AUDNZD 4HR - Bearish Divergence OANDA:AUDNZD
Between 3rd Sept and 5th Sept, price failed to make to a higher high, while macd displace a lower high signalling bearish divergence. Expecting a move down to the 200EMA, Weekly S1, 75 fib at 1.057. Would look to re-evaluate price once it reaches this zone to see if price continue up or drop lower.
Short at 1.065 with a target of 1.057 and then re-evaluate direction.
4h
GBPUSD H4 - New Trendline formation + Bullish FlagFX:GBPUSD
Price is currently setting up a new trendline and is expected to retrace back to this line at around 1.22 which is also the 38 Fib, Weekly Price Pivot and 4HR 55EMA, before continuing upwards to weekly R2 at 1.238. Expecting a triangle formation with initial resistance at Weekly R2/Daily R1.
Long at 1.22 with an initial TP at 1.245.
BTC 4H - Move to 50EMA and then drop to the Daily S3BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Price is currently squeezed between Daily Pivot/Weekly S1 and EAM20 on the H4, expecting a push to daily R2, 50EAM, 50 fib and test of previous resistance level at 9850 from the underside before a drop down to daily S3 at 9200.
Watch for a break of the daily pivot level as price may just break lower to daily S2 and trade in a sideways range.
XAG Continuation to Daily R3 (18.90)OANDA:XAGUSD
Last week XAG price bounced off 20EMA, 50Fibs, mid bollenger band and daily Price pivot on the 4H chart. Price is now moving in a upward channel/along a trend line. Expecting a continuation move up to the daily R3 level at just above 18.90, but below psychological 19.00 level.
Watch for the a break of the trend line, move below mid Bollenger Band or bullish divergence.
AUDUSD 4H TRIANGLE BREATKOUT STRATEGYTriangles, Descending Triangles, Ascending Triangle and Ranges are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Triangles and ranges are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction.
Ascending and descending chart patterns will have a directional bias depending on the previous incoming trend.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size.
b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
DAX 4HR - Bullish Divergence push to 17000, then down to 14000 XETR:DAX
DAX showing bullish divergence on 4hr between Aug 6th and Aug 15th with price making lower lower (LL) and macd making a high lower (HL). Price reversed after reaching weekly S3. Price to re-test 17000 as support (previous resistance) and is also the weekly price pivot and fib mid point (beween 62.5 and 50 fib). If price breaks 17000 next resistance is 18500 which is weekly R1, 50EMA and 38Fib. Short at 17000 with target at weekly S2 (14000).
Silver and Gold in the Diamond Formation on 4hour chart1. It is an unusual formation to have.
How to trade it? Well, it is always 50/50 situation.
You basically trade in the direction of the breakout.
2. It is not common to publish an idea for 2 different Commodities however they share the same pattern. That's why I decided to share both of them as the same idea.
Keep in mind they might go in opposite directions though.
Keep tracking it and step in the moment of breakout. That's my strategy on this one.
The General trend for both of them is Bullish but it might break otherwise.
When you open the position for the diamond you set stop-loss above the apex opposite to trade direction.
Remember to drop a like if you find this idea interesting.
Disclaimer
Remember to always Do Your Own Research.
I am not a financial advisor. The advice here given is not financial advice even though my excitement might make it look like such.
You trade at your own risk and nobody can guarantee you results. Even if someone could, I don't.
LTCUSD 4H DESCENDING CHANNEL TRADESRanges, Descending Triangles, Triangles, & Ascending Triangle are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Triangles and ranges are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction.
Ascending and descending chart patterns will have a directional bias depending on the previous incoming trend.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart ).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending volume bars and descending atr line (which indicates volatility ) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size.
b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size.
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.