP continue. Falling to 1.26?FX:GBPUSD on Friday updates the local low and confirms the bearish nature of the market. Since the opening session traders have been trying to buy back some of the decline and are heading towards the liquidity zone, from which bears may intensify selling Traders increased selling in GBP to a 16-month high amid expectations that the Central Bank of England will start cutting interest rates sooner than the US Fed. Investors are expecting the GDP of both countries (UK and US) on Wednesday and Thursday. This will help to form a medium-term strategy. Technically, price is heading towards the 1.270 zone of interest (psychological area), which previously played the underlying consolidation support. A retest and capture of the liquids could change the imbalance in the market, which could lead to an intensified sell-off from the said area Resistance levels: 1.27, 1.275 Support levels: 1.26, 1.257 The dollar index looks stronger than the pound sterling, which continues to weaken due to fundamental reasons. The Feds are not yet ready to take premature action, which generally determines a negative fundamental background for the currency pair. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
13
GOLD → Countertrend correction or consolidation before a fall ↓FX:XAUUSD has been updating the local minimum since the opening of the session and confirms the bearish nature of the market. The price is heading towards the area of interest and liquidity before a possible decline Today the focus is on the news: S&P PMI, ISM. Traders are expecting relatively warm data, but, at the moment, everything revolves around the perception of inflation news regarding the inflation itself in the Fed's further view on monetary policy. High volatility is possible. Technically, on D1 gold is trading in bearish territory and at the moment, after updating the local low, the price is heading towards the liquidity zone, from which the sell-offs may increase. There is a possibility that before further decline the price may go deeper, for example, to test the imbalance area, as well as the previously broken channel boundary (liquidity capture). Resistance levels: 2332, 2341, 2346 Support levels: 2325, 2315, 2306 It is possible that the situation may change, as traders are overreacting to inflation-related news, but at the moment, on the high timeframe is formed exclusively bearish setup on the negative fundamental background. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
23
UNFI → Resistance Retest. Ready for a breakthroughBINANCE:UNFIUSDT is showing positive dynamics amid the red cryptocurrency market. The coin is approaching strong resistance and we have the potential to catch a breakout with subsequent growth. On the weekly timeframe, the coin is still in consolidation (range 16.0 - 2.5). But, against the background of the general neutral trend we have a downward resistance, which is once again being retested. A pre-breakout consolidation is formed against the wedge resistance, due to which an attempt to break the line and further strengthening can be formed. An initial test of resistance may lead to a small bounce, but a quick retest will increase the chances of a breakout. Support levels: 3.281 Resistance levels: 5.716 I expect the formation of a local consolidation with a gradual push to the resistance of the wedge and further breakout. Regards R. Linda!
ULong
by RLinda
13
GOLD → Further direction depends on PCE and traders' perceptionsFX:XAUUSD strengthens on the news as traders took it as a possible easing of inflation. The dollar under pressure is favorable for gold. Ahead of the core PCE, traders expect inflation to ease from 2.8 to 2.6 If inflation data points to a slowdown in inflation, the gold price is likely to recover as the US dollar will be under strong selling pressure. This fact could be a kind of signal for a possible interest rate cut in the US in the fall (which everyone is waiting for). On the contrary, the US dollar may continue to strengthen and put pressure on the gold price if the data is unexpected.... On Thursday, mixed data on the growth of the US economy, put downward pressure on the US dollar. This helped the gold price to strengthen to 2330. Technically, the price is testing the liquidity area where the bears may enter the fray. A false breakdown of the previously broken channel boundary may lead to another selloff. Resistance levels: 2340, 2352 Support levels: 2332, 2319 Gold is currently in the selling zone and traders do not believe in the possible growth, the priority is to consider the price decline, but do not rush to conclusions ! Ahead of the news, a change in the fundamental environment will attract investors and we may see a breakdown of 2340 and growth to 2360, but if the fundamental background does not change, an impulse to 2300 may be formed. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
23
EURUSD → Weak market. The target is 1.06. But, news... FX:EURUSD is forming a consolidation, characteristic of a pre-breakout, against a key support line as the dollar index continues to gain support and hold north. A strong bearish situation is developing on D1. There is no strong buyer in the market that can turn around a weak market under pressure from strong bears. The market is below the MA200-MA50 daily moving averages and is also forming consolidation relative to the support, which with a high degree of probability speaks about the intentions to go lower. On H4 the price is in consolidation, above the local maximum is the area of liquidity, as well as resistance, which can test the market before the subsequent decline. BUT! Today's news. Traders are waiting for PCE inflation data.... Resistance levels: 1.07238, 1.07816 Support levels: 1.0664, 1.0606 Technically and fundamentally, the currency pair is in a neutral-negative outlook. If the fundamental background does not change today, I will still stick to the downward movement to 1.06- 1.055. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
7
GBPCAD → Trend Change. The fall may continue to 1.710OANDA:GBPCAD breaks the uptrend, a bearish rally is forming and the price is testing local support. A break of the liquidity area will renew the sell-off against a weaker GBP and a rising CAD. Pound sterling is moving from accumulation to realization and downward distribution on the background of expectations that the UK central bank will start an earlier interest rate cut relative to the US Fed. The Canadian, on the contrary, is growing on the background of monetary policy tightening in the country. The resistance at 1.7336 plays a key role for the currency pair at the moment. A false breakdown (touching the SMA) is possible before the subsequent price drop, a breakdown of 1.7297 will strengthen the sell-off. Resistance levels: 1.7336, 1.7387, 1.7415. Support levels: 1.7297, 1.7228 I expect consolidation in the local range, which may turn into a phase of further decline. Key liquidity zones are 1.7228 - 1.7085. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
GOLD → Correction before the news. Bears may resist ↓FX:XAUUSD after falling to 2293 is forming a correction before the news as traders are shrugging off fear of unpredictability. Important news ahead that determines the medium term strategy Traders are waiting for US GDP and PCE inflation data. Bullish data against the dollar could hurt the price of gold quite a bit, which could head towards 2220 and get a downward correction phase change to a downtrend. Regulators are still sticking to the fact that inflation is high and it is still hard to fight it. Technically, price is forming a bounce. Local rally is directed towards interest and liquidity: 2315-2325. Possible retest of local resistance before the news, if the general mood does not change, the fall will continue from the above zones. But, a break of the resistance at 2325 will bring the market back to the range boundaries.... Resistance levels: 2315, 2325, 2332 Support levels: 2306, 2397, 2287 Unpredictable news makes trading difficult, but based on the current data the market is bearish, there is no big buyer yet, local data may form a shakeout and increased volatility, after the exhaustion of which traders may return to sell-offs of metal Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
22