Weekly Leading Indicators: BEARISH
Managed to streamline down to these couple of charts for a set of leading indicators. Simple trend analysis and techincals are being used here for Weekly charts and so weekly analysis is appropriate to set the stage for a top down view.
First up (on the top right corner) is the Combined US equities chart that shows a strong marubozu the previous week (from elections outcome). However, the following week was not a confirmation, but instead casts doubt on the sustainability of the spike to rally on.
Point being, the massive breakout is met with a Dark Cloud Cover that breaks back into the Decision Box (purple box) which was previously marked out for the consolidation range boundaries. Typically when a breakout is followed by a breakin, it tends to follow through to the other end... a break down from the box support. Yellow circle is where it should go through or bounce at.
What gives on this is that the following Leading indicators are eluding to...
SG10Y Govt Bond Yields
The uncanny correlation of this to the US Equities Indexes is remarkable and have been a hallmark of my recent posts and analyses. Here we have a breakout of the trendline resistance. Means equity markets are going Bear.
RED Flag
High Yield Bonds ETF (JNK)
JNK looks to break the uptrend trailstop line, with a lower high that now has a Dark Cloud Cover as well.
AMBER Flag
TIPS and TLT
Both have broken uptrend trailstops and are downtrending with a recent low. These are well known market leading indicators.
RED Flags
Semiconductor ETF (SOXL)
Noted, and personal favourite, SOXL is clearly bearish from simple candlestick patterns.
RED Flag
So, overall, we have Leads telling us it is BEARISH again.
Heads up!
First up (on the top right corner) is the Combined US equities chart that shows a strong marubozu the previous week (from elections outcome). However, the following week was not a confirmation, but instead casts doubt on the sustainability of the spike to rally on.
Point being, the massive breakout is met with a Dark Cloud Cover that breaks back into the Decision Box (purple box) which was previously marked out for the consolidation range boundaries. Typically when a breakout is followed by a breakin, it tends to follow through to the other end... a break down from the box support. Yellow circle is where it should go through or bounce at.
What gives on this is that the following Leading indicators are eluding to...
SG10Y Govt Bond Yields
The uncanny correlation of this to the US Equities Indexes is remarkable and have been a hallmark of my recent posts and analyses. Here we have a breakout of the trendline resistance. Means equity markets are going Bear.
RED Flag
High Yield Bonds ETF (JNK)
JNK looks to break the uptrend trailstop line, with a lower high that now has a Dark Cloud Cover as well.
AMBER Flag
TIPS and TLT
Both have broken uptrend trailstops and are downtrending with a recent low. These are well known market leading indicators.
RED Flags
Semiconductor ETF (SOXL)
Noted, and personal favourite, SOXL is clearly bearish from simple candlestick patterns.
RED Flag
So, overall, we have Leads telling us it is BEARISH again.
Heads up!
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