GBP/USD: Forecasting the Week Ahead
GBP/USD: Forecasting the Week Ahead
Following the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, keeping a close watch on upcoming public addresses from Federal Reserve officials is crucial for insights into the direction of the US dollar.
Given recent developments, traders shouldn't be surprised if central bank communication takes a more hawkish stance, signaling reluctance to cut interest rates despite Wall Street's anticipation of approximately 135 basis points of easing this year. Such a scenario could be favorable for yields and the US dollar.
Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, addressing the inflation data shortly after its release, emphasized that December's inflation figures didn't provide clarity for Federal Reserve officials considering potential rate cuts this year.
Next on the agenda is Neel Kashkari, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, scheduled to speak on Friday morning.
Looking ahead to next week, the GBP/USD pair may attract attention with UK inflation data on Wednesday. Despite weakening on Thursday, the GBP/USD held above channel support at around 1.2675. A failure to defend this technical support level might lead to a probe towards 1.2600, with further declines potentially exposing the 200-day simple moving average. If the cable strengthens and breaks above resistance at 1.2760, favorable conditions could set the stage for an ascent toward December's highs above the 1.2826 level. Achieving this target might pave the way for a rally toward 1.3000.
Following the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, keeping a close watch on upcoming public addresses from Federal Reserve officials is crucial for insights into the direction of the US dollar.
Given recent developments, traders shouldn't be surprised if central bank communication takes a more hawkish stance, signaling reluctance to cut interest rates despite Wall Street's anticipation of approximately 135 basis points of easing this year. Such a scenario could be favorable for yields and the US dollar.
Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, addressing the inflation data shortly after its release, emphasized that December's inflation figures didn't provide clarity for Federal Reserve officials considering potential rate cuts this year.
Next on the agenda is Neel Kashkari, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, scheduled to speak on Friday morning.
Looking ahead to next week, the GBP/USD pair may attract attention with UK inflation data on Wednesday. Despite weakening on Thursday, the GBP/USD held above channel support at around 1.2675. A failure to defend this technical support level might lead to a probe towards 1.2600, with further declines potentially exposing the 200-day simple moving average. If the cable strengthens and breaks above resistance at 1.2760, favorable conditions could set the stage for an ascent toward December's highs above the 1.2826 level. Achieving this target might pave the way for a rally toward 1.3000.
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